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schmidhip michonneV5 btcusdt 121m 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLOWING 121 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [614e6d7c]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 BTCUSDT 121M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 2
  • icon 1
  • icon 3
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1454.2%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
43.41%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.618
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.93%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
129
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 6, 2021
1,841
Days
129
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 6, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-02-06 22:11:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.03
  • Calmar: -1.02
  • Longest DD Days: 21.00
  • Volatility: 67.52
  • Skew: 1.94
  • Kurtosis: 4.52
  • Expected Daily: 0.79
  • Expected Monthly: 18.00
  • Expected Yearly: 628.86
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.12
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.98
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.93
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-06 00:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 56
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 73
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.02
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.70
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.14
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.70
  • Tail Ratio: 2.22
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.45
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 2.33

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-3.18%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.20%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-3.33%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-2.75%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-3.76%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.40%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-2.07%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.86%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
43.4%
Total Trades
129
Cumulative
-3.87%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
69.91%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.72%
-3.63%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.61%
-0.47%
Simple P&L
-0.29%
+3.16%
Simple P&L
+0.17%
-0.31%
Simple P&L
-3.03%
-5.93%
Simple P&L
+2.83%
-0.33%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+1.54%
Simple P&L
-1.77%
+0.70%
Simple P&L
+0.16%
+5.85%
Simple P&L
-2.32%
-4.17%
Simple P&L
2022
+3.81%
+7.15%
Simple P&L
-0.50%
+11.39%
Simple P&L
+1.90%
-3.51%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
-1.43%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
+15.95%
Simple P&L
-3.68%
+5.12%
Simple P&L
+3.96%
+2.59%
Simple P&L
-0.20%
-0.53%
Simple P&L
-0.95%
-0.86%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+1.60%
Simple P&L
-3.61%
-0.49%
Simple P&L
+3.87%
+1.47%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.11%
+4.87%
Simple P&L
-0.26%
-1.13%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+9.57%
Simple P&L
+0.23%
+2.05%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
-0.81%
Simple P&L
-0.85%
+2.59%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.52%
+8.57%
Simple P&L
-2.03%
-1.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
-1.92%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
-2.18%
Simple P&L
2024
+1.55%
-0.19%
Simple P&L
-2.48%
+10.30%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
-0.68%
Simple P&L
+0.63%
-2.80%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
-2.54%
Simple P&L
+1.97%
+1.27%
Simple P&L
-0.69%
+6.45%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
-4.20%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
-1.02%
Simple P&L
-0.21%
+7.07%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.93%
-2.38%
Simple P&L
+2.02%
+5.32%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+2.01%
Simple P&L
-0.74%
-0.89%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
+4.17%
Simple P&L
-0.52%
-0.57%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
-3.43%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

