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WILLIAMTEST

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15MIN @
● Live

WILLIAMTEST

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by will1310 - March 14, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 months ago
Total Return Primary
187753.9%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
64.62%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
90.4%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.382
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
554
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 18, 2020
1,819
Days
554
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 13, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-18 04:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.53
  • Calmar: -0.51
  • Longest DD Days: 115.00
  • Volatility: 33.82
  • Skew: 1.40
  • Kurtosis: 11.26
  • Expected Daily: 0.26
  • Expected Monthly: 5.65
  • Expected Yearly: 93.35
  • Kelly Criterion: 23.71
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.09
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.73
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-13 12:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 23
  • Number Winning Trades 358
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 196
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.57
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.84
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.57
  • Tail Ratio: 1.15
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 6.57
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.03
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.19
  • Serenity Index: 4.02

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+15.68%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+33.54%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
65.1%
Total Trades
562
Cumulative
6.99%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
378.75%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+6.63%
+16.88%
Simple P&L
+1.83%
-2.29%
Simple P&L
2021
-14.92%
-2.70%
Simple P&L
+31.37%
+6.99%
Simple P&L
-1.25%
+2.48%
Simple P&L
-15.86%
+2.39%
Simple P&L
+19.12%
+3.27%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+0.06%
Simple P&L
-1.81%
+5.50%
Simple P&L
-2.77%
-4.57%
Simple P&L
-13.24%
-3.02%
Simple P&L
-19.84%
+20.64%
Simple P&L
+2.42%
+6.44%
Simple P&L
+7.30%
+10.70%
Simple P&L
2022
-7.77%
-4.38%
Simple P&L
+19.73%
+9.69%
Simple P&L
-4.35%
+14.62%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.89%
+4.80%
Simple P&L
+5.25%
+9.59%
Simple P&L
+2.10%
+25.72%
Simple P&L
-4.44%
+22.45%
Simple P&L
-28.07%
+0.45%
Simple P&L
+10.88%
+1.93%
Simple P&L
+15.93%
-10.89%
Simple P&L
-8.91%
-4.80%
Simple P&L
2023
-5.81%
+38.98%
Simple P&L
+3.71%
+21.90%
Simple P&L
+10.57%
+20.80%
Simple P&L
-8.76%
+0.61%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
-5.05%
Simple P&L
+10.96%
-0.16%
Simple P&L
-2.84%
+5.63%
Simple P&L
-8.66%
-4.75%
Simple P&L
+7.64%
+1.90%
Simple P&L
-11.34%
+10.68%
Simple P&L
+12.29%
+2.82%
Simple P&L
-11.37%
+10.53%
Simple P&L
2024
+14.53%
+7.06%
Simple P&L
-19.01%
+16.19%
Simple P&L
+5.19%
+24.94%
Simple P&L
+12.27%
+23.25%
Simple P&L
+11.82%
+45.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+8.33%
-6.44%
Simple P&L
-8.63%
-4.08%
Simple P&L
-2.87%
-16.11%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
-0.28%
Simple P&L
-13.66%
-9.88%
Simple P&L
+0.97%
+3.24%
Simple P&L
2025
+11.81%
-18.41%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.59%
+16.83%
Simple P&L
+15.60%
+6.53%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

562

Number of Trades

6.99%

Cumulative Returns

65.12%

Win Rate

2025-11-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
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TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 32.78%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 32.78%
Sharpe Ratio 0.434
Profit Factor 1.382
Maximum Drawdown 90.40%
Volatility (Annualized) 33.82%

The strategy demonstrates a solid annualized return of 32.78%, a respectable achievement in the volatile crypto markets. While the Profit Factor of 1.382 is above unity, indicating profitable overall trade sequences, the Sharpe ratio of 0.434 falls short of the ideal benchmark, suggesting that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved. High volatility, coupled with a significant max drawdown of 90.40%, indicates potential for optimizing the risk management framework to safeguard the portfolio against extreme downturns.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to exhibit potential with certain conditions for improvement. While the strategy doesn't currently outperform industry benchmarks in risk-adjusted return metrics, the market conditions may offer opportunities for fine-tuning and optimization to enhance performance consistency and resilience in volatile market environments.

Risk Management

The strategy currently faces challenges in risk management, as evidenced by the high maximum drawdown. To enhance its risk management approach, consider the following recommendations:

  • Utilize less leverage to decrease exposure and thereby reduce the max drawdown potential.
  • Implement stricter stop-loss mechanisms to limit substantial losses during unfavorable market conditions.
  • Incorporate volatility-adjusted position sizing to respond dynamically with changing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider:

  • Reviewing and optimizing the strategy parameters to better align with current market dynamics.
  • Integrating additional technical indicators to better capture entry and exit signals.
  • Conducting out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy's adaptability across varying market conditions.
  • Exploring diversified trading strategies to manage unsystematic risk more effectively.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates a compelling return potential, particularly for the crypto market, improvements in risk management are crucial. The volatility and max drawdown issues suggest a need for strategic adjustments to fortify resilience and foster sustainable growth.

Recommendation: Proceed with strategy refinement and optimization, focusing on enhancing risk management and adaptability to market shifts. Implement suggested improvements and conduct further testing to solidify the strategy's robustness and applicability in dynamic market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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