THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [77558707]
🛡️ TDZV5 BTCUSDT 15M 21.05 @ykot90
TREND FOLOWING
15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-16 02:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.70
- Sortino Ratio: 2.30
- Calmar: -0.44
- Longest DD Days: 61.00
- Volatility: 2.23
- Skew: -0.27
- Kurtosis: 3.85
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.22
- Expected Yearly: 2.68
- Kelly Criterion: 14.15
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.27
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.36
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-10 10:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 13
- Number Winning Trades 544
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 319
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.44
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
- Payoff Ratio: 0.75
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
- Tail Ratio: 0.88
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.89
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.64
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 1.94
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 9614.41 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.702 |
Profit Factor | 1.274 |
Maximum Drawdown | -34.81% |
Percent Profitable | 63.07% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 2.22 |
The strategy demonstrates favorable returns with a notable net profit of 9614.41 and a satisfactory Sharpe Ratio of 0.702, suggesting good risk-adjusted performance for the crypto market. The maximum drawdown of -34.81% is within an acceptable range, indicating reasonable downside protection. The profit factor of 1.274 highlights efficiency, suggesting that for every dollar lost, the strategy gains approximately $1.27.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading under the current conditions. It maintains a healthy profit factor and Sharpe Ratio. The 63.07% win rate indicates consistent positive returns, essential for sustained strategy performance. However, it is important to examine the resilience of this strategy across varying market conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management seems adequate, as indicated by the drawdown metrics and the absence of margin calls. However, given the crypto sector's inherent volatility, there's room for optimizing risk management to further enhance stability:
- Implementing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to better manage potential drawdowns.
- Considering less leverage to further reduce drawdown impacts.
- Diversifying across a broader set of crypto assets to mitigate idiosyncratic risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To further strengthen the strategy’s performance and resilience, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the entry and exit parameters for improved trade timing and profitability.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators or machine learning models to refine trading signals.
- Conduct scenario analysis and stress testing to ensure robustness in diverse market conditions.
- Enhance position sizing strategies to align risk exposure with market volatility and personal risk tolerance.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy exhibits solid performance with a commendable risk-adjusted return and acceptable drawdown levels. It successfully navigates the cryptocurrency market's volatility while maintaining profitability. However, to ensure long-term success, further optimization and comprehensive validation through additional testing are recommended.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and refinement of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to bolster robustness and adaptability to the dynamic crypto market environment.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20.98% | 12.48% | 3.31% | -3.51% | -0.13% | 17.55% | 10.73% | 9.56% | 18.37% |
2021 | 0.00% | 4.09% | 13.71% | 0.37% | 14.48% | 11.67% | 8.14% | 27.97% | -1.26% | -0.37% | 16.08% | 14.73% |
2022 | -1.20% | 31.57% | -4.67% | 10.90% | 8.24% | 12.91% | 36.63% | 15.85% | 12.98% | 12.21% | -7.65% | -4.78% |
2023 | 19.30% | 5.07% | 14.39% | 1.29% | -8.27% | 5.68% | 9.30% | 8.22% | -2.24% | 12.06% | -0.87% | 8.30% |
2024 | 23.05% | 27.48% | 19.09% | 26.69% | 7.96% | 0.73% | 5.66% | -5.27% | 5.38% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
150
Number of Trades
-6.01%
Cumulative Returns
55.33%
Win Rate
2024-05-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-3.48%
30 Days
-12.58%
60 Days
-10.03%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -42.99 | -0.39 | ||||
Net Profit | 10993.51 | 10993.51 | 7075.15 | 7075.15 | 3918.36 | 3918.36 |
Gross Profit | 23185.22 | 23185.22 | 14675.15 | 14675.15 | 8510.07 | 8510.07 |
Gross Loss | 12191.71 | 12191.71 | 7600.0 | 7600.0 | 4591.71 | 4591.71 |
Commission Paid | 2072.97 | 1145.56 | 927.41 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 961.95 | 961.95 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 11025.36 | 99.13 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 711.87 | 20.48 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 714.0 | 374.0 | 340.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 462.0 | 219.0 | 243.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 252.0 | 155.0 | 97.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 64.71 | 58.56 | 71.47 | |||
Avg P&l | 15.4 | 0.35 | 18.92 | 0.38 | 11.52 | 0.31 |
Avg Winning Trade | 50.18 | 1.34 | 67.01 | 1.69 | 35.02 | 1.03 |
Avg Losing Trade | 48.38 | 1.46 | 49.03 | 1.46 | 47.34 | 1.47 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.037 | 1.367 | 0.74 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 556.23 | 556.23 | 279.61 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.41 | 3.14 | 3.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 387.51 | 266.22 | 387.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.09 | 4.09 | 2.52 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 31.0 | 34.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 29.0 | 22.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 41.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.893 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 4.669 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.902 | 1.931 | 1.853 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 9368.33 | 9368.33 | 3287.85 | 3287.85 | 6080.48 | 6080.48 |
Gross Profit | 44890.89 | 44890.89 | 24162.44 | 24162.44 | 20728.45 | 20728.45 |
Gross Loss | 35522.56 | 35522.56 | 20874.59 | 20874.59 | 14647.97 | 14647.97 |
Commission Paid | 4717.78 | 2270.76 | 2447.02 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1150.54 | 1150.54 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 14207.82 | 99.32 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 4822.81 | 34.81 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 863.0 | 436.0 | 427.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 544.0 | 243.0 | 301.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 319.0 | 193.0 | 126.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 63.04 | 55.73 | 70.49 | |||
Avg P&l | 10.86 | 0.28 | 7.54 | 0.29 | 14.24 | 0.28 |
Avg Winning Trade | 82.52 | 1.32 | 99.43 | 1.69 | 68.87 | 1.02 |
Avg Losing Trade | 111.36 | 1.48 | 108.16 | 1.47 | 116.25 | 1.49 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.741 | 0.919 | 0.592 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 742.85 | 742.85 | 378.76 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.41 | 3.14 | 3.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 680.01 | 680.01 | 621.04 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.09 | 4.09 | 2.53 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 31.0 | 35.0 | 26.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 30.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 40.0 | 42.0 | 38.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.696 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.304 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.264 | 1.158 | 1.415 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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