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Th3Cook JPTrendForce 30m 1000pepeusdt 01.10.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @th3cook
● Live

JP TrendForce by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f80d2657]

🛡️ TH3COOK JPTRENDFORCE 30M 1000PEPEUSDT 01.10.2024

Trading Pair
1000PEPE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.2% Updated 18 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
3112.25%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.31%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
30.08%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.281
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1814.03%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
419
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
May 22, 2023
929
Days
419
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-05-22 20:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.68
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.27
  • Calmar: -1.62
  • Longest DD Days: 74.00
  • Volatility: 10.04
  • Skew: 0.41
  • Kurtosis: -0.27
  • Expected Daily: 0.07
  • Expected Monthly: 1.41
  • Expected Yearly: 18.36
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.33
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.84
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.98
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 215
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 204
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.62
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.28
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.22
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.28
  • Tail Ratio: 1.35
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.78
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.04
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 5.23

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-93.58%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-214.98%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+707.06%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+263.08%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+132.44%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-2.62%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-5.28%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+31.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+14.52%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+7.14%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
51.3%
Total Trades
419
Cumulative
3,112.25%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
389.16%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+14.23%
+13.70%
Simple P&L
+10.34%
+9.26%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
+1.67%
Simple P&L
+54.25%
+32.77%
Simple P&L
-28.09%
-10.87%
Simple P&L
+54.18%
+31.95%
Simple P&L
-8.23%
-5.78%
Simple P&L
-15.60%
+0.64%
Simple P&L
2024
+114.55%
+42.58%
Simple P&L
-6.53%
+3.90%
Simple P&L
+110.85%
+33.10%
Simple P&L
+3.56%
+1.19%
Simple P&L
+191.92%
+40.63%
Simple P&L
+47.20%
+8.72%
Simple P&L
+165.49%
+24.54%
Simple P&L
+330.24%
+38.75%
Simple P&L
+223.96%
+19.38%
Simple P&L
+93.01%
+3.89%
Simple P&L
+531.39%
+35.13%
Simple P&L
-480.23%
-25.06%
Simple P&L
2025
+284.69%
+18.20%
Simple P&L
+278.53%
+15.69%
Simple P&L
+215.69%
+11.19%
Simple P&L
-51.88%
-5.33%
Simple P&L
+625.19%
+27.66%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

419

Number of Trades

3112.25%

Cumulative Returns

51.31%

Win Rate

2024-10-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.28%

30 Days

14.52%

60 Days

31.73%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit12982.231298.229203.42920.343778.81377.88
Gross Profit25750.562575.0615020.931502.0910729.631072.96
Gross Loss12768.321276.835817.51581.756950.82695.08
Commission Paid907.35358.81548.54
Buy & Hold Return5384.57538.46
Max Contracts Held33109722980061.03310972.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration11 days
Avg Equity Run-up924.8192.48
Max Equity Run-up13667.1293.4
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration11 days
Avg Equity Drawdown539.3353.93
Max Drawdown1334.4726.0
Total Closed Trades203.074.0129.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades114.036.078.0
Number Losing Trades89.038.051.0
Percent Profitable56.1648.6560.47
Avg P&l63.951.41124.372.129.291.01
Avg Winning Trade225.885.35417.258.82137.563.75
Avg Losing Trade143.463.64153.094.27136.293.17
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5742.7251.009
Largest Winning Trade1228.081228.08472.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.1617.164.74
Largest Losing Trade704.44704.44517.45
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.357.353.96
Avg # Bars In Trades32.041.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades32.040.028.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades32.043.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.87
Sortino Ratio4.929
Profit Factor2.0172.5821.544
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit31122.543112.255680.03568.025442.512544.25
Gross Profit141939.3714193.9466152.496615.2575786.877578.69
Gross Loss110816.8211081.6860472.466047.2550344.375034.44
Commission Paid6916.112940.963975.15
Buy & Hold Return1926.75192.67
Max Contracts Held88690168049150.08869016.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration11 days
Avg Equity Run-up2216.53221.65
Max Equity Run-up35199.6297.33
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration14 days
Avg Equity Drawdown1817.47181.75
Max Drawdown9371.1830.08
Total Closed Trades419.0167.0252.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades215.070.0145.0
Number Losing Trades204.097.0107.0
Percent Profitable51.3141.9257.54
Avg P&l74.280.9334.011.0100.960.88
Avg Winning Trade660.185.08945.047.73522.673.8
Avg Losing Trade543.223.45623.433.86470.513.08
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2151.5161.111
Largest Winning Trade2825.862825.861608.16
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.1617.164.75
Largest Losing Trade1684.461684.461254.61
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.357.353.96
Avg # Bars In Trades30.039.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades30.040.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.038.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.677
Sortino Ratio2.272
Profit Factor1.2811.0941.505
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics show a solid foundation with several positive elements that are certainly promising for the strategy's prospects:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 3432.35%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 12.28%
Sharpe Ratio 0.698
Profit Factor 1.319
Maximum Drawdown -30.08%
Volatility (Annualized) 10%

The strategy achieves an impressive net profit with a cumulative return of 3432.35%. An annualized return (CAGR) of 12.28% is robust and indicates consistent performance. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.698 is above the threshold, reflecting good risk-adjusted returns, while the maximum drawdown of 30.08% remains within an acceptable range, particularly for the crypto market.

Strategy Viability

The strategy appears viable for real-world trading, benefiting from consistent returns and reasonable risk metrics under current market dynamics. With a win rate above 50% and a respectable profit factor, the strategy is well-positioned to capitalize on favorable trading conditions, although continual monitoring of market shifts is advisable to ensure sustained effectiveness.

Risk Management

The risk management tactics employed by the strategy maintain an effective balance, achieving a maximum drawdown of 30.08% without exceeding risk tolerance for most crypto investors. Suggested improvements could further enhance resilience:

  • Consider reducing leverage to further decrease the drawdown and minimize the downside risk.
  • Improve stop-loss strategies to manage potential losses more effectively.
  • Incorporate a more varied portfolio to diversify risk exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To optimize the strategy's performance, consider these enhancements:

  • Refine parameter settings to boost returns while keeping drawdowns at bay.
  • Integrate a broader variety of technical indicators and data analytics to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to verify robustness across different market conditions.
  • Strengthen the risk management system by introducing advanced techniques such as Value-at-Risk adjustments and stress testing models.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits commendable strength in performance, with satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. Despite modest volatility, it preserves a manageable drawdown, indicative of strong risk governance. There are avenues for optimization which can further fortify the strategy against market variances.

Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and carefully implement the suggested improvements to enhance robustness and adapt the risk management framework further, ensuring alignment with requisite volatility conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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