🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b7a78274]
🛡️ SUPER FVMA BTC 1H
@MarcoB
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 37 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 15:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
- Sortino Ratio: 0.92
- Calmar: -1.31
- Longest DD Days: 47.00
- Volatility: 72.07
- Skew: 0.41
- Kurtosis: -1.26
- Expected Daily: 0.95
- Expected Monthly: 21.98
- Expected Yearly: 985.41
- Kelly Criterion: 10.88
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.46
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.49
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-05 04:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 116
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 139
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.31
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.31
- Payoff Ratio: 1.55
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.31
- Tail Ratio: 1.97
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.79
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.15
- Serenity Index: 14.29
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the strategy's performance can be evaluated across several key metrics:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 696.2% |
CAGR (Annualized Return) | 58.34% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.437 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.966 |
Profit Factor | 1.273 |
Maximum Drawdown | 41.07% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 72.45% |
The strategy yields a substantial net profit increase of 696.2%, with a commendable CAGR of 58.34%. Despite falling slightly short of the desirable Sharpe Ratio (above 0.5), the Sortino Ratio indicates a moderate risk-adjusted return. The maximum drawdown of 41.07% suggests some vulnerability, possibly due to high leverage or exposure to market fluctuations.
Strategy Viability
Given the metrics, this strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading, but adjustments might be necessary for alignments with optimal risk management practices. Although its returns are favorable, the strategy seems best suited for risk-tolerant market environments. The performance can be further contextualized by tracking conditions under which it performed optimally, ensuring these conditions are likely to continue.
Risk Management
The strategy’s current risk management framework reveals certain areas for improvement, primarily indicated by the slightly excessive maximum drawdown:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease drawdown without significantly affecting returns.
- Integrate adaptive position sizing and adjusted stop-loss levels to curtail excessive losses during volatile periods.
- Enhance monitoring of exposure levels to align with volatility and market shifts.
Improvement Suggestions
Optimizing the strategy’s robustness while addressing identified weaknesses could involve the following actions:
- Review and optimize leverage levels to better handle drawdowns and avoid significant capital exposure.
- Utilize forward-testing on out-of-sample data to further confirm resilience against various market cycles.
- Employ additional technical indicators and machine learning models to refine entry and exit points.
- Augment the risk management specifications, possibly implementing Value-at-Risk (VaR) or maximum loss caps.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates lucrative profit potential with strong gross returns. However, the slightly lower Sharpe Ratio and marginally high drawdown indicate possible volatility constraints that should be refined through improved risk management. With nuanced optimizations and additional testing, the strategy holds promise for navigating real-world trading scenarios effectively.
Recommendation: Amend and advance the strategy while implementing risk management enhancements. Further testing and validation will be critical for ongoing deployability and strengthened market adaptability.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 9.10% | 22.22% | -4.59% | -17.68% | -7.88% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 3.05% | -2.10% | 11.62% | 1.12% | -7.02% | 6.22% | -2.55% | -0.67% | -6.96% | 18.68% | 5.12% | -2.06% |
2022 | 18.18% | 0.48% | 22.57% | -5.19% | -2.55% | 9.76% | 6.20% | 10.78% | 3.53% | -2.55% | 15.23% | 4.98% |
2021 | 9.24% | 21.80% | -2.52% | 3.39% | 14.08% | 15.88% | 13.13% | 2.99% | -10.63% | 16.63% | 1.83% | 13.14% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.51% | 9.45% | -11.27% | 7.45% | 1.15% | 4.36% | 11.72% | 7.33% | 1.75% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
51
Number of Trades
-30.9%
Cumulative Returns
31.37%
Win Rate
2024-02-20
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
8.05%
30 Days
-2.2%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,107,467.29 USD | 1,107.47 | 880,538.88 USD | 880.54 | 226,928.41 USD | 226.93 |
Gross Profit | 2,596,780.07 | 2,596.78 | 1,532,892.04 | 1,532.89 | 1,063,888.03 | 1,063.89 |
Gross Loss | 1,489,312.78 | 1,489.31 | 652,353.15 | 652.35 | 836,959.63 | 836.96 |
Max Run-up | 1,135,424.44 | 92.19 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 182,581.40 | 18.88 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 627,654.92 | 627.65 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.676 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.951 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.744 | 2.35 | 1.271 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 66 | 49 | 66 | |||
Open PL | 1,195.51 | 0.10 | ||||
Commission Paid | 70,342.11 | 36,989.49 | 33,352.62 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 204 | 104 | 100 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 100 | 58 | 42 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 104 | 46 | 58 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.02 | 55.77 | 42.00 | |||
Avg Trade | 5,428.76 | 1.60 | 8,466.72 | 2.00 | 2,269.28 | 1.19 |
Avg Winning Trade | 25,967.80 | 6.54 | 26,429.17 | 6.11 | 25,330.67 | 7.12 |
Avg Losing Trade | 14,320.32 | 3.14 | 14,181.59 | 3.17 | 14,430.34 | 3.11 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.813 | 1.864 | 1.755 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 98,036.07 | 7.12 | 92,358.25 | 6.22 | 98,036.07 | 7.12 |
Largest Losing Trade | 45,674.13 | 4.52 | 42,689.22 | 3.18 | 45,674.13 | 4.52 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 64 | 66 | 61 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 70 | 78 | 58 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 58 | 52 | 63 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 746,865.36 USD | 746.87 | 796,324.11 USD | 796.32 | −49,458.74 USD | −49.46 |
Gross Profit | 3,386,720.46 | 3,386.72 | 1,999,430.21 | 1,999.43 | 1,387,290.24 | 1,387.29 |
Gross Loss | 2,639,855.09 | 2,639.86 | 1,203,106.11 | 1,203.11 | 1,436,748.99 | 1,436.75 |
Max Run-up | 1,307,136.49 | 93.15 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 614,744.79 | 45.72 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,278,804.16 | 1,278.80 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.425 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.916 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.283 | 1.662 | 0.966 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 66 | 49 | 66 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 109,003.37 | 56,832.01 | 52,171.35 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 255 | 129 | 126 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 116 | 68 | 48 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 139 | 61 | 78 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.49 | 52.71 | 38.10 | |||
Avg Trade | 2,928.88 | 1.26 | 6,173.06 | 1.74 | −392.53 | 0.78 |
Avg Winning Trade | 29,195.87 | 6.54 | 29,403.39 | 6.13 | 28,901.88 | 7.12 |
Avg Losing Trade | 18,991.76 | 3.14 | 19,723.05 | 3.15 | 18,419.86 | 3.12 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.537 | 1.491 | 1.569 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 104,216.28 | 7.12 | 92,358.25 | 6.22 | 104,216.28 | 7.12 |
Largest Losing Trade | 61,399.77 | 4.52 | 61,399.77 | 3.18 | 54,665.83 | 4.52 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 65 | 68 | 61 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 73 | 78 | 65 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 58 | 56 | 59 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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