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th3cook stiffsurge stxusdt 15m 30.07

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TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @th3cook
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [af0535b1]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE STXUSDT 15M 30.07

Trading Pair
STX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +4.47% Updated 12 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1100.49%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
74.8%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
72.06%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.169
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
296.92%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1405
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 6, 2021
1,457
Days
1405
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 29, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 16:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.31
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.81
  • Calmar: -1.23
  • Longest DD Days: 723.00
  • Volatility: 46.27
  • Skew: -1.46
  • Kurtosis: 3.56
  • Expected Daily: 0.22
  • Expected Monthly: 4.72
  • Expected Yearly: 73.95
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.22
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.57
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.50
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-29 12:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 28
  • Number Winning Trades 1,051
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 354
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.18
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.39
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.18
  • Tail Ratio: 0.62
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 7.40
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.29
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.35
  • Serenity Index: 30.10

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-14.69%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-46.85%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-48.31%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+26.79%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-100.52%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+4.47%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+25.76%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+96.70%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+66.18%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+234.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
74.8%
Total Trades
1405
Cumulative
1,100.49%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
2,306.99%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+30.18%
+65.59%
Simple P&L
2022
-5.37%
+71.69%
Simple P&L
-14.78%
+10.49%
Simple P&L
-9.48%
+0.73%
Simple P&L
+5.63%
+34.53%
Simple P&L
-5.78%
+56.96%
Simple P&L
-23.82%
+12.08%
Simple P&L
-13.63%
+40.72%
Simple P&L
-7.88%
+40.42%
Simple P&L
+0.43%
+8.99%
Simple P&L
+5.91%
+37.76%
Simple P&L
+38.36%
+99.60%
Simple P&L
+36.17%
+92.85%
Simple P&L
2023
+9.82%
+37.71%
Simple P&L
-40.80%
+56.46%
Simple P&L
-4.62%
+59.04%
Simple P&L
+7.33%
+30.37%
Simple P&L
-0.40%
+21.38%
Simple P&L
-15.61%
+33.44%
Simple P&L
+3.84%
+58.19%
Simple P&L
+0.58%
+5.56%
Simple P&L
-6.80%
+11.07%
Simple P&L
-7.49%
+12.10%
Simple P&L
-12.18%
+32.01%
Simple P&L
+43.81%
+124.29%
Simple P&L
2024
+33.67%
+69.68%
Simple P&L
+98.80%
+117.18%
Simple P&L
+123.74%
+95.48%
Simple P&L
+128.57%
+85.82%
Simple P&L
+110.59%
+73.86%
Simple P&L
+159.21%
+55.03%
Simple P&L
+122.28%
+72.61%
Simple P&L
+705.52%
+126.39%
Simple P&L
-332.38%
+4.80%
Simple P&L
-51.82%
+31.74%
Simple P&L
-109.66%
+28.51%
Simple P&L
-5.95%
+12.59%
Simple P&L
2025
-122.88%
+35.70%
Simple P&L
+80.03%
+30.24%
Simple P&L
+190.81%
+81.93%
Simple P&L
+154.07%
+56.30%
Simple P&L
-340.17%
+33.13%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1405

