StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7c281721]
🛡️ STIFF BTC 30MIN
@
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 56 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-01 20:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.22
- Sortino Ratio: 2.84
- Calmar: -0.42
- Longest DD Days: 16.00
- Volatility: 14.26
- Skew: -0.79
- Kurtosis: 64.72
- Expected Daily: 0.09
- Expected Monthly: 1.96
- Expected Yearly: 26.27
- Kelly Criterion: 18.02
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.65
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.69
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 10:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 12
- Number Winning Trades 249
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 155
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.42
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.42
- Payoff Ratio: 0.89
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.42
- Tail Ratio: 1.34
- Outlier Win Ratio: 7.91
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 11.41
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: 1.23
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 4322.23% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 7.48% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.224 |
Profit Factor | 1.475 |
Maximum Drawdown | -49.98% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 14.26% |
The strategy shows a significant cumulative return of 4322.23%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.224 is below the preferred threshold, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of -49.98% is above the preferred limit, suggesting potential risks during drawdowns. Despite a decent profit factor of 1.475, which suggests that profitable trades outweigh losing ones, risk management enhancements could improve overall performance.
Strategy Viability
Based on the given data, the strategy has promise but shows volatility and risk issues that need addressing to be viable for real-world trading. The high cumulative return is appealing, but achieving more stable risk-adjusted performance is crucial. Evaluating different market conditions where this strategy could excel and predicting their persistence is beneficial. It is pivotal to ensure that the strategy adapts well to varying market dynamics.
Risk Management
The current risk management approach requires refinement, particularly regarding the high maximum drawdown:
- Reducing leverage could help bring the maximum drawdown below 40%, improving stability without sacrificing potential returns.
- Incorporating stricter stop-loss mechanisms might prevent large individual losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s performance, consider deploying the following enhancements:
- Optimize the risk-reward balance by testing different leverage levels, ensuring maximum drawdown remains manageable.
- Experiment with new technical indicators for better timing of entries and exits.
- Conduct thorough back-testing across various market conditions to validate robustness beyond current parameters.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, while the strategy showcases high cumulative returns, its current risk-adjusted metrics and drawdown levels present challenges. With dedicated focus on mitigation of downside risks and improvement of the Sharpe Ratio, this strategy holds potential for robust performance.
Recommendation: Further modification and rigorous risk assessments are advised. Reducing leverage and incorporating improvements will enhance the strategy's adaptability to varied market conditions, setting the stage for sustainable and profitable trading.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 161.29% | 32.98% | 11.36% | 15.69% | 7.44% | 14.23% | 24.22% | 12.88% | 19.13% |
2021 | -4.77% | 17.79% | 9.62% | 12.70% | 5.46% | 3.96% | 12.85% | -1.74% | 7.41% | 8.45% | 9.45% | 6.06% |
2022 | 2.55% | 12.05% | 5.19% | -2.28% | 5.11% | 0.82% | 7.33% | 0.75% | 6.45% | 4.65% | 2.30% | 0.34% |
2023 | 3.48% | 2.60% | 6.75% | -0.33% | 3.36% | 1.83% | 2.10% | 1.81% | 0.59% | 1.56% | 0.62% | 3.85% |
2024 | 5.93% | -0.83% | 3.48% | 2.51% | 0.53% | 2.76% | 1.52% | 1.48% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
79
Number of Trades
-5.71%
Cumulative Returns
51.9%
Win Rate
2024-05-05
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-3.14%
30 Days
64.72%
60 Days
-21.1%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 52516.7 | 5251.67 | 34887.91 | 3488.79 | 17628.79 | 1762.88 |
Gross Profit | 99431.14 | 9943.11 | 60760.83 | 6076.08 | 38670.3 | 3867.03 |
Gross Loss | 46914.44 | 4691.44 | 25872.93 | 2587.29 | 21041.51 | 2104.15 |
Commission Paid | 6252.3 | 3923.24 | 2329.07 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 8765.39 | 876.54 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 52520.74 | 98.14 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3550.41 | 45.75 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 12.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 325.0 | 199.0 | 126.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 208.0 | 133.0 | 75.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 117.0 | 66.0 | 51.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 64.0 | 66.83 | 59.52 | |||
Avg P&l | 161.59 | 0.57 | 175.32 | 0.6 | 139.91 | 0.53 |
Avg Winning Trade | 478.03 | 2.0 | 456.85 | 1.85 | 515.6 | 2.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 400.98 | 1.96 | 392.01 | 1.93 | 412.58 | 2.0 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.192 | 1.165 | 1.25 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 3020.83 | 3020.83 | 2119.84 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.23 | 3.81 | 4.23 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1684.88 | 1247.58 | 1684.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.39 | 5.39 | 4.13 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 29.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 30.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 28.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.255 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 15.433 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.119 | 2.348 | 1.838 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 43222.28 | 4322.23 | 18794.54 | 1879.45 | 24427.74 | 2442.77 |
Gross Profit | 134237.27 | 13423.73 | 77274.6 | 7727.46 | 56962.67 | 5696.27 |
Gross Loss | 91015.0 | 9101.5 | 58480.07 | 5848.01 | 32534.93 | 3253.49 |
Commission Paid | 9736.95 | 5899.17 | 3837.78 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 12234.74 | 1223.47 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 62027.08 | 98.42 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 31378.97 | 49.98 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 12.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 404.0 | 247.0 | 157.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 249.0 | 155.0 | 94.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 155.0 | 92.0 | 63.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 61.63 | 62.75 | 59.87 | |||
Avg P&l | 106.99 | 0.46 | 76.09 | 0.44 | 155.59 | 0.5 |
Avg Winning Trade | 539.11 | 1.94 | 498.55 | 1.83 | 605.99 | 2.14 |
Avg Losing Trade | 587.19 | 1.92 | 635.65 | 1.9 | 516.43 | 1.95 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.918 | 0.784 | 1.173 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 12474.46 | 4714.36 | 12474.46 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.23 | 3.81 | 4.23 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 14071.87 | 14071.87 | 8639.52 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.39 | 5.39 | 4.13 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 29.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 28.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 29.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.224 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.835 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.475 | 1.321 | 1.751 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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