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DaviddTech
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bavo aiVSnt runeusdt 15m 11.06

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AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b6486fcd]

🛡️ AIVSNT RUNEUSDT 15M 11.06 @bavo

TREND FOLOWING
15 minutes

by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
  • icon 1
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 4 hours ago

14109.08%

Net Profit

53.35%

Win Rate

1344

Total Closed Trades

1.132

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

3023.34% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 20:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.64
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.95
  • Calmar: -9.96
  • Longest DD Days: 238.00
  • Volatility: 48.10
  • Skew: 0.06
  • Kurtosis: -0.95
  • Expected Daily: 0.41
  • Expected Monthly: 9.03
  • Expected Yearly: 182.07
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.57
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.00
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.90
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 17:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 11
  • Number Winning Trades 717
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 627
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -9.96
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.14
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.99
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.14
  • Tail Ratio: 1.22
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.37
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.45
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.11
  • Serenity Index: 3,006.27

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 323.76%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 323.76%
Sharpe Ratio 0.641
Profit Factor 1.136
Maximum Drawdown -33.53%
Volatility (Annualized) 48.11%

The strategy shows promising returns with a cumulative return of 323.76% and an annualized return equal to the CAGR. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.641 indicates adequate risk-adjusted returns for the crypto environment, where a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 tends to be considered good. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of -33.53% is within acceptable limits and demonstrates good downside protection. Its profit factor of 1.136 suggests that the strategy generates $1.14 for every $1 lost.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading under current market conditions. It performs well relative to what is expected in the volatile crypto market, especially given its positive profitability despite an inherently high-risk environment. While the market conditions could change, the current strategy seems to be taking full advantage of the existing circumstances.

Risk Management

The strategy employs effective risk management, as indicated by a reasonable drawdown and a favorable gain/pain ratio of 1.14. However, there is room for improvement to further manage risk:

  • Consider reducing leverage slightly to lower maximum drawdown further, providing additional safety during periods of higher volatility.
  • Implement dynamic position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions and volatility.
  • Reassess and modify stop-loss mechanisms to enhance their effectiveness in volatile periods.

Improvement Suggestions

To further boost the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Experiment with incorporating additional technical indicators for more refined entry and exit signals.
  • Optimize existing parameters and backtest across different time frames and conditions to determine the most stable configurations.
  • Contemplate adding diversification into the portfolio to minimize unsystematic risk exposure.
  • Explore forward-testing and real-world deployments on a small scale to validate predictions and performance in live settings.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy is promising and displays robust performance with high returns and decent risk-adjusted metrics. Despite high volatility, the drawdown remains manageably low, underscoring a reliable risk management approach. It's essential to continue refining and testing the strategy to guarantee its durability under varying market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with ongoing refinement and testing of the strategy. Implement suggested adjustments to optimize performance and further streamline risk management practices, ensuring preparedness against higher market volatility. With these enhancements, the strategy holds considerable potential for profitable real-world application.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%27.64%
202225.83%24.49%82.43%13.49%34.83%29.97%39.32%17.40%3.79%-0.11%12.56%10.05%
2023-2.22%4.18%-1.33%12.87%-2.78%1.82%11.29%-11.15%30.80%29.04%29.10%9.86%
202419.27%3.85%17.17%31.28%15.32%-8.27%15.49%15.75%24.43%-22.93%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

RUNE

Base Currency

367

Number of Trades

42.7%

Cumulative Returns

48.77%

Win Rate

2024-06-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

4.65%

30 Days

-3.73%

60 Days

-8.58%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit11085739.3911085.748604775.698604.782480963.72480.96
Gross Profit40631598.8940631.622178373.4622178.3718453225.4418453.23
Gross Loss29545859.529545.8613573597.7713573.615972261.7315972.26
Commission Paid2249622.391209941.141039681.25
Buy & Hold Return-47627.18-47.63
Max Equity Run-up12164880.8999.24
Max Drawdown1480256.319.75
Max Contracts Held2538335.02508709.02538335.0
Total Closed Trades977.0507.0470.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades538.0297.0241.0
Number Losing Trades439.0210.0229.0
Percent Profitable55.0758.5851.28
Avg P&l11346.710.5316971.940.75278.650.34
Avg Winning Trade75523.422.9274674.662.7876569.43.1
Avg Losing Trade67302.642.4164636.182.2569747.872.56
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1221.1551.098
Largest Winning Trade691551.19442130.29691551.19
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.497.7210.49
Largest Losing Trade449122.16449122.16442826.63
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.176.096.17
Avg # Bars In Trades27.021.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades28.022.036.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.021.032.0
Sharpe Ratio0.779
Sortino Ratio7.43
Profit Factor1.3751.6341.155
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit14109079.8514109.0814442189.4514442.19-333109.59-333.11
Gross Profit121007768.18121007.7764649610.4864649.6156358157.756358.16
Gross Loss106898688.33106898.6950207421.0450207.4256691267.2956691.27
Commission Paid6478760.663585055.822893704.85
Buy & Hold Return-81922.37-81.92
Max Equity Run-up19386727.4699.52
Max Drawdown6315123.2133.53
Max Contracts Held15423194.014409465.015423194.0
Total Closed Trades1344.0710.0634.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades717.0401.0316.0
Number Losing Trades627.0309.0318.0
Percent Profitable53.3556.4849.84
Avg P&l10497.830.4120341.110.56-525.410.25
Avg Winning Trade168769.552.98161220.972.79178348.63.23
Avg Losing Trade170492.332.52162483.562.32178274.432.71
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.990.9921.0
Largest Winning Trade1414974.55849001.151414974.55
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.497.7210.49
Largest Losing Trade1049749.41926078.671049749.41
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.176.136.17
Avg # Bars In Trades26.021.031.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades26.021.033.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.021.029.0
Sharpe Ratio0.638
Sortino Ratio2.947
Profit Factor1.1321.2880.994
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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