🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [74765968]
🛡️ SUPER_FVMA BTCUSDT.P_2H @Arjandoxd
TREND FOLOWING
2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 06:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
- Sortino Ratio: 0.71
- Calmar: -0.98
- Longest DD Days: 192.00
- Volatility: 17.76
- Skew: -2.20
- Kurtosis: 5.03
- Expected Daily: 0.11
- Expected Monthly: 2.25
- Expected Yearly: 30.61
- Kelly Criterion: 12.41
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.56
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.36
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-15 12:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 25
- Number Winning Trades 1,316
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 308
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.98
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.18
- Payoff Ratio: 0.28
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.18
- Tail Ratio: 0.37
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 1.62
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.11
- Serenity Index: 22.18
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, there are key performance metrics to consider:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 405.19% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 37.94% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.328 |
Profit Factor | 1.182 |
Maximum Drawdown | -38.97% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 17.76% |
The strategy has achieved a cumulative return of 405.19% and an annualized return of 37.94%. While the cumulative returns are impressive, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.328 suggests that risk-adjusted returns could be improved. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of -38.97% is acceptable but is near the high end of our target, indicating room for improvement in risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, the strategy shows potential but needs refinement before being considered fully viable for real-world trading. The significant cumulative return denotes a strong upside; however, the unsatisfactory Sharpe Ratio and high drawdown suggest further adjustments are needed to ensure long-term success. It's vital to refine the strategy to better handle various market conditions and enhance its sustainability in persistently volatile markets.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management could benefit from improvement. While a maximum drawdown of approximately 39% is at the edge of our threshold, further mitigation strategies are advised. Consider the following suggestions:
- Reduce leverage to decrease maximum drawdown, as this can substantially lower risk exposure.
- Introduce or enhance stop-loss mechanisms to cap losses more effectively.
- Adjust position sizing dynamically, responding to changes in market volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To improve strategy effectiveness and robustness, explore the following recommendations:
- Perform parameter optimization exercises to discover settings that bolster performance while maintaining reasonable risk levels.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade decision criteria, potentially enhancing entry and exit timing.
- Conduct rigorous stress testing and back-testing across diverse market environments to ensure the strategy's adaptability and durability.
- Investigate alternative risk management approaches, such as diversification in asset allocations and sophisticated portfolio hedging strategies.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, while this strategy demonstrates promising returns, improvements in risk-adjusted performance and drawdown management are critical before proceeding to real-world deployment. The strategy's potential can be maximized through careful optimizations and enhanced risk management measures.
Recommendation: Continue developing and refining the strategy by implementing suggested improvements, ensuring robust performance across diverse market scenarios before live trading.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.91% | -5.02% | -7.45% | 5.91% | -1.88% | -10.68% | 11.42% | 19.22% | 8.10% |
2021 | 1.32% | 21.88% | 6.03% | 4.21% | 2.35% | -3.13% | 12.54% | -4.12% | 3.91% | 5.89% | -4.24% | 2.48% |
2022 | 7.71% | 19.99% | 1.63% | 3.20% | 12.03% | -2.69% | 4.37% | -5.24% | -6.73% | 4.24% | 7.23% | 7.68% |
2023 | 13.76% | -0.11% | 10.01% | -7.83% | -1.15% | 0.58% | 4.92% | -0.65% | -0.90% | 16.29% | 6.47% | 4.75% |
2024 | -0.36% | 18.15% | 0.44% | -11.18% | 2.34% | -6.20% | -5.19% | -2.75% | 8.18% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
324
Number of Trades
-22.37%
Cumulative Returns
74.07%
Win Rate
2024-02-26
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-10.68%
30 Days
-28.9%
60 Days
-27.7%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 571580.93 | 571.58 | 476814.72 | 476.81 | 94766.21 | 94.77 |
Gross Profit | 1797847.63 | 1797.85 | 1412723.5 | 1412.72 | 385124.13 | 385.12 |
Gross Loss | 1226266.7 | 1226.27 | 935908.78 | 935.91 | 290357.92 | 290.36 |
Commission Paid | 124405.05 | 97126.25 | 27278.8 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 721981.88 | 721.98 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 574493.34 | 85.53 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 76555.84 | 24.39 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 23.0 | 22.0 | 23.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1305.0 | 1014.0 | 291.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1081.0 | 843.0 | 238.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 224.0 | 171.0 | 53.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 82.84 | 83.14 | 81.79 | |||
Avg P&l | 437.99 | 1.02 | 470.23 | 1.04 | 325.66 | 0.96 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1663.13 | 1.73 | 1675.83 | 1.73 | 1618.17 | 1.74 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5474.4 | 2.4 | 5473.15 | 2.36 | 5478.45 | 2.52 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.304 | 0.306 | 0.295 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 6912.99 | 6912.99 | 5717.46 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.42 | 5.42 | 3.36 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 31728.8 | 31728.8 | 16723.96 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.55 | 6.55 | 4.86 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 13.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.522 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.447 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.466 | 1.509 | 1.326 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 405191.59 | 405.19 | 447299.92 | 447.3 | -42108.34 | -42.11 |
Gross Profit | 2635258.22 | 2635.26 | 2066652.8 | 2066.65 | 568605.42 | 568.61 |
Gross Loss | 2230066.63 | 2230.07 | 1619352.88 | 1619.35 | 610713.75 | 610.71 |
Commission Paid | 196185.82 | 150046.32 | 46139.5 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1145442.45 | 1145.44 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 697168.54 | 87.77 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 308600.06 | 38.97 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 23.0 | 22.0 | 23.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1624.0 | 1254.0 | 370.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1316.0 | 1023.0 | 293.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 308.0 | 231.0 | 77.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 81.03 | 81.58 | 79.19 | |||
Avg P&l | 249.5 | 0.94 | 356.7 | 0.98 | -113.81 | 0.84 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2002.48 | 1.72 | 2020.19 | 1.73 | 1940.63 | 1.72 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7240.48 | 2.39 | 7010.19 | 2.34 | 7931.35 | 2.51 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.277 | 0.288 | 0.245 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 9055.58 | 9055.58 | 7325.37 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.42 | 5.42 | 3.36 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 38639.09 | 32023.81 | 38639.09 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.55 | 6.55 | 5.41 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 13.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.328 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.714 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.182 | 1.276 | 0.931 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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