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schmidhip michonneV5 btcusdt 121m 29.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 121 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [614e6d7c]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 BTCUSDT 121M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 2
  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
5225.11%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
43.33%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
30.4%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.759
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
337.56%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
150
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 24, 2020
2,032
Days
150
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 5, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-24 14:07:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.38
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.34
  • Calmar: -1.56
  • Longest DD Days: 21.00
  • Volatility: 100.99
  • Skew: 2.09
  • Kurtosis: 5.04
  • Expected Daily: 1.42
  • Expected Monthly: 34.49
  • Expected Yearly: 3,402.03
  • Kelly Criterion: 20.06
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.59
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.86
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-05 12:06:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 65
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 85
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.56
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.86
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.43
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.86
  • Tail Ratio: 3.09
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.58
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 8.79

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-435.33%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+671.01%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+671.01%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-980.67%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.29%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+2.83%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.83%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-3.08%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
43.3%
Total Trades
150
Cumulative
5,225.11%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
101.63%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+16.20%
+2.90%
Simple P&L
-15.38%
-6.19%
Simple P&L
-10.09%
-1.82%
Simple P&L
+30.98%
+4.92%
Simple P&L
-5.89%
-1.29%
Simple P&L
+17.39%
+3.05%
Simple P&L
+89.29%
+13.00%
Simple P&L
+2.21%
+4.23%
Simple P&L
+129.69%
+10.81%
Simple P&L
2021
-10.14%
-1.58%
Simple P&L
-21.99%
-3.63%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.45%
-0.47%
Simple P&L
+11.24%
+3.16%
Simple P&L
+1.07%
-0.31%
Simple P&L
-65.46%
-5.93%
Simple P&L
-3.22%
-0.33%
Simple P&L
+11.09%
+1.54%
Simple P&L
-29.74%
+0.70%
Simple P&L
+44.21%
+5.85%
Simple P&L
-5.78%
-4.17%
Simple P&L
2022
+73.01%
+7.15%
Simple P&L
+172.99%
+11.39%
Simple P&L
-14.54%
-3.51%
Simple P&L
-34.78%
-1.43%
Simple P&L
+357.82%
+15.95%
Simple P&L
+31.44%
+5.12%
Simple P&L
+14.85%
+2.59%
Simple P&L
-21.67%
-0.53%
Simple P&L
+16.22%
-0.86%
Simple P&L
+79.27%
+1.60%
Simple P&L
+135.75%
-0.49%
Simple P&L
+91.54%
+1.47%
Simple P&L
2023
+319.06%
+4.87%
Simple P&L
-96.97%
-1.13%
Simple P&L
+429.97%
+9.57%
Simple P&L
+214.71%
+2.05%
Simple P&L
-93.27%
-0.81%
Simple P&L
+267.36%
+2.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1,025.22%
+8.57%
Simple P&L
-238.85%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
-210.15%
-1.92%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-338.41%
-2.18%
Simple P&L
2024
-26.90%
-0.19%
Simple P&L
+939.91%
+10.30%
Simple P&L
-80.75%
-0.68%
Simple P&L
-193.85%
-2.80%
Simple P&L
-580.17%
-2.54%
Simple P&L
+57.68%
+1.27%
Simple P&L
+962.39%
+6.45%
Simple P&L
-272.41%
-4.20%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-183.86%
-1.02%
Simple P&L
+804.20%
+7.07%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-262.22%
-2.38%
Simple P&L
+1,135.92%
+5.32%
Simple P&L
+334.45%
+2.01%
Simple P&L
-134.49%
-0.89%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

