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schmidhip michonneV5 btcusdt 121m 29.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 121 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [614e6d7c]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 BTCUSDT 121M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 days ago
Total Return Primary
5380.35%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
43.45%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
30.07%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.793
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
145
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 24, 2020
1,970
Days
145
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 18, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-24 14:07:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.44
  • Calmar: -1.95
  • Longest DD Days: 21.00
  • Volatility: 100.73
  • Skew: 2.14
  • Kurtosis: 5.44
  • Expected Daily: 1.48
  • Expected Monthly: 36.15
  • Expected Yearly: 3,956.17
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.63
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.32
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.72
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-18 14:07:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 63
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 82
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.95
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.75
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.28
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.75
  • Tail Ratio: 2.90
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.65
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 10.60

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-107.28%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1,652.76%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-378.98%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-231.58%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.02%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-5.19%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-1.85%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.48%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
43.4%
Total Trades
145
Cumulative
5,380.35%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
103.17%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+16.57%
+2.96%
Simple P&L
-15.14%
-6.07%
Simple P&L
-9.83%
-1.76%
Simple P&L
+31.91%
+5.04%
Simple P&L
-5.84%
-1.26%
Simple P&L
+17.93%
+3.11%
Simple P&L
+93.07%
+13.23%
Simple P&L
+3.25%
+4.35%
Simple P&L
+135.43%
+10.93%
Simple P&L
2021
-10.31%
-1.55%
Simple P&L
-22.26%
-3.54%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.22%
-0.44%
Simple P&L
+11.82%
+3.19%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
-0.25%
Simple P&L
-67.18%
-5.82%
Simple P&L
-3.05%
-0.30%
Simple P&L
+11.83%
+1.57%
Simple P&L
-30.53%
+0.78%
Simple P&L
+47.22%
+5.94%
Simple P&L
-6.05%
-4.14%
Simple P&L
2022
+77.26%
+7.18%
Simple P&L
+183.49%
+11.46%
Simple P&L
-14.10%
-3.42%
Simple P&L
-36.09%
-1.40%
Simple P&L
+383.41%
+16.10%
Simple P&L
+34.89%
+5.24%
Simple P&L
+17.02%
+2.65%
Simple P&L
-21.84%
-0.50%
Simple P&L
+19.24%
-0.80%
Simple P&L
+86.61%
+1.63%
Simple P&L
+149.56%
-0.40%
Simple P&L
+102.76%
+1.53%
Simple P&L
2023
+360.11%
+5.08%
Simple P&L
-103.02%
-1.10%
Simple P&L
+476.96%
+9.69%
Simple P&L
+239.00%
+2.08%
Simple P&L
-98.68%
-0.78%
Simple P&L
+306.01%
+2.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1,141.39%
+8.63%
Simple P&L
-261.06%
-1.62%
Simple P&L
-215.29%
-1.80%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-368.24%
-2.12%
Simple P&L
2024
-25.47%
-0.16%
Simple P&L
+1,076.01%
+10.43%
Simple P&L
-87.20%
-0.65%
Simple P&L
-216.81%
-2.77%
Simple P&L
-646.03%
-2.45%
Simple P&L
+76.02%
+1.36%
Simple P&L
+1,105.39%
+6.51%
Simple P&L
-302.72%
-4.14%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-199.86%
-0.96%
Simple P&L
+941.46%
+7.19%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-294.75%
-2.32%
Simple P&L
+1,327.69%
+5.38%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

145

Number of Trades

5380.35%

Cumulative Returns

43.45%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-1.02%

30 Days

-1.85%

60 Days

-5.19%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit538034.925380.35123176.471231.76414858.444148.58
Gross Profit1216451.812164.52685843.836858.44530607.975306.08
Gross Loss678416.886784.17562667.365626.67115749.531157.5
Commission Paid92509.2968142.3824366.91
Buy & Hold Return141309.391413.09
Max Equity Run-up773613.9898.83
Max Drawdown188288.0630.07
Max Contracts Held78.068.078.0
Total Closed Trades145.0100.045.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades63.041.022.0
Number Losing Trades82.059.023.0
Percent Profitable43.4541.048.89
Avg P&l3710.590.711231.760.639219.080.9
Avg Winning Trade19308.763.3316727.93.124118.543.75
Avg Losing Trade8273.381.39536.731.095032.591.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3341.7544.792
Largest Winning Trade140533.96140533.96108244.59
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.468.3514.46
Largest Losing Trade68285.9468285.9425503.71
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.453.394.45
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Sortino Ratio1.441
Profit Factor1.7931.2194.584
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit538034.925380.35123176.471231.76414858.444148.58
Gross Profit1216451.812164.52685843.836858.44530607.975306.08
Gross Loss678416.886784.17562667.365626.67115749.531157.5
Commission Paid92509.2968142.3824366.91
Buy & Hold Return141309.391413.09
Max Equity Run-up773613.9898.83
Max Drawdown188288.0630.07
Max Contracts Held78.068.078.0
Total Closed Trades145.0100.045.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades63.041.022.0
Number Losing Trades82.059.023.0
Percent Profitable43.4541.048.89
Avg P&l3710.590.711231.760.639219.080.9
Avg Winning Trade19308.763.3316727.93.124118.543.75
Avg Losing Trade8273.381.39536.731.095032.591.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3341.7544.792
Largest Winning Trade140533.96140533.96108244.59
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.468.3514.46
Largest Losing Trade68285.9468285.9425503.71
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.453.394.45
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Sortino Ratio1.441
Profit Factor1.7931.2194.584
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 5380.35%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 41.67%
Sharpe Ratio 0.39
Profit Factor 1.793
Maximum Drawdown -30.07%
Volatility (Annualized) 100.73%

The strategy achieves a commendable cumulative return of 5380.35%, demonstrating its potential for strong performance over the observed period. While the Profit Factor of 1.793 is solid, indicating that the strategy generates $1.793 for every $1 lost, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.39 is below our benchmark for crypto, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. Notably, the maximum drawdown of -30.07% is within the acceptable range, particularly in the high-volatility crypto markets, which is encouraging.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests that the strategy may be viable for real-world trading, especially considering its outstanding cumulative returns and manageable drawdown. However, the low Sharpe Ratio indicates a need to enhance the risk-adjusted performance. It's important to assess if the strategy aligns well with current market conditions and if those conditions are likely to persist, as this will inform its future success. The expected yearly return of 3956.17% indicates a promising growth potential if managed well.

Risk Management

The strategy presents a mixed view in terms of risk management. While the maximum drawdown is acceptable, the high volatility of 100.73% suggests a significant exposure to market fluctuations. Recommendations for improving risk management include:

  • Implementing position sizing adjustments to align with market volatility and reduce risk exposure.
  • Exploring additional stop-loss mechanisms to limit losses during market downturns.
  • Using less leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following improvements:

  • Conducting parameter optimizations to boost returns while controlling drawdowns more effectively.
  • Incorporating diverse technical indicators to refine trade entry and exit signals.
  • Performing out-of-sample testing to confirm the strategy's viability across various market scenarios.
  • Refining the risk management framework to include advanced techniques such as scenario analysis and Stress Testing to better handle volatility.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy showcases substantial cumulative returns and an acceptable drawdown, although it underperforms on risk-adjusted metrics like the Sharpe Ratio. These results imply a potential for strong performance given improvements in risk management and optimization.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy, focusing on enhancing risk-adjusted returns and fine-tuning the risk management framework to better control volatility.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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