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schmidhip michonneV5 btcusdt 121m 29.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 121 minutes @schmidhip
● Live

Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [614e6d7c]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 BTCUSDT 121M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
5380.35%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
43.45%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
30.07%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.793
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
145
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 24, 2020
1,992
Days
145
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 18, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-24 14:07:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.44
  • Calmar: -1.95
  • Longest DD Days: 21.00
  • Volatility: 100.73
  • Skew: 2.14
  • Kurtosis: 5.44
  • Expected Daily: 1.48
  • Expected Monthly: 36.15
  • Expected Yearly: 3,956.17
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.63
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.32
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.72
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-18 14:07:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 63
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 82
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.95
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.75
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.28
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.75
  • Tail Ratio: 2.90
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.65
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 10.60

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1,652.76%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-378.98%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-580.28%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-5.19%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-1.85%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-2.22%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
43.4%
Total Trades
145
Cumulative
5,380.35%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
103.17%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+16.57%
+2.96%
Simple P&L
-15.14%
-6.07%
Simple P&L
-9.83%
-1.76%
Simple P&L
+31.91%
+5.04%
Simple P&L
-5.84%
-1.26%
Simple P&L
+17.93%
+3.11%
Simple P&L
+93.07%
+13.23%
Simple P&L
+3.25%
+4.35%
Simple P&L
+135.43%
+10.93%
Simple P&L
2021
-10.31%
-1.55%
Simple P&L
-22.26%
-3.54%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.22%
-0.44%
Simple P&L
+11.82%
+3.19%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
-0.25%
Simple P&L
-67.18%
-5.82%
Simple P&L
-3.05%
-0.30%
Simple P&L
+11.83%
+1.57%
Simple P&L
-5.75%
+0.78%
Simple P&L
+47.22%
+5.94%
Simple P&L
-6.05%
-4.14%
Simple P&L
2022
+77.26%
+7.18%
Simple P&L
+183.49%
+11.46%
Simple P&L
-14.10%
-3.42%
Simple P&L
-36.09%
-1.40%
Simple P&L
+383.41%
+16.10%
Simple P&L
+34.89%
+5.24%
Simple P&L
+17.02%
+2.65%
Simple P&L
-21.84%
-0.50%
Simple P&L
+19.24%
-0.80%
Simple P&L
+86.61%
+1.63%
Simple P&L
+149.56%
-0.40%
Simple P&L
+102.76%
+1.53%
Simple P&L
2023
+360.11%
+5.08%
Simple P&L
-103.02%
-1.10%
Simple P&L
+476.96%
+9.69%
Simple P&L
+239.00%
+2.08%
Simple P&L
-98.68%
-0.78%
Simple P&L
+306.01%
+2.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1,141.39%
+8.63%
Simple P&L
-261.06%
-1.62%
Simple P&L
-215.29%
-1.80%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-368.24%
-2.12%
Simple P&L
2024
-25.47%
-0.16%
Simple P&L
+1,076.01%
+10.43%
Simple P&L
-87.20%
-0.65%
Simple P&L
-216.81%
-2.77%
Simple P&L
-646.03%
-2.45%
Simple P&L
+76.02%
+1.36%
Simple P&L
+1,105.39%
+6.51%
Simple P&L
-302.72%
-4.14%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-199.86%
-0.96%
Simple P&L
+941.46%
+7.19%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-294.75%
-2.32%
Simple P&L
+1,327.69%
+5.38%
Simple P&L
+400.62%
+2.10%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

