Supertrend The Works [v5] 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [649cf86b]
🛡️ SUPERTREND 2H BTC
@
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 49 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-05-10 02:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.50
- Sortino Ratio: 2.41
- Calmar: 0.00
- Longest DD Days: 0.00
- Volatility: 0.00
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.00
- Expected Yearly: 0.00
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 52
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 59
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 15509.18 |
Gross Profit | 29496.78 |
Gross Loss | 13987.6 |
Max Drawdown | 31.91% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.484 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.195 |
Profit Factor | 2.109 |
% Profitable | 46.23% |
Average Trade | 3.5 |
The strategy exhibits net profit and a solid profit factor of 2.109, highlighting a robust ability to generate profits. The maximum drawdown at 31.91% is below the 40% threshold, suggesting effective risk control. However, the Sharpe ratio, slightly below 0.5, indicates room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading. Its performance under recent market conditions has been relatively stable and profitable. The profit factor and drawdown metrics suggest resilience, though efforts to enhance the Sharpe ratio would solidify its position as a great-performing strategy.
Risk Management
Effective risk management is apparent, indicated by the acceptable drawdown levels. However, there is a possible need for refinement, as seen with:
- Potential improvement in the Sharpe ratio through better volatility management.
- Enhancing position sizing gauges to mitigate unexpected market moves.
- Exploring additional stop-loss strategies to further protect against heavy losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine volatility management techniques to improve the Sharpe ratio, such as reducing leverage during high volatility periods.
- Explore incorporating momentum or trend-following indicators for improved trade timing.
- Conduct additional out-of-sample testing to validate performance across varying conditions.
- Investigate the use of machine learning models to optimize trading parameters and improve prediction accuracy.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates promising potential with solid profit metrics and manageable risk levels. Improving the Sharpe ratio should be a primary focus moving forward, particularly considering upscale volatility management and trade optimization.
Recommendation: Proceed with strategy optimization and further testing. Address volatility concerns and explore machine learning enhancements to further bolster performance and risk-adjusted returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -0.04% | 35.48% | 49.34% | 13.85% | -1.34% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 65.48% | -2.57% | 4.58% | 4.53% | -2.04% | 23.11% | -8.99% | 0.00% | -7.36% | 6.78% | 54.48% | 6.53% |
2022 | 0.00% | -2.53% | -5.23% | 8.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.60% | 6.80% | -10.39% | -8.14% | 10.60% | -1.96% |
2021 | 67.37% | 98.26% | 6.00% | 13.63% | -13.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 58.76% | -27.92% | 59.06% | 2.47% | 0.00% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -7.01% | 7.74% | -5.82% | 39.39% | -0.92% | 34.40% | 62.87% | 55.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
18
Number of Trades
67.72%
Cumulative Returns
55.56%
Win Rate
2024-04-10
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
68.14%
30 Days
89.84%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 18,006.29 USDT | 16,885.11 | 18,006.29 USDT | 16,885.11 | 0 USDT | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 27,561.72 | 25,845.57 | 27,561.72 | 25,845.57 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 9,555.43 | 8,960.46 | 9,555.43 | 8,960.46 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 19,898.39 | 99.51 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,594.97 | 31.91 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 714.02 | 669.56 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.531 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.482 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.884 | 2.884 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 470.50 | 470.50 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 93 | 93 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 42 | 42 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 51 | 51 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.16 | 45.16 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 193.62 | 4.02 | 193.62 | 4.02 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 656.23 | 12.62 | 656.23 | 12.62 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 187.36 | 3.06 | 187.36 | 3.06 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.502 | 3.502 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 5,189.67 | 64.27 | 5,189.67 | 64.27 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 87 | 87 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 132 | 132 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 49 | 49 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 29,254.98 USDT | 27,433.40 | 29,254.98 USDT | 27,433.40 | 0 USDT | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 45,333.35 | 42,510.64 | 45,333.35 | 42,510.64 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 16,078.37 | 15,077.24 | 16,078.37 | 15,077.24 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 34,182.55 | 99.72 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 4,702.95 | 31.91 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,053.12 | 987.55 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.498 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.409 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.82 | 2.82 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 963.13 | 963.13 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 111 | 111 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 52 | 52 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 59 | 59 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.85 | 46.85 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 263.56 | 3.70 | 263.56 | 3.70 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 871.80 | 11.28 | 871.80 | 11.28 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 272.51 | 2.98 | 272.51 | 2.98 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.199 | 3.199 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 12,350.67 | 64.27 | 12,350.67 | 64.27 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 84 | 84 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 126 | 126 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 46 | 46 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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