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DaviddTech
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soperator precisiontrendmastery ethusdt 1h 29.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @soperator
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2654094d]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMASTERY ETHUSDT 1H 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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  • icon 1
  • icon 3
  • icon 1
  • icon 2

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-11.78% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
269.89%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
40.25%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.483
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.35%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
236
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 9, 2023
1,160
Days
236
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 14, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-09 10:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.23
  • Calmar: -2.35
  • Longest DD Days: 37.00
  • Volatility: 66.00
  • Skew: 1.72
  • Kurtosis: 4.61
  • Expected Daily: 0.62
  • Expected Monthly: 13.78
  • Expected Yearly: 370.78
  • Kelly Criterion: 12.87
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.50
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.45
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-14 06:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 95
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 141
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.35
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.47
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.20
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.47
  • Tail Ratio: 1.72
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.06
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.08
  • Serenity Index: 9.63

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.77%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.05%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-1.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.56%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-4.99%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-36.49%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-4.43%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-12.23%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+3.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
40.5%
Total Trades
237
Cumulative
-3.63%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
162.51%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-5.08%
+25.95%
Simple P&L
+2.60%
-6.52%
Simple P&L
+1.05%
+6.98%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
+5.75%
Simple P&L
+1.22%
-15.64%
Simple P&L
+1.28%
+6.88%
Simple P&L
-1.00%
+2.70%
Simple P&L
-3.04%
+10.19%
Simple P&L
+2.36%
+4.43%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+17.30%
Simple P&L
-1.06%
-5.78%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
+1.35%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.35%
+9.26%
Simple P&L
+3.23%
+38.30%
Simple P&L
-3.18%
-2.02%
Simple P&L
-1.53%
-10.90%
Simple P&L
+2.65%
+1.53%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
-16.41%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+16.35%
Simple P&L
-1.99%
-2.33%
Simple P&L
+1.05%
+9.85%
Simple P&L
-3.49%
-2.82%
Simple P&L
+1.96%
+18.90%
Simple P&L
-2.31%
+8.49%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.47%
+1.03%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
-8.57%
Simple P&L
+1.16%
-9.64%
Simple P&L
-0.33%
+15.18%
Simple P&L
-0.67%
+11.11%
Simple P&L
+3.44%
+13.87%
Simple P&L
-3.04%
+27.71%
Simple P&L
+2.78%
-8.43%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

