🚀 Precision Trend Matrix by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6f9932d9]
🛡️ TREND PRECISION SOL 1H
@helloitsiain
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-07 15:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.35
- Sortino Ratio: 0.81
- Calmar: -0.52
- Longest DD Days: 145.00
- Volatility: 1.67
- Skew: 1.08
- Kurtosis: 0.30
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.16
- Expected Yearly: 1.89
- Kelly Criterion: 5.86
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.10
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.12
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-06 04:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 135
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 232
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.52
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.19
- Payoff Ratio: 2.04
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.19
- Tail Ratio: 2.36
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.07
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.48
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 0.87
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 254.58% |
Gross Profit | 1593.12% |
Gross Loss | 1338.54% |
Buy & Hold Return | 367.59% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.351 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.796 |
Profit Factor | 1.19 |
Maximum Drawdown | 42.9% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 1.63 |
Expected Yearly Return | 1.86% |
Percent Profitable | 37.32% |
The strategy exhibits a net profit of 254.58%, which shows substantial growth. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.351, while positive, suggests there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.19 indicates marginal profitability considering risk. The maximum drawdown of 42.9% indicates higher risk exposure, slightly above the desired threshold of 40%.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential but requires optimization to be more viable for real-world trading. It’s important to note the market conditions under which such performance was achieved and evaluate the likelihood of their persistence. The strategy’s metrics suggest it's underperforming compared to typical industry benchmarks, and its high drawdown could be a concern.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management has room for improvement, especially in managing and reducing max drawdown. Recommendations include:
- Reducing leverage to decrease maximum drawdown easily.
- Implementing tighter stop-loss controls to limit losses more effectively.
- Incorporating position sizing tailored to current market volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following strategies:
- Optimize parameters by backtesting across various market conditions to find the optimal settings.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
- Consider out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate the strategy's effectiveness over different timeframes and market states.
- Expand on the volatility management aspect by employing advanced tools like Bollinger Bands or ATR (Average True Range).
Final Opinion
In summary, while the strategy demonstrates a positive net profit and some promising attributes, it falls short in key areas such as risk-adjusted return and max drawdown management. The high drawdown and modest Sharpe Ratio suggest that the strategy, as is, might require further refinement to align with typical investment goals.
Recommendation: Modify the strategy by optimizing its parameters and enhancing risk management techniques, especially focusing on reducing leverage. Continued testing is crucial to confirm improvements and gauge its robustness in varying market conditions. Proceed with caution and optimization efforts to improve its viability.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 13.79% | -7.29% | -4.47% | -0.71% | 6.03% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 10.07% | -2.77% | 19.56% | -3.78% | -12.75% | -4.72% | -5.57% | -2.51% | -11.33% | 12.98% | 13.44% | 9.98% |
2022 | 18.41% | 10.41% | 25.38% | 10.00% | 2.71% | 1.60% | 5.13% | 4.94% | -9.89% | -3.01% | 9.29% | -10.74% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.15% | 17.06% | -1.96% | 17.24% | 16.03% | 6.80% |
Live Trades Stats
SOL
Base Currency
75
Number of Trades
28.14%
Cumulative Returns
26.67%
Win Rate
2024-03-13
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
4.19%
30 Days
4.08%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,930.82 USD | 193.08 | 522.02 USD | 52.20 | 1,408.81 USD | 140.88 |
Gross Profit | 12,333.89 | 1,233.39 | 6,429.58 | 642.96 | 5,904.31 | 590.43 |
Gross Loss | 10,403.07 | 1,040.31 | 5,907.56 | 590.76 | 4,495.50 | 449.55 |
Max Run-up | 2,909.24 | 77.17 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,593.55 | 42.90 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 3,406.70 | 340.67 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.339 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.718 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.186 | 1.088 | 1.313 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 150 | 140 | 150 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 372.08 | 198.78 | 173.30 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 294 | 154 | 140 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 115 | 60 | 55 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 179 | 94 | 85 | |||
Percent Profitable | 39.12 | 38.96 | 39.29 | |||
Avg Trade | 6.57 | 0.74 | 3.39 | 0.70 | 10.06 | 0.79 |
Avg Winning Trade | 107.25 | 7.58 | 107.16 | 7.79 | 107.35 | 7.35 |
Avg Losing Trade | 58.12 | 3.65 | 62.85 | 3.83 | 52.89 | 3.46 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.845 | 1.705 | 2.03 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 325.26 | 17.39 | 325.26 | 17.39 | 262.70 | 17.34 |
Largest Losing Trade | 215.61 | 10.54 | 215.61 | 10.54 | 130.30 | 7.71 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 37 | 32 | 41 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 54 | 43 | 67 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,711.51 USD | 271.15 | 1,281.60 USD | 128.16 | 1,429.90 USD | 142.99 |
Gross Profit | 16,979.65 | 1,697.96 | 8,883.81 | 888.38 | 8,095.84 | 809.58 |
Gross Loss | 14,268.14 | 1,426.81 | 7,602.21 | 760.22 | 6,665.93 | 666.59 |
Max Run-up | 3,483.93 | 80.19 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,593.55 | 42.90 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 5,415.31 | 541.53 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.351 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.807 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.19 | 1.169 | 1.215 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 150 | 140 | 150 | |||
Open PL | 161.38 | 4.35 | ||||
Commission Paid | 496.57 | 259.74 | 236.82 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 367 | 190 | 177 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 135 | 70 | 65 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 232 | 120 | 112 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.78 | 36.84 | 36.72 | |||
Avg Trade | 7.39 | 0.73 | 6.75 | 0.78 | 8.08 | 0.67 |
Avg Winning Trade | 125.78 | 8.15 | 126.91 | 8.40 | 124.55 | 7.89 |
Avg Losing Trade | 61.50 | 3.59 | 63.35 | 3.66 | 59.52 | 3.52 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.045 | 2.003 | 2.093 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 349.00 | 17.39 | 349.00 | 17.39 | 320.18 | 17.34 |
Largest Losing Trade | 215.61 | 10.54 | 215.61 | 10.54 | 186.95 | 9.04 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 41 | 36 | 46 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 57 | 48 | 68 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 29 | 33 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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