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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
  • Docs & Tools
    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
    • Submit A Feature/Bug
    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

traderdev ttmstrend btcusdt 45m 20.05.2025

  • Homepage
45 minutes @traderdev
● Live

TTMSTREND BTCUSDT 45M 20.05.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
2584.46%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
41.8%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
43.69%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.768
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-292.28%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
122
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 29, 2020
1,949
Days
122
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-29 12:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.31
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.15
  • Calmar: -1.63
  • Longest DD Days: 23.00
  • Volatility: 83.26
  • Skew: 1.46
  • Kurtosis: 2.56
  • Expected Daily: 1.18
  • Expected Monthly: 28.03
  • Expected Yearly: 1,839.96
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.72
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.93
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.01
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-11 12:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 51
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 71
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.63
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.81
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.52
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.81
  • Tail Ratio: 2.40
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.40
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 5.64

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%8.35%-3.01%9.85%18.03%2.25%-12.47%48.31%10.39%13.19%
20210.00%-3.30%9.38%-16.17%-4.39%2.51%9.24%-4.70%12.74%0.00%-16.28%-1.49%
202214.86%16.31%-7.15%0.00%9.07%-4.49%-7.13%-5.85%-4.38%0.00%-3.80%31.44%
202340.59%10.64%-6.46%36.66%5.36%18.92%0.00%-19.94%-19.76%41.22%-5.55%17.76%
2024-7.15%91.27%-6.78%12.69%8.25%0.00%9.55%-8.93%-7.84%19.13%12.12%-3.00%
20250.45%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

5

Number of Trades

-3.03%

Cumulative Returns

20%

Win Rate

2025-05-20

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-9.82%

30 Days

4.98%

60 Days

-3.03%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit287674.492876.74249243.932492.4438430.56384.31
Gross Profit595122.745951.23487714.454877.14107408.291074.08
Gross Loss307448.253074.48238470.522384.7168977.73689.78
Commission Paid22533.3518396.744136.61
Buy & Hold Return145821.391458.21
Max Equity Run-up359207.3797.29
Max Drawdown55868.8343.69
Max Contracts Held17.017.011.0
Total Closed Trades121.090.031.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades51.036.015.0
Number Losing Trades70.054.016.0
Percent Profitable42.1540.048.39
Avg P&l2377.481.422769.381.21239.72.06
Avg Winning Trade11669.076.6113547.626.367160.557.21
Avg Losing Trade4392.122.374416.122.254311.112.77
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.6573.0681.661
Largest Winning Trade78994.2678994.2624812.05
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.011.010.36
Largest Losing Trade34701.4334701.4321167.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.923.793.92
Avg # Bars In Trades80.078.084.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades108.0114.094.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades59.054.076.0
Sharpe Ratio0.324
Sortino Ratio1.211
Profit Factor1.9362.0451.557
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit258446.22584.46220015.642200.1638430.56384.31
Gross Profit595122.745951.23487714.454877.14107408.291074.08
Gross Loss336676.543366.77267698.812676.9968977.73689.78
Commission Paid24024.1519887.544136.61
Buy & Hold Return134376.41343.76
Max Equity Run-up359207.3797.29
Max Drawdown85097.1243.69
Max Contracts Held17.017.011.0
Total Closed Trades122.091.031.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades51.036.015.0
Number Losing Trades71.055.016.0
Percent Profitable41.839.5648.39
Avg P&l2118.411.392417.751.161239.72.06
Avg Winning Trade11669.076.6113547.626.367160.557.21
Avg Losing Trade4741.922.364867.252.244311.112.77
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.4612.7831.661
Largest Winning Trade78994.2678994.2624812.05
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.011.010.36
Largest Losing Trade34701.4334701.4321167.4
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.923.793.92
Avg # Bars In Trades79.077.084.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades108.0114.094.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades58.053.076.0
Sharpe Ratio0.313
Sortino Ratio1.148
Profit Factor1.7681.8221.557
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics suggest noteworthy aspects of the strategy:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Net Profit 2584.46%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 27.31%
Sharpe Ratio 0.313
Profit Factor 1.768
Maximum Drawdown 43.69%
Volatility (Annualized) 83.26%
Percent Profitable 41.8%

The strategy shows substantial cumulative returns of 2584.46%, which is quite impressive. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.313 is below the good threshold of 0.5, indicating areas for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.768 suggests a reasonable profit for the risk taken, though there is room to enhance this further. The maximum drawdown of 43.69% slightly exceeds the ideal threshold of 40%, implying some risk management improvements can be implemented.

Strategy Viability

The strategy demonstrates a reasonable level of viability with its significant net profit. However, the slightly higher maximum drawdown and Sharpe Ratio below the desired threshold suggest it may struggle in highly volatile market conditions. Nevertheless, its performance relative to buy & hold returns of 1401.67% shows merit. It is crucial to ensure favorable market conditions, such as trending crypto markets, continue to persist for optimal strategy execution.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management could be enhanced, particularly surrounding its drawdown and volatility levels. The following improvements might be considered:

  • Reduce leverage used in trades to lower potential drawdown risks.
  • Implement dynamic stop-loss measures tailored to volatility.
  • Consider context-driven position sizing to mitigate risk factors.

Improvement Suggestions

To further develop the strategy's performance and sustainability, the following steps are advisable:

  • Optimize entry and exit points using additional technical indicators or machine learning models.
  • Introduce more robust parameters to tighten risk management and minimize large losses.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting across various market conditions to iterate and improve upon the strategy.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy showcases compelling profit outcomes with substantial net gains. However, enhancing risk-adjusted performance is essential for longer-term viability. Potential improvements in leverage and risk assessment could significantly benefit the strategy's robustness.

Recommendation: Continue with further evaluation and refinement, particularly focusing on risk management and parameter optimization. By doing so, the strategy can more effectively navigate various market landscapes and sustain its performance.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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