150

Number of Trades

5225.11%

Cumulative Returns

43.33%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-1.29%

30 Days

2.83%

60 Days

2.83%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit488755.494887.55118126.841181.27370628.653706.29
Gross Profit1074768.4210747.68607540.76075.41467227.724672.28
Gross Loss586012.935860.13489413.864894.1496599.07965.99
Commission Paid108508.5879814.3428694.24
Buy & Hold Return146517.931465.18
Max Contracts Held7061.070.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration49 days
Avg Equity Run-up44321.8443.22
Max Equity Run-up662544.5498.65
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration61 days
Avg Equity Drawdown28422.8284.23
Max Drawdown133185.530.4
Total Closed Trades143.099.044.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades63.041.022.0
Number Losing Trades80.058.022.0
Percent Profitable44.0641.4150.0
Avg P&l3417.870.71193.20.618423.380.91
Avg Winning Trade17059.823.314818.073.0721237.623.72
Avg Losing Trade7325.161.348438.171.124390.871.9
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3291.7564.837
Largest Winning Trade119772.21119772.2194436.86
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.438.3214.43
Largest Losing Trade59163.1559163.1522489.07
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.483.424.48
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.389
Sortino Ratio1.398
Profit Factor1.8341.2414.837
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit522510.95225.11222484.32224.84300026.593000.27
Gross Profit1210865.5912108.66743637.867436.38467227.724672.28
Gross Loss688354.696883.55521153.565211.54167201.131672.01
Commission Paid123053.2188116.0234937.19
Buy & Hold Return115842.531158.43
Max Contracts Held7061.070.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration49 days
Avg Equity Run-up46708.54467.09
Max Equity Run-up662544.5498.65
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration65 days
Avg Equity Drawdown31290.69312.91
Max Drawdown183590.9530.4
Total Closed Trades150.0103.047.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades65.043.022.0
Number Losing Trades85.060.025.0
Percent Profitable43.3341.7546.81
Avg P&l3483.410.682160.040.636383.540.78
Avg Winning Trade18628.73.2917293.93.0721237.623.72
Avg Losing Trade8098.291.328685.891.116688.051.81
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.31.9913.175
Largest Winning Trade126042.75126042.7594436.86
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.438.3214.43
Largest Losing Trade59163.1559163.1545808.93
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.483.424.48
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.377
Sortino Ratio1.342
Profit Factor1.7591.4272.794
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 52.25%
CAGR 39.13%
Sharpe Ratio 0.377
Sortino Ratio 1.342
Profit Factor 1.759
Maximum Drawdown 30.4%
Volatility (Annualized) 100.99%

The strategy achieves a net profit of 52.25% and an annualized return (CAGR) of 39.13%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.377 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown is within acceptable limits at 30.4%, indicating a relatively good downside protection. The profit factor of 1.759 reflects reasonable trading efficiency.

Strategy Viability

The strategy can be considered viable for real-world trading under certain conditions, particularly due to its moderate drawdown and positive profit factor. However, the lower Sharpe ratio indicates that the strategy might not be optimizing the risk-reward balance efficiently. It would be beneficial to identify market conditions in which this strategy excels, considering the volatility of the cryptocurrency market.

Risk Management

The risk management approach has been satisfactory in maintaining a drawdown below 40%. Still, with elevated annualized volatility at 100.99%, there is potential for improvement:

  • Implement dynamic position sizing to accommodate market volatility.
  • Introduce additional stop-loss mechanisms to prevent substantial losses.
  • Adopt diversified asset allocations to reduce portfolio risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refine parameters to amplify risk-adjusted returns, focusing on improving the Sharpe ratio.
  • Incorporate additional indicators for better timing of trade entries and exits.
  • Engage in out-of-sample and forward testing to verify strategy resilience in varied market scenarios.
  • Consider reducing leverage to marginally decrease the maximum drawdown and volatility.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates a constructive return profile with a decent net profit. However, improvements can be made by optimizing risk-adjusted returns and managing volatility more effectively. The current risk management seems acceptable, as seen by the drawdown levels, but there remains substantial room to enhance performance and robustness.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining and optimizing the strategy. Apply suggested enhancements to strengthen its robustness and risk management practices, especially in addressing higher volatility in the crypto markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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