129

Number of Trades

-3.87%

Cumulative Returns

43.41%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-3.76%

30 Days

-2.07%

60 Days

-1.4%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit145420.231454.276859.73768.668560.49685.6
Gross Profit380576.413805.76225690.482256.9154885.931548.86
Gross Loss235156.182351.56148830.751488.3186325.44863.25
Expected Payoff1127.29937.311458.73
Commission Paid42326.5227574.1914752.32
Buy & Hold Return6984.1969.84
Buy & Hold % Gain69.84
Strategy Outperformance138436.04
Max Contracts Held2018.020.0
Annualized Return (cagr)70.4652.2349.29
Return On Initial Capital1454.2768.6685.6
Account Size Required53341.02
Return On Account Size Required272.62144.09128.53
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)62 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17400.57174.01
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)42723.87427.24
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)187662.3196.17
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1876.62
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)74 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)11632.08116.32
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.731.441.29
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)52465.09524.65
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)53341.0230.27
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)533.41
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss845.99447.14515.12
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit9.6216.2317.72
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.3111.5515.42
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades129.082.047.0
Number Winning Trades56.033.023.0
Number Losing Trades73.049.024.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable43.4140.2448.94
Avg P&l1127.290.54937.310.441458.730.72
Avg Winning Trade6796.012.996839.112.686734.173.45
Avg Losing Trade3221.321.343037.361.063596.891.9
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.112.2521.872
Largest Winning Trade36621.7536621.7527438.43
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.438.3214.43
Largest Losing Trade17189.2917189.2913309.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.483.424.48
Avg # Bars In Trades12.011.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.018.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.327
Sortino Ratio1.027
Profit Factor1.6181.5161.794
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital10000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit145420.231454.276859.73768.668560.49685.6
Gross Profit380576.413805.76225690.482256.9154885.931548.86
Gross Loss235156.182351.56148830.751488.3186325.44863.25
Expected Payoff1127.29937.311458.73
Commission Paid42326.5227574.1914752.32
Buy & Hold Return6984.1969.84
Buy & Hold % Gain69.84
Strategy Outperformance138436.04
Max Contracts Held2018.020.0
Annualized Return (cagr)70.4652.2349.29
Return On Initial Capital1454.2768.6685.6
Account Size Required53341.02
Return On Account Size Required272.62144.09128.53
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)62 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17400.57174.01
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)42723.87427.24
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)187662.3196.17
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1876.62
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)74 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)11632.08116.32
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.731.441.29
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)52465.09524.65
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)53341.0230.27
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)533.41
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss845.99447.14515.12
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit9.6216.2317.72
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.3111.5515.42
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades129.082.047.0
Number Winning Trades56.033.023.0
Number Losing Trades73.049.024.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable43.4140.2448.94
Avg P&l1127.290.54937.310.441458.730.72
Avg Winning Trade6796.012.996839.112.686734.173.45
Avg Losing Trade3221.321.343037.361.063596.891.9
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.112.2521.872
Largest Winning Trade36621.7536621.7527438.43
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.438.3214.43
Largest Losing Trade17189.2917189.2913309.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.483.424.48
Avg # Bars In Trades12.011.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.018.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.327
Sortino Ratio1.027
Profit Factor1.6181.5161.794
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 5249.15%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 96.23%
Sharpe Ratio 0.368
Profit Factor 1.639
Maximum Drawdown -1835.91%
Volatility (Annualized) 99.6%

The strategy exhibits a substantial cumulative return of 5249.15% with a commendable annualized return of 96.23%. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.368 is below the ideal threshold, the Profit Factor of 1.639 indicates that the strategy generates more profit per unit risk taken, which is a positive indicator of its potential.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data, this strategy demonstrates potential but faces challenges due to its risk-adjusted performance. The high maximum drawdown (-1835.91%) calls for attention to risk management practices and might hinder real-world applicability without modifications. Nonetheless, the significant returns suggest there is a robust underlying strategy. Investigating such performance demands identifying optimal market conditions where the strategy excels to ensure those conditions are likely to persist.

Risk Management

Evaluating risk management reveals room for improvement, particularly with drawdown levels. Although the gain-pain ratio stands at 1.72, indicating potential resilience, the high volatility (99.6%) suggests further steps are needed to control risks:

  • Implement dynamic position sizing to manage exposure relative to market conditions.
  • Incorporate additional stop-loss mechanisms to mitigate downside risks.
  • Consider reducing leverage to decrease max drawdown, which could lead to better risk-adjusted returns.

Improvement Suggestions

Enhancing this strategy's performance and robustness could benefit from several actions:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to balance returns and manage drawdowns effectively.
  • Incorporate a wider array of technical indicators to improve trade decision-making.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to ensure the strategy's robustness across diverse market environments.
  • Refine risk management strategies incorporating sophisticated techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) or stress testing scenarios.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy offers impressive returns, it challenges high drawdowns and sub-optimal risk-adjusted metrics. By addressing these issues, particularly through improved risk management and leveraging optimizations, the strategy has the potential to become both lucrative and sustainable.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and further testing. Enhance the strategy's robustness by fine-tuning parameters and applying stronger risk management practices. This will ensure it can effectively handle fluctuations in volatile crypto markets.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

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