🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f0bbac6f]
🛡️ MCGINLEYTREND LINKUSDT 45M @a-dog
TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 6 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-11-03 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.65
- Sortino Ratio: 2.98
- Calmar: -0.99
- Longest DD Days: 62.00
- Volatility: 23.05
- Skew: 0.55
- Kurtosis: 2.29
- Expected Daily: 0.29
- Expected Monthly: 6.26
- Expected Yearly: 107.33
- Kelly Criterion: 28.64
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.03
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.86
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-09 06:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 171
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 92
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.99
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.79
- Payoff Ratio: 0.96
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.79
- Tail Ratio: 1.47
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.14
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.53
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 4.15
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, the following key performance metrics stand out:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 21543.9% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 17.57% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.648 |
Profit Factor | 1.849 |
Maximum Drawdown | 52.54% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 23.05% |
The strategy delivers a robust net profit with a cumulative return of 21543.9%. The annualized return of 17.57% is notable, and the Sharpe Ratio of 0.648 indicates good risk-adjusted performance, acceptable for the crypto market context. However, the maximum drawdown of 52.54% is higher than the desired threshold, which presents a potential area for improvement.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, this strategy exhibits strong potential for real-world trading, particularly in markets with high volatility as common in cryptocurrency. The good Sharpe Ratio and high percent of winning trades (65.02%) affirm its profitability. However, the elevated maximum drawdown suggests caution and highlights the need for robust risk management strategies in volatile conditions. Attention should be given to ensuring these performance metrics remain positive amidst likely persistence of similar market conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy involves effective measures indicated by zero margin calls and a healthy Gain/Pain Ratio (1.79). Nonetheless, improvements can be made to manage drawdowns better:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown to an acceptable level below 40%.
- Implement tighter stop-loss mechanisms to curtail significant losses.
- Explore diversification across a variety of crypto assets to lessen unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the performance and robustness of the strategy, consider these recommendations:
- Refine strategy parameters to enhance return while balancing exposure and drawdown.
- Integrate additional indicators that might improve trade precision and timing.
- Conduct thorough out-of-sample testing to confirm the strategy's effectiveness across different market environments.
- Utilize more sophisticated risk management tactics, such as implementing VaR-based adjustments and stress testing frameworks.
Final Opinion
In summary, this trading strategy demonstrates excellent profit potential with commendable returns and satisfying risk-adjusted metrics, albeit the high drawdown marks a considerable caveat. While it capitalizes effectively on market trends, optimizing and strengthening risk management practices, especially in terms of drawdown reduction, is vital for long-term stability and success.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy while dedicating efforts to further testing and optimization. Enhance the risk management framework to mitigate potential drawdowns and adapt to the fast-evolving crypto market dynamics for sustained performance.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | 10.38% |
2021 | 0.00% | 11.82% | 4.86% | 5.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.03% | -4.98% | 0.00% | -11.70% | 12.34% | 9.12% |
2022 | 7.57% | 4.92% | 12.66% | 30.06% | 5.56% | 0.00% | 29.53% | 16.86% | 16.19% | 38.26% | 22.45% | 25.52% |
2023 | 4.83% | 9.08% | 10.22% | 44.73% | -7.70% | 30.43% | 7.78% | 29.11% | 61.08% | 36.09% | 0.24% | 11.01% |
2024 | -6.22% | 4.63% | -9.17% | -16.71% | -9.20% | -5.12% | 4.78% | 15.86% | 29.92% | -2.38% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
LINK
Base Currency
90
Number of Trades
106.32%
Cumulative Returns
55.56%
Win Rate
2024-01-03
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
56.46%
30 Days
137.74%
60 Days
78.83%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 48235.5 | 9647.1 | 36188.1 | 7237.62 | 12047.4 | 2409.48 |
Gross Profit | 70027.78 | 14005.56 | 44670.27 | 8934.05 | 25357.51 | 5071.5 |
Gross Loss | 21792.28 | 4358.46 | 8482.17 | 1696.43 | 13310.11 | 2662.02 |
Commission Paid | 2496.02 | 1475.34 | 1020.68 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 148.49 | 29.7 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 51654.12 | 99.06 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 7390.1 | 35.12 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 14649.0 | 14649.0 | 11476.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 174.0 | 68.0 | 106.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 122.0 | 50.0 | 72.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 52.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 70.11 | 73.53 | 67.92 | |||
Avg P&l | 277.22 | 1.29 | 532.18 | 1.55 | 113.65 | 1.12 |
Avg Winning Trade | 574.0 | 3.14 | 893.41 | 3.17 | 352.19 | 3.12 |
Avg Losing Trade | 419.08 | 3.05 | 471.23 | 2.95 | 391.47 | 3.1 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.37 | 1.896 | 0.9 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 4659.75 | 4095.48 | 4659.75 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 15.1 | 4.64 | 15.1 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 5378.96 | 1845.74 | 5378.96 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.91 | 3.91 | 3.67 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 25.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 27.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 26.0 | 26.0 | 26.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.759 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 5.472 | |||||
Profit Factor | 3.213 | 5.266 | 1.905 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 107719.51 | 21543.9 | 74406.98 | 14881.4 | 33312.52 | 6662.5 |
Gross Profit | 234607.99 | 46921.6 | 139036.78 | 27807.36 | 95571.21 | 19114.24 |
Gross Loss | 126888.48 | 25377.7 | 64629.79 | 12925.96 | 62258.69 | 12451.74 |
Commission Paid | 9303.38 | 5073.62 | 4229.76 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 210.92 | 42.18 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 107834.39 | 99.55 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 28037.99 | 52.54 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 19409.0 | 19409.0 | 19250.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 263.0 | 112.0 | 151.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 171.0 | 74.0 | 97.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 92.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 65.02 | 66.07 | 64.24 | |||
Avg P&l | 409.58 | 0.96 | 664.35 | 1.07 | 220.61 | 0.87 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1371.98 | 3.15 | 1878.88 | 3.2 | 985.27 | 3.11 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1379.22 | 3.11 | 1700.78 | 3.07 | 1152.94 | 3.14 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.995 | 1.105 | 0.855 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 11440.27 | 11440.27 | 6974.12 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 15.1 | 4.64 | 15.1 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 6261.27 | 6261.27 | 5378.96 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.91 | 3.91 | 3.68 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 26.0 | 25.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 26.0 | 24.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 26.0 | 28.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.648 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.975 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.849 | 2.151 | 1.535 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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