237

Number of Trades

-3.63%

Cumulative Returns

40.51%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-36.49%

30 Days

-12.23%

60 Days

-4.43%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l420.440.11
Net Profit269892.58269.89191644.12191.6478248.4678.25
Gross Profit828107.61828.11451368.02451.37376739.58376.74
Gross Loss558215.03558.22259723.9259.72298491.13298.49
Expected Payoff1143.611597.03674.56
Commission Paid18842.748541.8610300.88
Buy & Hold Return66900.6766.9
Buy & Hold % Gain66.9
Strategy Outperformance202991.91
Max Contracts Held184171.0184.0
Annualized Return (cagr)50.4839.7119.79
Return On Initial Capital269.89191.6478.25
Account Size Required78655.37
Return On Account Size Required343.13243.6599.48
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)29 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)33218.2233.22
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)116100.12116.1
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)307899.3475.51
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)307.9
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)37 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)22758.7222.76
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.442.441.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)74350.3874.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78655.3721.69
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.66
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1084.54770.1317.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit7.2613.328.97
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.469.588.25
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades236.0120.0116.0
Number Winning Trades95.043.052.0
Number Losing Trades141.077.064.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable40.2535.8344.83
Avg P&l1143.610.691597.031.13674.560.23
Avg Winning Trade8716.927.6810496.9310.117244.995.68
Avg Losing Trade3958.974.033373.043.894663.924.19
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.2023.1121.553
Largest Winning Trade60111.5860111.5833799.11
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.7514.758.07
Largest Losing Trade24885.5224885.5224626.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.575.535.57
Avg # Bars In Trades94.0114.072.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades115.0165.074.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades79.086.071.0
Sharpe Ratio0.368
Sortino Ratio1.23
Profit Factor1.4831.7381.262
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l396.940.11
Net Profit269892.58269.89191644.12191.6478248.4678.25
Gross Profit828107.61828.11451368.02451.37376739.58376.74
Gross Loss558215.03558.22259723.9259.72298491.13298.49
Expected Payoff1143.611597.03674.56
Commission Paid18842.748541.8610300.88
Buy & Hold Return66848.0166.85
Buy & Hold % Gain66.85
Strategy Outperformance203044.56
Max Contracts Held184171.0184.0
Annualized Return (cagr)50.4839.7119.79
Return On Initial Capital269.89191.6478.25
Account Size Required78655.37
Return On Account Size Required343.13243.6599.48
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)29 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)33218.2233.22
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)116100.12116.1
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)307899.3475.51
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)307.9
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)37 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)22758.7222.76
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.442.441.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)74350.3874.35
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)78655.3721.69
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)78.66
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1084.54770.1317.74
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit7.2613.328.97
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.469.588.25
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades236.0120.0116.0
Number Winning Trades95.043.052.0
Number Losing Trades141.077.064.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable40.2535.8344.83
Avg P&l1143.610.691597.031.13674.560.23
Avg Winning Trade8716.927.6810496.9310.117244.995.68
Avg Losing Trade3958.974.033373.043.894663.924.19
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.2023.1121.553
Largest Winning Trade60111.5860111.5833799.11
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.7514.758.07
Largest Losing Trade24885.5224885.5224626.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.575.535.57
Avg # Bars In Trades94.0114.072.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades115.0165.074.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades79.086.071.0
Sharpe Ratio0.368
Sortino Ratio1.23
Profit Factor1.4831.7381.262
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 273.96%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 51.3%
Sharpe Ratio 0.372
Profit Factor 1.494
Maximum Drawdown (close-to-close) -74.35%
Volatility (Annualized) 66.12%

The strategy shows good cumulative returns at 273.96% with an annualized return of 51.3%, indicating strong performance over the observed period. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.372 is below the desired threshold of 0.5, suggesting the need for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of -74.35% is quite significant, revealing potential risks that need to be mitigated despite the otherwise positive aspects.

Strategy Viability

The strategy presents potential for real-world trading given its strong aggregate returns. Nonetheless, the substantial drawdown and a Sharpe Ratio that falls below the benchmark suggest careful consideration and adjustments. It will benefit from operating under specific market conditions where volatility can be effectively managed and when high risk scenarios are expected to reduce.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management approach seems to have room for enhancement. Despite a positive Profit Factor of 1.494, the high drawdown could be managed better through:

  • Implementing dynamic leverage to mitigate excessive drawdowns and volatility.
  • Utilizing additional stop-loss mechanisms to minimize potential large losses.
  • Adapting position sizing to keep exposure consistent with the market volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the strategy's performance and stability, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refine strategy parameters to find an optimal balance between return and risk, particularly targeting drawdowns.
  • Broaden the range of technical indicators for better timing of trades.
  • Carry out rigorous out-of-sample testing to confirm the strategy's effectiveness in different scenarios.
  • Develop a comprehensive risk management strategy, including Value-at-Risk (VaR) and portfolio diversification techniques.
  • Leverage adjustment: By using less leverage, the maximum drawdown risk can be significantly decreased while maintaining a robust strategy performance.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy showcases strong cumulative returns but is held back by a high maximum drawdown and a lower-than-desired Sharpe Ratio. By implementing the improvements suggested, particularly in risk management and parameter optimization, the strategy's robustness and efficiency can be significantly enhanced.

Recommendation: Proceed with strategy refinement and testing. Focus on improving the risk metrics and apply the recommended adjustments to ensure a more resilient and high-performing strategy for varied market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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