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SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15min

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Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [44707859]

🛡️ SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15MIN @heisenbergx5

CONFIRMATION BASED
15 minutes

by DaviddTech - March 11, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 2 hours ago

122488.53%

Net Profit

49.04%

Win Rate

1250

Total Closed Trades

1.056

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

16821.45% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.49
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.90
  • Calmar: -10.07
  • Longest DD Days: 177.00
  • Volatility: 82.82
  • Skew: 0.39
  • Kurtosis: -0.01
  • Expected Daily: 0.71
  • Expected Monthly: 16.10
  • Expected Yearly: 499.56
  • Kelly Criterion: 2.92
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.53
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.59
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 16:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 613
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 637
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -10.07
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.06
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.10
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.06
  • Tail Ratio: 1.47
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.50
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.39
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.20
  • Serenity Index: 15,546.43

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics provide insight into the strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 697.44%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 505.49%
Sharpe Ratio 0.495
Profit Factor 1.059
Maximum Drawdown -68.02%
Volatility (Annualized) 82.82%

The strategy shows robust cumulative returns and a satisfactory annualized return, with a reasonable Sharpe Ratio of 0.495, indicating nearly acceptable risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown of -68.02% is high, suggesting a significant risk level which needs addressing. The Profit Factor of 1.059 shows that the strategy generates more revenue than loss, but improvement is needed for higher profitability.

Strategy Viability

Based on the available data, while the strategy showcases strong returns, the elevated maximum drawdown raises concerns for real-world trading. The strategy underperforms in terms of drawdowns when compared to industry benchmarks. It is important to fine-tune the strategy to reduce drawdowns, ensuring viability under diverse market conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy indicates some level of risk management through its effective use of position sizing, given no apparent margin calls. However, the high maximum drawdown signals potential risk management vulnerabilities that should be addressed:

  • Consider reducing leverage to minimize drawdowns.
  • Implement dynamic stop-loss mechanisms and position sizing adaptation according to market volatility.
  • Introduce diversification strategies to spread out risk.

Improvement Suggestions

Recommendations for enhancing the strategy’s performance and robustness include:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to achieve a better balance between returns and drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies.
  • Conduct backtesting across various market regimes to ensure consistent performance.
  • Integrate advanced risk management techniques such as adaptive leverage adjustments and stress testing.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, while the strategy demonstrates considerable returns, it faces challenges with handling risk due to substantial drawdowns. The high volatility indicates potential areas for volatility management enhancement. Continued testing and optimization are essential for improving the strategy's risk management and ensuring its practical application in real trading conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with caution. Prioritize reducing leverage to decrease drawdowns, enhance risk management strategies, and optimize components of the strategy for greater resilience in various market conditions before full-scale deployment.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%26.30%
202238.09%21.01%154.61%61.14%50.85%51.97%52.22%17.30%-2.46%7.04%17.50%4.41%
202319.42%2.30%-12.40%11.10%-6.27%18.63%5.65%-19.97%51.54%51.27%49.05%17.92%
202449.04%32.69%36.77%18.75%48.96%-17.05%40.53%10.32%31.14%-7.13%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

RUNE

Base Currency

437

Number of Trades

100.24%

Cumulative Returns

45.08%

Win Rate

2024-03-08

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-15.44%

30 Days

-81.66%

60 Days

-56.78%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit105667075.96105667.08103088263.88103088.262578812.092578.81
Gross Profit261816165.15261816.17203602451.05203602.4558213714.158213.71
Gross Loss156149089.19156149.09100514187.17100514.1955634902.0255634.9
Commission Paid12144811.358905262.043239549.31
Buy & Hold Return4020.464.02
Max Equity Run-up121507458.799.94
Max Drawdown12534711.0630.0
Max Contracts Held34178097.034178097.023403061.0
Total Closed Trades817.0428.0389.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades419.0228.0191.0
Number Losing Trades398.0200.0198.0
Percent Profitable51.2953.2749.1
Avg P&l129335.470.57240860.430.636629.340.51
Avg Winning Trade624859.583.37892993.213.15304783.843.63
Avg Losing Trade392334.392.37502570.942.24280984.352.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5931.7771.085
Largest Winning Trade13247909.8913247909.894406021.6
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.498.9210.49
Largest Losing Trade12534711.0612534711.063707880.55
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.366.036.36
Avg # Bars In Trades32.026.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.027.043.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.026.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.629
Sortino Ratio7.261
Profit Factor1.6772.0261.046
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit122488529.34122488.53167378336.28167378.34-44889806.94-44889.81
Gross Profit2292992294.872292992.291493189679.131493189.68799802615.74799802.62
Gross Loss2170503765.532170503.771325811342.861325811.34844692422.67844692.42
Commission Paid119186124.578054680.8441131443.66
Buy & Hold Return-75337.4-75.34
Max Equity Run-up382298720.0299.98
Max Drawdown252694529.4168.02
Max Contracts Held459479754.0446482269.0459479754.0
Total Closed Trades1250.0650.0600.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades613.0333.0280.0
Number Losing Trades637.0317.0320.0
Percent Profitable49.0451.2346.67
Avg P&l97990.820.41257505.130.48-74816.340.33
Avg Winning Trade3740607.333.434484053.093.162856437.913.76
Avg Losing Trade3407384.252.514182370.172.342639663.822.67
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0981.0721.082
Largest Winning Trade38090010.9938090010.9925021909.33
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.498.9210.49
Largest Losing Trade32689231.0632689231.0620018646.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.366.096.36
Avg # Bars In Trades30.026.035.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades31.026.038.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.026.032.0
Sharpe Ratio0.492
Sortino Ratio2.904
Profit Factor1.0561.1260.947
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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