Number of Trades

1100.49%

Cumulative Returns

74.8%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

25.76%

30 Days

66.18%

60 Days

96.7%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit803570.54803.57372640.02372.64430930.52430.93
Gross Profit2170675.342170.681107973.991107.971062701.351062.7
Gross Loss1367104.81367.1735333.97735.33631770.83631.77
Commission Paid79017.4841764.537252.98
Buy & Hold Return-21330.07-21.33
Max Contracts Held13217271321727.01261095.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration30 days
Avg Equity Run-up65639.2165.64
Max Equity Run-up944455.1994.98
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown45148.2245.15
Max Drawdown122523.9772.06
Total Closed Trades961.0471.0490.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades720.0346.0374.0
Number Losing Trades241.0125.0116.0
Percent Profitable74.9273.4676.33
Avg P&l836.181.69791.171.57879.451.8
Avg Winning Trade3014.833.443202.243.432841.453.45
Avg Losing Trade5672.633.545882.673.575446.33.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5310.5440.522
Largest Winning Trade33157.2133157.2132076.61
Largest Winning Trade Percent18.4118.416.35
Largest Losing Trade63069.7849012.4363069.78
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.0213.026.43
Avg # Bars In Trades54.052.056.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades51.047.056.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades61.064.058.0
Sharpe Ratio0.377
Sortino Ratio1.013
Profit Factor1.5881.5071.682
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1100491.171100.49-161475.35-161.481261966.521261.97
Gross Profit7627243.227627.243300725.133300.734326518.094326.52
Gross Loss6526752.056526.753462200.493462.23064551.573064.55
Commission Paid324704.72161427.14163277.58
Buy & Hold Return-86258.9-86.26
Max Contracts Held76484467648446.07424462.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration41 days
Avg Equity Run-up100019.17100.02
Max Equity Run-up1630038.4997.03
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration47 days
Avg Equity Drawdown112722.01112.72
Max Drawdown671329.4472.06
Total Closed Trades1405.0680.0725.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades1051.0497.0554.0
Number Losing Trades354.0183.0171.0
Percent Profitable74.873.0976.41
Avg P&l783.271.64-237.461.491740.641.79
Avg Winning Trade7257.133.46641.33.357809.63.45
Avg Losing Trade18437.153.5818919.133.5517921.353.61
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3940.3510.436
Largest Winning Trade64636.6658297.2964636.66
Largest Winning Trade Percent18.4118.416.35
Largest Losing Trade151884.94151884.94147207.99
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.0213.029.17
Avg # Bars In Trades56.056.056.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades52.049.054.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades69.075.063.0
Sharpe Ratio0.307
Sortino Ratio0.811
Profit Factor1.1690.9531.412
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

After reviewing the QuantStats report, several performance metrics warrant detailed attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1100.49%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 86.63%
Sharpe Ratio 0.307
Profit Factor 1.169
Maximum Drawdown 72.06%
Volatility (Annualized) 46.27%

The strategy showcases an impressive cumulative return of 1100.49% and a significant annualized return of 86.63%, both signaling excellent profitability. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.307 suggests that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The maximum drawdown of 72.06% is relatively high, indicating potential vulnerability during market downturns, although this is not uncommon in crypto trading with higher leverage.

Strategy Viability

The strategy has demonstrated significant profitability, making it a viable option for real-world application under the right risk management practices. With a win rate of 74.8%, it indicates consistent success in trade execution. Nonetheless, careful attention must be directed towards extreme drawdowns that could hinder long-term viability. The strategy indeed thrives in high volatility conditions typical in crypto markets, but maintaining these gains requires proactive risk management.

Risk Management

Effective risk management is crucial for prolonging the strategy's success. Although the strategy hasn't experienced any margin calls, the high drawdown suggests scope for enhancements. Consider the following strategies for better risk management:

  • Adjust leverage to bring down maximum drawdown, thus improving resilience during adverse market movements.
  • Improve stop-loss techniques to minimize potential losses.
  • Enhance volatility management through dynamic risk assessment based on market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

Key recommendations for improving the strategy's performance include:

  • Optimize existing parameters to increase profitability while reducing drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical and fundamental indicators to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to validate the strategy's robustness across varying market scenarios.
  • Refine the risk management framework by incorporating practices such as stress testing and Scenario Analysis.

Final Opinion

While the strategy delivers strong returns, optimizing risk management remains crucial due to its exposure to high drawdowns. Its strengths lie in its profitability and high win rate, which present favourable signs for future refinement.

Recommendation: Proceed with iteration and careful optimization of the strategy. Implement the suggested improvements, especially in risk management, to enhance its robustness and adaptability in dynamic market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
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📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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