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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15min

  • Homepage
CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @heisenbergx5
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [44707859]

🛡️ SILENT SURGE RUNEUSDT 15MIN

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 11, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +7.37% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
149711.86%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
48.34%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
77.47%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.058
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
66341.32%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1446
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 6, 2021
1,462
Days
1446
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.46
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.51
  • Calmar: -6.73
  • Longest DD Days: 373.00
  • Volatility: 79.54
  • Skew: 0.42
  • Kurtosis: 0.11
  • Expected Daily: 0.64
  • Expected Monthly: 14.29
  • Expected Yearly: 396.68
  • Kelly Criterion: 2.63
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.30
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.27
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 14:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 699
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 747
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.73
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.06
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.13
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.06
  • Tail Ratio: 1.48
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.53
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.54
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.30
  • Serenity Index: 12,848.65

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+9,213.35%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+6,608.20%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+24,142.50%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+15,074.29%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+60,636.85%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+3.57%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+11.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+15.44%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+15.16%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+37.86%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
48.3%
Total Trades
1446
Cumulative
149,711.86%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
532.44%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+18.12%
+21.82%
Simple P&L
2022
+63.22%
+32.12%
Simple P&L
+37.44%
+4.23%
Simple P&L
+551.83%
+69.24%
Simple P&L
+572.81%
+40.09%
Simple P&L
+908.59%
+47.60%
Simple P&L
+900.31%
+37.37%
Simple P&L
+2,091.69%
+31.13%
Simple P&L
+816.70%
+19.23%
Simple P&L
-79.03%
+2.19%
Simple P&L
+234.22%
+3.19%
Simple P&L
+1,073.64%
+11.97%
Simple P&L
+241.76%
-0.49%
Simple P&L
2023
+1,322.07%
+4.52%
Simple P&L
-126.26%
+1.39%
Simple P&L
-695.74%
-2.08%
Simple P&L
+618.48%
+12.08%
Simple P&L
-500.30%
-2.89%
Simple P&L
+1,461.42%
+5.95%
Simple P&L
+467.08%
+8.58%
Simple P&L
-2,071.53%
-20.45%
Simple P&L
+5,038.33%
+25.93%
Simple P&L
+7,306.98%
+19.09%
Simple P&L
+10,473.34%
+20.71%
Simple P&L
+5,280.87%
+20.91%
Simple P&L
2024
+21,681.47%
+22.50%
Simple P&L
+22,694.44%
+13.30%
Simple P&L
+20,046.64%
+20.96%
Simple P&L
+16,917.28%
+15.69%
Simple P&L
+63,447.18%
+25.55%
Simple P&L
-28,221.36%
-8.26%
Simple P&L
+68,606.85%
+18.71%
Simple P&L
+6,801.47%
+11.85%
Simple P&L
+73,511.67%
+16.10%
Simple P&L
-35,969.09%
-14.63%
Simple P&L
+1,976.35%
-0.58%
Simple P&L
-45,306.00%
-4.61%
Simple P&L
2025
-22,241.18%
-1.34%
Simple P&L
+37,839.37%
+7.55%
Simple P&L
-45,765.39%
-6.85%
Simple P&L
-63,270.74%
-15.85%
Simple P&L
-38,547.64%
-12.00%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1446

