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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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T3 NEXUS BTC 1H

  • Homepage

T3 NEXUS BTC 1H

@


1H

by will1310 - May 22, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 5 hours ago

62.07%

Net Profit

88.76%

Win Rate

3026

Total Closed Trades

1.312

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

0% 😐

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-10-26 00:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.24
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.44
  • Calmar: -1.04
  • Longest DD Days: 1,583.00
  • Volatility: 6.28
  • Skew: -13.98
  • Kurtosis: 297.38
  • Expected Daily: 0.02
  • Expected Monthly: 0.35
  • Expected Yearly: 4.27
  • Kelly Criterion: 21.08
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.06
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.84
  • Last Trade Date: 2024-04-27 00:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 64
  • Number Winning Trades 2,686
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 3
  • Number Losing Trades: 340
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.04
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.31
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.17
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.31
  • Tail Ratio: 3.56
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 14.90
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 7.21
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 10.31

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics stand out:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 73.71%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 12.69%
Sharpe Ratio 0.221
Profit Factor 1.289
Maximum Drawdown -14.87%
Volatility (Annualized) 6.18%

The strategy shows a cumulative return of 73.71% and an annualized return of 12.69%. While it maintains a low maximum drawdown of 14.87%, which is favorable, the Sharpe ratio of 0.221 is below the desired threshold of 0.5 for a good risk-adjusted return in the crypto market.

Strategy Viability

This strategy presents moderate viability for real-world trading. It displays strong drawdown management and a high profitability rate with 88.61% of trades being profitable. However, the low Sharpe and Sortino ratios indicate room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. Market conditions favoring high win rates with limited profitability per trade may need reevaluation to enhance this strategy.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management is effective in maintaining a low drawdown, but there are areas for enhancement:

  • Despite no margin calls, the strategy could benefit from dynamic position sizing to better align with market conditions.
  • Increasing the payoff ratio by reducing average losses can further stabilize returns.
  • Review the leverage used as high leverage might increase drawdowns unnecessarily; reducing leverage could improve the drawdown profile even further while potentially lowering returns.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy parameters to achieve a higher Sharpe ratio by targeting better trade-offs between risk and return.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points to possibly increase the Sharpe ratio and profit factor.
  • Conduct thorough out-of-sample and stress testing across varied market phases to enhance strategy reliability.
  • Consider reducing leverage to potentially decrease the drawdown and increase overall stability.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits notable strengths in profitability rate and drawdown management. Nonetheless, its current risk-adjusted returns could be improved by refining risk management techniques and optimizing trading parameters. Addressing leverage and incorporating a broader range of market indicators could drive higher effectiveness.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and further robustness testing. Implement suggested improvements to achieve higher risk-adjusted returns and ensure consistent performance in diverse market environments.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?
☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.62%3.56%3.74%
202111.63%6.86%-4.58%-1.14%10.53%1.33%8.82%3.99%2.50%-1.43%0.57%-2.20%
20226.93%-8.24%2.41%-1.84%5.10%-6.81%1.92%0.24%2.90%-1.26%0.07%-1.83%
20232.40%-2.02%0.03%5.23%-1.98%1.14%-0.21%0.76%0.56%-4.52%1.41%3.66%
2024-6.42%2.11%3.58%-0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Login to see resultsLogin to see results

Live Trades Stats

ETH

Base Currency

1

Number of Trades

-0.55%

Cumulative Returns

0%

Win Rate

2024-04-26

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-870.37-0.54
Net Profit62067.5962.0734810.4934.8127257.0927.26
Gross Profit260813.37260.81133611.17133.61127202.2127.2
Gross Loss198745.78198.7598800.6798.899945.1199.95
Commission Paid24595.5315500.959094.58
Buy & Hold Return665234.96665.23
Max Equity Run-up68494.7640.95
Max Drawdown24762.3714.87
Max Contracts Held61.054.061.0
Total Closed Trades3026.01985.01041.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades2686.01792.0894.0
Number Losing Trades340.0193.0147.0
Percent Profitable88.7690.2885.88
Avg P&l20.510.6917.540.5926.180.89
Avg Winning Trade97.11.0974.560.87142.281.53
Avg Losing Trade584.552.44511.922.03679.92.98
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.1660.1460.209
Largest Winning Trade1442.64801.841442.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent25.5710.4825.57
Largest Losing Trade18515.3418515.3411513.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent47.2347.2332.35
Avg # Bars In Trades19.017.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades40.033.050.0
Sharpe Ratio0.242
Sortino Ratio0.438
Profit Factor1.3121.3521.273
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-870.37-0.54
Net Profit62067.5962.0734810.4934.8127257.0927.26
Gross Profit260813.37260.81133611.17133.61127202.2127.2
Gross Loss198745.78198.7598800.6798.899945.1199.95
Commission Paid24595.5315500.959094.58
Buy & Hold Return665234.96665.23
Max Equity Run-up68494.7640.95
Max Drawdown24762.3714.87
Max Contracts Held61.054.061.0
Total Closed Trades3026.01985.01041.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades2686.01792.0894.0
Number Losing Trades340.0193.0147.0
Percent Profitable88.7690.2885.88
Avg P&l20.510.6917.540.5926.180.89
Avg Winning Trade97.11.0974.560.87142.281.53
Avg Losing Trade584.552.44511.922.03679.92.98
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.1660.1460.209
Largest Winning Trade1442.64801.841442.64
Largest Winning Trade Percent25.5710.4825.57
Largest Losing Trade18515.3418515.3411513.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent47.2347.2332.35
Avg # Bars In Trades19.017.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades40.033.050.0
Sharpe Ratio0.242
Sortino Ratio0.438
Profit Factor1.3121.3521.273
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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