Volatility Vanguard by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e0f1c6ac]
🛡️ VOLITILITY VANGAURD BTC 45MIN
@croc5455
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-31 19:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
- Sortino Ratio: 1.35
- Calmar: -3.17
- Longest DD Days: 21.00
- Volatility: 91.81
- Skew: -0.47
- Kurtosis: -0.44
- Expected Daily: 1.83
- Expected Monthly: 46.35
- Expected Yearly: 9,556.32
- Kelly Criterion: 36.23
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.95
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -10.17
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-16 08:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 23
- Number Winning Trades 138
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 69
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.17
- Gain/Pain (1M): 2.17
- Payoff Ratio: 1.06
- Common Sense Ratio: 2.17
- Tail Ratio: 1.15
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.53
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.63
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.08
- Serenity Index: 97.55
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 2822.43% |
CAGR | 102.52% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.562 |
Profit Factor | 2.113 |
Maximum Drawdown | 33.7% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 91.69% |
The strategy exhibits strong risk-adjusted returns with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.562, indicating that it achieves returns that are commensurate with its level of volatility. A Profit Factor of 2.113 suggests that for every dollar lost, the strategy earns $2.113, which is quite robust. The Maximum Drawdown is 33.7%, which is comfortably below the 40% threshold for crypto strategies.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. It shows a high Net Profit of 2822.43% and a decent CAGR of 102.52%. While volatility is high, the Sharpe Ratio and Maximum Drawdown metrics indicate that the strategy is managing risk appropriately. It would be prudent to monitor market conditions for continued alignment with the strategy's successful performance factors.
Risk Management
The strategy employs effective risk management techniques as evidenced by its low drawdown and Gain/Pain Ratio of 2.09. However, there is a high annualized volatility (91.69%). Possible improvements could include:
- Implement dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure based on real-time market volatility.
- Incorporate additional stop-loss mechanisms to further limit potential losses without significantly impacting returns.
- Use less leverage to manage volatility and reduce drawdowns further, which will enhance long-term stability.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to balance returns and lower drawdowns, potentially reducing leverage.
- Incorporate a broader range of technical indicators for improved trade accuracy.
- Conduct out-of-sample testing and forward-testing for validation across different market conditions.
- Enhance the risk management framework with Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculations and stress testing.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with high returns and a good risk-adjusted profile, meeting key criteria for viability in crypto trading. Although high volatility is present, the strategy's risk management keeps drawdowns manageable. Further optimization can increase robustness, especially by addressing leverage and volatility.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization, especially risk management and parameter fine-tuning, to adapt the strategy to handle higher market volatility effectively while maintaining performance.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 8.40% | 22.18% | 11.28% | 8.07% | 0.38% | -0.44% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 17.91% | 15.65% | 7.52% | 7.91% | 11.30% | 8.92% | -3.04% | 8.47% | -9.22% | 10.78% | 26.25% | 11.17% |
2022 | 4.48% | 23.27% | 0.25% | -3.26% | 6.47% | -7.64% | 25.78% | -15.15% | 19.87% | 0.00% | -0.77% | 4.04% |
2021 | 30.55% | -5.21% | 21.65% | 7.92% | 11.89% | -6.66% | -1.81% | -1.95% | 2.48% | 20.95% | 14.79% | 2.35% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -7.26% | 7.09% | 8.00% | -11.60% | 1.34% | 5.46% | 9.52% | 13.15% | 9.17% | 6.34% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
32
Number of Trades
23.47%
Cumulative Returns
59.38%
Win Rate
2024-03-13
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
2.5%
30 Days
34.82%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,182,445.83 USD | 2,182.45 | 1,866,126.63 USD | 1,866.13 | 316,319.21 USD | 316.32 |
Gross Profit | 3,203,798.63 | 3,203.80 | 2,865,339.84 | 2,865.34 | 338,458.79 | 338.46 |
Gross Loss | 1,021,352.80 | 1,021.35 | 999,213.22 | 999.21 | 22,139.58 | 22.14 |
Max Run-up | 2,189,819.53 | 95.94 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 149,084.29 | 27.87 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,030,971.77 | 1,030.97 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.656 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.895 | |||||
Profit Factor | 3.137 | 2.868 | 15.287 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 129 | 129 | 119 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 217,050.09 | 193,583.80 | 23,466.29 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 175 | 160 | 15 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 119 | 106 | 13 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 56 | 54 | 2 | |||
Percent Profitable | 68.00 | 66.25 | 86.67 | |||
Avg Trade | 12,471.12 | 0.66 | 11,663.29 | 0.64 | 21,087.95 | 0.89 |
Avg Winning Trade | 26,922.68 | 1.83 | 27,031.51 | 1.89 | 26,035.29 | 1.36 |
Avg Losing Trade | 18,238.44 | 1.84 | 18,503.95 | 1.83 | 11,069.79 | 2.18 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.476 | 1.461 | 2.352 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 147,460.84 | 4.92 | 147,460.84 | 4.92 | 83,708.16 | 3.93 |
Largest Losing Trade | 54,645.45 | 5.08 | 54,645.45 | 5.08 | 19,220.80 | 3.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 20 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 22 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 17 | 17 | 18 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,668,832.96 USD | 2,668.83 | 2,437,700.43 USD | 2,437.70 | 231,132.53 USD | 231.13 |
Gross Profit | 5,357,356.07 | 5,357.36 | 5,018,897.28 | 5,018.90 | 338,458.79 | 338.46 |
Gross Loss | 2,688,523.11 | 2,688.52 | 2,581,196.85 | 2,581.20 | 107,326.26 | 107.33 |
Max Run-up | 2,970,244.86 | 96.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 911,772.38 | 33.70 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,443,733.71 | 1,443.73 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.554 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.345 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.993 | 1.944 | 3.154 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 129 | 129 | 127 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 405,325.29 | 375,610.98 | 29,714.31 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 207 | 191 | 16 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 138 | 125 | 13 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 69 | 66 | 3 | |||
Percent Profitable | 66.67 | 65.45 | 81.25 | |||
Avg Trade | 12,892.91 | 0.59 | 12,762.83 | 0.58 | 14,445.78 | 0.77 |
Avg Winning Trade | 38,821.42 | 1.80 | 40,151.18 | 1.84 | 26,035.29 | 1.36 |
Avg Losing Trade | 38,964.10 | 1.82 | 39,109.04 | 1.82 | 35,775.42 | 1.82 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.996 | 1.027 | 0.728 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 153,173.91 | 4.92 | 153,173.91 | 4.92 | 83,708.16 | 3.93 |
Largest Losing Trade | 232,178.68 | 5.08 | 232,178.68 | 5.08 | 85,186.67 | 3.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 20 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 21 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 17 | 17 | 19 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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