StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [0ff44531]
🛡️ STIFFTREND ETHUSDT 15M 14.05
@davidec29
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-10-24 04:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.61
- Sortino Ratio: 2.32
- Calmar: -0.94
- Longest DD Days: 120.00
- Volatility: 7.73
- Skew: 1.48
- Kurtosis: 10.20
- Expected Daily: 0.03
- Expected Monthly: 0.63
- Expected Yearly: 7.88
- Kelly Criterion: 8.49
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.68
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.99
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-08 06:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 706
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 804
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.94
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
- Payoff Ratio: 1.39
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
- Tail Ratio: 1.29
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.45
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.94
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.03
- Serenity Index: 6.76
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
The QuantStats report provides insightful performance metrics about the strategy's capabilities:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 10.12% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 10.12% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.606 |
Profit Factor | 1.202 |
Maximum Drawdown | -31.35% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 7.12% |
The strategy delivers a consistent performance with an annualized return of 10.12% and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.606, which is above the industry threshold for a good performance in the crypto space. The Profit Factor of 1.202 suggests the strategy yields more profit per dollar of loss. The maximum drawdown of 31.35% is below the 40% threshold, suggesting reasonable risk-taking and drawdown control.
Strategy Viability
The strategy demonstrates viable returns under the current market conditions. With a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 and maximum drawdown well under control, there is evidence of effective risk-reward balance. The conditions prevailing during the backtest support this performance, highlighting the strategy’s potential under similar future conditions.
Risk Management
The management of risks appears sound, as indicated by a satisfactory drawdown level. However, certain aspects can be further optimized to bolster the effectiveness:
- Consider utilizing less leverage to further reduce maximum drawdown.
- Maintain a disciplined stop-loss mechanism to mitigate significant loss situations.
- Implement a measured approach to volatility management by periodically adjusting the portfolio exposure based on market volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To advance the strategy's robustness and enhance overall performance, consider these suggestions:
- Regularly optimize parameters to maintain performance efficiency as market conditions change.
- Explore incorporating additional technical indicators and factors that could enhance decision-making processes.
- Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing to ascertain strategy validity across varying market environments.
- Strengthen the risk management framework through innovative techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) adjustments.
Final Opinion
This strategy shows promising strong points including reasonable drawdown levels, commendable return figures, and a good risk-adjusted return. The risk management practices are effective, yet there remains potential for enhancing the robustness of the strategy through various improvements.
Recommendation: Proceed with further enhancement and validation of the strategy. Implement recommended improvements to ensure adaptability and maintain competitiveness throughout varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 27.17% | -7.87% | -22.20% | 28.37% | 31.47% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 6.70% | 26.29% | 16.06% | 6.70% | 11.23% | 0.28% | -17.46% | 29.33% | -12.08% | -5.60% | 7.94% | 22.56% |
2022 | 20.43% | 18.19% | 1.07% | -5.19% | 9.61% | 15.68% | 58.88% | 37.52% | -13.93% | 36.66% | -11.84% | 1.70% |
2021 | 55.93% | 33.96% | 7.87% | 3.86% | 59.49% | 14.12% | 34.22% | 26.34% | -2.31% | 6.08% | 23.52% | 16.41% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -15.38% | 59.88% | 0.30% |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
199
Number of Trades
43.69%
Cumulative Returns
43.72%
Win Rate
2024-05-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-5.88%
30 Days
6.83%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 38,233.11 USD | 22,623.14 | 27,069.28 USD | 16,017.33 | 11,163.83 USD | 6,605.82 |
Gross Profit | 189,725.75 | 112,263.76 | 123,681.57 | 73,184.36 | 66,044.18 | 39,079.40 |
Gross Loss | 151,492.64 | 89,640.62 | 96,612.29 | 57,167.04 | 54,880.35 | 32,473.58 |
Max Run-up | 38,257.54 | 99.62 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 11,485.43 | 31.35 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,051.87 | 622.41 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.637 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.502 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.252 | 1.28 | 1.203 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 32 | 32 | 31 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 18,124.89 | 11,151.30 | 6,973.59 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1,311 | 748 | 563 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 619 | 348 | 271 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 692 | 400 | 292 | |||
Percent Profitable | 47.22 | 46.52 | 48.13 | |||
Avg Trade | 29.16 | 0.26 | 36.19 | 0.32 | 19.83 | 0.18 |
Avg Winning Trade | 306.50 | 2.19 | 355.41 | 2.39 | 243.71 | 1.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 218.92 | 1.47 | 241.53 | 1.49 | 187.95 | 1.43 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.4 | 1.471 | 1.297 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 5,586.07 | 14.35 | 2,504.53 | 8.87 | 5,586.07 | 14.35 |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,859.78 | 7.09 | 1,470.60 | 7.09 | 1,859.78 | 3.92 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 28 | 30 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 32 | 35 | 28 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 24 | 25 | 23 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 54,702.46 USD | 32,368.32 | 37,933.71 USD | 22,445.99 | 16,768.75 USD | 9,922.33 |
Gross Profit | 322,154.42 | 190,623.92 | 214,212.27 | 126,752.82 | 107,942.15 | 63,871.09 |
Gross Loss | 267,451.96 | 158,255.60 | 176,278.56 | 104,306.84 | 91,173.40 | 53,948.76 |
Max Run-up | 66,871.10 | 99.78 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 20,851.32 | 31.35 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,365.70 | 808.10 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.605 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.324 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.205 | 1.215 | 1.184 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 48 | 48 | 46 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 30,481.98 | 19,016.56 | 11,465.42 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1,510 | 865 | 645 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 706 | 394 | 312 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 804 | 471 | 333 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.75 | 45.55 | 48.37 | |||
Avg Trade | 36.23 | 0.23 | 43.85 | 0.28 | 26.00 | 0.17 |
Avg Winning Trade | 456.31 | 2.14 | 543.69 | 2.37 | 345.97 | 1.85 |
Avg Losing Trade | 332.65 | 1.44 | 374.26 | 1.47 | 273.79 | 1.41 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.372 | 1.453 | 1.264 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 5,586.07 | 14.35 | 4,670.60 | 8.87 | 5,586.07 | 14.35 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,362.54 | 7.09 | 3,362.54 | 7.09 | 2,548.18 | 3.92 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 28 | 30 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 32 | 35 | 28 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 25 | 24 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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