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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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zagzag77 topbottom ethusdt 45m 17.12.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @zagzag
● Live

Top & Bottom by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e461d687]

🛡️ 77 TOPBOTTOM ETHUSDT 45M 17.12.2024

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +13.42% Updated 2 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1491.78%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
54.92%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.394
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
207.73%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
732
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 1, 2019
2,053
Days
732
Trades
Last Trade
Jul 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-12-01 17:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.97
  • Calmar: -1.35
  • Longest DD Days: 72.00
  • Volatility: 2.19
  • Skew: 1.37
  • Kurtosis: 8.04
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.27
  • Expected Yearly: 3.30
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.52
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.19
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.29
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-07-11 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 402
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 330
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.35
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.43
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.17
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.43
  • Tail Ratio: 1.18
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.75
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.12
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 6.11

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20190.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-0.87%
20206.27%18.43%9.18%27.82%16.08%-20.56%-4.92%4.36%7.17%5.04%4.24%24.50%
20215.55%-0.07%5.62%-12.74%7.15%4.21%-3.96%-10.27%13.30%14.08%3.12%-13.52%
2022-11.13%5.60%14.76%-9.30%8.48%19.81%7.66%-4.83%2.45%-8.13%4.34%0.20%
202310.92%21.91%21.70%8.48%-5.76%6.35%-2.70%15.31%-0.78%4.49%2.79%4.41%
20240.29%24.10%1.89%12.67%0.69%-12.09%22.11%22.73%-3.51%2.64%5.54%-4.22%
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

60

Number of Trades

11%

Cumulative Returns

51.67%

Win Rate

2024-12-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

11.45%

30 Days

73.44%

60 Days

3.21%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit8551.761284.056903.81036.611647.96247.44
Gross Profit28566.374289.2418678.142804.539888.231484.72
Gross Loss20014.613005.211774.341767.928240.271237.28
Commission Paid2586.811705.47881.34
Buy & Hold Return17197.822582.26
Max Equity Run-up10184.0394.4
Max Drawdown1568.2736.03
Max Contracts Held16.016.012.0
Total Closed Trades675.0384.0291.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades372.0226.0146.0
Number Losing Trades303.0158.0145.0
Percent Profitable55.1158.8550.17
Avg P&l12.670.8617.980.925.660.78
Avg Winning Trade76.792.9382.652.7567.733.22
Avg Losing Trade66.051.6874.521.756.831.67
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1631.1091.192
Largest Winning Trade829.04829.04594.07
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.7610.9214.76
Largest Losing Trade489.3489.3444.97
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.347.345.78
Avg # Bars In Trades15.016.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.019.017.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades12.012.012.0
Sharpe Ratio0.439
Sortino Ratio0.991
Profit Factor1.4271.5861.2
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-126.99-1.2
Net Profit9935.241491.786867.171031.113068.07460.67
Gross Profit35179.25282.1621503.673228.7813675.532053.38
Gross Loss25243.963790.3814636.52197.6710607.461592.71
Commission Paid3104.482011.971092.51
Buy & Hold Return12526.071880.79
Max Equity Run-up10184.0394.4
Max Drawdown1568.2736.03
Max Contracts Held16.016.012.0
Total Closed Trades732.0406.0326.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades402.0238.0164.0
Number Losing Trades330.0168.0162.0
Percent Profitable54.9258.6250.31
Avg P&l13.570.9116.910.929.410.91
Avg Winning Trade87.513.0490.352.7683.393.44
Avg Losing Trade76.51.6887.121.765.481.66
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1441.0371.274
Largest Winning Trade904.62904.62633.44
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.7610.9214.76
Largest Losing Trade491.3491.3444.97
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.347.345.78
Avg # Bars In Trades16.016.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.019.018.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades12.012.012.0
Sharpe Ratio0.422
Sortino Ratio0.966
Profit Factor1.3941.4691.289
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1491.78%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 1.68%
Sharpe Ratio 0.422
Profit Factor 1.394
Maximum Drawdown 36.03%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.19%

The strategy demonstrates a remarkable cumulative return of 1491.78%, though the annualized return is modest at 1.68%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.422 is slightly below the typical threshold of 0.5, indicating room for improvement. However, the maximum drawdown of 36.03% remains comfortably below the critical 40% level, suggesting good risk control.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially considering its impressive cumulative gain. The performance metrics suggest that the strategy is robust under the current market conditions. Nonetheless, the slightly underwhelming Sharpe ratio prompts consideration of adjustments to enhance risk-adjusted returns.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management appears solid as indicated by a maximum drawdown of 36.03%, which aligns well with acceptable levels. However, some improvements could be made to refine risk management further, such as:

  • Reducing leverage to lower the maximum drawdown, thereby enhancing sustainability during volatile periods.
  • Enhancing position sizing techniques to stabilize exposure across various trades.
  • Continuing to employ zero margin calls, illustrating good margin management practices.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize trading parameters to boost the Sharpe ratio closer to or above 0.5, improving risk-adjusted returns.
  • Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies, potentially increasing profitability.
  • Conduct further stress testing under diverse market scenarios to validate long-term strategy robustness.
  • Focus on reducing drawdown using strategic leverage adjustments and volatility-based position sizing mechanisms.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates substantial potential, with impressive cumulative returns and tolerable drawdown levels. However, improvements are warranted to optimize risk-adjusted performance, as suggested by the Sharpe ratio. By focusing on parameter optimization and risk management, the strategy can enhance its overall effectiveness.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and robust testing of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to refine risk management and adjust parameters, thereby enhancing returns and strategy resilience in various market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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