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Trendhoo – Rune 2h

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TREND FOLOWING 2 hours @Chibuku
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [fced4f35]

🛡️ TRENDHOO – RUNE 2H

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 27, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +16.66% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1667.81%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
80.46%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.654
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
545.33%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
609
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 27, 2022
1,249
Days
609
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 27, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-07-27 22:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.52
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.43
  • Calmar: -3.19
  • Longest DD Days: 56.00
  • Volatility: 14.04
  • Skew: -0.90
  • Kurtosis: 6.17
  • Expected Daily: 0.17
  • Expected Monthly: 3.54
  • Expected Yearly: 51.77
  • Kelly Criterion: 32.00
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.56
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.47
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-27 18:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 32
  • Number Winning Trades 490
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 119
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.19
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.66
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.40
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.66
  • Tail Ratio: 0.90
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.69
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.60
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.04
  • Serenity Index: 37.88

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+30.55%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+72.84%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+40.39%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+49.72%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+16.88%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+16.66%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+31.51%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+73.24%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+67.23%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+127.79%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
80.3%
Total Trades
610
Cumulative
1,683.34%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,454.81%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+26.74%
+13.39%
Simple P&L
+31.18%
+16.94%
Simple P&L
+109.28%
+51.55%
Simple P&L
+79.72%
+32.13%
Simple P&L
+79.96%
+52.39%
Simple P&L
-1.17%
+2.35%
Simple P&L
2023
+113.18%
+45.68%
Simple P&L
-47.84%
+14.46%
Simple P&L
-61.87%
+7.30%
Simple P&L
+49.54%
+29.18%
Simple P&L
+89.86%
+34.25%
Simple P&L
+102.41%
+69.18%
Simple P&L
-9.03%
+3.07%
Simple P&L
+195.48%
+77.29%
Simple P&L
+45.12%
+30.55%
Simple P&L
+86.95%
+46.04%
Simple P&L
+97.81%
+55.77%
Simple P&L
+45.52%
+19.09%
Simple P&L
2024
+144.30%
+66.76%
Simple P&L
-91.63%
+2.77%
Simple P&L
+61.63%
+28.57%
Simple P&L
+138.02%
+89.34%
Simple P&L
+12.67%
+33.25%
Simple P&L
+122.41%
+63.36%
Simple P&L
+50.20%
+50.83%
Simple P&L
+38.42%
+46.32%
Simple P&L
+7.19%
+13.05%
Simple P&L
-0.75%
+13.26%
Simple P&L
-183.15%
-9.86%
Simple P&L
+3.59%
+40.05%
Simple P&L
2025
+71.33%
+42.18%
Simple P&L
+118.74%
+125.84%
Simple P&L
+61.38%
+29.11%
Simple P&L
+15.78%
+25.56%
Simple P&L
+26.41%
+40.69%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

