STIFFTREND BTCUSDT 30M
@
30
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-30 10:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.18
- Sortino Ratio: 0.35
- Calmar: -0.32
- Longest DD Days: 944.00
- Volatility: 0.52
- Skew: 0.17
- Kurtosis: 0.02
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.02
- Expected Yearly: 0.19
- Kelly Criterion: 2.58
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.05
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.06
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-17 01:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 859
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 914
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.32
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.06
- Payoff Ratio: 1.12
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.06
- Tail Ratio: 1.11
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.84
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.15
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.80
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 128.73% |
Cumulative Return | 128.73% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 25.00% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.175 |
Profit Factor | 1.052 |
Maximum Drawdown | 42.05% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 52.00% |
The strategy shows a cumulative return of 128.73%, and while the annualized return of 25% is respectable, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.175 suggests less compelling risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown is slightly above the comfortable threshold at 42.05%, indicating potential for improvement in risk management. The profit factor of 1.052, although positive, suggests only marginal profitability.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to have potential but requires further refinement to be considered viable for real-world trading. While the cumulative return is solid, the low Sharpe Ratio and higher-than-desirable drawdown call for attention. Identifying and capitalizing on favorable market conditions will be critical to enhancing performance. Moreover, evaluating how similar strategies perform under the same conditions could offer valuable insights.
Risk Management
While the strategy currently maintains an average drawdown within reasonable limits (34%), the high maximum drawdown suggests scope for better risk management and reduced exposure. Some strategies include:
- Reducing leverage, which could significantly lower the maximum drawdown and bring it within acceptable limits.
- Implementing stricter stop-loss mechanisms or dynamic hedging techniques to cut losses early and protect profits.
- Exploring position sizing strategies that adapt to prevailing market volatility, thereby minimizing risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s performance and make it more robust, consider the following enhancements:
- Optimize strategy parameters, such as entry and exit points, to improve trade profitability and consistency.
- Incorporate additional technical or fundamental indicators that could provide more accurate signals.
- Conduct extensive backtesting and out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy's robustness across different market scenarios.
- Explore advanced risk management techniques, including stress testing and VaR constraints, to better handle market volatility.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits promising aspects like a solid net profit and manageable volatility. However, improvements are needed, especially in drawdown management and risk-adjusted returns.
Recommendation: Continue refining and testing the strategy, focusing on enhanced risk management and parameter optimization. Implement the suggested improvements to bolster robustness and adaptability to varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.60% | 16.14% | -17.52% | -5.34% | -0.74% | -3.33% | 1.26% | -0.58% | -8.76% | -7.67% |
2021 | 15.39% | 22.63% | 0.25% | 6.56% | 18.38% | 26.45% | 4.65% | 3.91% | 3.76% | 11.08% | -1.58% | -7.65% |
2022 | 1.98% | 17.49% | -0.48% | 1.55% | -0.61% | 11.78% | 9.46% | -11.56% | -4.52% | -1.86% | -8.62% | -0.07% |
2023 | 6.64% | -4.71% | 11.88% | -4.17% | 4.80% | 4.17% | -7.48% | 4.56% | -2.52% | 10.59% | -5.54% | 0.51% |
2024 | -2.50% | 6.04% | -6.57% | -7.98% | -4.91% | 6.26% | -0.77% | 9.04% | -4.55% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
345
Number of Trades
3.47%
Cumulative Returns
47.83%
Win Rate
2024-04-26
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
6.64%
30 Days
20.78%
60 Days
-10.15%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -1.63 | -0.07 | ||||
Net Profit | 1286.88 | 128.69 | 1281.82 | 128.18 | 5.06 | 0.51 |
Gross Profit | 20555.98 | 2055.6 | 10067.22 | 1006.72 | 10488.76 | 1048.88 |
Gross Loss | 19269.1 | 1926.91 | 8785.39 | 878.54 | 10483.71 | 1048.37 |
Commission Paid | 1644.45 | 829.64 | 814.82 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 9915.39 | 991.54 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2198.03 | 75.56 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 786.04 | 42.05 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1428.0 | 718.0 | 710.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 694.0 | 364.0 | 330.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 734.0 | 354.0 | 380.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.6 | 50.7 | 46.48 | |||
Avg P&l | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.79 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
Avg Winning Trade | 29.62 | 2.13 | 27.66 | 1.96 | 31.78 | 2.32 |
Avg Losing Trade | 26.25 | 1.83 | 24.82 | 1.69 | 27.59 | 1.96 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.128 | 1.114 | 1.152 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 146.1 | 118.05 | 146.1 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.28 | 6.58 | 8.28 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 121.69 | 99.72 | 121.69 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.64 | 5.81 | 6.64 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 26.0 | 25.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 26.0 | 25.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.203 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.415 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.067 | 1.146 | 1.0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1287.3 | 128.73 | 1182.99 | 118.3 | 104.32 | 10.43 |
Gross Profit | 25868.36 | 2586.84 | 12419.28 | 1241.93 | 13449.08 | 1344.91 |
Gross Loss | 24581.06 | 2458.11 | 11236.29 | 1123.63 | 13344.77 | 1334.48 |
Commission Paid | 2122.21 | 1052.99 | 1069.22 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 13243.12 | 1324.31 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2198.03 | 75.56 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 829.57 | 42.05 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1773.0 | 878.0 | 895.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 859.0 | 435.0 | 424.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 914.0 | 443.0 | 471.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.45 | 49.54 | 47.37 | |||
Avg P&l | 0.73 | 0.08 | 1.35 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
Avg Winning Trade | 30.11 | 2.08 | 28.55 | 1.95 | 31.72 | 2.22 |
Avg Losing Trade | 26.89 | 1.8 | 25.36 | 1.67 | 28.33 | 1.93 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.12 | 1.126 | 1.12 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 146.1 | 118.05 | 146.1 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.28 | 6.58 | 8.28 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 121.69 | 99.72 | 121.69 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.64 | 5.81 | 6.64 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 26.0 | 25.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 25.0 | 26.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.175 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.349 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.052 | 1.105 | 1.008 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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