Number of Trades

149711.86%

Cumulative Returns

48.34%

Win Rate

2024-03-08

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

11.98%

30 Days

15.16%

60 Days

15.44%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit106757886.93106757.89104084211.06104084.212673675.862673.68
Gross Profit263377427.15263377.43204877228.74204877.2358500198.4158500.2
Gross Loss156619540.23156619.54100793017.68100793.0255826522.5555826.52
Commission Paid12277418.339003320.363274097.97
Buy & Hold Return4020.464.02
Max Contracts Held3452835334528353.023695947.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration6 days
Avg Equity Run-up3170089.593170.09
Max Equity Run-up122753404.8499.94
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown1627721.521627.72
Max Drawdown12656253.1329.9
Total Closed Trades817.0428.0389.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades419.0228.0191.0
Number Losing Trades398.0200.0198.0
Percent Profitable51.2953.2749.1
Avg P&l130670.610.57243187.410.636873.20.51
Avg Winning Trade628585.753.35898584.343.14306283.763.62
Avg Losing Trade393516.432.35503965.092.22281952.132.48
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5971.7831.086
Largest Winning Trade13379515.9313379515.934452485.18
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.498.9110.49
Largest Losing Trade12656253.1312656253.133740469.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.366.026.36
Avg # Bars In Trades32.026.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.027.043.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.026.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.63
Sortino Ratio7.45
Profit Factor1.6822.0331.048
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit149711857.12149711.86168778588.61168778.59-19066731.5-19066.73
Gross Profit2723356733.932723356.731717991562.951717991.561005365170.981005365.17
Gross Loss2573644876.812573644.881549212974.341549212.971024431902.471024431.9
Commission Paid150607822.1695728130.654879691.56
Buy & Hold Return-90318.22-90.32
Max Contracts Held526314525508064806.0526314525.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration9 days
Avg Equity Run-up11886897.1111886.9
Max Equity Run-up386175863.7999.98
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration11 days
Avg Equity Drawdown12684770.5912684.77
Max Drawdown290752174.4377.47
Total Closed Trades1446.0732.0714.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades699.0367.0332.0
Number Losing Trades747.0365.0382.0
Percent Profitable48.3450.1446.5
Avg P&l103535.170.37230571.840.42-26704.110.31
Avg Winning Trade3896075.443.324681175.923.073028208.353.6
Avg Losing Trade3445307.732.44244419.112.242681758.912.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1311.1031.129
Largest Winning Trade38417065.0538417065.0525231903.18
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.498.9110.49
Largest Losing Trade32928165.0232928165.0220203676.92
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.366.086.36
Avg # Bars In Trades30.027.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades31.027.036.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.026.032.0
Sharpe Ratio0.459
Sortino Ratio2.511
Profit Factor1.0581.1090.981
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics are particularly noteworthy:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 149.71%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 521.16%
Sharpe Ratio 0.459
Profit Factor 1.06
Maximum Drawdown 77.47%
Volatility (Annualized) 79.54%

The strategy demonstrates a significant cumulative return of 149.71% and an impressive CAGR of 521.16%, indicating robust overall performance. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.459 is slightly below the threshold, highlighting room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 77.47% is concerning and suggests a need to refine risk management tactics.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data presented, the strategy shows potential in terms of absolute returns but exhibits significant vulnerabilities that must be addressed. The high maximum drawdown and suboptimal Sharpe ratio underline the necessity for enhancements. While current market conditions may have contributed to these trends, further analysis is required to ascertain the strategy's adaptability and sustainability.

Risk Management

The high maximum drawdown indicates that risk management protocols require optimization. The volatility is quite pronounced, thus suggesting potential areas for enhancement:

  • Consider reducing leverage to minimize drawdown risk.
  • Implement stricter stop-loss limits to safeguard against significant downturns.
  • Adopt dynamic position sizing to better cope with market fluctuations.

Improvement Suggestions

To strengthen the strategy's performance, consider these improvements:

  • Optimize the leverage settings to achieve a balance between risk and reward.
  • Explore additional indicators to refine trade entries and exits.
  • Pilot stress testing under diverse market scenarios to verify robustness.
  • Integrate more sophisticated risk management techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR).

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy has demonstrated strong returns but presents significant vulnerabilities in terms of drawdown and risk management. Improvements are necessary to bolster its risk-adjusted performance and ensure long-term viability in varying market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with a detailed refinement and optimization process. Focus on enhancing risk management protocols and validating strategy robustness under different market environments for improved resilience.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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