THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f768185b]
🛡️ THE DEAD ZONE V5 – BTC 15MIN
@RadjaDivi
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 14 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-30 13:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.70
- Sortino Ratio: 2.34
- Calmar: -0.91
- Longest DD Days: 41.00
- Volatility: 26.37
- Skew: -1.30
- Kurtosis: 2.66
- Expected Daily: 0.30
- Expected Monthly: 6.40
- Expected Yearly: 110.44
- Kelly Criterion: 23.65
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.27
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.40
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 11:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 22
- Number Winning Trades 279
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 93
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.91
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.46
- Payoff Ratio: 0.49
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.46
- Tail Ratio: 0.75
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.89
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.49
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 6.12
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 17740.67% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 23.14% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.706 |
Profit Factor | 1.444 |
Maximum Drawdown | 37.18% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 26.35% |
The strategy presents a robust cumulative return of 17740.67% and an annualized return of 23.14%, supported by a commendable Sharpe Ratio of 0.706, positioning it well above the acceptable level in the crypto market. The maximum drawdown of 37.18% remains within acceptable limits, indicating relatively effective risk management in place. A profit factor of 1.444 is indicative of a system where the returns outweigh the losses; however, there's room for improvement.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy is viable for real-world trading, boasting a superior win rate of 74.93%. This signals a consistent ability to capture profitable trades. Given the current crypto market conditions, which are often volatile and trend-driven, this strategy's performance suggests a good fit. Furthermore, the resilience demonstrated during drawdowns also supports continued strategy deployment. However, continuous monitoring of market conditions is essential to ensure ongoing success.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a reasonable risk management approach, as seen in its performance during drawdown scenarios and an absence of margin calls. However, some areas could be refined further:
- Reduce leverage to lower maximum drawdown, thereby improving strategy resilience.
- Implement dynamic position sizing on volatile assets to manage risk exposure proactively.
- Consider additional stop-loss measures for enhanced downside protection.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s effectiveness, consider these recommendations:
- Optimize parameters and adjust leverage to balance risk and reward optimally.
- Incorporate advanced indicators or machine learning techniques for precise entry/exit timing.
- Conduct out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to ensure adaptability across varying market conditions.
- Explore diversification within the crypto market to increase robustness and limit systematic risk.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy displays strength in delivering high returns with satisfactory risk-adjusted performance. With a focus on volatility management and reducing excessive drawdowns through leverage adjustments, the strategy can further solidify its potential in real-world applications.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy, implementing suggested improvements to optimize performance and examine broader testing avenues to validate robustness across diverse market scenarios.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.49% | 27.10% | 16.43% | -0.53% | -7.92% | 6.65% | 9.15% | 25.16% | 8.49% | -1.49% |
2021 | -8.23% | 18.66% | 11.46% | 10.79% | 3.90% | 11.20% | 23.47% | 25.80% | 2.44% | 6.04% | 4.55% | 3.19% |
2022 | 1.04% | 41.13% | 36.32% | 18.13% | 2.83% | 7.45% | 33.24% | 21.48% | 13.40% | 22.91% | -11.48% | 5.78% |
2023 | 3.71% | 26.21% | 7.31% | 20.63% | 1.65% | 18.73% | 14.98% | 0.35% | 6.45% | -0.34% | -4.41% | 8.93% |
2024 | 17.45% | 24.18% | 18.78% | 9.85% | 9.67% | -18.01% | 5.25% | -7.64% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
51
Number of Trades
-5.26%
Cumulative Returns
60.78%
Win Rate
2024-04-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
3.74%
30 Days
5.4%
60 Days
0.8%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 206761.42 | 20676.14 | 170165.88 | 17016.59 | 36595.54 | 3659.55 |
Gross Profit | 355971.6 | 35597.16 | 298149.24 | 29814.92 | 57822.36 | 5782.24 |
Gross Loss | 149210.18 | 14921.02 | 127983.36 | 12798.34 | 21226.82 | 2122.68 |
Commission Paid | 40249.39 | 33674.4 | 6574.99 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 10430.95 | 1043.09 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 207289.2 | 99.52 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 17353.27 | 22.25 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 321.0 | 267.0 | 54.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 248.0 | 209.0 | 39.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 73.0 | 58.0 | 15.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 77.26 | 78.28 | 72.22 | |||
Avg P&l | 644.12 | 0.43 | 637.33 | 0.45 | 677.7 | 0.33 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1435.37 | 0.94 | 1426.55 | 0.95 | 1482.62 | 0.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 2043.98 | 1.3 | 2206.61 | 1.32 | 1415.12 | 1.22 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.702 | 0.646 | 1.048 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 7478.09 | 7478.09 | 4924.92 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 2.27 | 2.27 | 0.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 10842.87 | 10842.87 | 5815.17 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 2.91 | 2.91 | 2.44 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 21.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 17.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 34.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.894 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 4.751 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.386 | 2.33 | 2.724 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 184078.0 | 18407.8 | 126025.97 | 12602.6 | 58052.03 | 5805.2 |
Gross Profit | 583262.14 | 58326.21 | 503983.29 | 50398.33 | 79278.85 | 7927.88 |
Gross Loss | 399184.14 | 39918.41 | 377957.32 | 37795.73 | 21226.82 | 2122.68 |
Commission Paid | 73564.03 | 65133.51 | 8430.52 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 12899.08 | 1289.91 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 256226.12 | 99.61 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 93842.99 | 37.18 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 372.0 | 315.0 | 57.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 279.0 | 237.0 | 42.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 93.0 | 78.0 | 15.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 75.0 | 75.24 | 73.68 | |||
Avg P&l | 494.83 | 0.37 | 400.08 | 0.37 | 1018.46 | 0.36 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2090.55 | 0.94 | 2126.51 | 0.94 | 1887.59 | 0.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 4292.3 | 1.34 | 4845.61 | 1.36 | 1415.12 | 1.22 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.487 | 0.439 | 1.334 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 9152.8 | 9152.8 | 7800.78 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 2.27 | 2.27 | 0.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 21720.69 | 21720.69 | 5815.17 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 2.91 | 2.91 | 2.44 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 21.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 17.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.704 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.344 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.461 | 1.333 | 3.735 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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