Top & Bottom by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e461d687]
🛡️ 77 TOPBOTTOM ETHUSDT 45M 17.12.2024
@zagzag
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2019-12-01 17:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
- Sortino Ratio: 0.98
- Calmar: -1.33
- Longest DD Days: 72.00
- Volatility: 2.04
- Skew: 1.34
- Kurtosis: 8.30
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.26
- Expected Yearly: 3.19
- Kelly Criterion: 16.67
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.17
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.27
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-06 22:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 388
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 315
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.33
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.43
- Payoff Ratio: 1.16
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.43
- Tail Ratio: 1.16
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.62
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.38
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 6.24
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1363.63% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 1.66% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 |
Profit Factor | 1.43 |
Maximum Drawdown | -36.03% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 2.04% |
The strategy showcases a significant cumulative return of 1363.63%, and a moderate annualized return of 1.66%. However, the Sharpe Ratio, at 0.43, while below the preferred threshold for this asset class, is not far off. The Profit Factor of 1.43 is decent, indicating a profitable strategy overall, as it suggests that for every $1 lost, about $1.43 is gained. The maximum drawdown of -36.03% suggests possible room for improvement in risk management but still remains within the acceptable range for crypto trading.
Strategy Viability
Given the data provided, the strategy appears to be viable but requires further refinement before real-world deployment. The performance is promising with an above-average win rate of 55.19% and a maximum drawdown within acceptable limits. However, optimizing risk-adjusted returns could enhance the strategy's robustness further, especially by observing its performance in prevailing market conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy benefits from a good Gain/Pain Ratio and no margin calls, indicating effective allocation and loss control mechanisms. Potential areas to improve risk management include:
- Reducing leverage use, which could help decrease the high drawdown levels.
- Introducing tighter stop-loss algorithms to minimize losses during downturns.
- Including dynamic position sizing to adjust risk exposure inline with volatility changes.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and stability, consider the following:
- Refine and optimize the parameters, particularly those affecting the Sharpe Ratio, to achieve more consistent risk-adjusted returns.
- Integrate additional technical indicators to improve trade precision and timing.
- Conduct out-of-sample testing and backtesting during different market scenarios to confirm the strategy's adaptability and robustness.
- Reassess the leverage levels and their impact on both return and risk metrics.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases promise with strong cumulative returns and a reasonable approach to risk management. While the Sharpe Ratio and drawdown figures suggest a need for adjustment, there's substantial potential for improvement through focused testing and optimization.
Recommendation: It would be prudent to proceed with further refinements and testing. Emphasizing enhancement in both strategy robustness and risk management will position this strategy for potential real-world trading success.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.87% |
2020 | 6.27% | 18.43% | 9.18% | 27.82% | 16.08% | -20.56% | -4.92% | 4.36% | 7.17% | 5.04% | 4.24% | 24.50% |
2021 | 5.55% | -0.07% | 5.62% | -12.74% | 7.15% | 4.21% | -3.96% | -10.27% | 13.30% | 14.08% | 3.12% | -13.52% |
2022 | -11.13% | 5.60% | 14.76% | -9.30% | 8.48% | 19.81% | 7.66% | -4.83% | 2.45% | -8.13% | 4.34% | 0.20% |
2023 | 10.92% | 21.91% | 21.70% | 8.48% | -5.76% | 6.35% | -2.70% | 15.31% | -0.78% | 4.49% | 2.79% | 4.41% |
2024 | 0.29% | 24.10% | 1.89% | 12.67% | 0.69% | -12.09% | 22.11% | 22.73% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
30
Number of Trades
2.49%
Cumulative Returns
56.67%
Win Rate
2024-12-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-4.96%
30 Days
12.22%
60 Days
2.5%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 8551.76 | 1284.05 | 6903.8 | 1036.61 | 1647.96 | 247.44 |
Gross Profit | 28566.37 | 4289.24 | 18678.14 | 2804.53 | 9888.23 | 1484.72 |
Gross Loss | 20014.61 | 3005.2 | 11774.34 | 1767.92 | 8240.27 | 1237.28 |
Commission Paid | 2586.81 | 1705.47 | 881.34 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 17197.82 | 2582.26 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 10184.03 | 94.4 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1568.27 | 36.03 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 16.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 675.0 | 384.0 | 291.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 372.0 | 226.0 | 146.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 303.0 | 158.0 | 145.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.11 | 58.85 | 50.17 | |||
Avg P&l | 12.67 | 0.86 | 17.98 | 0.92 | 5.66 | 0.78 |
Avg Winning Trade | 76.79 | 2.93 | 82.65 | 2.75 | 67.73 | 3.22 |
Avg Losing Trade | 66.05 | 1.68 | 74.52 | 1.7 | 56.83 | 1.67 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.163 | 1.109 | 1.192 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 829.04 | 829.04 | 594.07 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 14.76 | 10.92 | 14.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 489.3 | 489.3 | 444.97 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.34 | 7.34 | 5.78 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 15.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.439 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.991 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.427 | 1.586 | 1.2 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 9081.79 | 1363.63 | 6471.92 | 971.76 | 2609.87 | 391.87 |
Gross Profit | 31664.03 | 4754.36 | 19752.26 | 2965.81 | 11911.76 | 1788.55 |
Gross Loss | 22582.24 | 3390.73 | 13280.35 | 1994.05 | 9301.89 | 1396.68 |
Commission Paid | 2844.99 | 1894.18 | 950.81 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 8687.1 | 1304.37 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 10184.03 | 94.4 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1568.27 | 36.03 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 16.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 703.0 | 396.0 | 307.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 388.0 | 232.0 | 156.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 315.0 | 164.0 | 151.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.19 | 58.59 | 50.81 | |||
Avg P&l | 12.92 | 0.88 | 16.34 | 0.89 | 8.5 | 0.88 |
Avg Winning Trade | 81.61 | 2.97 | 85.14 | 2.71 | 76.36 | 3.36 |
Avg Losing Trade | 71.69 | 1.69 | 80.98 | 1.69 | 61.6 | 1.69 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.138 | 1.051 | 1.24 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 829.04 | 829.04 | 594.07 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 14.76 | 10.92 | 14.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 491.3 | 491.3 | 444.97 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.34 | 7.34 | 5.78 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 15.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.975 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.402 | 1.487 | 1.281 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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