Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9425ffb2]
🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 5M 28.05 @fx156
CONFIRMATION BASED
5 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-01 15:35:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
- Sortino Ratio: 0.73
- Calmar: -0.41
- Longest DD Days: 1,432.00
- Volatility: 17.17
- Skew: 0.55
- Kurtosis: 3.50
- Expected Daily: 0.02
- Expected Monthly: 0.46
- Expected Yearly: 5.69
- Kelly Criterion: 1.39
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.63
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.20
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-16 18:25:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 1,622
- Max Consecutive Losses: 11
- Number Losing Trades: 2,009
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.41
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.03
- Payoff Ratio: 1.28
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.03
- Tail Ratio: 1.17
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.16
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.89
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.18
- Serenity Index: 1.93
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 18.91% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 18.91% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.331 |
Profit Factor | 1.033 |
Maximum Drawdown | -69.24% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 17.17% |
The strategy presents a modest cumulative return of 18.91%, with an annualized return aligning with the cumulative percentage. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.331 suggests that the strategy has modest risk-adjusted returns, which are below the target of 0.5 for good performance in crypto strategies. The maximum drawdown of -69.24% is notably high and poses a challenge, indicating risk exposure that could be better managed. The Profit Factor of 1.033 is marginally favorable, suggesting slightly more gains than losses.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, the strategy shows potential but requires significant adjustments to be viable for real-world trading. Its performance under specific market conditions will need further exploration to ensure these can be effectively replicated in future scenarios. When compared to industry benchmarks, the strategy’s high drawdowns and relatively low risk-adjusted returns underscore areas needing improvement. Nonetheless, the strategy demonstrates resilience with no margin calls during its operation.
Risk Management
The current risk management approach indicates areas for improvement. The significant maximum drawdown and relatively low Sharpe Ratio highlight the need for better volatility control and drawdown mitigation. To enhance risk management, consider:
- Reducing leverage to lower the maximum drawdown to below 40%, improving the overall risk profile.
- Incorporating more stringent stop-loss policies to prevent prolonged exposure to adverse movements.
- Adjusting position sizing based on prevailing volatility to limit risk in fluctuating markets.
Improvement Suggestions
To boost the strategy’s effectiveness and ensure its robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine strategy parameters to achieve a better balance between returns and risk exposure.
- Integrate additional technical indicators to enhance precision in trade timing and execution.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate strategy resilience across different market phases.
- Strengthen the risk management framework by implementing advanced techniques like stress testing and Value-at-Risk (VaR) modeling.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows promise with decent cumulative returns and some favorable performance indicators, such as the absence of margin calls. However, the high drawdown and lower than desired risk-adjusted returns present areas for considerable enhancement. Strengthening the strategy through parameter refinement and enhanced risk management practices will be crucial for its success.
Recommendation: Focus on optimizing and modifying the strategy significantly to improve its risk management and return profile. Proceed with rigorous testing and refinement to elevate the strategy's viability within the cryptocurrency market.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -15.37% |
2022 | 57.93% | 25.53% | 25.76% | 28.64% | -1.52% | 15.61% | 50.97% | 14.44% | -24.29% | -9.71% | -12.71% | -4.60% |
2023 | 11.49% | 9.24% | -0.04% | 3.99% | -10.11% | 13.02% | -5.19% | -20.45% | 20.96% | 28.39% | 9.11% | 30.17% |
2024 | 25.69% | 18.36% | 51.04% | 15.62% | 48.73% | -28.26% | 15.24% | -4.01% | -5.01% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
960
Number of Trades
-24.81%
Cumulative Returns
43.13%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
22.7%
30 Days
64.18%
60 Days
17.86%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -683.55 | -0.38 | ||||
Net Profit | 171258.32 | 1712.58 | 120254.13 | 1202.54 | 51004.18 | 510.04 |
Gross Profit | 1216869.22 | 12168.69 | 769152.26 | 7691.52 | 447716.96 | 4477.17 |
Gross Loss | 1045610.9 | 10456.11 | 648898.12 | 6488.98 | 396712.78 | 3967.13 |
Commission Paid | 116025.86 | 72978.73 | 43047.13 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -4065.33 | -40.65 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 180851.93 | 96.39 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 31564.55 | 62.28 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 70991.0 | 70991.0 | 69079.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 2678.0 | 1326.0 | 1352.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1212.0 | 626.0 | 586.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 1466.0 | 700.0 | 766.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.26 | 47.21 | 43.34 | |||
Avg P&l | 63.95 | 0.07 | 90.69 | 0.12 | 37.72 | 0.03 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1004.02 | 1.85 | 1228.68 | 1.73 | 764.02 | 1.97 |
Avg Losing Trade | 713.24 | 1.39 | 927.0 | 1.32 | 517.9 | 1.46 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.408 | 1.325 | 1.475 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14717.44 | 14717.44 | 4465.89 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.81 | 7.81 | 7.77 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 11405.22 | 11405.22 | 5368.67 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.1 | 5.4 | 6.1 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 27.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 23.0 | 21.0 | 24.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.518 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.502 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.164 | 1.185 | 1.129 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 79457.77 | 794.58 | 61703.78 | 617.04 | 17753.99 | 177.54 |
Gross Profit | 2497496.93 | 24974.97 | 1573990.03 | 15739.9 | 923506.9 | 9235.07 |
Gross Loss | 2418039.16 | 24180.39 | 1512286.25 | 15122.86 | 905752.91 | 9057.53 |
Commission Paid | 244422.06 | 155067.83 | 89354.23 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -8997.09 | -89.97 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 180851.93 | 96.39 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 129839.58 | 69.24 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 194927.0 | 194927.0 | 185239.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 3631.0 | 1817.0 | 1814.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1622.0 | 839.0 | 783.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 2009.0 | 978.0 | 1031.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.67 | 46.18 | 43.16 | |||
Avg P&l | 21.88 | 0.05 | 33.96 | 0.08 | 9.79 | 0.02 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1539.76 | 1.89 | 1876.03 | 1.76 | 1179.45 | 2.03 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1203.6 | 1.43 | 1546.3 | 1.36 | 878.52 | 1.51 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.279 | 1.213 | 1.343 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14717.44 | 14717.44 | 9541.34 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 9.0 | 7.81 | 9.0 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 13196.26 | 13196.26 | 7477.22 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.1 | 5.4 | 6.1 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 27.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 23.0 | 21.0 | 24.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.331 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.73 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.033 | 1.041 | 1.02 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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