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traderdev tdzv5 mntusdt 37m 06.08

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TREND FOLOWING 37 minutes @traderdev
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [77e312f1]

🛡️ TDZV5 MNTUSDT 37M 06.08

Trading Pair
MNT
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
109.4%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
58.72%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
19.05%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.38
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
172
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 2, 2023
705
Days
172
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 10, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-11-02 02:01:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.90
  • Calmar: -1.98
  • Longest DD Days: 25.00
  • Volatility: 6.67
  • Skew: -0.32
  • Kurtosis: -0.76
  • Expected Daily: 0.06
  • Expected Monthly: 1.34
  • Expected Yearly: 17.36
  • Kelly Criterion: 17.25
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.69
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.80
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-10 18:37:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 101
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 71
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.98
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.41
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.98
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.41
  • Tail Ratio: 0.89
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.44
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.57
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 3.25

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+21.98%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+26.48%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+10.93%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+38.92%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+18.34%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+25.58%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+5.57%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+38.91%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
59.0%
Total Trades
173
Cumulative
115.44%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
137.11%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.75%
+3.79%
Simple P&L
+1.52%
-1.53%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.99%
+5.88%
Simple P&L
+17.43%
+11.87%
Simple P&L
+3.44%
+3.94%
Simple P&L
+29.61%
+29.83%
Simple P&L
+5.58%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+3.42%
Simple P&L
+11.45%
+6.60%
Simple P&L
+0.21%
+1.34%
Simple P&L
-6.13%
-4.79%
Simple P&L
-2.71%
+4.58%
Simple P&L
+17.84%
+17.98%
Simple P&L
-17.82%
-27.21%
Simple P&L
2025
+16.53%
+35.04%
Simple P&L
+4.98%
+16.75%
Simple P&L
-10.80%
-19.94%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

173

Number of Trades

115.44%

Cumulative Returns

58.96%

Win Rate

2024-08-06

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

18.34%

30 Days

5.57%

60 Days

25.58%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l614.542.93
Net Profit10939.59109.48998.8889.991940.7119.41
Gross Profit39748.82397.4921368.37213.6818380.45183.8
Gross Loss28809.23288.0912369.49123.6916439.74164.4
Commission Paid1092.44544.1548.34
Buy & Hold Return28329.89283.3
Max Equity Run-up12003.2454.77
Max Drawdown3593.119.05
Max Contracts Held20170.018684.020170.0
Total Closed Trades172.088.084.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades101.054.047.0
Number Losing Trades71.034.037.0
Percent Profitable58.7261.3655.95
Avg P&l63.60.77102.261.1323.10.39
Avg Winning Trade393.554.87395.714.97391.074.74
Avg Losing Trade405.765.06363.814.98444.325.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.971.0880.88
Largest Winning Trade1051.62968.261051.62
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.929.829.92
Largest Losing Trade1066.69857.451066.69
Largest Losing Trade Percent9.588.649.58
Avg # Bars In Trades50.051.050.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades44.042.046.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades59.065.054.0
Sharpe Ratio0.479
Sortino Ratio0.9
Profit Factor1.381.7281.118
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l614.542.93
Net Profit10939.59109.48998.8889.991940.7119.41
Gross Profit39748.82397.4921368.37213.6818380.45183.8
Gross Loss28809.23288.0912369.49123.6916439.74164.4
Commission Paid1092.44544.1548.34
Buy & Hold Return28329.89283.3
Max Equity Run-up12003.2454.77
Max Drawdown3593.119.05
Max Contracts Held20170.018684.020170.0
Total Closed Trades172.088.084.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades101.054.047.0
Number Losing Trades71.034.037.0
Percent Profitable58.7261.3655.95
Avg P&l63.60.77102.261.1323.10.39
Avg Winning Trade393.554.87395.714.97391.074.74
Avg Losing Trade405.765.06363.814.98444.325.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.971.0880.88
Largest Winning Trade1051.62968.261051.62
Largest Winning Trade Percent9.929.829.92
Largest Losing Trade1066.69857.451066.69
Largest Losing Trade Percent9.588.649.58
Avg # Bars In Trades50.051.050.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades44.042.046.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades59.065.054.0
Sharpe Ratio0.479
Sortino Ratio0.9
Profit Factor1.381.7281.118
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 109.4%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 6.05%
Sharpe Ratio 0.479
Profit Factor 1.38
Maximum Drawdown 19.05%
Volatility (Annualized) 6.67%

The strategy shows a cumulative return of 109.4%, and an annualized return of 6.05%, which is moderate. The Sharpe ratio of 0.479 is slightly below the good threshold of 0.5, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown stands at a reasonable -19.05%, indicating good downside protection under the acceptable threshold.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data, this strategy holds potential for real-world trading, especially given its controlled maximum drawdown and reasonable profit factor of 1.38. The strategy's performance surpasses a simple buy-and-hold approach, considering the drawdown and volatility management. It’s important to note that the strategy may be more effective in stable market conditions, and continuous monitoring of market dynamics is essential.

Risk Management

The strategy appears to uphold strong risk management principles, as evidenced by its low maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. The volatility is also maintained at a reasonable level. Nonetheless, some areas of improvement could include:

  • Adjusting the leverage used to potentially reduce the maximum drawdown further through conservative position sizing.
  • Implementing more sophisticated stop-loss techniques to improve loss restraint.
  • Enhancing diversification across more crypto assets to further mitigate systematic and unsystematic risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To boost the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following enhancements:

  • Refining the strategy parameters to heighten the Sharpe ratio, potentially by optimizing entry and exit points based on backtesting results.
  • Incorporating sentiment analysis to improve predictive capabilities and further balance risk and reward.
  • Running out-of-sample tests to ensure strategy robustness and hedging against overfitting.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy demonstrates potential with its decent cumulative returns and strong risk management evidenced by its low risk of ruin and controlled drawdowns. While the Sharpe ratio indicates a need for improvement, the framework’s foundations seem sound.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy, focusing on enhancing the Sharpe ratio and refining risk management protocols. The current framework holds promise, and with incremental adjustments, it could become a robust trading strategy in the crypto markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

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