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solusdt_15min_deadzone

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TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @marcob
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [cdf1035c]

🛡️ SOLUSDT_15MIN_DEADZONE

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +5.55% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1732.56%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
35.83%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
38.53%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.191
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
694.78%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
494
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 8, 2021
1,611
Days
494
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-07-08 08:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.11
  • Calmar: -2.44
  • Longest DD Days: 102.00
  • Volatility: 79.22
  • Skew: 0.76
  • Kurtosis: -1.02
  • Expected Daily: 0.71
  • Expected Monthly: 16.10
  • Expected Yearly: 499.71
  • Kelly Criterion: 5.56
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.96
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.05
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 177
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 317
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.44
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.18
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.13
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.18
  • Tail Ratio: 2.56
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.52
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.15
  • Serenity Index: 53.42

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+121.17%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+35.64%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-50.99%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-92.23%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+213.91%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+2.50%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.24%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-2.86%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-4.24%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+11.34%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
35.8%
Total Trades
495
Cumulative
1,698.15%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
180.93%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-10.30%
-7.29%
Simple P&L
-7.40%
-7.19%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+22.35%
+14.90%
Simple P&L
-5.86%
-0.73%
Simple P&L
+6.88%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
2022
+20.30%
+9.64%
Simple P&L
-7.21%
+5.18%
Simple P&L
-25.21%
-13.06%
Simple P&L
-10.82%
-4.59%
Simple P&L
+2.70%
+2.15%
Simple P&L
+1.45%
+2.21%
Simple P&L
+20.10%
+13.40%
Simple P&L
+3.99%
+0.89%
Simple P&L
-14.07%
-7.69%
Simple P&L
+15.82%
+4.87%
Simple P&L
-0.44%
+2.86%
Simple P&L
+17.15%
+6.19%
Simple P&L
2023
+43.54%
+22.88%
Simple P&L
+20.00%
+1.50%
Simple P&L
-4.35%
+1.13%
Simple P&L
+45.36%
+11.26%
Simple P&L
+19.34%
+3.22%
Simple P&L
+205.42%
+35.17%
Simple P&L
+51.64%
+7.36%
Simple P&L
+83.35%
+3.86%
Simple P&L
+134.80%
+6.74%
Simple P&L
+352.31%
+20.55%
Simple P&L
+78.06%
+12.72%
Simple P&L
-41.73%
-2.03%
Simple P&L
2024
-13.79%
-2.36%
Simple P&L
+243.92%
+10.39%
Simple P&L
+151.10%
+8.14%
Simple P&L
-20.81%
-6.97%
Simple P&L
+130.96%
+15.34%
Simple P&L
-50.87%
-3.03%
Simple P&L
+91.09%
+2.75%
Simple P&L
-150.05%
-3.11%
Simple P&L
-77.48%
-3.44%
Simple P&L
+234.48%
+5.30%
Simple P&L
-226.93%
-5.15%
Simple P&L
-214.85%
-7.72%
Simple P&L
2025
+657.63%
+21.10%
Simple P&L
+200.84%
+3.72%
Simple P&L
+19.70%
-0.88%
Simple P&L
-144.32%
-3.37%
Simple P&L
-301.54%
-9.95%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

