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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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    • Documentation
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mcginleytrend linkusdt 45m

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @a-dog
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f0bbac6f]

🛡️ MCGINLEYTREND LINKUSDT 45M

Trading Pair
LINK
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 25 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
50150.56%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
65.74%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
52.54%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
2.339
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
14833.4%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
289
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 3, 2020
1,762
Days
289
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 10, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-03 00:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.67
  • Sortino Ratio: 3.38
  • Calmar: -2.74
  • Longest DD Days: 62.00
  • Volatility: 77.66
  • Skew: 0.00
  • Kurtosis: -0.08
  • Expected Daily: 1.49
  • Expected Monthly: 36.48
  • Expected Yearly: 4,078.27
  • Kelly Criterion: 37.37
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.45
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.85
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-10 04:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 190
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 99
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.74
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 2.32
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.21
  • Common Sense Ratio: 2.32
  • Tail Ratio: 1.59
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.66
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.80
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.14
  • Serenity Index: 157.23

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.05%10.38%
20210.00%11.82%4.86%5.28%0.00%0.00%7.03%-4.98%0.00%-11.70%12.34%9.12%
20227.57%4.92%12.66%30.06%5.56%0.00%29.53%16.86%16.19%38.26%22.45%25.52%
20234.83%9.08%10.22%44.73%-7.70%30.43%7.78%29.11%61.08%36.09%0.24%11.01%
2024-6.22%4.63%-9.17%-16.71%-9.20%-5.12%4.78%15.86%29.92%-2.38%19.69%0.00%
20251.41%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

116

Number of Trades

198.6%

Cumulative Returns

59.48%

Win Rate

2024-01-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

50.34%

30 Days

169.19%

60 Days

89.21%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-17829.68-0.5
Net Profit3531716.1435317.161974672.1419746.721557044.0115570.44
Gross Profit7282094.7372820.954183484.2641834.843098610.4730986.1
Gross Loss3750378.5937503.792208812.1322088.121541566.4615415.66
Commission Paid284424.86162515.78121909.09
Buy & Hold Return6817.5668.18
Max Equity Run-up3659655.9499.73
Max Drawdown560763.5952.54
Max Contracts Held605855.0605855.0450360.0
Total Closed Trades286.0123.0163.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades187.080.0107.0
Number Losing Trades99.043.056.0
Percent Profitable65.3865.0465.64
Avg P&l12348.660.9816054.251.09552.420.97
Avg Winning Trade38941.683.1552293.553.228958.983.12
Avg Losing Trade37882.613.1151367.723.0827527.973.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0281.0181.052
Largest Winning Trade333305.67333305.67152431.65
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.14.6415.1
Largest Losing Trade365618.57365618.57182552.65
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.913.913.68
Avg # Bars In Trades26.024.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.023.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.026.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.68
Sortino Ratio3.143
Profit Factor1.9421.8942.01
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit5015056.3650150.563458012.3634580.121557044.0115570.44
Gross Profit8761047.1987610.475662436.7256624.373098610.4730986.1
Gross Loss3745990.8237459.912204424.3622044.241541566.4615415.66
Commission Paid310287.0188377.92121909.09
Buy & Hold Return11631.83116.32
Max Equity Run-up5015216.7899.8
Max Drawdown560763.5952.54
Max Contracts Held642267.0642267.0450360.0
Total Closed Trades289.0126.0163.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades190.083.0107.0
Number Losing Trades99.043.056.0
Percent Profitable65.7465.8765.64
Avg P&l17353.141.0227444.541.079552.420.97
Avg Winning Trade46110.773.1768222.133.2328958.983.12
Avg Losing Trade37838.293.1151265.683.0827527.973.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2191.3311.052
Largest Winning Trade559216.83559216.83152431.65
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.14.6415.1
Largest Losing Trade365618.57365618.57182552.65
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.913.913.68
Avg # Bars In Trades25.024.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.023.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.026.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.671
Sortino Ratio3.376
Profit Factor2.3392.5692.01
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 50150.56%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 128.15%
Sharpe Ratio 0.671
Profit Factor 2.339
Maximum Drawdown -52.54%
Volatility (Annualized) 77.66%

The strategy displays robust returns with a cumulative gain of over 50150.56% and a solid annualized return of 128.15%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.671 indicates a commendable risk-adjusted performance, especially in the volatile crypto markets where a score above 0.5 is considered good. With a promising Profit Factor of 2.339, this strategy earns significantly more than it loses. However, a maximum drawdown of -52.54% poses a potential area to address, surpassing the optimal threshold for drawdown.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy is viable for real-world trading but requires monitoring, especially regarding drawdown management. The strategy capitalizes on the crypto market’s intrinsic volatility, achieving outstanding cumulative returns. However, the maximum drawdown should be carefully managed to prevent significant setbacks in less favorable market conditions. The robust performance in terms of both return and risk-adjusted metrics suggests a sustainable approach if the appropriate risk management strategies are incorporated.

Risk Management

The strategy employs decent risk management techniques but faces challenges in controlling drawdowns given the high value of -52.54%. Enhancements could include:

  • Reducing leverage to effectively minimize the impact of drawdowns.
  • Implementing stop-loss mechanisms to automatically cap potential losses per trade.
  • Applying a dynamic risk management framework that better adapts to market volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Adjust leverage to help bring the drawdown within more acceptable limits, ideally under 40%.
  • Incorporate a broader range of technical indicators and trend-following mechanisms to refine entry and exit points.
  • Perform rigorous out-of-sample and forward testing to confirm the strategy’s capabilities under varying market dynamics.
  • Enhance analytics-driven decision-making with periodic recalibration of strategy parameters.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates exceptional cumulative and annualized returns with good risk-adjusted metrics as indicated by the Sharpe ratio and profit factor. However, attention to managing the large drawdown is crucial. The strategy’s foundations are strong, but further calibration is needed to enhance its robustness and adaptability in fluctuating market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications primarily focused on robust risk management and leverage optimization. Further testing and strategy enhancement should concentrate on reducing drawdown and maintaining competitive returns.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

Open Live ChartView on TradingView

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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To copy other members charts, is simple:

  • A new window in TradingView will of opened.
  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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