145

Number of Trades

5380.35%

Cumulative Returns

43.45%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

-1.85%

60 Days

-5.19%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit538034.925380.35123176.471231.76414858.444148.58
Gross Profit1216451.812164.52685843.836858.44530607.975306.08
Gross Loss678416.886784.17562667.365626.67115749.531157.5
Commission Paid92509.2968142.3824366.91
Buy & Hold Return141309.391413.09
Max Equity Run-up773613.9898.83
Max Drawdown188288.0630.07
Max Contracts Held78.068.078.0
Total Closed Trades145.0100.045.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades63.041.022.0
Number Losing Trades82.059.023.0
Percent Profitable43.4541.048.89
Avg P&l3710.590.711231.760.639219.080.9
Avg Winning Trade19308.763.3316727.93.124118.543.75
Avg Losing Trade8273.381.39536.731.095032.591.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3341.7544.792
Largest Winning Trade140533.96140533.96108244.59
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.468.3514.46
Largest Losing Trade68285.9468285.9425503.71
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.453.394.45
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Sortino Ratio1.441
Profit Factor1.7931.2194.584
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit538034.925380.35123176.471231.76414858.444148.58
Gross Profit1216451.812164.52685843.836858.44530607.975306.08
Gross Loss678416.886784.17562667.365626.67115749.531157.5
Commission Paid92509.2968142.3824366.91
Buy & Hold Return141309.391413.09
Max Equity Run-up773613.9898.83
Max Drawdown188288.0630.07
Max Contracts Held78.068.078.0
Total Closed Trades145.0100.045.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades63.041.022.0
Number Losing Trades82.059.023.0
Percent Profitable43.4541.048.89
Avg P&l3710.590.711231.760.639219.080.9
Avg Winning Trade19308.763.3316727.93.124118.543.75
Avg Losing Trade8273.381.39536.731.095032.591.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3341.7544.792
Largest Winning Trade140533.96140533.96108244.59
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.468.3514.46
Largest Losing Trade68285.9468285.9425503.71
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.453.394.45
Avg # Bars In Trades11.010.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.015.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades7.07.06.0
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Sortino Ratio1.441
Profit Factor1.7931.2194.584
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 5380.35%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 41.67%
Sharpe Ratio 0.39
Profit Factor 1.793
Maximum Drawdown 30.07%
Volatility (Annualized) 100.73%

This strategy exhibits substantial returns with a cumulative gain of 5380.35% and a solid annualized return of 41.67%. The profit factor of 1.793 suggests that, on average, the strategy generates $1.793 for every $1 lost, indicating better than even odds of profitability. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.39, while slightly below the ideal threshold, is still reasonably close, suggesting that the strategy is nearly satisfactory in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown is comfortably below 40%, showing effective management of downside risk, although yearly volatility is on the higher side.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy demonstrates viability for real-world trading, especially given its strong profit factor and reasonable drawdown levels. While the Sharpe Ratio is a bit low, it does not significantly diminish the strategy’s potential effectiveness. The conditions under which this strategy operates optimally include high volatility markets, which are typical in the crypto space, strengthening the case for this strategy's continued application.

Risk Management

Risk management is markedly robust with a maximum drawdown of 30.07%, which is commendable given the volatile nature of the crypto market. However, the strategy could be further strengthened by addressing the high volatility and slightly enhancing the Sharpe Ratio. Suggestions for improvement might include:

  • Adjusting leverage to control maximum drawdown and to better the risk/reward metric.
  • Implementing trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits during favorable market movements.
  • Diversifying trade positions to spread risk exposure across various market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s robustness and performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Fine-tune strategy parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio while maintaining profitability.
  • Explore the use of machine learning models to identify predictive patterns and notify you of high probability trade opportunities.
  • Perform rigorous out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy's effectiveness amidst different market scenarios.
  • Evaluate the incorporation of macroeconomic indicators to enhance the model’s foresight in market prediction.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy exhibits strong profitability and reasonable drawdown levels, which is impressive given its exposure to the volatile crypto market. Although a slightly low Sharpe Ratio raises a point of caution, the cumulative returns and profit factor evidence its potential success. Improvement efforts focused on refining the risk management strategies and leveraging conditions effectively will bolster the strategy's resilience and deepen its potential for sustained trading success.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing. There is substantial potential to elevate the strategy's efficiency through incremental refinements in risk management and trading parameters, thus enhancing its alignment with desired financial outcomes and risk profiles.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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