Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [44707859]
🛡️ SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15MIN @heisenbergx5
CONFIRMATION BASED
15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.49
- Sortino Ratio: 2.90
- Calmar: -10.07
- Longest DD Days: 177.00
- Volatility: 82.82
- Skew: 0.39
- Kurtosis: -0.01
- Expected Daily: 0.71
- Expected Monthly: 16.10
- Expected Yearly: 499.56
- Kelly Criterion: 2.92
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.53
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.59
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 16:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 613
- Max Consecutive Losses: 11
- Number Losing Trades: 637
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -10.07
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.06
- Payoff Ratio: 1.10
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.06
- Tail Ratio: 1.47
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.50
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.39
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.20
- Serenity Index: 15,546.43
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics provide insight into the strategy's effectiveness:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 697.44% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 505.49% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.495 |
Profit Factor | 1.059 |
Maximum Drawdown | -68.02% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 82.82% |
The strategy shows robust cumulative returns and a satisfactory annualized return, with a reasonable Sharpe Ratio of 0.495, indicating nearly acceptable risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown of -68.02% is high, suggesting a significant risk level which needs addressing. The Profit Factor of 1.059 shows that the strategy generates more revenue than loss, but improvement is needed for higher profitability.
Strategy Viability
Based on the available data, while the strategy showcases strong returns, the elevated maximum drawdown raises concerns for real-world trading. The strategy underperforms in terms of drawdowns when compared to industry benchmarks. It is important to fine-tune the strategy to reduce drawdowns, ensuring viability under diverse market conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy indicates some level of risk management through its effective use of position sizing, given no apparent margin calls. However, the high maximum drawdown signals potential risk management vulnerabilities that should be addressed:
- Consider reducing leverage to minimize drawdowns.
- Implement dynamic stop-loss mechanisms and position sizing adaptation according to market volatility.
- Introduce diversification strategies to spread out risk.
Improvement Suggestions
Recommendations for enhancing the strategy’s performance and robustness include:
- Optimize strategy parameters to achieve a better balance between returns and drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies.
- Conduct backtesting across various market regimes to ensure consistent performance.
- Integrate advanced risk management techniques such as adaptive leverage adjustments and stress testing.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, while the strategy demonstrates considerable returns, it faces challenges with handling risk due to substantial drawdowns. The high volatility indicates potential areas for volatility management enhancement. Continued testing and optimization are essential for improving the strategy's risk management and ensuring its practical application in real trading conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with caution. Prioritize reducing leverage to decrease drawdowns, enhance risk management strategies, and optimize components of the strategy for greater resilience in various market conditions before full-scale deployment.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26.30% |
2022 | 38.09% | 21.01% | 154.61% | 61.14% | 50.85% | 51.97% | 52.22% | 17.30% | -2.46% | 7.04% | 17.50% | 4.41% |
2023 | 19.42% | 2.30% | -12.40% | 11.10% | -6.27% | 18.63% | 5.65% | -19.97% | 51.54% | 51.27% | 49.05% | 17.92% |
2024 | 49.04% | 32.69% | 36.77% | 18.75% | 48.96% | -17.05% | 40.53% | 10.32% | 31.14% | -7.13% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
437
Number of Trades
100.24%
Cumulative Returns
45.08%
Win Rate
2024-03-08
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-15.44%
30 Days
-81.66%
60 Days
-56.78%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 105667075.96 | 105667.08 | 103088263.88 | 103088.26 | 2578812.09 | 2578.81 |
Gross Profit | 261816165.15 | 261816.17 | 203602451.05 | 203602.45 | 58213714.1 | 58213.71 |
Gross Loss | 156149089.19 | 156149.09 | 100514187.17 | 100514.19 | 55634902.02 | 55634.9 |
Commission Paid | 12144811.35 | 8905262.04 | 3239549.31 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 4020.46 | 4.02 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 121507458.7 | 99.94 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 12534711.06 | 30.0 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 34178097.0 | 34178097.0 | 23403061.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 817.0 | 428.0 | 389.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 419.0 | 228.0 | 191.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 398.0 | 200.0 | 198.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.29 | 53.27 | 49.1 | |||
Avg P&l | 129335.47 | 0.57 | 240860.43 | 0.63 | 6629.34 | 0.51 |
Avg Winning Trade | 624859.58 | 3.37 | 892993.21 | 3.15 | 304783.84 | 3.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 392334.39 | 2.37 | 502570.94 | 2.24 | 280984.35 | 2.51 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.593 | 1.777 | 1.085 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 13247909.89 | 13247909.89 | 4406021.6 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.49 | 8.92 | 10.49 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 12534711.06 | 12534711.06 | 3707880.55 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.36 | 6.03 | 6.36 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 32.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 34.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.629 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 7.261 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.677 | 2.026 | 1.046 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 122488529.34 | 122488.53 | 167378336.28 | 167378.34 | -44889806.94 | -44889.81 |
Gross Profit | 2292992294.87 | 2292992.29 | 1493189679.13 | 1493189.68 | 799802615.74 | 799802.62 |
Gross Loss | 2170503765.53 | 2170503.77 | 1325811342.86 | 1325811.34 | 844692422.67 | 844692.42 |
Commission Paid | 119186124.5 | 78054680.84 | 41131443.66 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -75337.4 | -75.34 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 382298720.02 | 99.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 252694529.41 | 68.02 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 459479754.0 | 446482269.0 | 459479754.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1250.0 | 650.0 | 600.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 613.0 | 333.0 | 280.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 637.0 | 317.0 | 320.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.04 | 51.23 | 46.67 | |||
Avg P&l | 97990.82 | 0.41 | 257505.13 | 0.48 | -74816.34 | 0.33 |
Avg Winning Trade | 3740607.33 | 3.43 | 4484053.09 | 3.16 | 2856437.91 | 3.76 |
Avg Losing Trade | 3407384.25 | 2.51 | 4182370.17 | 2.34 | 2639663.82 | 2.67 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.098 | 1.072 | 1.082 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 38090010.99 | 38090010.99 | 25021909.33 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.49 | 8.92 | 10.49 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 32689231.06 | 32689231.06 | 20018646.13 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.36 | 6.09 | 6.36 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 30.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 31.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 29.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.492 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.904 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.056 | 1.126 | 0.947 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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