🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [57515e8c]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZL XLMUSDT 1H 28.05
@ykot90
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-09-19 12:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.74
- Sortino Ratio: 2.32
- Calmar: -3.18
- Longest DD Days: 12.00
- Volatility: 0.87
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.26
- Expected Yearly: 3.17
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-10 12:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 95
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 56
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.18
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics highlight the strategy's strengths:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1881.29% |
Annualized Return (Expected Yearly %) | 316.68% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.742 |
Profit Factor | 1.904 |
Maximum Drawdown | -20.67% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 86.75% |
The strategy exhibits substantial returns with a cumulative gain of 1881.29% and an expected annual return of 316.68%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.742 suggests strong risk-adjusted returns, effectively above the 0.5 threshold considered good for crypto markets. A Profit Factor of 1.904 indicates a healthy profit generation capability for the risk taken. The maximum drawdown of -20.67% is an encouraging indication of disciplined risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading. It outperforms typical benchmarks considering the significant return over a three-year period. Its ability to maintain a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 reinforces its effectiveness. It achieves a promising win rate of 62.91%, indicating consistency. Nonetheless, closer attention to market conditions that enhance performance is warranted to ensure strategic alignment with future developments.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management is commendable, evident from its controlled maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. However, the elevated volatility (86.75%) suggests potential improvements, such as:
- Optimizing position sizing to mitigate exposure amidst heightened market volatility.
- Introducing more refined stop-loss strategies to better protect profits.
- Diversifying assets to minimize idiosyncratic risks impacting the portfolio negatively.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s efficiency, consider the following enhancements:
- Adjusting leverage to reduce volatility impact and further decrease maximum drawdown.
- Incorporating additional technical and sentiment indicators for more precise entry and exit decisions.
- Conducting rigorous out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate the strategy’s consistency across varied market conditions.
- Refining the risk management framework with advanced techniques such as stress testing and variance-covariance analysis.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy displays strong performance with impressive returns and good risk-adjusted metrics. The moderate drawdown and strategic risk management indicate its robustness. High volatility, although expected in crypto markets, presents a space for improvement. Tailoring leverage and expanding risk controls can potentially enhance stability and performance.
Recommendation: Proceed with ongoing optimization and validation of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to manage volatility more effectively while maintaining robust returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -9.42% | 12.48% | -3.14% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 23.56% | 15.20% | 8.31% | 1.18% | 1.81% | 14.07% | -7.56% | 27.13% | -4.69% | 6.85% | 19.58% | 13.14% |
2022 | 2.60% | 25.00% | 14.53% | 25.07% | 0.00% | 10.37% | -18.63% | 12.04% | 15.55% | 14.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.32% | 11.92% | 22.26% | 6.43% |
Live Trades Stats
XLM
Base Currency
27
Number of Trades
12.27%
Cumulative Returns
44.44%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
10.76%
30 Days
11.58%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,635.10 USD | 1,635.10 | 809.74 USD | 809.74 | 825.36 USD | 825.36 |
Gross Profit | 2,897.78 | 2,897.78 | 1,271.41 | 1,271.41 | 1,626.37 | 1,626.37 |
Gross Loss | 1,262.68 | 1,262.68 | 461.67 | 461.67 | 801.01 | 801.01 |
Max Run-up | 1,822.57 | 94.81 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 251.36 | 20.67 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −66.48 | −66.48 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.794 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.414 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.295 | 2.754 | 2.03 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 88,755 | 88,755 | 61,278 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 164.58 | 69.67 | 94.91 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 125 | 50 | 75 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 83 | 36 | 47 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 42 | 14 | 28 | |||
Percent Profitable | 66.40 | 72.00 | 62.67 | |||
Avg Trade | 13.08 | 0.87 | 16.19 | 1.02 | 11.00 | 0.76 |
Avg Winning Trade | 34.91 | 2.22 | 35.32 | 2.18 | 34.60 | 2.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 30.06 | 1.81 | 32.98 | 1.96 | 28.61 | 1.73 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.161 | 1.071 | 1.21 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 219.23 | 8.55 | 219.23 | 2.79 | 215.25 | 8.55 |
Largest Losing Trade | 84.27 | 4.04 | 84.27 | 4.04 | 80.50 | 3.06 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 13 | 14 | 13 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 13 | 14 | 12 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,881.29 USD | 1,881.29 | 984.42 USD | 984.42 | 896.87 USD | 896.87 |
Gross Profit | 3,961.73 | 3,961.73 | 1,710.67 | 1,710.67 | 2,251.06 | 2,251.06 |
Gross Loss | 2,080.44 | 2,080.44 | 726.25 | 726.25 | 1,354.19 | 1,354.19 |
Max Run-up | 1,953.48 | 95.14 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 251.36 | 20.67 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −71.09 | −71.09 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.742 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.321 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.904 | 2.355 | 1.662 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 128,180 | 114,961 | 128,180 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 261.64 | 108.30 | 153.34 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 151 | 59 | 92 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 95 | 41 | 54 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 56 | 18 | 38 | |||
Percent Profitable | 62.91 | 69.49 | 58.70 | |||
Avg Trade | 12.46 | 0.74 | 16.69 | 0.91 | 9.75 | 0.63 |
Avg Winning Trade | 41.70 | 2.18 | 41.72 | 2.10 | 41.69 | 2.23 |
Avg Losing Trade | 37.15 | 1.70 | 40.35 | 1.82 | 35.64 | 1.65 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.123 | 1.034 | 1.17 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 219.23 | 8.55 | 219.23 | 2.79 | 215.25 | 8.55 |
Largest Losing Trade | 101.14 | 4.04 | 101.14 | 4.04 | 97.08 | 3.06 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 12 | 14 | 12 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 12 | 14 | 11 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 13 | 13 | 12 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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