🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [57515e8c]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZL XLMUSDT 1H 28.05 @ykot90
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-09-19 12:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.51
- Sortino Ratio: 1.21
- Calmar: -0.44
- Longest DD Days: 14.00
- Volatility: 1.01
- Skew: -0.07
- Kurtosis: 3.31
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.15
- Expected Yearly: 1.77
- Kelly Criterion: 15.94
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.08
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.13
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-06 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 15
- Number Winning Trades 100
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 66
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.44
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.36
- Payoff Ratio: 0.90
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.36
- Tail Ratio: 1.63
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.66
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.41
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.52
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1163.38% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 32.00% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.511 |
Profit Factor | 1.368 |
Maximum Drawdown | -39.23% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 101% |
The strategy exhibits a cumulative gain of 1163.38% and an annualized return of 32.00%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.511 meets the standard for satisfactory risk-adjusted returns, particularly within the context of crypto trading. A profit factor above 1 indicates that the strategy is profitable; however, the maximum drawdown of -39.23% borders the acceptable threshold, highlighting potential vulnerability during market downturns.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading under current crypto market conditions. It achieves a good balance between returns and risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown, although close to the limit, suggests some risk of significant equity decline but is manageable. The overall performance is promising, especially regarding consistency in maintaining profitability with a win rate of 60.24%.
Risk Management
The strategy exhibits adequate risk management practices, given the lack of margin calls and a reasonable gain/pain ratio of 1.36. However, there is potential to enhance volatility management, given the high annualized volatility of 101%. Suggestions for improvement include:
- Redefining leverage usage to maintain the maximum drawdown comfortably below 40%.
- Increasing the robustness of position sizing strategies to adapt to varying market conditions.
- Incorporating additional stop-loss measures for improving capital protection.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Fine-tune strategy parameters to boost returns while keeping the maximum drawdown in check.
- Integrate a more diverse range of technical indicators to optimize entry and exit strategies.
- Conduct rigorous backtesting and out-of-sample testing to confirm the strategy's effectiveness across different market periods.
- Utilize advanced risk management tools such as stress testing and scenario analysis to better prepare the strategy for extreme market conditions.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates solid potential with substantial cumulative returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. Despite the elevated volatility and drawdown levels, risk management and strategic adjustments can bolster the strategy's robustness and performance.
Recommendation: Proceed with cautious confidence, focusing on further refining the strategy's parameters, reviewing leverage applications, and reinforcing risk management elements to harness market opportunities more effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.32% | 11.92% | 22.26% | 6.43% |
2022 | 2.60% | 25.00% | 14.53% | 25.07% | 0.00% | 10.37% | -18.63% | 12.04% | 15.55% | 14.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 23.56% | 15.20% | 8.31% | 1.18% | 1.81% | 14.07% | -7.56% | 27.13% | -4.69% | 6.85% | 19.58% | 13.14% |
2024 | -9.42% | 12.48% | -3.14% | 32.63% | 5.01% | -0.09% | 3.62% | -2.55% | 14.12% | -11.63% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
XLM
Base Currency
42
Number of Trades
-29.26%
Cumulative Returns
40.48%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-7.82%
30 Days
-15.64%
60 Days
-21.56%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1635.1 | 1635.1 | 809.74 | 809.74 | 825.36 | 825.36 |
Gross Profit | 2897.78 | 2897.78 | 1271.41 | 1271.41 | 1626.37 | 1626.37 |
Gross Loss | 1262.68 | 1262.68 | 461.67 | 461.67 | 801.01 | 801.01 |
Commission Paid | 164.58 | 69.67 | 94.91 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -66.48 | -66.48 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1822.57 | 94.81 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 251.36 | 20.67 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 88755.0 | 88755.0 | 61278.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 125.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 83.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 42.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 66.4 | 72.0 | 62.67 | |||
Avg P&l | 13.08 | 0.87 | 16.19 | 1.02 | 11.0 | 0.76 |
Avg Winning Trade | 34.91 | 2.22 | 35.32 | 2.18 | 34.6 | 2.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 30.06 | 1.81 | 32.98 | 1.96 | 28.61 | 1.73 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.161 | 1.071 | 1.21 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 219.23 | 219.23 | 215.25 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.55 | 2.79 | 8.55 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 84.27 | 84.27 | 80.5 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.04 | 4.04 | 3.06 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 13.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 13.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.794 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.414 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.295 | 2.754 | 2.03 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1163.38 | 1163.38 | 858.8 | 858.8 | 304.58 | 304.58 |
Gross Profit | 4323.67 | 4323.67 | 1971.72 | 1971.72 | 2351.95 | 2351.95 |
Gross Loss | 3160.29 | 3160.29 | 1112.92 | 1112.92 | 2047.37 | 2047.37 |
Commission Paid | 311.33 | 134.17 | 177.16 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -12.29 | -12.29 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2073.1 | 95.41 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 805.28 | 39.23 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 129806.0 | 129806.0 | 128180.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 166.0 | 65.0 | 101.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 100.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 66.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.24 | 67.69 | 55.45 | |||
Avg P&l | 7.01 | 0.58 | 13.21 | 0.85 | 3.02 | 0.4 |
Avg Winning Trade | 43.24 | 2.17 | 44.81 | 2.13 | 42.0 | 2.21 |
Avg Losing Trade | 47.88 | 1.84 | 53.0 | 1.81 | 45.5 | 1.85 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.903 | 0.846 | 0.923 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 219.23 | 219.23 | 215.25 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.55 | 2.79 | 8.55 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 265.58 | 265.58 | 219.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.9 | 4.04 | 5.9 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 13.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 13.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 12.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.511 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.205 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.368 | 1.772 | 1.149 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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