610

Number of Trades

1683.34%

Cumulative Returns

80.33%

Win Rate

2024-02-26

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

31.51%

30 Days

67.23%

60 Days

73.24%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l262.010.21
Net Profit114040.921140.4156678.14566.7857362.78573.63
Gross Profit196178.971961.7999469.32994.6996709.64967.1
Gross Loss82138.04821.3842791.18427.9139346.86393.47
Expected Payoff376.37253.03726.11
Commission Paid8549.016241.832307.18
Buy & Hold Return12709.05127.09
Buy & Hold % Gain127.09
Strategy Outperformance101331.87
Max Contracts Held8926784763.089267.0
Annualized Return (cagr)206.91132.79133.85
Return On Initial Capital1140.41566.78573.63
Account Size Required16874.59
Return On Account Size Required675.81335.88339.94
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)22 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)9589.9995.9
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)27894.96278.95
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)124478.2592.59
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1244.78
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6816.1668.16
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.773.373.41
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)15368.55153.69
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)16874.5928.95
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)168.75
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1668.48829.231087.87
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.592.85.25
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss8.3215.9713.4
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades303.0224.079.0
Number Winning Trades256.0200.056.0
Number Losing Trades47.024.023.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable84.4989.2970.89
Avg P&l376.372.22253.031.5726.114.26
Avg Winning Trade766.323.2497.352.011726.967.45
Avg Losing Trade1747.623.11782.972.711710.733.52
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4380.2791.009
Largest Winning Trade5077.762784.495077.76
Largest Winning Trade Percent18.7210.0118.72
Largest Losing Trade6835.036835.035272.97
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.188.038.18
Avg # Bars In Trades12.04.035.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.04.036.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.08.032.0
Sharpe Ratio0.763
Sortino Ratio3.964
Profit Factor2.3882.3252.458
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l1570.860.89
Net Profit166781.051667.8168071.07680.7198709.98987.1
Gross Profit421825.764218.26171359.331713.59250466.432504.66
Gross Loss255044.712550.45103288.261032.88151756.451517.56
Expected Payoff273.86165.62498.54
Commission Paid17642.0611419.876222.19
Buy & Hold Return-7867.44-78.67
Buy & Hold % Gain-78.67
Strategy Outperformance174648.49
Max Contracts Held127776125000.0127776.0
Annualized Return (cagr)102.1765.4779.46
Return On Initial Capital1667.81680.71987.1
Account Size Required28347.27
Return On Account Size Required588.35240.13348.22
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)28 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)11253.34112.53
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)27894.96278.95
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)176620.9594.66
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1766.21
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)32 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)10422.7104.23
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown5.942.463.54
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27138.34271.38
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)28347.2728.95
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)283.47
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1942.02985.51149.39
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.271.622.14
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.376.695.66
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades609.0411.0198.0
Number Winning Trades490.0351.0139.0
Number Losing Trades119.060.059.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable80.4685.470.2
Avg P&l273.862.38165.621.37498.544.47
Avg Winning Trade860.873.84488.22.071801.928.3
Avg Losing Trade2143.233.641721.472.742572.144.55
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4020.2840.701
Largest Winning Trade5361.022784.495361.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent18.7210.0118.72
Largest Losing Trade8588.046907.258588.04
Largest Losing Trade Percent16.28.0316.2
Avg # Bars In Trades14.04.033.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades12.04.034.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.06.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.516
Sortino Ratio2.425
Profit Factor1.6541.6591.65
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 16.53%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 33.31%
Sharpe Ratio 0.514
Profit Factor 1.648
Maximum Drawdown 28.95%
Volatility (Annualized) 14.05%

The strategy boasts a respectable cumulative return of 16.53% with an impressive annualized return of 33.31%. A Sharpe ratio of 0.514 places it above the industry benchmark for cryptocurrencies, indicating a good risk-adjusted performance. The profit factor of 1.648 suggests the strategy generates $1.65 for every dollar risked, reflecting profitability. The maximum drawdown is within an acceptable range, signifying strong capital preservation under stress.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading. It significantly outperforms the buy-and-hold return of -77.39%, demonstrating its resilience even under challenging market conditions. The consistency in returns, marked by an 80.43% win rate, underscores its robustness. Market conditions under which such a strategy thrives include periods of volatility which are likely to persist in the crypto markets.

Risk Management

The strategy employs several effective risk management techniques, as evidenced by the reasonable maximum drawdown and strong Gain/Pain Ratio (1.65). However, there are opportunities to bolster risk management to enhance returns:

  • Adjust leverage usage to decrease maximum drawdown without significantly impacting returns.
  • Consider implementing more dynamic stop-loss mechanisms to protect against unexpected market downturns.
  • Increase diversification across cryptocurrencies to reduce concentrated risk exposure and enhance returns stability.

Improvement Suggestions

To further improve the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters continually to enhance returns while minimizing downside exposure.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators or machine learning algorithms to refine entry and exit timing.
  • Execute rigorous forward-testing and out-of-sample testing to ensure strategy robustness across various market dynamics.
  • Employ more sophisticated risk management techniques, like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario analysis, to prepare for potential adverse market developments.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, this strategy demonstrates solid performance with commendable returns and an acceptable risk profile. The Sharpe ratio exceeds the benchmark, and the maximum drawdown is manageable, indicating effective risk containment. Continuous optimization and enhanced risk management strategies will likely yield even better performance under diverse market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and robust testing of the strategy. Implement suggested optimization techniques and risk management improvements to fortify its viability and performance in the ever-evolving crypto market.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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