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DaviddTech
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ttoastyy stifftrend 4H BTCusdt 27.05.2025

  • Homepage
4 hours @ttoastyy
● Live

STIFFTREND 4H BTCUSDT 27.05.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 1 hour ago
Total Return Primary
1018.87%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
68.24%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
23.79%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
2.539
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
39.63%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
85
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 15, 2020
2,002
Days
85
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-06-15 00:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.52
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.64
  • Calmar: -1.52
  • Longest DD Days: 12.00
  • Volatility: 33.47
  • Skew: -0.56
  • Kurtosis: 0.79
  • Expected Daily: 0.85
  • Expected Monthly: 19.53
  • Expected Yearly: 750.45
  • Kelly Criterion: 44.58
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.43
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.92
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-28 16:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 58
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 3
  • Number Losing Trades: 27
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.52
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 2.80
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.23
  • Common Sense Ratio: 2.80
  • Tail Ratio: 1.49
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.49
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.37
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 4.85

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.34%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+39.63%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+2.86%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
68.2%
Total Trades
85
Cumulative
1,018.87%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
185.14%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+7.54%
+4.27%
Simple P&L
+10.29%
+4.43%
Simple P&L
+8.89%
+8.64%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+3.59%
+3.76%
Simple P&L
+6.79%
-0.35%
Simple P&L
-8.27%
-4.35%
Simple P&L
2021
-6.66%
-6.68%
Simple P&L
+38.36%
+21.60%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+8.61%
+3.50%
Simple P&L
+31.08%
+10.19%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+10.98%
+6.91%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.16%
+0.58%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+17.31%
+2.78%
Simple P&L
+17.98%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+5.87%
Simple P&L
+20.75%
+6.14%
Simple P&L
-6.87%
-3.37%
Simple P&L
+23.18%
+5.03%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+25.04%
+11.78%
Simple P&L
-12.17%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+11.20%
-0.19%
Simple P&L
+35.97%
+6.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+102.72%
+17.64%
Simple P&L
-0.48%
-0.10%
Simple P&L
2023
+18.12%
+5.27%
Simple P&L
-26.76%
-3.28%
Simple P&L
+18.24%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-9.71%
+2.73%
Simple P&L
+34.21%
+4.30%
Simple P&L
+48.90%
+7.61%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+70.62%
+8.39%
Simple P&L
+12.48%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+54.54%
+3.70%
Simple P&L
-41.18%
+2.60%
Simple P&L
+2.12%
+0.36%
Simple P&L
2024
+68.25%
+7.63%
Simple P&L
+121.44%
+10.82%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5.41%
Simple P&L
-62.73%
-4.36%
Simple P&L
+5.01%
+0.96%
Simple P&L
+2.04%
+0.32%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-56.79%
-7.53%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+5.34%
Simple P&L
-18.22%
-1.87%
Simple P&L
+49.70%
+5.45%
Simple P&L
+87.47%
+9.46%
Simple P&L
2025
+143.28%
+4.35%
Simple P&L
+65.74%
+6.50%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+28.79%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+16.69%
+3.36%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

85

Number of Trades

1018.87%

Cumulative Returns

68.24%

Win Rate

2025-05-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0.03%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit97924.02979.2444519.41445.1953404.61534.05
Gross Profit159625.341596.2570517.66705.1889107.68891.08
Gross Loss61701.32617.0125998.25259.9835703.07357.03
Commission Paid3928.512134.311794.19
Buy & Hold Return104985.721049.86
Max Contracts Held53.05.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration97 days
Avg Equity Run-up10728.61107.29
Max Equity Run-up101360.891.03
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration82 days
Avg Equity Drawdown6656.7566.57
Max Drawdown19469.5523.79
Total Closed Trades82.050.032.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades56.032.024.0
Number Losing Trades26.018.08.0
Percent Profitable68.2964.075.0
Avg P&l1194.22.22890.391.471668.893.4
Avg Winning Trade2850.455.12203.684.213712.826.27
Avg Losing Trade2373.133.971444.353.414462.885.21
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2011.5260.832
Largest Winning Trade9667.25455.169667.2
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.449.1612.44
Largest Losing Trade10427.264118.4410427.26
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.76.687.7
Avg # Bars In Trades18.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.018.021.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.017.018.0
Sharpe Ratio0.539
Sortino Ratio1.67
Profit Factor2.5872.7122.496
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit101886.791018.8748615.89486.1653270.9532.71
Gross Profit168091.721680.9274614.14746.1493477.58934.78
Gross Loss66204.93662.0525998.25259.9840206.68402.07
Commission Paid4368.372251.872116.5
Buy & Hold Return86033.24860.33
Max Contracts Held53.05.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration99 days
Avg Equity Run-up10567.02105.67
Max Equity Run-up107448.1791.49
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration82 days
Avg Equity Drawdown6656.7566.57
Max Drawdown19469.5523.79
Total Closed Trades85.051.034.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades58.033.025.0
Number Losing Trades27.018.09.0
Percent Profitable68.2464.7173.53
Avg P&l1198.672.18953.251.51566.793.2
Avg Winning Trade2898.135.012261.034.173739.16.11
Avg Losing Trade2452.033.91444.353.414467.414.88
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1821.5650.837
Largest Winning Trade9667.25455.169667.2
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.449.1612.44
Largest Losing Trade10427.264118.4410427.26
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.76.687.7
Avg # Bars In Trades18.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.018.021.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.017.017.0
Sharpe Ratio0.524
Sortino Ratio1.636
Profit Factor2.5392.872.325
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 10.19%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 14.2%
Sharpe Ratio 0.524
Profit Factor 2.539
Maximum Drawdown -23.79%
Volatility (Annualized) 33.47%

The strategy exhibits a modest cumulative return of 10.19% with an annualized return of 14.2%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.524 is indicative of acceptable risk-adjusted performance, particularly when considering the crypto market's inherent volatility. A profit factor of 2.539 suggests the strategy earns $2.54 for every dollar lost, which is strong. Maximum drawdown of -23.79% is comfortably within the acceptable range for crypto strategies.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially under moderate risk appetite. It performs well given the typically volatile nature of crypto markets, showing resilience with a drawdown of only 23.79%. The strategy's performance metrics generally exceed those of many industry peers when adjusted for risk.

Risk Management

The strategy engages effective risk management, as shown by its reasonable drawdown and profit factor. To further enhance risk management:

  • Consider decreasing leverage to potentially further reduce drawdown, remaining below the 40% threshold comfortably.
  • Review and enhance stop-loss strategies to further minimize potential losses.
  • Implement volatility-based position sizing to adapt to the dynamic crypto market volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To optimize the performance and robustness of the strategy, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refine the entry and exit signals by incorporating a broader set of technical indicators for improved precision.
  • Conduct further testing across varying market conditions to stress test the strategy’s adaptability.
  • Enhance testing frameworks with out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate robustness.
  • Explore additional risk management techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario planning to safeguard against extreme market events.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates solid performance with acceptable risk-adjusted returns. Its strength lies in its robust risk management, which has resulted in a favorable drawdown level and strong profit factor. While there is room for optimization, particularly in risk management and trade signal refinement, the foundation is solid for real-world application.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and real-world testing of the strategy. Focus on refining risk management and enhancing entry/exit criteria to bolster return potential while maintaining prudence in risk control.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
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Win
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Analyzing...
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Analyzing strategy patterns...

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