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schmidhip michonneV5 btcusdt 121m 29.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 121 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [614e6d7c]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 BTCUSDT 121M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 2
  • icon 1
  • icon 3
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.67% Updated 10 hours ago
Total Return Primary
5133.15%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
43.42%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
30.4%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.716
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
245.6%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
152
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 24, 2020
2,052
Days
152
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 4, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-24 14:07:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.30
  • Calmar: -1.52
  • Longest DD Days: 21.00
  • Volatility: 100.64
  • Skew: 2.10
  • Kurtosis: 5.09
  • Expected Daily: 1.39
  • Expected Monthly: 33.72
  • Expected Yearly: 3,169.43
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.47
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.56
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.86
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-04 18:09:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 66
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 86
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.52
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.63
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.18
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.63
  • Tail Ratio: 3.05
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.61
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 7.47

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+188.78%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-91.96%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+579.05%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-527.29%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-871.77%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.67%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.62%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+1.21%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-2.91%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-4.70%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
43.4%
Total Trades
152
Cumulative
5,133.15%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
100.01%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+16.20%
+2.90%
Simple P&L
-15.38%
-6.19%
Simple P&L
-10.09%
-1.82%
Simple P&L
+30.98%
+4.92%
Simple P&L
-5.89%
-1.29%
Simple P&L
+17.39%
+3.05%
Simple P&L
+89.29%
+13.00%
Simple P&L
+2.21%
+4.23%
Simple P&L
+129.69%
+10.81%
Simple P&L
2021
-10.14%
-1.58%
Simple P&L
-21.99%
-3.63%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.45%
-0.47%
Simple P&L
+11.24%
+3.16%
Simple P&L
+1.07%
-0.31%
Simple P&L
-65.46%
-5.93%
Simple P&L
-3.22%
-0.33%
Simple P&L
+11.09%
+1.54%
Simple P&L
-6.30%
+0.70%
Simple P&L
+44.21%
+5.85%
Simple P&L
-5.78%
-4.17%
Simple P&L
2022
+73.01%
+7.15%
Simple P&L
+172.99%
+11.39%
Simple P&L
-14.54%
-3.51%
Simple P&L
-34.78%
-1.43%
Simple P&L
+357.82%
+15.95%
Simple P&L
+31.44%
+5.12%
Simple P&L
+14.85%
+2.59%
Simple P&L
-21.67%
-0.53%
Simple P&L
+16.22%
-0.86%
Simple P&L
+79.27%
+1.60%
Simple P&L
+135.75%
-0.49%
Simple P&L
+91.54%
+1.47%
Simple P&L
2023
+319.06%
+4.87%
Simple P&L
-96.97%
-1.13%
Simple P&L
+429.97%
+9.57%
Simple P&L
+214.71%
+2.05%
Simple P&L
-93.27%
-0.81%
Simple P&L
+267.36%
+2.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1,025.22%
+8.57%
Simple P&L
-238.85%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
-210.15%
-1.92%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-338.41%
-2.18%
Simple P&L
2024
-26.90%
-0.19%
Simple P&L
+939.91%
+10.30%
Simple P&L
-80.75%
-0.68%
Simple P&L
-193.85%
-2.80%
Simple P&L
-479.04%
-2.54%
Simple P&L
+57.68%
+1.27%
Simple P&L
+962.39%
+6.45%
Simple P&L
-272.41%
-4.20%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-183.86%
-1.02%
Simple P&L
+804.20%
+7.07%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-262.22%
-2.38%
Simple P&L
+1,135.92%
+5.32%
Simple P&L
+334.45%
+2.01%
Simple P&L
-134.49%
-0.89%
Simple P&L
+1,197.73%
+4.17%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

