JP TrendForce by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f80d2657]
🛡️ TH3COOK JPTRENDFORCE 30M 1000PEPEUSDT 01.10.2024
@th3cook
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 22 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2023-05-22 20:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.80
- Sortino Ratio: 2.86
- Calmar: -2.22
- Longest DD Days: 30.00
- Volatility: 7.18
- Skew: 0.51
- Kurtosis: 1.11
- Expected Daily: 0.07
- Expected Monthly: 1.58
- Expected Yearly: 20.77
- Kelly Criterion: 21.65
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.63
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.82
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 14:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 151
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 125
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.22
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.65
- Payoff Ratio: 1.34
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.65
- Tail Ratio: 1.45
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.20
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 7.21
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 2041.39% |
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) | 10.68% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.772 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.719 |
Profit Factor | 1.527 |
Maximum Drawdown | -29.77% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 7% |
Percent Profitable | 54.58% |
The strategy demonstrates a Net Profit of 2041.39% and a reliable CAGR of 10.68%. With a Sharpe Ratio of 0.772, the strategy achieves good risk-adjusted returns above the benchmark of 0.5, demonstrating effective returns for the risks taken. The drawdown remains below 40%, at -29.77%, which shows effective max drawdown management conducive for crypto trading. The notable profit factor of 1.527 implies a solid risk-reward scenario.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy seems viable for real-world trading within similar market conditions. It not only surpasses average market returns but also maintains an appealing profit ratio, indicating resilience to typical market fluctuations. Identifying and ensuring that the market conditions favoring this strategy's performance will persist is imperative.
Risk Management
The strategy has implemented an effective risk management framework, particularly given its low drawdown compared to potential profit. Nonetheless, there exists room for enhancement:
- Reducing leverage could easily decrease the strategy's max drawdown, further stabilizing performance.
- Augmenting stop-loss approaches could help mitigate abrupt losses in volatile conditions.
- Incorporating a more dynamic leverage approach based on volatility and market conditions to ensure stability and improved risk management.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s effectiveness and resilience, consider these recommendations:
- Optimize and refine parameters to bolster returns while constraining drawdowns further.
- Implement a broader array of indicators for even more precise entry and exit decisioning.
- Undertake more exhaustive backtesting, including out-of-sample and forward-testing, to secure strategy stability across fluctuating markets.
- Incorporate additional risk management protocols, such as position scaling or asset correlation consideration, for improved risk dispersion.
Final Opinion
In summary, this trading strategy presents strong profitability metrics, commendable risk-adjusted returns, and effective drawdown management within the favorable threshold for crypto markets. It possesses a solid base for ongoing real-world trading, yet optimizing parameters and risk management measures would enhance robustness and adaptability to dynamic market shifts.
Recommendation: Proceed with advancing and optimizing the strategy, fostering further testing and refinements where outlined to elevate both its robustness and efficacy in real-world trading manifestations.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.85% | 10.69% | 1.81% | 33.35% | -10.54% | 33.11% | -5.80% | 1.10% |
2024 | 44.09% | 5.30% | 34.15% | 1.34% | 42.09% | 9.10% | 24.67% | 39.64% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
1000PEPE
Base Currency
73
Number of Trades
53.7%
Cumulative Returns
50.68%
Win Rate
2024-10-01
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-3.22%
30 Days
54.58%
60 Days
30.43%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 13858.67 | 1385.87 | 9796.81 | 979.68 | 4061.86 | 406.19 |
Gross Profit | 27071.5 | 2707.15 | 15806.95 | 1580.69 | 11264.55 | 1126.45 |
Gross Loss | 13212.83 | 1321.28 | 6010.14 | 601.01 | 7202.69 | 720.27 |
Commission Paid | 689.36 | 273.0 | 416.36 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 5384.57 | 538.46 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 14581.21 | 93.79 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1378.34 | 25.73 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 3427996.0 | 3086360.0 | 3427996.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 203.0 | 74.0 | 129.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 114.0 | 36.0 | 78.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 89.0 | 38.0 | 51.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.16 | 48.65 | 60.47 | |||
Avg P&l | 68.27 | 1.44 | 132.39 | 2.13 | 31.49 | 1.04 |
Avg Winning Trade | 237.47 | 5.38 | 439.08 | 8.85 | 144.42 | 3.78 |
Avg Losing Trade | 148.46 | 3.61 | 158.16 | 4.24 | 141.23 | 3.14 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.6 | 2.776 | 1.023 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1308.83 | 1308.83 | 503.07 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 17.2 | 17.2 | 4.77 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 737.17 | 737.17 | 544.96 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.33 | 7.33 | 3.93 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 32.0 | 41.0 | 26.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 32.0 | 40.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 32.0 | 43.0 | 24.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.886 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 5.245 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.049 | 2.63 | 1.564 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 22480.58 | 2248.06 | 12046.71 | 1204.67 | 10433.87 | 1043.39 |
Gross Profit | 62059.99 | 6206.0 | 34138.99 | 3413.9 | 27921.0 | 2792.1 |
Gross Loss | 39579.4 | 3957.94 | 22092.28 | 2209.23 | 17487.12 | 1748.71 |
Commission Paid | 1805.78 | 781.63 | 1024.14 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 4527.8 | 452.78 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 24806.55 | 96.25 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 6440.48 | 29.77 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 3525466.0 | 3445641.0 | 3525466.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 276.0 | 106.0 | 170.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 151.0 | 49.0 | 102.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 125.0 | 57.0 | 68.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.71 | 46.23 | 60.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 81.45 | 1.25 | 113.65 | 1.61 | 61.38 | 1.03 |
Avg Winning Trade | 410.99 | 5.29 | 696.71 | 8.41 | 273.74 | 3.8 |
Avg Losing Trade | 316.64 | 3.63 | 387.58 | 4.23 | 257.16 | 3.12 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.298 | 1.798 | 1.064 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2127.3 | 2127.3 | 1096.1 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 17.2 | 17.2 | 4.77 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1379.96 | 1379.96 | 818.58 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.33 | 7.33 | 3.93 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 30.0 | 39.0 | 25.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 30.0 | 37.0 | 26.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 40.0 | 23.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.804 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.86 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.568 | 1.545 | 1.597 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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