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mcginleytrend linkusdt 45m

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @a-dog
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f0bbac6f]

🛡️ MCGINLEYTREND LINKUSDT 45M

Trading Pair
LINK
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 8 hours ago
Total Return Primary
59436.33%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
65.11%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.537
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.56%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
321
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 3, 2020
1,924
Days
321
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 31, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-03 00:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.66
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.85
  • Calmar: -1.35
  • Longest DD Days: 62.00
  • Volatility: 42.28
  • Skew: 0.21
  • Kurtosis: 2.82
  • Expected Daily: 0.47
  • Expected Monthly: 10.28
  • Expected Yearly: 223.61
  • Kelly Criterion: 22.44
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.50
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.67
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-31 08:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 209
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 112
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.35
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.53
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.82
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.53
  • Tail Ratio: 1.45
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.28
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.10
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.08
  • Serenity Index: 9.03

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.66%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-2.44%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-1.17%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.75%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.78%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.27%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-4.37%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
65.1%
Total Trades
321
Cumulative
-2.83%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
304.53%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.40%
-0.01%
Simple P&L
+1.02%
+2.94%
Simple P&L
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
+8.34%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+3.46%
Simple P&L
+1.33%
+5.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.01%
+1.78%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
-3.56%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.05%
-4.05%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
+3.48%
Simple P&L
+1.91%
+6.44%
Simple P&L
2022
-0.91%
+2.48%
Simple P&L
+0.82%
+3.49%
Simple P&L
-2.23%
+8.41%
Simple P&L
+3.65%
+17.76%
Simple P&L
-1.80%
-0.23%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.24%
+13.38%
Simple P&L
-2.68%
+11.34%
Simple P&L
+0.76%
+7.08%
Simple P&L
-0.16%
+13.98%
Simple P&L
-2.12%
+12.78%
Simple P&L
+0.27%
+15.06%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.20%
-1.74%
Simple P&L
+3.10%
-0.79%
Simple P&L
-0.03%
+7.14%
Simple P&L
+1.60%
+18.21%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
-1.23%
Simple P&L
-1.52%
+20.04%
Simple P&L
+2.16%
+2.17%
Simple P&L
-1.90%
+18.23%
Simple P&L
+0.27%
+15.62%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+12.65%
Simple P&L
-2.74%
+0.15%
Simple P&L
-0.45%
+7.94%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.83%
+3.48%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
+9.70%
Simple P&L
-2.28%
-7.73%
Simple P&L
-3.36%
-4.93%
Simple P&L
+1.13%
+1.84%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
-3.83%
Simple P&L
-1.08%
+4.64%
Simple P&L
-1.66%
+2.26%
Simple P&L
-1.98%
+14.85%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
-5.09%
Simple P&L
+0.10%
+5.91%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.41%
+0.94%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.94%
+10.56%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+2.83%
Simple P&L
+2.76%
+9.29%
Simple P&L
-1.29%
+7.33%
Simple P&L
+1.79%
+9.39%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

