Stiff Zone by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e650bf82]
🛡️ STIFFZONE BTCUSDT 15M 17.12.2024
@ttoastyy
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 51 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-05-09 09:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
- Sortino Ratio: 0.93
- Calmar: -1.33
- Longest DD Days: 48.00
- Volatility: 48.56
- Skew: 0.06
- Kurtosis: -1.79
- Expected Daily: 0.63
- Expected Monthly: 14.20
- Expected Yearly: 392.06
- Kelly Criterion: 13.35
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.12
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.22
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 15:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 126
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 127
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.33
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
- Payoff Ratio: 1.40
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
- Tail Ratio: 1.46
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.07
- Serenity Index: 8.56
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 312.02% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 34.59% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.419 |
Profit Factor | 1.393 |
Maximum Drawdown | -27.26% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 48.49% |
The strategy shows a strong cumulative return of 312.02% and a healthy annualized return of 34.59%. The Sharpe Ratio, although slightly below the target of 0.5, indicates relatively good risk-adjusted performance in the highly volatile crypto market. The Profit Factor is close to 1.4, suggesting profitability over time. Importantly, the maximum drawdown is below 40%, affirming good risk control.
Strategy Viability
The data suggests this strategy is viable for real-world trading, particularly within the current market conditions that exhibit volatility. The strategy manages to deliver decent returns with acceptable levels of risk. It is important to continuously monitor market conditions to understand when the strategy performs optimally and ensure these conditions are likely to persist.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management appears effective, as evidenced by the maximum drawdown of 27.26%, which is well-managed for a crypto strategy. Despite this, the relatively high volatility of 48.49% suggests potential optimization in risk management could be beneficial. Improvements might include:
- Implementing less leverage to further reduce drawdown risks.
- Adding more sophisticated stop-loss orders to curb potential losses.
- Diversifying the portfolio to mitigate unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider these actionable recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to balance risk and return more effectively.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
- Conduct robust backtesting and forward-testing to ensure stability across varied conditions.
- Explore incorporating adaptive trading algorithms to automatically adjust to changing market trends.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy demonstrates solid performance metrics with significant returns and manageable drawdowns. While there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, by refining risk management measures, this strategy continues to offer a promising opportunity in the crypto market.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy, while focusing on optimization and addressing risk management. Embrace suggested improvements to bolster robustness and adapt to evolving market landscapes effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.10% | 3.60% | 4.73% | 4.24% | 13.93% | 3.58% | 2.37% | 11.52% |
2021 | 1.97% | 3.09% | 1.29% | -3.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.93% | -5.92% | 4.92% | -0.93% | 14.62% | 6.21% |
2022 | 3.01% | 8.14% | -0.34% | -2.74% | 8.42% | -2.40% | -1.38% | -1.00% | 5.97% | -1.37% | -2.07% | 3.35% |
2023 | 16.14% | 10.01% | 2.79% | 7.69% | -8.32% | 6.46% | -7.99% | -8.65% | -8.22% | 10.91% | 3.27% | 8.45% |
2024 | 8.71% | 10.98% | 4.68% | -2.34% | -5.92% | 1.08% | 3.80% | -3.40% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
9
Number of Trades
6.43%
Cumulative Returns
55.56%
Win Rate
2024-12-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
4.66%
30 Days
12.1%
60 Days
4.09%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 306256.9 | 306.26 | 311616.51 | 311.62 | -5359.61 | -5.36 |
Gross Profit | 1055447.37 | 1055.45 | 813566.52 | 813.57 | 241880.86 | 241.88 |
Gross Loss | 749190.47 | 749.19 | 501950.01 | 501.95 | 247240.46 | 247.24 |
Commission Paid | 81695.38 | 58585.9 | 23109.48 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 977576.76 | 977.58 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 334744.17 | 77.46 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 96385.55 | 27.26 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 45.0 | 44.0 | 45.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 244.0 | 174.0 | 70.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 121.0 | 90.0 | 31.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 123.0 | 84.0 | 39.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.59 | 51.72 | 44.29 | |||
Avg P&l | 1255.15 | 0.44 | 1790.9 | 0.52 | -76.57 | 0.25 |
Avg Winning Trade | 8722.71 | 2.54 | 9039.63 | 2.52 | 7802.61 | 2.59 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6090.98 | 1.62 | 5975.6 | 1.63 | 6339.5 | 1.61 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.432 | 1.513 | 1.231 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 19037.29 | 19037.29 | 16839.87 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.05 | 4.05 | 3.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 12572.34 | 12572.34 | 10923.32 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 2.98 | 2.98 | 2.55 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 34.0 | 33.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 29.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 39.0 | 39.0 | 40.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.425 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.92 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.409 | 1.621 | 0.978 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 331209.66 | 331.21 | 306060.45 | 306.06 | 25149.21 | 25.15 |
Gross Profit | 1125651.11 | 1125.65 | 840263.74 | 840.26 | 285387.37 | 285.39 |
Gross Loss | 794441.45 | 794.44 | 534203.3 | 534.2 | 260238.16 | 260.24 |
Commission Paid | 87022.37 | 61433.48 | 25588.89 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 788862.46 | 788.86 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 337737.81 | 77.61 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 96385.55 | 27.26 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 45.0 | 44.0 | 45.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 253.0 | 179.0 | 74.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 126.0 | 92.0 | 34.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 127.0 | 87.0 | 40.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.8 | 51.4 | 45.95 | |||
Avg P&l | 1309.13 | 0.46 | 1709.83 | 0.52 | 339.85 | 0.32 |
Avg Winning Trade | 8933.74 | 2.55 | 9133.3 | 2.54 | 8393.75 | 2.57 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6255.44 | 1.62 | 6140.27 | 1.62 | 6505.95 | 1.6 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.428 | 1.487 | 1.29 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 19185.94 | 19185.94 | 18101.95 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.69 | 4.69 | 3.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 12997.69 | 12572.34 | 12997.69 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 2.98 | 2.98 | 2.55 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 34.0 | 33.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 28.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 39.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.429 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.925 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.417 | 1.573 | 1.097 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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