XMA by @DaviddTech 🤖 [fdf06123]
🛡️ XMA BTCUSDT 1H 04.06 @schmidhip
MOMENTUM
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-07 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
- Sortino Ratio: 2.62
- Calmar: -3.25
- Longest DD Days: 24.00
- Volatility: 47.58
- Skew: 0.31
- Kurtosis: -0.49
- Expected Daily: 0.77
- Expected Monthly: 17.37
- Expected Yearly: 583.15
- Kelly Criterion: 19.48
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.18
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.15
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-16 14:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 152
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 128
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.25
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.56
- Payoff Ratio: 1.31
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.56
- Tail Ratio: 1.72
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.39
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.33
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.04
- Serenity Index: 45.29
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 6471.61% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 49.17% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.434 |
Profit Factor | 1.563 |
Maximum Drawdown | -27.88% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 47.58% |
The strategy demonstrates strong cumulative returns of 6471.61% and a healthy annualized return of 49.17%. However, the Sharpe ratio is slightly below the threshold at 0.434, indicating that there could be improvements in risk-adjusted returns. On a positive note, the maximum drawdown of -27.88% is well below the 40% threshold, showcasing good downside protection.
Strategy Viability
The data suggest that this strategy is viable for real-world trading. It performs solidly under current market conditions, with a profit factor of 1.563, which is reasonably positive. It's essential to monitor market conditions and ensure they align with the strategy's strengths to maintain performance.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management is effective, as evidenced by a maximum drawdown well within acceptable limits and a solid Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.56. However, aspects such as position sizing and volatility management could be improved to enhance stability:
- Consider reducing leverage to further decrease maximum drawdown without compromising returns.
- Implement more sophisticated stop-loss techniques to protect against sudden market moves.
- Incorporate diversification by adding uncorrelated assets to the strategy to reduce unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's robustness and performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize key parameters within the strategy to improve the Sharpe ratio.
- Use additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points, potentially improving the win rate and average profit.
- Perform extensive back-testing and forward-testing to validate the strategy's performance across various market environments.
- Investigate advanced risk management tools such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) modeling to better understand and mitigate tail risks.
Final Opinion
The strategy showcases commendable strengths with high cumulative returns and manageable drawdowns. Despite some areas needing refinement, such as the Sharpe ratio and volatility control, the underlying foundation is solid. With targeted improvements and further validation, this strategy holds significant potential for successful real-world application.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and rigorous testing to enhance the strategy's robustness and adaptability. Focus on refining risk management strategies to ensure consistent performance across diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.28% | 3.58% | -13.56% | 3.11% | 4.88% | 12.70% | 10.71% | 44.57% | 32.17% |
2021 | 48.04% | 79.42% | 23.43% | -6.55% | -2.38% | 0.00% | -5.93% | -5.15% | -5.60% | 36.31% | 9.83% | 6.86% |
2022 | 3.23% | -5.94% | 13.13% | 1.97% | 0.00% | 5.97% | -1.01% | 8.92% | 5.10% | 2.54% | 1.50% | 7.61% |
2023 | 16.97% | -0.38% | 5.41% | 1.84% | 0.45% | 15.52% | 2.47% | -2.37% | -0.61% | 23.10% | -1.55% | 13.52% |
2024 | 6.02% | 2.71% | 23.60% | 4.02% | -3.56% | 4.91% | 11.81% | 0.69% | -3.71% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
50
Number of Trades
28.93%
Cumulative Returns
46%
Win Rate
2024-06-04
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.17%
30 Days
-3.12%
60 Days
-3.22%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 507852.3 | 5078.52 | 324995.14 | 3249.95 | 182857.15 | 1828.57 |
Gross Profit | 1073786.22 | 10737.86 | 638168.81 | 6381.69 | 435617.41 | 4356.17 |
Gross Loss | 565933.92 | 5659.34 | 313173.66 | 3131.74 | 252760.26 | 2527.6 |
Commission Paid | 44160.92 | 25415.1 | 18745.82 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 90050.56 | 900.51 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 573180.87 | 98.46 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 76500.4 | 27.88 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 230.0 | 142.0 | 88.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 129.0 | 87.0 | 42.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 101.0 | 55.0 | 46.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.09 | 61.27 | 47.73 | |||
Avg P&l | 2208.05 | 1.25 | 2288.7 | 1.57 | 2077.92 | 0.72 |
Avg Winning Trade | 8323.92 | 4.08 | 7335.27 | 4.08 | 10371.84 | 4.08 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5603.31 | 2.37 | 5694.07 | 2.38 | 5494.79 | 2.35 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.486 | 1.288 | 1.888 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 57856.87 | 32116.06 | 57856.87 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.42 | 8.41 | 8.42 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 36601.47 | 18963.52 | 36601.47 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.09 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 34.0 | 34.0 | 33.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 40.0 | 40.0 | 41.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.468 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.319 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.897 | 2.038 | 1.723 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 647161.24 | 6471.61 | 263993.64 | 2639.94 | 383167.6 | 3831.68 |
Gross Profit | 1797239.01 | 17972.39 | 912725.99 | 9127.26 | 884513.02 | 8845.13 |
Gross Loss | 1150077.77 | 11500.78 | 648732.35 | 6487.32 | 501345.42 | 5013.45 |
Commission Paid | 81547.97 | 44381.21 | 37166.76 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 109626.4 | 1096.26 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 720363.02 | 98.77 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 164426.17 | 27.88 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 280.0 | 167.0 | 113.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 152.0 | 96.0 | 56.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 128.0 | 71.0 | 57.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.29 | 57.49 | 49.56 | |||
Avg P&l | 2311.29 | 1.09 | 1580.8 | 1.31 | 3390.86 | 0.78 |
Avg Winning Trade | 11823.94 | 3.99 | 9507.56 | 4.0 | 15794.88 | 3.96 |
Avg Losing Trade | 8984.98 | 2.34 | 9137.08 | 2.34 | 8795.53 | 2.34 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.316 | 1.041 | 1.796 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 73605.34 | 48039.54 | 73605.34 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.42 | 8.41 | 8.42 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 39722.41 | 37170.09 | 39722.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.09 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 42.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 29.0 | 24.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.434 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.622 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.563 | 1.407 | 1.764 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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