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ttoastyy stiffzone btcusdt 15m 17.12.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @ttoastyy
● Live

Stiff Zone by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e650bf82]

🛡️ STIFFZONE BTCUSDT 15M 17.12.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +5.08% Updated 7 hours ago
Total Return Primary
352.94%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
48.8%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
33.04%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.327
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
46.68%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
291
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
May 9, 2020
2,036
Days
291
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 1, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-05-09 09:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.74
  • Calmar: -0.98
  • Longest DD Days: 48.00
  • Volatility: 49.62
  • Skew: 0.09
  • Kurtosis: -1.81
  • Expected Daily: 0.58
  • Expected Monthly: 12.82
  • Expected Yearly: 325.37
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.98
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.15
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.23
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-01 16:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 142
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 149
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.98
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.33
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.39
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.33
  • Tail Ratio: 1.45
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.10
  • Serenity Index: 6.66

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+16.26%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+49.27%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+58.28%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+44.54%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-61.45%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+2.33%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+7.10%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+7.18%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+5.95%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-2.52%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
48.8%
Total Trades
291
Cumulative
352.94%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
121.73%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.97%
-1.93%
Simple P&L
+3.52%
+0.40%
Simple P&L
+4.65%
+3.12%
Simple P&L
+4.48%
+1.63%
Simple P&L
+16.74%
+6.64%
Simple P&L
+3.83%
+2.31%
Simple P&L
+2.89%
-2.40%
Simple P&L
+16.54%
+16.50%
Simple P&L
2021
+3.07%
+3.92%
Simple P&L
+4.91%
+3.09%
Simple P&L
+2.05%
+1.05%
Simple P&L
-5.52%
-2.53%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+10.81%
+4.24%
Simple P&L
-7.92%
-5.82%
Simple P&L
+7.93%
+3.30%
Simple P&L
-1.81%
+1.20%
Simple P&L
+25.90%
+8.55%
Simple P&L
+12.31%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
2022
+1.58%
+2.81%
Simple P&L
+22.38%
+11.44%
Simple P&L
-1.19%
-6.40%
Simple P&L
-6.51%
-3.26%
Simple P&L
+19.01%
+6.13%
Simple P&L
-5.82%
-1.59%
Simple P&L
-3.44%
-3.70%
Simple P&L
-2.46%
+2.49%
Simple P&L
+13.81%
+4.48%
Simple P&L
-3.98%
-1.18%
Simple P&L
+5.32%
-1.87%
Simple P&L
-2.93%
+0.99%
Simple P&L
2023
+41.39%
+14.17%
Simple P&L
+29.24%
+5.13%
Simple P&L
+8.74%
+3.43%
Simple P&L
+24.21%
+2.00%
Simple P&L
-29.14%
-4.90%
Simple P&L
+20.07%
+4.07%
Simple P&L
-26.65%
-1.39%
Simple P&L
-27.03%
-4.82%
Simple P&L
-23.10%
-2.10%
Simple P&L
+29.12%
+5.11%
Simple P&L
+9.49%
+2.97%
Simple P&L
+25.56%
+5.96%
Simple P&L
2024
+28.55%
+2.69%
Simple P&L
+39.25%
+8.83%
Simple P&L
+18.29%
+5.73%
Simple P&L
-9.61%
-1.67%
Simple P&L
-24.15%
-2.29%
Simple P&L
+3.72%
+0.82%
Simple P&L
+26.20%
+4.07%
Simple P&L
-13.73%
-2.21%
Simple P&L
+5.55%
-1.40%
Simple P&L
+31.25%
+2.84%
Simple P&L
-4.69%
+1.42%
Simple P&L
+2.19%
+3.12%
Simple P&L
2025
+9.27%
+4.12%
Simple P&L
-13.00%
-1.22%
Simple P&L
+39.25%
+3.10%
Simple P&L
+46.83%
+5.28%
Simple P&L
+16.29%
+1.79%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

