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ttoastyy mcginley avaxusdt 45m 29.07.2025

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45 minutes @ttoastyy
● Live

McGinley Trend Followers by @DaviddTech [b95e3343]

🛡️ MCGINLEY AVAXUSDT 45M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-6.91% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
7.03%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
35.56%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.025
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.88%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
90
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 3, 2025
345
Days
90
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 14, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-04-03 12:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.09
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.11
  • Calmar: -0.12
  • Longest DD Days: 51.00
  • Volatility: 118.47
  • Skew: 3.86
  • Kurtosis: 24.40
  • Expected Daily: 0.20
  • Expected Monthly: 4.20
  • Expected Yearly: 63.89
  • Kelly Criterion: 0.26
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.22
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.81
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-14 05:47:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 32
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 58
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.12
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.01
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.86
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.01
  • Tail Ratio: 1.59
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 6.53
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.22
  • Serenity Index: 0.01

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.78%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.05%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+21.49%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+21.49%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.48%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-10.38%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-27.67%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+18.13%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+18.13%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+14.99%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
35.2%
Total Trades
91
Cumulative
-2.24%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
32.06%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-4.53%
+13.79%
Simple P&L
-1.46%
+6.60%
Simple P&L
+2.28%
+13.13%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
+7.36%
Simple P&L
+0.20%
-32.56%
Simple P&L
••••
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••••
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2026
••••
Login to see results
••••
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••••
Login to see results
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

91

Number of Trades

-2.24%

Cumulative Returns

35.16%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-27.67%

30 Days

18.13%

60 Days

18.13%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-2104.08-1.97
Net Profit7034.377.03-15106.81-15.1122141.1822.14
Gross Profit291838.88291.84141813.51141.81150025.37150.03
Gross Loss284804.51284.8156920.32156.92127884.19127.88
Expected Payoff78.16-285.03598.41
Commission Paid10990.86602.494388.31
Buy & Hold Return-50216.69-50.22
Buy & Hold % Gain-50.22
Strategy Outperformance57251.06
Max Contracts Held1858514973.018585.0
Annualized Return (cagr)3.14-7.179.51
Return On Initial Capital7.03-15.1122.14
Account Size Required78961.37
Return On Account Size Required8.91-19.1328.04
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20146.9720.15
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)26227.5726.23
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)83798.447.78
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)83.8
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27483.5227.48
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.06-0.220.25
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)68622.4568.62
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78961.3749.27
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.96
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss54.34-191.72171.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit18.449.3735.87
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.555.0210.12
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades90.053.037.0
Number Winning Trades32.019.013.0
Number Losing Trades58.034.024.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable35.5635.8535.14
Avg P&l78.160.38-285.03-0.13598.411.11
Avg Winning Trade9119.968.147463.876.2111540.4110.96
Avg Losing Trade4910.423.94615.33.685328.514.22
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8571.6172.166
Largest Winning Trade53807.4913281.5153807.49
Largest Winning Trade Percent57.448.9557.44
Largest Losing Trade12944.87879.7212944.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.26.728.2
Avg # Bars In Trades85.042.0147.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades156.041.0324.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades46.042.052.0
Sharpe Ratio0.086
Sortino Ratio0.112
Profit Factor1.0250.9041.173
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-2104.08-1.97
Net Profit7034.377.03-15106.81-15.1122141.1822.14
Gross Profit291838.88291.84141813.51141.81150025.37150.03
Gross Loss284804.51284.8156920.32156.92127884.19127.88
Expected Payoff78.16-285.03598.41
Commission Paid10990.86602.494388.31
Buy & Hold Return-50216.69-50.22
Buy & Hold % Gain-50.22
Strategy Outperformance57251.06
Max Contracts Held1858514973.018585.0
Annualized Return (cagr)3.14-7.179.51
Return On Initial Capital7.03-15.1122.14
Account Size Required78961.37
Return On Account Size Required8.91-19.1328.04
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)43 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20146.9720.15
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)26227.5726.23
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)83798.447.78
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)83.8
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)30 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27483.5227.48
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.06-0.220.25
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)68622.4568.62
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78961.3749.27
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.96
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss54.34-191.72171.04
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit18.449.3735.87
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.555.0210.12
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades90.053.037.0
Number Winning Trades32.019.013.0
Number Losing Trades58.034.024.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable35.5635.8535.14
Avg P&l78.160.38-285.03-0.13598.411.11
Avg Winning Trade9119.968.147463.876.2111540.4110.96
Avg Losing Trade4910.423.94615.33.685328.514.22
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8571.6172.166
Largest Winning Trade53807.4913281.5153807.49
Largest Winning Trade Percent57.448.9557.44
Largest Losing Trade12944.87879.7212944.8
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.26.728.2
Avg # Bars In Trades85.042.0147.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades156.041.0324.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades46.042.052.0
Sharpe Ratio0.086
Sortino Ratio0.112
Profit Factor1.0250.9041.173
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key metrics emerge, highlighting various aspects of the trading strategy's performance:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 20.06%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 8.72%
Sharpe Ratio 0.173
Profit Factor 1.067
Maximum Drawdown (close-to-close) -73.55%
Volatility (Annualized) 119.72%
Win Rate 36.67%

The strategy achieves a cumulative return of 20.06% and an annualized return of 8.72%, which is positive but indicates room for improvement. The Sharpe ratio of 0.173 suggests that risk-adjusted returns could be enhanced. A key area of concern is the maximum drawdown of -73.55%, which highlights significant risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

Based on the metrics, the strategy presents challenges in terms of risk-adjusted performance and drawdown levels. The current Sharpe ratio indicates potential risk exposure that does not align with optimal benchmarks for crypto trading. Although the strategy has been profitable, the high volatility and drawdown signify that it might struggle under adverse market conditions or during periods of high market volatility.

Risk Management

The high maximum drawdown and volatility underscore a need to refine the strategy's risk management measures. Consider the following strategies to manage risk more effectively while aiming to improve returns:

  • Reduce leverage to more manageable levels to decrease the potential for significant drawdowns.
  • Introduce tighter stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential losses early.
  • Incorporate dynamic position sizing that accounts for current market volatility to optimize exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

For enhancing the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider implementing the following suggestions:

  • Optimize key parameters through backtesting to minimize drawdowns and enhance returns.
  • Review and integrate additional market indicators, which could refine entry and exit points and improve trade outcomes.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate the strategy’s resilience across varied market environments.
  • Enhance the risk management framework by exploring advanced techniques such as stress testing and Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates a positive net profit, the current drawdown levels are too high for optimal risk management, and the Sharpe ratio suggests potential volatility challenges. While promisingly demonstrating profitability, the strategy's risk exposure necessitates refinement for sustained success.

Recommendation: With the right optimizations and risk management enhancements, this strategy could prove viable. Continue to refine and optimize the strategy, focusing on drawdown reduction and volatility management, to enhance robustness and performance in real trading environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
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