Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [44707859]
🛡️ SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15MIN
@heisenbergx5
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.62
- Sortino Ratio: 6.11
- Calmar: -47.84
- Longest DD Days: 173.00
- Volatility: 81.13
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.91
- Expected Monthly: 21.05
- Expected Yearly: 889.68
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-15 02:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 532
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 510
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -47.84
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $310,047.49 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.619 |
Sortino Ratio | 6.111 |
Profit Factor | 1.336 |
Maximum Drawdown | -33.31% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 81.13% |
Percent Profitable | 51.06% |
The strategy demonstrates a solid performance with a positive net profit and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.619, indicating good risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of -33.31% falls within the acceptable range, and the win rate of 51.06% suggests effectiveness in trade execution. Volatility is relatively high at 81.13%, which indicates potential for optimization.
Strategy Viability
Based on the performance metrics, this strategy shows promise for real-world application, especially given the strong returns vis-à-vis the risk taken. It appears to be capable of navigating typical market conditions effectively, as demonstrated by its profitability and drawdown characteristics. The market conditions supporting such results should be further evaluated to ensure the strategy remains adept in diverse environments.
Risk Management
The strategy employs reasonable risk management, as evidenced by the controlled drawdown and positive profit factor (1.336). However, the associated high volatility suggests that there is potential for enhancing risk control measures further:
- Reduce leverage to further lower drawdown risk and smoothen the equity curve.
- Incorporate trailing stop-loss orders to lock in gains during favorable trends.
- Dynamic position sizing based on volatility metrics to adapt to prevailing risk assessments.
Improvement Suggestions
To boost the strategy’s efficiency and resilience, consider the following enhancement strategies:
- Optimize the existing parameters for improved returns while remaining within acceptable drawdown levels.
- Experiment with additional technical indicators or machine learning models to refine entry and exit strategies.
- Perform backtesting over different periods and market conditions for robustness validation.
- Incorporate stress testing and scenario analysis to understand strategy behavior under extreme conditions.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy offers strong potential with commendable profitability and adequate risk-adjusted returns. The drawdown is manageable, suggesting effective risk control, yet there's room for improvement in managing high volatility.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and refinement. Emphasize optimization strategies and a more adaptive risk management framework to accommodate varying market environments and leverage the strategy's existing strengths.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 49.04% | 32.69% | 36.77% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 19.42% | 2.30% | -12.40% | 11.10% | -6.27% | 18.63% | 5.65% | -19.97% | 51.54% | 51.27% | 49.05% | 17.92% |
2022 | 38.09% | 21.01% | 154.61% | 61.14% | 50.85% | 51.97% | 52.22% | 17.30% | -2.46% | 7.04% | 17.50% | 4.41% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26.30% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
229
Number of Trades
160.54%
Cumulative Returns
50.66%
Win Rate
2024-03-08
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
32.28%
30 Days
61.04%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 105,667,075.96 USD | 105,667.08 | 103,088,263.87 USD | 103,088.26 | 2,578,812.09 USD | 2,578.81 |
Gross Profit | 261,816,165.14 | 261,816.17 | 203,602,451.04 | 203,602.45 | 58,213,714.10 | 58,213.71 |
Gross Loss | 156,149,089.18 | 156,149.09 | 100,514,187.17 | 100,514.19 | 55,634,902.02 | 55,634.90 |
Max Run-up | 121,507,458.70 | 99.94 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 12,534,711.06 | 30.00 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 4,020.46 | 4.02 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.629 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 7.261 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.677 | 2.026 | 1.046 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 34,178,097 | 34,178,097 | 23,403,061 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 12,144,811.35 | 8,905,262.04 | 3,239,549.31 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 817 | 428 | 389 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 419 | 228 | 191 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 398 | 200 | 198 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.29 | 53.27 | 49.10 | |||
Avg Trade | 129,335.47 | 0.57 | 240,860.43 | 0.63 | 6,629.34 | 0.51 |
Avg Winning Trade | 624,859.58 | 3.37 | 892,993.21 | 3.15 | 304,783.84 | 3.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 392,334.39 | 2.37 | 502,570.94 | 2.24 | 280,984.35 | 2.51 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.593 | 1.777 | 1.085 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 13,247,909.89 | 10.49 | 13,247,909.89 | 8.92 | 4,406,021.60 | 10.49 |
Largest Losing Trade | 12,534,711.06 | 6.36 | 12,534,711.06 | 6.03 | 3,707,880.55 | 6.36 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 32 | 26 | 39 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 34 | 27 | 43 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 26 | 35 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 310,047,494.24 USD | 310,047.49 | 277,035,813.33 USD | 277,035.81 | 33,011,680.91 USD | 33,011.68 |
Gross Profit | 1,232,485,490.90 | 1,232,485.49 | 859,363,394.82 | 859,363.39 | 373,122,096.08 | 373,122.10 |
Gross Loss | 922,437,996.66 | 922,438.00 | 582,327,581.49 | 582,327.58 | 340,110,415.17 | 340,110.42 |
Max Run-up | 352,536,799.40 | 99.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 60,007,868.78 | 33.31 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −26,267.93 | −26.27 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.619 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 6.111 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.336 | 1.476 | 1.097 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 174,251,815 | 174,251,815 | 148,888,633 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 62,349,079.68 | 42,629,491.16 | 19,719,588.53 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1,042 | 543 | 499 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 532 | 290 | 242 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 510 | 253 | 257 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.06 | 53.41 | 48.50 | |||
Avg Trade | 297,550.38 | 0.53 | 510,194.87 | 0.61 | 66,155.67 | 0.44 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2,316,702.05 | 3.34 | 2,963,322.05 | 3.11 | 1,541,826.84 | 3.62 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1,808,701.95 | 2.41 | 2,301,690.05 | 2.27 | 1,323,386.83 | 2.56 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.281 | 1.287 | 1.165 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 29,434,660.03 | 10.49 | 29,434,660.03 | 8.92 | 17,218,379.86 | 10.49 |
Largest Losing Trade | 31,722,937.80 | 6.36 | 31,722,937.80 | 6.09 | 14,731,949.18 | 6.36 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 31 | 26 | 37 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 32 | 27 | 39 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 30 | 26 | 35 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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