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DaviddTech
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yale01 glitchytrend ordiusdt 1h 29.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLLOWING 1 hour @yale01
● Live

GlitchyTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [3d6c232a]

🛡️ GLITCHYTREND ORDIUSDT 1H 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
ORDI
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 2
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +1.08% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
2550.09%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
59.67%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.252
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
3.49%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
419
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 4, 2023
1,014
Days
419
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 12, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-06-04 09:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.52
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.65
  • Calmar: -0.60
  • Longest DD Days: 85.00
  • Volatility: 9.83
  • Skew: -0.13
  • Kurtosis: 1.02
  • Expected Daily: 0.06
  • Expected Monthly: 1.19
  • Expected Yearly: 15.24
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.07
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.10
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.40
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-12 17:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 250
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 169
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.60
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.84
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
  • Tail Ratio: 1.01
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.64
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.04
  • Serenity Index: 1.49

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.38%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.65%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+3.32%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.30%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+2.17%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-2.24%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-1.91%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+26.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+19.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+12.84%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
59.7%
Total Trades
419
Cumulative
-0.63%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
321.58%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-4.51%
+6.87%
Simple P&L
+1.89%
-7.98%
Simple P&L
+2.22%
+44.86%
Simple P&L
-3.45%
+15.95%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+9.30%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
-4.53%
Simple P&L
-2.49%
+13.66%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.92%
-0.82%
Simple P&L
-0.23%
+1.87%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+16.74%
Simple P&L
+0.37%
+41.44%
Simple P&L
-3.06%
-15.70%
Simple P&L
-0.34%
+15.77%
Simple P&L
+3.62%
+21.34%
Simple P&L
-0.59%
+8.31%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
-0.36%
Simple P&L
-1.21%
+32.14%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+25.31%
Simple P&L
-0.92%
-7.31%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.48%
+31.37%
Simple P&L
+1.11%
-0.41%
Simple P&L
+0.99%
+5.32%
Simple P&L
-4.03%
+28.23%
Simple P&L
-1.09%
+5.04%
Simple P&L
+1.57%
+17.14%
Simple P&L
+1.03%
+18.69%
Simple P&L
-2.72%
-11.33%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

419

Number of Trades

-0.63%

Cumulative Returns

59.67%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-1.91%

30 Days

19.17%

60 Days

26%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit25500.92550.0910858.871085.8914642.021464.2
Gross Profit126509.0112650.961739.476173.9564769.546476.95
Gross Loss101008.1210100.8150880.595088.0650127.525012.75
Expected Payoff60.8648.6974.7
Commission Paid4953.672785.692167.98
Buy & Hold Return-721.59-72.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-72.16
Strategy Outperformance26222.49
Max Contracts Held1653616536.012938.0
Annualized Return (cagr)220.2140.66165.53
Return On Initial Capital2550.091085.891464.2
Account Size Required20527.93
Return On Account Size Required124.2352.971.33
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1990.63199.06
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)11028.041102.8
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)42894.797.86
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4289.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2068.24206.82
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.240.530.71
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)20094.532009.45
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)20527.9349.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2052.79
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss924.69492.39530.94
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.353.594.59
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.734.335.5
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades419.0223.0196.0
Number Winning Trades250.0135.0115.0
Number Losing Trades169.088.081.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable59.6760.5458.67
Avg P&l60.860.7748.690.4474.71.14
Avg Winning Trade506.043.75457.333.07563.214.55
Avg Losing Trade597.683.64578.193.6618.863.7
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8470.7910.91
Largest Winning Trade2971.82214.052971.8
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.476.475.94
Largest Losing Trade2757.772205.332757.77
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.445.444.69
Avg # Bars In Trades12.09.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.08.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.011.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.522
Sortino Ratio1.649
Profit Factor1.2521.2131.292
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit25500.92550.0910858.871085.8914642.021464.2
Gross Profit126509.0112650.961739.476173.9564769.546476.95
Gross Loss101008.1210100.8150880.595088.0650127.525012.75
Expected Payoff60.8648.6974.7
Commission Paid4953.672785.692167.98
Buy & Hold Return-721.59-72.16
Buy & Hold % Gain-72.16
Strategy Outperformance26222.49
Max Contracts Held1653616536.012938.0
Annualized Return (cagr)220.2140.66165.53
Return On Initial Capital2550.091085.891464.2
Account Size Required20527.93
Return On Account Size Required124.2352.971.33
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1990.63199.06
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)11028.041102.8
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)42894.797.86
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4289.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2068.24206.82
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.240.530.71
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)20094.532009.45
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)20527.9349.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2052.79
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss924.69492.39530.94
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.353.594.59
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.734.335.5
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades419.0223.0196.0
Number Winning Trades250.0135.0115.0
Number Losing Trades169.088.081.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable59.6760.5458.67
Avg P&l60.860.7748.690.4474.71.14
Avg Winning Trade506.043.75457.333.07563.214.55
Avg Losing Trade597.683.64578.193.6618.863.7
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8470.7910.91
Largest Winning Trade2971.82214.052971.8
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.476.475.94
Largest Losing Trade2757.772205.332757.77
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.445.444.69
Avg # Bars In Trades12.09.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.08.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.011.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.522
Sortino Ratio1.649
Profit Factor1.2521.2131.292
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 256.21%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 222.47%
Sharpe Ratio 0.523
Profit Factor 1.257
Maximum Drawdown (Close-to-Close) 2009.45
Volatility (Annualized) 9.81%

The strategy exhibits substantial returns with a cumulative gain of 256.21% and an annualized return of 222.47%, indicating its impressive performance. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.523 is above the acceptable threshold, suggesting decent risk-adjusted returns for a crypto strategy. However, the profit factor is modest at 1.257, and the maximum drawdown appearing in the strategy points indicates a significant risk aspect that necessitates attention.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy shows promise for real-world trading, primarily due to its strong returns and satisfactory Sharpe Ratio. Despite the high drawdown figures, the strategy's performance notably exceeds the buy-and-hold benchmark, particularly in turbulent market conditions with a substantial strategy outperformance of 26363.93 basis points. The ability to maintain a positive gain-pain ratio further emphasizes its resilience.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates a need for enhanced risk management measures, particularly given its significant drawdown. Consider the following improvements:

  • Reducing leverage might help decrease the maximum drawdown, thus lowering risk exposure without drastically affecting returns.
  • Introducing more robust stop-loss mechanisms to prevent steep losses.
  • Diversifying the trading instruments to reduce singular market exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the strategy’s efficacy and durability, consider these recommendations:

  • Escalate parameter optimization to enhance the risk-reward ratio while mitigating drawdowns.
  • Employ additional indicators that can refine trade entries and exits to capture more market nuances.
  • Use out-of-sample and forward testing to ascertain the strategy’s robustness under different market climates.
  • Refine the strategy’s risk management structure through sophisticated tools like Value-at-Risk and stress tests to assess potential drawdowns better.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, this strategy embodies an appealing prospect in the crypto arena due to its firm returns and respectable risk-adjusted metrics. Despite the need for improved drawdown management, the strategy's core performance suggests merit and potential for further refinement and testing.

Recommendation: Continue with the strategy while incorporating the proposed improvements to boost robustness. Especially consider stepping down leverage and implementing more stringent risk controls to ensure healthier performance amidst volatile market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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