T3 NEXUS BTC 1H
@
1H
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 5 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-10-26 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.24
- Sortino Ratio: 0.44
- Calmar: -1.04
- Longest DD Days: 1,583.00
- Volatility: 6.28
- Skew: -13.98
- Kurtosis: 297.38
- Expected Daily: 0.02
- Expected Monthly: 0.35
- Expected Yearly: 4.27
- Kelly Criterion: 21.08
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.06
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.84
- Last Trade Date: 2024-04-27 00:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 64
- Number Winning Trades 2,686
- Max Consecutive Losses: 3
- Number Losing Trades: 340
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.04
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.31
- Payoff Ratio: 0.17
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.31
- Tail Ratio: 3.56
- Outlier Win Ratio: 14.90
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 7.21
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 10.31
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics stand out:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 73.71% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 12.69% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.221 |
Profit Factor | 1.289 |
Maximum Drawdown | -14.87% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 6.18% |
The strategy shows a cumulative return of 73.71% and an annualized return of 12.69%. While it maintains a low maximum drawdown of 14.87%, which is favorable, the Sharpe ratio of 0.221 is below the desired threshold of 0.5 for a good risk-adjusted return in the crypto market.
Strategy Viability
This strategy presents moderate viability for real-world trading. It displays strong drawdown management and a high profitability rate with 88.61% of trades being profitable. However, the low Sharpe and Sortino ratios indicate room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. Market conditions favoring high win rates with limited profitability per trade may need reevaluation to enhance this strategy.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management is effective in maintaining a low drawdown, but there are areas for enhancement:
- Despite no margin calls, the strategy could benefit from dynamic position sizing to better align with market conditions.
- Increasing the payoff ratio by reducing average losses can further stabilize returns.
- Review the leverage used as high leverage might increase drawdowns unnecessarily; reducing leverage could improve the drawdown profile even further while potentially lowering returns.
Improvement Suggestions
To improve the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the strategy parameters to achieve a higher Sharpe ratio by targeting better trade-offs between risk and return.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points to possibly increase the Sharpe ratio and profit factor.
- Conduct thorough out-of-sample and stress testing across varied market phases to enhance strategy reliability.
- Consider reducing leverage to potentially decrease the drawdown and increase overall stability.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits notable strengths in profitability rate and drawdown management. Nonetheless, its current risk-adjusted returns could be improved by refining risk management techniques and optimizing trading parameters. Addressing leverage and incorporating a broader range of market indicators could drive higher effectiveness.
Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and further robustness testing. Implement suggested improvements to achieve higher risk-adjusted returns and ensure consistent performance in diverse market environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.62% | 3.56% | 3.74% |
2021 | 11.63% | 6.86% | -4.58% | -1.14% | 10.53% | 1.33% | 8.82% | 3.99% | 2.50% | -1.43% | 0.57% | -2.20% |
2022 | 6.93% | -8.24% | 2.41% | -1.84% | 5.10% | -6.81% | 1.92% | 0.24% | 2.90% | -1.26% | 0.07% | -1.83% |
2023 | 2.40% | -2.02% | 0.03% | 5.23% | -1.98% | 1.14% | -0.21% | 0.76% | 0.56% | -4.52% | 1.41% | 3.66% |
2024 | -6.42% | 2.11% | 3.58% | -0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
1
Number of Trades
-0.55%
Cumulative Returns
0%
Win Rate
2024-04-26
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
0%
60 Days
0%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -870.37 | -0.54 | ||||
Net Profit | 62067.59 | 62.07 | 34810.49 | 34.81 | 27257.09 | 27.26 |
Gross Profit | 260813.37 | 260.81 | 133611.17 | 133.61 | 127202.2 | 127.2 |
Gross Loss | 198745.78 | 198.75 | 98800.67 | 98.8 | 99945.11 | 99.95 |
Commission Paid | 24595.53 | 15500.95 | 9094.58 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 665234.96 | 665.23 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 68494.76 | 40.95 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 24762.37 | 14.87 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 61.0 | 54.0 | 61.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 3026.0 | 1985.0 | 1041.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 2686.0 | 1792.0 | 894.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 340.0 | 193.0 | 147.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 88.76 | 90.28 | 85.88 | |||
Avg P&l | 20.51 | 0.69 | 17.54 | 0.59 | 26.18 | 0.89 |
Avg Winning Trade | 97.1 | 1.09 | 74.56 | 0.87 | 142.28 | 1.53 |
Avg Losing Trade | 584.55 | 2.44 | 511.92 | 2.03 | 679.9 | 2.98 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.166 | 0.146 | 0.209 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1442.64 | 801.84 | 1442.64 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 25.57 | 10.48 | 25.57 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 18515.34 | 18515.34 | 11513.13 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 47.23 | 47.23 | 32.35 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 16.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 40.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.242 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.438 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.312 | 1.352 | 1.273 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -870.37 | -0.54 | ||||
Net Profit | 62067.59 | 62.07 | 34810.49 | 34.81 | 27257.09 | 27.26 |
Gross Profit | 260813.37 | 260.81 | 133611.17 | 133.61 | 127202.2 | 127.2 |
Gross Loss | 198745.78 | 198.75 | 98800.67 | 98.8 | 99945.11 | 99.95 |
Commission Paid | 24595.53 | 15500.95 | 9094.58 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 665234.96 | 665.23 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 68494.76 | 40.95 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 24762.37 | 14.87 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 61.0 | 54.0 | 61.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 3026.0 | 1985.0 | 1041.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 2686.0 | 1792.0 | 894.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 340.0 | 193.0 | 147.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 88.76 | 90.28 | 85.88 | |||
Avg P&l | 20.51 | 0.69 | 17.54 | 0.59 | 26.18 | 0.89 |
Avg Winning Trade | 97.1 | 1.09 | 74.56 | 0.87 | 142.28 | 1.53 |
Avg Losing Trade | 584.55 | 2.44 | 511.92 | 2.03 | 679.9 | 2.98 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.166 | 0.146 | 0.209 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1442.64 | 801.84 | 1442.64 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 25.57 | 10.48 | 25.57 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 18515.34 | 18515.34 | 11513.13 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 47.23 | 47.23 | 32.35 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 16.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 40.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.242 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.438 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.312 | 1.352 | 1.273 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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