StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [0de9e014]
🛡️ STIFFTREND BTCUSDT 70M @helloitsiain
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 37 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 00:20:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.46
- Sortino Ratio: 1.15
- Calmar: -0.34
- Longest DD Days: 112.00
- Volatility: 2.44
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.02
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.20
- Expected Yearly: 2.48
- Kelly Criterion: 7.02
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.23
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.30
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-17 01:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 411
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 364
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.34
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
- Payoff Ratio: 1.02
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
- Tail Ratio: 1.05
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.03
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.94
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 1.10
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 774.05% |
Buy & Hold Return | 1167.14% |
Max Drawdown | 36.61% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.459 |
Profit Factor | 1.156 |
Percent Profitable | 53.03% |
The strategy shows a significant net profit of 774.05%; however, the Sharpe Ratio is marginally below the acceptable crypto threshold, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 36.61% is within the acceptable range, highlighting manageable risk levels. The profit factor is slightly above 1, suggesting more profitable than losing trades but indicating potential for stronger performance.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows promise but requires refinement to enhance viability for real-world trading. While it falls short compared to the buy-and-hold return of 1167.14%, several aspects suggest potential under certain market conditions. Ensuring the persistence of conditions conducive to the strategy's strengths is crucial for maintaining success.
Risk Management
The strategy employs adequate risk management with a max drawdown below 40%, however, the Sharpe Ratio indicates volatility and possible risks that need addressing. Considering these factors, refinement in risk management could enhance stability:
- Reducing leverage to further decrease drawdown and stabilize performance.
- Exploring dynamic stop-loss mechanisms to mitigate large losses.
- Implementing position sizing adjustments based on market conditions.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's robustness and efficacy, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize leverage use to minimize risk exposure, particularly in volatile markets.
- Incorporate additional technical and fundamental indicators to refine trade signals.
- Expand backtesting across various market environments to ensure consistent performance.
- Analyze and calibrate the Sharpe enhancing measures, like volatility smoothing.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy holds a strong growth potential with a respectable net profit and within-threshold drawdown, but requires optimization for optimal Sharpe and overall risk-adjusted performance. Addressing the slightly low Sharpe Ratio and near-benchmark performance will help align the strategy with robust real-world applications.
Recommendation: Proceed with cautious refinement and testing of critical components. Implement improvement strategies to solidify effectiveness, particularly through optimizing risk management frameworks and enhancing entry/exit criteria for diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.51% | -1.85% | 2.54% | 11.11% | -3.71% | 4.67% | 0.44% | -3.78% | 24.65% |
2021 | 7.12% | 18.65% | -9.18% | 15.59% | 11.15% | 22.94% | 13.41% | -3.56% | 5.48% | 19.66% | 8.49% | 0.81% |
2022 | 7.37% | 5.40% | 12.08% | 4.21% | 4.20% | 11.66% | 6.53% | 1.79% | 4.28% | 5.36% | 2.33% | 3.59% |
2023 | 13.37% | 8.28% | 5.53% | -2.21% | -4.95% | 8.54% | -6.29% | -0.29% | -0.28% | 13.81% | -3.38% | -2.19% |
2024 | 4.52% | 3.13% | 4.75% | -8.39% | 6.84% | -0.66% | 6.91% | -7.02% | -13.13% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
164
Number of Trades
-21.51%
Cumulative Returns
46.95%
Win Rate
2024-04-26
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.36%
30 Days
-23.72%
60 Days
-21.06%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -97.79 | -0.87 | ||||
Net Profit | 10238.01 | 1023.8 | 8802.15 | 880.21 | 1435.86 | 143.59 |
Gross Profit | 41087.55 | 4108.76 | 21932.74 | 2193.27 | 19154.82 | 1915.48 |
Gross Loss | 30849.54 | 3084.95 | 13130.59 | 1313.06 | 17718.95 | 1771.9 |
Commission Paid | 2115.9 | 1104.76 | 1011.14 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 8633.6 | 863.36 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 11657.05 | 92.36 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2343.35 | 20.69 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 611.0 | 316.0 | 295.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 334.0 | 193.0 | 141.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 277.0 | 123.0 | 154.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.66 | 61.08 | 47.8 | |||
Avg P&l | 16.76 | 0.57 | 27.85 | 0.83 | 4.87 | 0.29 |
Avg Winning Trade | 123.02 | 3.22 | 113.64 | 2.92 | 135.85 | 3.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 111.37 | 2.63 | 106.75 | 2.45 | 115.06 | 2.78 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.105 | 1.065 | 1.181 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 622.28 | 540.88 | 622.28 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.41 | 7.44 | 8.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 450.01 | 450.01 | 442.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.34 | 5.49 | 6.34 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 26.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 24.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 29.0 | 28.0 | 29.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.646 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.295 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.332 | 1.67 | 1.081 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 7740.53 | 774.05 | 7061.23 | 706.12 | 679.3 | 67.93 |
Gross Profit | 57314.96 | 5731.5 | 28625.61 | 2862.56 | 28689.35 | 2868.93 |
Gross Loss | 49574.43 | 4957.44 | 21564.38 | 2156.44 | 28010.05 | 2801.01 |
Commission Paid | 3160.31 | 1586.65 | 1573.66 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 11671.43 | 1167.14 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 13129.71 | 93.16 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 4947.36 | 36.61 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 775.0 | 392.0 | 383.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 411.0 | 227.0 | 184.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 364.0 | 165.0 | 199.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.03 | 57.91 | 48.04 | |||
Avg P&l | 9.99 | 0.41 | 18.01 | 0.61 | 1.77 | 0.2 |
Avg Winning Trade | 139.45 | 3.11 | 126.1 | 2.85 | 155.92 | 3.43 |
Avg Losing Trade | 136.19 | 2.64 | 130.69 | 2.46 | 140.75 | 2.79 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.024 | 0.965 | 1.108 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 622.28 | 540.88 | 622.28 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.41 | 7.44 | 8.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 681.16 | 450.01 | 681.16 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.59 | 5.49 | 6.59 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 27.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 24.0 | 26.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 28.0 | 29.0 | 27.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.459 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.153 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.156 | 1.327 | 1.024 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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