495

Number of Trades

1698.15%

Cumulative Returns

35.76%

Win Rate

2024-01-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-0.24%

30 Days

-4.24%

60 Days

-2.86%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1003367.221003.37673043.1673.04330324.12330.32
Gross Profit1995594.881995.591352674.481352.67642920.39642.92
Gross Loss992227.66992.23679631.39679.63312596.27312.6
Commission Paid111799.7769183.0442616.72
Buy & Hold Return164624.53164.62
Max Contracts Held9257192571.091405.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration27 days
Avg Equity Run-up78351.6778.35
Max Equity Run-up1149808.4393.49
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration20 days
Avg Equity Drawdown33852.5133.85
Max Drawdown111809.6538.53
Total Closed Trades244.0136.0108.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades97.049.048.0
Number Losing Trades147.087.060.0
Percent Profitable39.7536.0344.44
Avg P&l4112.160.614948.850.733058.560.47
Avg Winning Trade20573.144.2127605.65.2513394.173.14
Avg Losing Trade6749.851.767811.861.825209.941.67
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss3.0483.5342.571
Largest Winning Trade102901.54102901.5447781.72
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.337.335.09
Largest Losing Trade41724.241724.221338.84
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.632.632.6
Avg # Bars In Trades41.045.036.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades47.048.046.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades37.044.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.482
Sortino Ratio1.717
Profit Factor2.0111.992.057
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-31423.15-1.71
Net Profit1732561.741732.561354440.521354.44378121.23378.12
Gross Profit10792411.910792.416269889.516269.894522522.394522.52
Gross Loss9059850.169059.854915448.994915.454144401.174144.4
Commission Paid873045.56453783.95419261.61
Buy & Hold Return260693.89260.69
Max Contracts Held9257192571.091405.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration26 days
Avg Equity Run-up150295.77150.3
Max Equity Run-up2158421.2296.42
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown110060.85110.06
Max Drawdown756898.2538.53
Total Closed Trades494.0258.0236.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades177.084.093.0
Number Losing Trades317.0174.0143.0
Percent Profitable35.8332.5639.41
Avg P&l3507.210.375249.770.521602.210.2
Avg Winning Trade60974.084.0674641.545.1648629.273.06
Avg Losing Trade28579.971.6928249.711.7128981.831.66
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.1332.6421.678
Largest Winning Trade204374.71204374.71125889.93
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.397.395.09
Largest Losing Trade84575.6584575.6582841.08
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.632.632.6
Avg # Bars In Trades43.052.033.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades52.066.040.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.046.029.0
Sharpe Ratio0.373
Sortino Ratio1.111
Profit Factor1.1911.2761.091
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit consideration:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1788.6%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 94.99%
Sharpe Ratio 0.379
Profit Factor 1.199
Maximum Drawdown -38.53%
Volatility (Annualized) 79.23%

The strategy demonstrates a solid cumulative return of 1788.6% and an annualized return of 94.99%, suggesting robust profitability potential. Although the Sharpe ratio of 0.379 is slightly below the threshold indicating strong risk-adjusted returns, the maximum drawdown of -38.53% is within an acceptable range for crypto trading, highlighting reasonable downside management.

Strategy Viability

This strategy holds potential for real-world trading, especially given the significant cumulative returns and a maximum drawdown that remains below 40%. However, the Sharpe ratio indicates there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. It will be crucial to assess market conditions where this strategy thrives, such as trending or volatile environments, to determine its future adaptability.

Risk Management

Evaluating the strategy's approach to risk, there are positive indicators such as zero margin calls, implying strong capital management. However, the high volatility of 79.23% suggests the need for enhanced volatility management. Considerations to optimize risk management include:

  • Employing a more conservative leverage to further decrease max drawdown, enhancing strategy durability.
  • Implementing dynamic stop-loss strategies to better handle market fluctuations.
  • Reviewing position sizing techniques to ensure they align with desired risk exposure levels.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy’s performance and resilience, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy's parameters to aim for a higher Sharpe ratio and deeper risk-adjusted returns.
  • Explore the integration of additional technical indicators that may corroborate the trade entries and exits more effectively.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure the strategy's robustness in various market conditions, enhancing confidence in real-world application.
  • Utilize Value-at-Risk (VaR) models to understand and mitigate potential losses more effectively, and engage in stress testing to gain insights into strategy performance under extreme conditions.

Final Opinion

In summation, the strategy delivers commendable gains, though it slightly underperforms on risk-adjusted metrics like the Sharpe ratio. Given the strong cumulative returns and acceptable drawdown levels, there are strong foundations to work from.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization, focusing on improving risk-adjusted returns and incorporating sound risk management techniques. With these enhancements, the strategy holds promising potential for reliable and profitable trading in real-world markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Live TradingView Chart

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