152

Number of Trades

5133.15%

Cumulative Returns

43.42%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-1.62%

30 Days

-2.91%

60 Days

1.21%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit488755.494887.55118126.841181.27370628.653706.29
Gross Profit1074768.4210747.68607540.76075.41467227.724672.28
Gross Loss586012.935860.13489413.864894.1496599.07965.99
Commission Paid108508.5879814.3428694.24
Buy & Hold Return146517.931465.18
Max Contracts Held7061.070.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration49 days
Avg Equity Run-up44321.8443.22
Max Equity Run-up662544.5498.65
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration61 days
Avg Equity Drawdown28422.8284.23
Max Drawdown133185.530.4
Total Closed Trades143.099.044.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades63.041.022.0
Number Losing Trades80.058.022.0
Percent Profitable44.0641.4150.0
Avg P&l3417.870.71193.20.618423.380.91
Avg Winning Trade17059.823.314818.073.0721237.623.72
Avg Losing Trade7325.161.348438.171.124390.871.9
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3291.7564.837
Largest Winning Trade119772.21119772.2194436.86
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.438.3214.43
Largest Losing Trade59163.1559163.1522489.07
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.483.424.48
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.389
Sortino Ratio1.398
Profit Factor1.8341.2414.837
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit513314.815133.15241362.292413.62271952.522719.53
Gross Profit1229743.5712297.44762515.857625.16467227.724672.28
Gross Loss716428.767164.29521153.565211.54195275.21952.75
Commission Paid127537.9491238.0936299.84
Buy & Hold Return108661.911086.62
Max Contracts Held7061.070.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration51 days
Avg Equity Run-up46133.78461.34
Max Equity Run-up662544.5498.65
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration65 days
Avg Equity Drawdown31290.69312.91
Max Drawdown183590.9530.4
Total Closed Trades152.0104.048.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades66.044.022.0
Number Losing Trades86.060.026.0
Percent Profitable43.4242.3145.83
Avg P&l3377.070.662320.790.635665.680.71
Avg Winning Trade18632.483.2517329.913.0121237.623.72
Avg Losing Trade8330.571.338685.891.117510.581.83
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.2371.9952.828
Largest Winning Trade126042.75126042.7594436.86
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.438.3214.43
Largest Losing Trade59163.1559163.1545808.93
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.483.424.48
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.07.0
Sharpe Ratio0.372
Sortino Ratio1.297
Profit Factor1.7161.4632.393
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, we can observe key performance metrics critical for assessing the underlying trading strategy:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 51.33%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 38.11%
Sharpe Ratio 0.372
Profit Factor 1.716
Maximum Drawdown -30.4%
Volatility (Annualized) 100.64%

The strategy has achieved a cumulative return of 51.33% with an annualized CAGR of 38.11%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.372 is below the aforementioned desirable threshold of 0.5 for crypto assets, implying room for improvement in terms of risk-adjusted returns. However, the profit factor of 1.716 indicates that the strategy generates more than $1.70 for every $1 it loses, which is encouraging. The maximum drawdown is -30.4%, well within the acceptable range, demonstrating effective drawdown management given the volatile nature of crypto markets.

Strategy Viability

Based on the performance metrics, the strategy shows potential viability in real-world trading, especially considering its ability to maintain drawdowns below critical levels and enhance profit despite market volatility. The current market environment with high volatility necessitates constant monitoring for any shifts in performance. Performance in the context of industry benchmarks is on the lower side in terms of the Sharpe Ratio, suggesting focusing more on enhancing the risk-return trade-off.

Risk Management

Risk management appears reasonably robust as evidenced by a relatively controlled maximum drawdown. However, the annualized volatility of 100.64% suggests further focus is needed on managing market fluctuations. Potential risk management improvements could include:

  • Considering lower leverage to decrease the max drawdown directly, thus mitigating potential losses.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss measures to curtail significant losses.
  • Adjusting position sizing dynamically to better align with prevailing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To elevate the robustness and overall performance of the strategy, the following improvements are recommended:

  • Calibrating strategy parameters to improve the risk-adjusted return, potentially enhancing the Sharpe Ratio above 0.5.
  • Integrating additional technical indicators to substantiate trade signals, potentially enhancing accuracy.
  • Conducting backtesting under varied market conditions, incorporating stress testing for more comprehensive validation.
  • Exploring diversification of assets within the crypto domain to spread risk more effectively.

Final Opinion

Summing up, the strategy reveals reasonable performance in generating profits, with well-managed drawdowns under a high volatility environment. Although the Sharpe Ratio and volatility metrics indicate areas for improvement, the overall framework shows significant promise with proper refinement.

Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy, focusing on improving risk-adjusted returns through diligent optimization and enhanced risk management practices. Further backtesting and enhancement could yield better resilience and robustness across varied market scenarios.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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