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Th3Cook JPTrendForce 30m 1000pepeusdt 01.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @th3cook
● Live

JP TrendForce by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f80d2657]

🛡️ TH3COOK JPTRENDFORCE 30M 1000PEPEUSDT 01.10.2024

Trading Pair
1000PEPE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.38% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
3091.33%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.61%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
30.08%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.306
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1793.11%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
403
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
May 22, 2023
903
Days
403
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-05-22 20:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.69
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.29
  • Calmar: -1.66
  • Longest DD Days: 74.00
  • Volatility: 9.78
  • Skew: 0.42
  • Kurtosis: -0.15
  • Expected Daily: 0.07
  • Expected Monthly: 1.46
  • Expected Yearly: 18.99
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.88
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.84
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.96
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-11 01:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 208
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 195
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.66
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.30
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.22
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.30
  • Tail Ratio: 1.36
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.85
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.16
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 5.40

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-322.87%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+18.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+71.46%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+387.87%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+849.41%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-9.44%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+1.86%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.36%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+21.56%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+38.99%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
51.6%
Total Trades
403
Cumulative
3,091.33%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
387.44%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+14.23%
+13.70%
Simple P&L
+10.34%
+9.26%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
+1.67%
Simple P&L
+54.25%
+32.77%
Simple P&L
-28.09%
-10.87%
Simple P&L
+54.18%
+31.95%
Simple P&L
-8.23%
-5.78%
Simple P&L
-15.60%
+0.64%
Simple P&L
2024
+114.55%
+42.58%
Simple P&L
-6.53%
+3.90%
Simple P&L
+110.85%
+33.10%
Simple P&L
+3.56%
+1.19%
Simple P&L
+191.92%
+40.63%
Simple P&L
+47.20%
+8.72%
Simple P&L
+165.49%
+24.54%
Simple P&L
+296.95%
+38.75%
Simple P&L
+223.96%
+19.38%
Simple P&L
+93.01%
+3.89%
Simple P&L
+531.39%
+35.13%
Simple P&L
-480.23%
-25.06%
Simple P&L
2025
+284.69%
+18.20%
Simple P&L
+278.53%
+15.69%
Simple P&L
+215.69%
+11.19%
Simple P&L
-51.88%
-5.33%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

403

Number of Trades

3091.33%

Cumulative Returns

51.61%

Win Rate

2024-10-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

1.86%

30 Days

21.56%

60 Days

5.36%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit12982.231298.229203.42920.343778.81377.88
Gross Profit25750.562575.0615020.931502.0910729.631072.96
Gross Loss12768.321276.835817.51581.756950.82695.08
Commission Paid907.35358.81548.54
Buy & Hold Return5384.57538.46
Max Contracts Held33109722980061.03310972.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration11 days
Avg Equity Run-up924.8192.48
Max Equity Run-up13667.1293.4
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration11 days
Avg Equity Drawdown539.3353.93
Max Drawdown1334.4726.0
Total Closed Trades203.074.0129.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades114.036.078.0
Number Losing Trades89.038.051.0
Percent Profitable56.1648.6560.47
Avg P&l63.951.41124.372.129.291.01
Avg Winning Trade225.885.35417.258.82137.563.75
Avg Losing Trade143.463.64153.094.27136.293.17
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5742.7251.009
Largest Winning Trade1228.081228.08472.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.1617.164.74
Largest Losing Trade704.44704.44517.45
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.357.353.96
Avg # Bars In Trades32.041.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades32.040.028.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades32.043.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.87
Sortino Ratio4.929
Profit Factor2.0172.5821.544
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit30913.263091.338136.39813.6422776.862277.69
Gross Profit132018.4213201.8463894.596389.4668123.826812.38
Gross Loss101105.1610110.5255758.25575.8245346.964534.7
Commission Paid6331.782751.553580.23
Buy & Hold Return2924.13292.41
Max Contracts Held65883085467818.06588308.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration11 days
Avg Equity Run-up2140.15214.01
Max Equity Run-up34348.2397.27
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration14 days
Avg Equity Drawdown1709.29170.93
Max Drawdown9371.1830.08
Total Closed Trades403.0162.0241.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades208.069.0139.0
Number Losing Trades195.093.0102.0
Percent Profitable51.6142.5957.68
Avg P&l76.710.9650.221.0794.510.89
Avg Winning Trade634.75.11926.017.75490.13.8
Avg Losing Trade518.493.46599.553.88444.583.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2241.5451.102
Largest Winning Trade2825.862825.861608.16
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.1617.164.75
Largest Losing Trade1684.461684.461150.33
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.357.353.96
Avg # Bars In Trades30.038.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades31.040.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.037.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.691
Sortino Ratio2.294
Profit Factor1.3061.1461.502
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics highlight the strategy's overall effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
CAGR 11.85%
Sharpe Ratio 0.699
Profit Factor 1.318
Maximum Drawdown 30.08%
Volatility (Annualized) 9.77%
Percent Profitable 51.74%

The strategy showcases solid performance with a CAGR of 11.85% and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.699, which is above the crypto market's threshold of 0.5. The maximum drawdown of 30.08% is within acceptable limits for high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies, indicating well-managed risk relative to returns.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests a viable strategy for real-world trading, grounded in its above-threshold Sharpe Ratio and manageable drawdowns. This strategy seems best suited for periods of moderate volatility and stable market trends. Attention should be directed towards ensuring that favorable conditions continue to persist for optimal performance.

Risk Management

The risk management aspect of the strategy is commendable, given the lack of margin calls and a controlled drawdown. However, the volatility at 9.77% could be better managed to ensure stable returns. Considerations for improvement include:

  • Adjustment in leverage to potentially further reduce drawdowns without significantly affecting returns.
  • Implementation of dynamic stop-loss strategies to guard against unexpected market swings.
  • Diversification of the portfolio to reduce exposure to single asset risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s robustness, consider the following suggestions:

  • Fine-tune parameters to strike a balance between risk and reward, optimizing for both returns and drawdown control.
  • Incorporate advanced technical indicators to refine trade signals and improve entry/exit timing.
  • Engage in extensive backtesting across diverse market scenarios to evaluate performance consistency.
  • Explore risk management strategies such as volatility targeting or the use of hedging instruments to reduce potential downside risk.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy displays commendable performance with a good risk-adjusted return and effective drawdown management. The Sharpe ratio indicates viable return potential with acceptable risk levels. It does exhibit areas for enhancement - primarily through improved risk management and strategic optimization to further reduce drawdowns.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and optimization of strategy parameters. Incorporate suggested improvements to bolster risk management capabilities and adapt to varying market conditions to enhance robustness and returns stability.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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