291

Number of Trades

352.94%

Cumulative Returns

48.8%

Win Rate

2024-12-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

7.1%

30 Days

5.95%

60 Days

7.18%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit306256.9306.26311616.51311.62-5359.61-5.36
Gross Profit1055447.371055.45813566.52813.57241880.86241.88
Gross Loss749190.47749.19501950.01501.95247240.46247.24
Commission Paid81695.3858585.923109.48
Buy & Hold Return977576.76977.58
Max Contracts Held4544.045.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration34 days
Avg Equity Run-up25444.1625.44
Max Equity Run-up334744.1777.46
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration37 days
Avg Equity Drawdown21607.921.61
Max Drawdown96385.5527.26
Total Closed Trades244.0174.070.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades121.090.031.0
Number Losing Trades123.084.039.0
Percent Profitable49.5951.7244.29
Avg P&l1255.150.441790.90.52-76.570.25
Avg Winning Trade8722.712.549039.632.527802.612.59
Avg Losing Trade6090.981.625975.61.636339.51.61
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4321.5131.231
Largest Winning Trade19037.2919037.2916839.87
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.054.053.88
Largest Losing Trade12572.3412572.3410923.32
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.982.982.55
Avg # Bars In Trades34.033.037.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.027.033.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades39.039.040.0
Sharpe Ratio0.425
Sortino Ratio0.92
Profit Factor1.4091.6210.978
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit352939.94352.94330268.16330.2722671.7922.67
Gross Profit1433648.611433.651058603.021058.6375045.59375.05
Gross Loss1080708.671080.71728334.87728.33352373.8352.37
Commission Paid121566.285778.0735788.13
Buy & Hold Return836855.92836.86
Max Contracts Held4544.045.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration37 days
Avg Equity Run-up31065.3231.07
Max Equity Run-up472908.2982.92
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration44 days
Avg Equity Drawdown31872.7931.87
Max Drawdown186112.9133.04
Total Closed Trades291.0205.086.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades142.0103.039.0
Number Losing Trades149.0102.047.0
Percent Profitable48.850.2445.35
Avg P&l1212.850.421611.060.48263.630.28
Avg Winning Trade10096.122.4810277.72.489616.552.48
Avg Losing Trade7253.081.557140.541.547497.311.55
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3921.4391.283
Largest Winning Trade23186.3323186.3320064.04
Largest Winning Trade Percent4.694.693.88
Largest Losing Trade18028.3616250.4818028.36
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.982.982.55
Avg # Bars In Trades33.033.035.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.029.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades37.036.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.366
Sortino Ratio0.744
Profit Factor1.3271.4531.064
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 352.94%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 31.17%
Sharpe Ratio 0.366
Profit Factor 1.33
Maximum Drawdown 33.04%
Volatility (Annualized) 49.62%

The strategy showcases a cumulative return of 352.94%, which is commendable over the trading period. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.366 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, but it remains close to the threshold for crypto strategies. A maximum drawdown of 33.04% is safe within acceptable limits, indicating controlled risk exposure. Notably, the profit factor of 1.33 implies the strategy earns moderately more than it loses on average.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests that the strategy is moderately viable for real-world trading, especially given its reasonable return and manageable drawdown. However, the strategy seems to perform optimally under certain market conditions which should be identified and monitored constantly. Market dynamics can greatly impact performance, making continuous adaptation crucial.

Risk Management

While the strategy effectively manages drawdowns, volatility at 49.62% indicates some opportunity to better manage daily price movements. Here are some recommendations to enhance risk management:

  • Introduce dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure based on current volatility conditions.
  • Implement more robust stop-loss and take-profit rules to safeguard gains and limit potential losses.
  • Explore derivatives or hedging strategies to reduce risk exposure without sacrificing potential returns.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s robustness and potentially improve overall returns, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize parameter settings within the strategy to ensure maximal performance across diverse conditions.
  • Utilize additional technical indicators to better refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing and forward-testing in other market environments to validate the strategy’s durability.
  • Consider reducing leverage to decrease max drawdown risk and enhance strategic stability.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits solid cumulative returns and reasonable maximum drawdown, though it underperforms slightly on risk-adjusted metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio. The existing framework seems adequate but can benefit greatly from further refinement and optimization.

Recommendation: I suggest proceeding with further testing and refining the strategy. Implement enhancements in risk management and parameter adjustment to boost performance consistency and risk mitigation. Market conditions and volatility must be continuously monitored to adapt dynamically.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

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Rolling Performance Metrics
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Analyzing...
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📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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