THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [093b60fd]
🛡️ TDZ V5 BTC30MIN (1717)
@
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 4 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-06 21:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.41
- Sortino Ratio: 0.92
- Calmar: -1.98
- Longest DD Days: 147.00
- Volatility: 30.03
- Skew: -1.28
- Kurtosis: 2.22
- Expected Daily: 0.21
- Expected Monthly: 4.58
- Expected Yearly: 71.07
- Kelly Criterion: 11.78
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.35
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.68
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-16 15:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 18
- Number Winning Trades 695
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 318
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.98
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.21
- Payoff Ratio: 0.55
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.21
- Tail Ratio: 0.81
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.40
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.09
- Serenity Index: 41.95
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
After evaluating the QuantStats report, a comprehensive performance analysis reveals the following key metrics:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 631.5% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 51.7% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.407 |
Profit Factor | 1.205 |
Maximum Drawdown | -28.14% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 30.05% |
The strategy demonstrates solid returns with a cumulative gain of 631.5% and an annualized return of 51.7%. While the Sharpe Ratio of 0.407 is slightly below the preferred threshold for crypto strategies, the drawdown remains within acceptable limits. The profit factor of 1.205 indicates that the strategy is profitable, earning $1.20 for every $1 lost.
Strategy Viability
The viability of this strategy for real-world application is promising. The performance metrics suggest that the strategy is profitable; however, the slightly lower Sharpe Ratio indicates there is room for enhancing risk-adjusted returns. The strategy seems to perform well under less volatile market conditions, which may not always persist, underscoring the necessity for periodic strategy review to ensure ongoing effectiveness.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management appears adequate, given the maximum drawdown is below 40%, indicating a controlled risk exposure. Although leverage can amplify returns, it can also increase drawdowns. Utilizing less leverage could reduce drawdowns further. Improvements can be made in:
- Dynamic position sizing to manage risk based on current market volatility.
- Enhancements to stop-loss mechanisms to further limit downside risk.
- Diversification to reduce the impact of individual asset volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s performance and resilience, the following enhancements are recommended:
- Optimize parameters to improve the balance between risk and return.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points.
- Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure robustness across varying market phases.
- Strengthen risk management through advanced techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress tests.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy presents a solid foundation with significant returns and an acceptable drawdown. However, critical attention should be paid to optimizing risk-adjusted returns and ensuring long-term stability. Tuning the strategy for improved market adaptability is essential.
Recommendation: Continue developing and optimizing the strategy, prioritizing enhancing its risk-adjusted performance and robustness through suggested improvements.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 4.64% | 14.42% | 7.36% | 0.88% | -8.84% | 1.08% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 18.69% | 6.85% | 13.70% | 0.70% | 0.67% | 17.87% | -7.61% | 2.75% | -11.10% | 3.17% | -5.19% | 4.68% |
2022 | 6.96% | 24.99% | 10.84% | -0.84% | 11.04% | 10.35% | 7.76% | 7.42% | -4.80% | 1.93% | -6.08% | 0.04% |
2021 | 1.83% | 12.82% | 15.97% | 0.12% | -7.78% | 11.00% | -8.51% | -3.85% | 7.99% | 9.02% | -0.91% | 10.52% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.11% | -4.84% | -3.45% | 2.58% | -9.26% | 15.92% | 0.85% | 7.65% | 10.86% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
203
Number of Trades
6.77%
Cumulative Returns
64.53%
Win Rate
2024-01-19
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-7.1%
30 Days
-3.74%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 605,273.49 USD | 605.27 | 488,496.72 USD | 488.50 | 116,776.77 USD | 116.78 |
Gross Profit | 2,431,393.19 | 2,431.39 | 1,349,271.30 | 1,349.27 | 1,082,121.89 | 1,082.12 |
Gross Loss | 1,826,119.70 | 1,826.12 | 860,774.58 | 860.77 | 965,345.12 | 965.35 |
Max Run-up | 709,624.38 | 87.66 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 225,931.04 | 28.14 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 477,693.17 | 477.69 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.491 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.27 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.331 | 1.568 | 1.121 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 46 | 44 | 46 | |||
Open PL | −6,155.13 | −0.87 | ||||
Commission Paid | 190,931.19 | 101,375.16 | 89,556.03 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 810 | 442 | 368 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 564 | 321 | 243 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 246 | 121 | 125 | |||
Percent Profitable | 69.63 | 72.62 | 66.03 | |||
Avg Trade | 747.25 | 0.73 | 1,105.20 | 0.82 | 317.33 | 0.63 |
Avg Winning Trade | 4,310.98 | 1.89 | 4,203.34 | 1.82 | 4,453.18 | 1.98 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7,423.25 | 1.91 | 7,113.84 | 1.82 | 7,722.76 | 2.00 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.581 | 0.591 | 0.577 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 21,299.77 | 4.13 | 21,299.77 | 4.00 | 20,181.34 | 4.13 |
Largest Losing Trade | 54,027.36 | 12.58 | 54,027.36 | 12.58 | 33,982.56 | 5.99 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 25 | 24 | 27 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 22 | 23 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 32 | 30 | 34 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 628,836.99 USD | 628.84 | 510,586.96 USD | 510.59 | 118,250.03 USD | 118.25 |
Gross Profit | 3,721,969.13 | 3,721.97 | 1,918,035.47 | 1,918.04 | 1,803,933.66 | 1,803.93 |
Gross Loss | 3,093,132.14 | 3,093.13 | 1,407,448.51 | 1,407.45 | 1,685,683.63 | 1,685.68 |
Max Run-up | 824,421.34 | 89.19 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 225,931.04 | 28.14 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,306,626.84 | 1,306.63 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.406 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.92 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.203 | 1.363 | 1.07 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 46 | 44 | 46 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 300,537.60 | 153,976.29 | 146,561.32 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1,013 | 537 | 476 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 695 | 380 | 315 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 318 | 157 | 161 | |||
Percent Profitable | 68.61 | 70.76 | 66.18 | |||
Avg Trade | 620.77 | 0.68 | 950.81 | 0.75 | 248.42 | 0.60 |
Avg Winning Trade | 5,355.35 | 1.87 | 5,047.46 | 1.80 | 5,726.77 | 1.95 |
Avg Losing Trade | 9,726.83 | 1.91 | 8,964.64 | 1.78 | 10,470.08 | 2.04 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.551 | 0.563 | 0.547 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 23,218.37 | 4.13 | 22,401.23 | 4.00 | 23,218.37 | 4.13 |
Largest Losing Trade | 54,027.36 | 12.58 | 54,027.36 | 12.58 | 40,685.31 | 5.99 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 26 | 26 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 22 | 22 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 35 | 36 | 34 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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