T3 NEXUS BTC 15
@
⌛15min
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-01 18:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
- Sortino Ratio: 1.35
- Calmar: -3.18
- Longest DD Days: 104.00
- Volatility: 59.67
- Skew: 0.07
- Kurtosis: -1.54
- Expected Daily: 0.53
- Expected Monthly: 11.70
- Expected Yearly: 277.12
- Kelly Criterion: 7.96
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.36
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.55
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 18:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 430
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 400
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.18
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.18
- Payoff Ratio: 1.10
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.18
- Tail Ratio: 1.46
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.77
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.12
- Serenity Index: 240.70
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 115.95% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 115.95% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.546 |
Profit Factor | 1.19 |
Maximum Drawdown | 37.13% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 59.7% |
The strategy exhibits solid performance with a cumulative gain of 115.95% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.546, which is above the acceptable threshold for crypto trading. The maximum drawdown of 37.13% is within the acceptable range, although on the higher side, suggesting room for risk management optimization. The Profit Factor of 1.19 indicates that the strategy is marginally profitable, yielding a reasonable return for every dollar risked.
Strategy Viability
The data suggests that the strategy is viable for real-world trading, especially considering the challenging landscape of cryptocurrency markets. It has maintained a positive cumulative return and reasonable risk-adjusted metrics. Importantly, the strategy shows an ability to withstand market headwinds, albeit with some room for improving resilience through lower drawdown and increased return stability.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management approaches seem somewhat effective but could benefit from certain enhancements. Notable recommendations include:
- Reducing leverage to lower the maximum drawdown further and manage risk exposure more conservatively.
- Implementing additional or tighter stop-loss mechanisms to cap potential losses more effectively.
- Diversifying trade positions to reduce concentrated risk and harness potentially hidden market opportunities.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s overall performance, consider exploring the following recommendations:
- Analyze and optimize parameter settings to boost the strategy's effectiveness without significantly increasing risk.
- Explore additional indicators or signals to improve the precision of trade entries and exits.
- Conduct rigorous out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure robustness across different market cycles and volatilities.
- Refine the risk management framework by integrating advanced techniques such as position sizing based on volatility adjustments or Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) analysis.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates reasonable performance with positive cumulative returns and adequate risk-adjusted metrics for the crypto market. While it handles current market conditions acceptably, ensuring robust performance requires fine-tuning to mitigate higher volatility impacts and optimize drawdown levels.
Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and testing of the strategy. By implementing the suggested improvements, such as optimizing leverage and integrating advanced risk management techniques, the strategy can be better positioned to capitalize on opportunities and weather market challenges with confidence.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.17% | 18.51% | -1.92% | 18.00% | 17.76% | 17.89% | 17.87% | 17.64% | 12.09% |
2021 | 0.55% | 7.34% | 0.51% | -12.76% | 3.91% | 4.99% | 25.78% | 6.10% | 4.24% | 25.48% | 14.78% | -9.26% |
2022 | -1.22% | 10.10% | 5.98% | -12.25% | 15.17% | 19.45% | 15.19% | -21.21% | -1.02% | 5.68% | -5.96% | 10.61% |
2023 | 22.27% | 1.65% | 8.24% | 7.45% | -1.53% | 0.69% | -1.66% | 26.71% | -8.57% | 17.22% | 30.44% | 13.94% |
2024 | 8.76% | 20.98% | 6.60% | 10.54% | -15.29% | -14.70% | -1.51% | 11.00% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
162
Number of Trades
19.25%
Cumulative Returns
46.91%
Win Rate
2024-04-08
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-11.72%
30 Days
-38.18%
60 Days
-7.15%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -22729.43 | -0.51 | ||||
Net Profit | 4324294.8 | 4324.29 | 3796812.52 | 3796.81 | 527482.28 | 527.48 |
Gross Profit | 15934790.88 | 15934.79 | 9461846.59 | 9461.85 | 6472944.3 | 6472.94 |
Gross Loss | 11610496.08 | 11610.5 | 5665034.06 | 5665.03 | 5945462.01 | 5945.46 |
Commission Paid | 3451788.79 | 1882799.68 | 1568989.11 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1029391.53 | 1029.39 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 4746689.85 | 97.94 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 716710.51 | 35.23 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 301.0 | 292.0 | 301.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 670.0 | 342.0 | 328.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 355.0 | 192.0 | 163.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 315.0 | 150.0 | 165.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.99 | 56.14 | 49.7 | |||
Avg P&l | 6454.17 | 0.29 | 11101.79 | 0.39 | 1608.18 | 0.18 |
Avg Winning Trade | 44886.73 | 2.01 | 49280.45 | 1.98 | 39711.31 | 2.04 |
Avg Losing Trade | 36858.72 | 1.66 | 37766.89 | 1.65 | 36033.1 | 1.66 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.218 | 1.305 | 1.102 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 217040.29 | 217040.29 | 198582.74 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.64 | 5.64 | 3.14 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 210261.19 | 168999.38 | 210261.19 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.44 | 5.44 | 2.24 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 46.0 | 41.0 | 51.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 47.0 | 41.0 | 54.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 45.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.659 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.845 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.372 | 1.67 | 1.089 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -12621.56 | -0.27 | ||||
Net Profit | 4500834.14 | 4500.83 | 2985094.44 | 2985.09 | 1515739.71 | 1515.74 |
Gross Profit | 28378226.17 | 28378.23 | 14751381.36 | 14751.38 | 13626844.81 | 13626.84 |
Gross Loss | 23877392.02 | 23877.39 | 11766286.92 | 11766.29 | 12111105.1 | 12111.11 |
Commission Paid | 6304693.44 | 3232233.5 | 3072459.94 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1267057.98 | 1267.06 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 5846642.33 | 98.32 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1879000.8 | 37.13 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 301.0 | 292.0 | 301.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 830.0 | 414.0 | 416.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 430.0 | 223.0 | 207.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 400.0 | 191.0 | 209.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.81 | 53.86 | 49.76 | |||
Avg P&l | 5422.69 | 0.23 | 7210.37 | 0.3 | 3643.61 | 0.17 |
Avg Winning Trade | 65995.87 | 2.02 | 66149.69 | 1.99 | 65830.17 | 2.05 |
Avg Losing Trade | 59693.48 | 1.68 | 61603.6 | 1.67 | 57947.87 | 1.7 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.106 | 1.074 | 1.136 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 338248.01 | 284673.02 | 338248.01 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.64 | 5.64 | 3.25 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 223210.99 | 223210.99 | 213091.8 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.44 | 5.44 | 2.24 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 48.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 48.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 49.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.545 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.347 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.188 | 1.254 | 1.125 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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