THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d79c6256]
🛡️ TDZ BTC 15 (1719) @
TREND FOLOWING
15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-30 04:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.29
- Sortino Ratio: 0.54
- Calmar: -1.52
- Longest DD Days: 63.00
- Volatility: 21.29
- Skew: -0.18
- Kurtosis: -1.20
- Expected Daily: 0.15
- Expected Monthly: 3.26
- Expected Yearly: 46.92
- Kelly Criterion: 11.53
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.73
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.77
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-16 02:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 307
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 216
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.52
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.24
- Payoff Ratio: 0.88
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.24
- Tail Ratio: 0.89
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.33
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.04
- Serenity Index: 7.59
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics highlight various aspects of the strategy's efficacy:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
CAGR | 15.5% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.288 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.531 |
Profit Factor | 1.238 |
Maximum Drawdown | 11.61% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 21.3% |
Net Profit | 106.41% |
Percent Profitable | 58.62% |
The strategy yields a net profit of 106.41% with a respectable CAGR of 15.5%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.288, albeit below the desirable benchmark of 0.5, reflects moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the Sortino Ratio of 0.531 is close to satisfactory. The strategy's maximum drawdown of 11.61% is well within an acceptable range for crypto trading, indicating solid risk control against potential large losses.
Strategy Viability
This strategy could be deemed viable for real-world trading, especially under favorable market conditions with controlled bursts of volatility. Although the Sharpe ratio could be improved, the acceptable maximum drawdown and positive net profit suggest that the strategy is structurally sound. However, careful consideration must be given to the current market trends and the anticipated persistence of such favorable trading conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy employs decent risk management as evidenced by its low maximum drawdown. Nonetheless, there are areas where risk management could be optimized:
- Implementing a more dynamic leverage strategy could reduce drawdowns even further.
- Enhancing position sizing rules to better align with market volatility.
- Incorporating adaptive stop-loss orders to cap potential losses promptly.
Improvement Suggestions
To further boost this strategy’s performance and reliability, consider exploring the following enhancements:
- Fine-tuning strategy parameters to increase the Sharpe ratio and overall returns.
- Integrating additional technical indicators to optimize entry and exit decisions.
- Conducting comprehensive out-of-sample backtesting to confirm the strategy's efficacy under different market conditions.
- Utilizing alternative risk management techniques, like diversification across multiple crypto assets.
Final Opinion
In summary, while the strategy exhibits positive net profit and acceptable levels of risk as measured by drawdown, there is room to enhance risk-adjusted returns. The low volatility suggests that the strategy operates with relative stability, yet improvements in leverage management and additional testing could unlock further potential.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy's refinement and further testing. Focus on optimizing leverage, improving risk-adjusted returns, and enhancing its robustness to handle varying market conditions effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.53% | 2.76% | -3.98% | 3.58% | 1.22% | -3.76% | 3.14% | -4.09% | -0.05% | 4.18% |
2021 | -0.15% | 0.63% | 1.08% | -0.06% | 2.27% | 7.01% | -0.33% | 0.11% | 5.06% | -7.96% | 2.75% | 4.85% |
2022 | -0.64% | 3.23% | 0.52% | 9.22% | 3.24% | 5.99% | 1.16% | 6.95% | 6.28% | 1.74% | 2.35% | -2.38% |
2023 | -2.15% | -0.45% | -0.64% | 1.98% | 2.17% | 3.21% | -0.24% | 8.88% | -1.04% | -0.85% | -6.54% | 3.60% |
2024 | 4.33% | -5.78% | 1.06% | 4.23% | -0.31% | 6.44% | -1.81% | 4.18% | -1.35% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
140
Number of Trades
13.95%
Cumulative Returns
55.71%
Win Rate
2024-01-22
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
6.76%
30 Days
12.58%
60 Days
2.53%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 83585.95 | 83.59 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83585.95 | 83.59 |
Gross Profit | 363583.88 | 363.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 363583.88 | 363.58 |
Gross Loss | 279997.93 | 280.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 279997.93 | 280.0 |
Commission Paid | 38880.33 | 0.0 | 38880.33 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 607414.64 | 607.41 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 99652.38 | 51.17 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 18844.16 | 10.7 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 20.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 383.0 | 0.0 | 383.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 229.0 | 0.0 | 229.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 154.0 | 0.0 | 154.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.79 | 59.79 | ||||
Avg P&l | 218.24 | 0.28 | 218.24 | 0.28 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 1587.7 | 1.56 | 1587.7 | 1.56 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 1818.17 | 1.62 | 1818.17 | 1.62 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.873 | 0.873 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 7418.99 | 7418.99 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.32 | 5.32 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 3329.23 | 3329.23 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.6 | 3.6 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 32.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 28.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 39.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.334 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.619 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.299 | 1.299 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 108463.23 | 108.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 108463.23 | 108.46 |
Gross Profit | 554765.27 | 554.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 554765.27 | 554.77 |
Gross Loss | 446302.04 | 446.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 446302.04 | 446.3 |
Commission Paid | 61398.72 | 0.0 | 61398.72 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1325598.75 | 1325.6 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 121665.5 | 56.13 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 24830.01 | 11.61 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 20.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 523.0 | 0.0 | 523.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 307.0 | 0.0 | 307.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 216.0 | 0.0 | 216.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.7 | 58.7 | ||||
Avg P&l | 207.39 | 0.21 | 207.39 | 0.21 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 1807.05 | 1.49 | 1807.05 | 1.49 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 2066.21 | 1.62 | 2066.21 | 1.62 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.875 | 0.875 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 7418.99 | 7418.99 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.32 | 5.32 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 3716.27 | 3716.27 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.6 | 3.6 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 33.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 29.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 39.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.292 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.539 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.243 | 1.243 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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