321

Number of Trades

-2.83%

Cumulative Returns

65.11%

Win Rate

2024-01-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

2.75%

30 Days

1.27%

60 Days

2.78%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit53459.7510691.9540430.78086.1413029.052605.81
Gross Profit77642.2915528.4649798.669959.7327843.645568.73
Gross Loss24182.544836.519367.951873.5914814.592962.92
Expected Payoff307.24594.57122.92
Commission Paid3456.572045.271411.3
Buy & Hold Return148.4929.7
Buy & Hold % Gain29.7
Strategy Outperformance53311.26
Max Contracts Held1627516275.012718.0
Annualized Return (cagr)330.98295.37179.88
Return On Initial Capital10691.958086.142605.81
Account Size Required8231.03
Return On Account Size Required649.49491.2158.29
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)38 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3416.74683.35
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)16901.663380.33
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)57281.9599.15
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)11456.39
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)876.08175.22
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.494.911.58
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2060.87412.17
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)8231.0335.39
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1646.21
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss891.51960.24217.27
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit6.619.0818.44
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss24.822.0240.48
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades174.068.0106.0
Number Winning Trades123.051.072.0
Number Losing Trades51.017.034.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable70.6975.067.92
Avg P&l307.241.33594.571.68122.921.1
Avg Winning Trade631.243.15976.443.22386.723.1
Avg Losing Trade474.173.06551.062.95435.723.12
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3311.7720.888
Largest Winning Trade5135.714523.465135.71
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.085.015.08
Largest Losing Trade5996.62062.545996.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.933.933.69
Avg # Bars In Trades27.027.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades28.027.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.024.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.781
Sortino Ratio5.49
Profit Factor3.2115.3161.879
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit297181.6359436.33169703.8733940.77127477.7725495.55
Gross Profit850249.43170049.89518698.25103739.65331551.1966310.24
Gross Loss553067.8110613.56348994.3869798.88204073.4240814.68
Expected Payoff925.81203.57708.21
Commission Paid45714.0126445.019269.01
Buy & Hold Return-97.65-19.53
Buy & Hold % Gain-19.53
Strategy Outperformance297279.29
Max Contracts Held7320873208.072059.0
Annualized Return (cagr)233.38200.04184.34
Return On Initial Capital59436.3333940.7725495.55
Account Size Required112079.58
Return On Account Size Required265.15151.41113.74
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)34 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)16722.263344.45
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)145744.9529148.99
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)378179.2499.87
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)75635.85
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)33 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)12295.922459.18
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.651.511.14
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)105130.2621026.05
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)112079.5850.53
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)22415.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss695.7397.27702.23
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.487.356.76
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.7212.248.9
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades321.0141.0180.0
Number Winning Trades209.092.0117.0
Number Losing Trades112.049.063.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable65.1165.2565.0
Avg P&l925.80.951203.571.05708.210.87
Avg Winning Trade4068.183.135638.023.262833.773.03
Avg Losing Trade4938.113.127122.333.093239.263.15
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8240.7920.875
Largest Winning Trade38130.0838130.0822407.67
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.085.0115.08
Largest Losing Trade42717.1742717.1718153.37
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.714.713.7
Avg # Bars In Trades26.025.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades26.025.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.026.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.662
Sortino Ratio2.846
Profit Factor1.5371.4861.625
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, there are several performance metrics that provide valuable insights into the trading strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Result
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 234.7%
Sharpe Ratio 0.662
Profit Factor 1.537
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar %) -50.53%
Volatility 42.28%
Percent Profitable 65.11%

The strategy demonstrates a strong potential with an annualized return of 234.7% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.662, indicating solid risk-adjusted performance, especially for the volatile cryptocurrency markets. However, the maximum drawdown of -50.53% is a critical aspect for improvement, as it exceeds the ideal threshold of 40%.

Strategy Viability

Bearing in mind the provided data, the strategy shows substantial promise for real-world application, primarily due to its high annualized return and reasonable Sharpe ratio. The strategy performs especially well in trending markets, as suggested by the high percentage of profitable trades. It's crucial, however, to ensure these conditions continue as anticipated.

Risk Management

While the strategy presents satisfactory risk management with metrics like the gain/pain ratio of 1.53, the strategy could benefit from a more robust approach to controlling drawdowns. Possible enhancements include:

  • Reducing leverage to lower maximum drawdown.
  • Integrating stricter stop-loss parameters to protect capital during unfavorable market swings.
  • Applying dynamic risk management techniques such as volatility-based position sizing.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the effectiveness and resilience of the strategy, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leveraging settings to balance between maximizing returns and minimizing drawdown.
  • Diversify the range of indicators to refine entry and exit signals, thereby increasing robustness.
  • Conduct robust back-tests across varying market conditions to validate the stability of results.
  • Continuously monitor and adapt to shifting market conditions for sustained outperformance.

Final Opinion

In summary, this trading strategy shows remarkable capacity for high returns and boasts a commendable risk-adjusted performance in crypto markets. Nevertheless, attention should be given to refining risk controls to mitigate the relatively high maximum drawdown. Overall, the strategy holds promise with recommended optimizations.

Recommendation: Proceed with cautious optimism and focus on enhancing risk management features. Pursue further testing and adapt the strategy to better handle market volatility, thus ensuring long-term stability and profitability.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
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Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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