AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b6486fcd]
🛡️ AIVSNT RUNEUSDT 15M 11.06 @bavo
TREND FOLOWING
15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 4 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 20:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.64
- Sortino Ratio: 2.95
- Calmar: -9.96
- Longest DD Days: 238.00
- Volatility: 48.10
- Skew: 0.06
- Kurtosis: -0.95
- Expected Daily: 0.41
- Expected Monthly: 9.03
- Expected Yearly: 182.07
- Kelly Criterion: 6.57
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.90
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 17:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 717
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 627
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -9.96
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.14
- Payoff Ratio: 0.99
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.14
- Tail Ratio: 1.22
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.37
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.45
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.11
- Serenity Index: 3,006.27
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 323.76% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 323.76% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.641 |
Profit Factor | 1.136 |
Maximum Drawdown | -33.53% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 48.11% |
The strategy shows promising returns with a cumulative return of 323.76% and an annualized return equal to the CAGR. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.641 indicates adequate risk-adjusted returns for the crypto environment, where a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 tends to be considered good. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of -33.53% is within acceptable limits and demonstrates good downside protection. Its profit factor of 1.136 suggests that the strategy generates $1.14 for every $1 lost.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading under current market conditions. It performs well relative to what is expected in the volatile crypto market, especially given its positive profitability despite an inherently high-risk environment. While the market conditions could change, the current strategy seems to be taking full advantage of the existing circumstances.
Risk Management
The strategy employs effective risk management, as indicated by a reasonable drawdown and a favorable gain/pain ratio of 1.14. However, there is room for improvement to further manage risk:
- Consider reducing leverage slightly to lower maximum drawdown further, providing additional safety during periods of higher volatility.
- Implement dynamic position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions and volatility.
- Reassess and modify stop-loss mechanisms to enhance their effectiveness in volatile periods.
Improvement Suggestions
To further boost the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Experiment with incorporating additional technical indicators for more refined entry and exit signals.
- Optimize existing parameters and backtest across different time frames and conditions to determine the most stable configurations.
- Contemplate adding diversification into the portfolio to minimize unsystematic risk exposure.
- Explore forward-testing and real-world deployments on a small scale to validate predictions and performance in live settings.
Final Opinion
In summary, this strategy is promising and displays robust performance with high returns and decent risk-adjusted metrics. Despite high volatility, the drawdown remains manageably low, underscoring a reliable risk management approach. It's essential to continue refining and testing the strategy to guarantee its durability under varying market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with ongoing refinement and testing of the strategy. Implement suggested adjustments to optimize performance and further streamline risk management practices, ensuring preparedness against higher market volatility. With these enhancements, the strategy holds considerable potential for profitable real-world application.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 27.64% |
2022 | 25.83% | 24.49% | 82.43% | 13.49% | 34.83% | 29.97% | 39.32% | 17.40% | 3.79% | -0.11% | 12.56% | 10.05% |
2023 | -2.22% | 4.18% | -1.33% | 12.87% | -2.78% | 1.82% | 11.29% | -11.15% | 30.80% | 29.04% | 29.10% | 9.86% |
2024 | 19.27% | 3.85% | 17.17% | 31.28% | 15.32% | -8.27% | 15.49% | 15.75% | 24.43% | -22.93% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
367
Number of Trades
42.7%
Cumulative Returns
48.77%
Win Rate
2024-06-11
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
4.65%
30 Days
-3.73%
60 Days
-8.58%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 11085739.39 | 11085.74 | 8604775.69 | 8604.78 | 2480963.7 | 2480.96 |
Gross Profit | 40631598.89 | 40631.6 | 22178373.46 | 22178.37 | 18453225.44 | 18453.23 |
Gross Loss | 29545859.5 | 29545.86 | 13573597.77 | 13573.6 | 15972261.73 | 15972.26 |
Commission Paid | 2249622.39 | 1209941.14 | 1039681.25 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -47627.18 | -47.63 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 12164880.89 | 99.24 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1480256.3 | 19.75 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 2538335.0 | 2508709.0 | 2538335.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 977.0 | 507.0 | 470.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 538.0 | 297.0 | 241.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 439.0 | 210.0 | 229.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.07 | 58.58 | 51.28 | |||
Avg P&l | 11346.71 | 0.53 | 16971.94 | 0.7 | 5278.65 | 0.34 |
Avg Winning Trade | 75523.42 | 2.92 | 74674.66 | 2.78 | 76569.4 | 3.1 |
Avg Losing Trade | 67302.64 | 2.41 | 64636.18 | 2.25 | 69747.87 | 2.56 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.122 | 1.155 | 1.098 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 691551.19 | 442130.29 | 691551.19 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.49 | 7.72 | 10.49 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 449122.16 | 449122.16 | 442826.63 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.17 | 6.09 | 6.17 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 28.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.779 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 7.43 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.375 | 1.634 | 1.155 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 14109079.85 | 14109.08 | 14442189.45 | 14442.19 | -333109.59 | -333.11 |
Gross Profit | 121007768.18 | 121007.77 | 64649610.48 | 64649.61 | 56358157.7 | 56358.16 |
Gross Loss | 106898688.33 | 106898.69 | 50207421.04 | 50207.42 | 56691267.29 | 56691.27 |
Commission Paid | 6478760.66 | 3585055.82 | 2893704.85 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -81922.37 | -81.92 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 19386727.46 | 99.52 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 6315123.21 | 33.53 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 15423194.0 | 14409465.0 | 15423194.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1344.0 | 710.0 | 634.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 717.0 | 401.0 | 316.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 627.0 | 309.0 | 318.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.35 | 56.48 | 49.84 | |||
Avg P&l | 10497.83 | 0.41 | 20341.11 | 0.56 | -525.41 | 0.25 |
Avg Winning Trade | 168769.55 | 2.98 | 161220.97 | 2.79 | 178348.6 | 3.23 |
Avg Losing Trade | 170492.33 | 2.52 | 162483.56 | 2.32 | 178274.43 | 2.71 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.99 | 0.992 | 1.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1414974.55 | 849001.15 | 1414974.55 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.49 | 7.72 | 10.49 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1049749.41 | 926078.67 | 1049749.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.17 | 6.13 | 6.17 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 26.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 26.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 25.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.638 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.947 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.132 | 1.288 | 0.994 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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