Explosive Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c105a5ca]
🛡️ EXPLOSIVETREND BTCUSDT 30M 28.05 @schmidhip
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-13 17:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.67
- Sortino Ratio: 2.29
- Calmar: -3.61
- Longest DD Days: 36.00
- Volatility: 44.00
- Skew: 0.65
- Kurtosis: -0.59
- Expected Daily: 0.61
- Expected Monthly: 13.68
- Expected Yearly: 366.02
- Kelly Criterion: 13.13
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.07
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.30
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-07 18:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 200
- Max Consecutive Losses: 11
- Number Losing Trades: 242
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.61
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.41
- Payoff Ratio: 1.70
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.41
- Tail Ratio: 2.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.95
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 95.67
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 11504.67% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 65.96% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.667 |
Profit Factor | 1.41 |
Maximum Drawdown | -20.6% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 44% |
The strategy shows a robust net profit of 11504.67% with an annualized return of 65.96%, well above typical market returns. The Sharpe ratio of 0.667 indicates good risk-adjusted performance, especially for crypto markets. The maximum drawdown of -20.6% is well-controlled, suggesting effective risk management. Despite a win rate under 50%, the profit factor of 1.41 signifies profitable trades overall.
Strategy Viability
Based on the metrics provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading within observed market conditions. The low maximum drawdown compared to the industry standard for crypto signifies resilience. The strategy's better performance during volatile markets is an advantage where such conditions are prevalent. This context suggests optimism for continued success, provided market conditions remain supportive.
Risk Management
The strategy utilizes acceptable risk management practices, as reflected in its drawdown and Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.41. Nonetheless, several risk management enhancements are feasible:
- Implementing tighter position sizing methods to manage leverage better, as less leverage can reduce drawdowns.
- Considering broader diversification across various crypto assets to better mitigate market risks.
- Applying additional stop-loss mechanisms to add a safety net against unexpected adverse price movements.
Improvement Suggestions
To further bolster the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider these improvements:
- Optimize entry and exit points using more advanced indicators to increase profitability.
- Explore alternative parameters to maximize return while keeping drawdowns minimal and constant.
- Engage in out-of-sample or stress-test scenarios across different time frames to enhance reliability.
- Refine the risk management framework by integrating enhanced techniques such as VaR metrics or scenario analysis.
Final Opinion
In summary, this strategy exhibits strong performance with satisfactory risk-adjusted returns, a good profit factor, and a manageable maximum drawdown. It stands out positively under volatile crypto markets, emphasizing its adept capability to harness risk and return favorably.
Recommendation: Move forward with further analysis and optimization. Enhancing parameter optimization and risk management can improve returns while minimizing potential setbacks. Consider incorporating recommended improvements to adapt effectively to fluctuations in market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.85% | -7.64% | -1.78% | 24.50% | 4.69% | 18.90% | 18.75% | 9.47% | 21.81% |
2021 | 3.20% | 7.20% | 2.04% | 10.13% | 3.78% | 5.80% | 34.15% | -5.16% | 5.34% | 5.55% | 0.90% | 30.61% |
2022 | 6.38% | 15.15% | 29.00% | 7.36% | 11.47% | -7.32% | 11.33% | 8.15% | 11.59% | 14.76% | -7.98% | 6.57% |
2023 | 30.08% | 28.47% | 2.41% | 16.51% | -12.98% | 35.09% | 8.30% | 5.80% | -8.86% | 11.85% | -11.10% | 4.80% |
2024 | 17.41% | 34.78% | 7.86% | 3.90% | 19.54% | -4.75% | 13.88% | 0.69% | 8.78% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
82
Number of Trades
7.94%
Cumulative Returns
34.15%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-8.32%
30 Days
-26.34%
60 Days
-11.36%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1095160.91 | 10951.61 | 919447.97 | 9194.48 | 175712.94 | 1757.13 |
Gross Profit | 2266850.32 | 22668.5 | 1793521.56 | 17935.22 | 473328.76 | 4733.29 |
Gross Loss | 1171689.4 | 11716.89 | 874073.59 | 8740.74 | 297615.81 | 2976.16 |
Commission Paid | 155420.06 | 122757.92 | 32662.14 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 93317.17 | 933.17 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1215082.63 | 99.26 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 94727.63 | 20.24 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 63.0 | 63.0 | 43.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 361.0 | 219.0 | 142.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 172.0 | 112.0 | 60.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 189.0 | 107.0 | 82.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 47.65 | 51.14 | 42.25 | |||
Avg P&l | 3033.69 | 0.7 | 4198.39 | 0.77 | 1237.42 | 0.59 |
Avg Winning Trade | 13179.36 | 2.94 | 16013.59 | 2.71 | 7888.81 | 3.38 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6199.41 | 1.34 | 8168.91 | 1.25 | 3629.46 | 1.45 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.126 | 1.96 | 2.174 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 80408.9 | 80408.9 | 37250.19 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.02 | 5.46 | 7.02 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 43527.16 | 43527.16 | 20369.65 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.39 | 2.99 | 3.39 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 29.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 33.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 25.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.794 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.932 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.935 | 2.052 | 1.59 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1150467.16 | 11504.67 | 696460.41 | 6964.6 | 454006.74 | 4540.07 |
Gross Profit | 3966106.56 | 39661.07 | 2723636.14 | 27236.36 | 1242470.42 | 12424.7 |
Gross Loss | 2815639.4 | 28156.39 | 2027175.72 | 20271.76 | 788463.67 | 7884.64 |
Commission Paid | 312364.14 | 229763.17 | 82600.97 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 115131.42 | 1151.31 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1472326.04 | 99.39 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 301025.27 | 20.6 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 66.0 | 66.0 | 43.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 442.0 | 259.0 | 183.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 200.0 | 123.0 | 77.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 242.0 | 136.0 | 106.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.25 | 47.49 | 42.08 | |||
Avg P&l | 2602.87 | 0.59 | 2689.04 | 0.62 | 2480.91 | 0.54 |
Avg Winning Trade | 19830.53 | 2.93 | 22143.38 | 2.69 | 16135.98 | 3.32 |
Avg Losing Trade | 11634.87 | 1.35 | 14905.7 | 1.25 | 7438.34 | 1.47 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.704 | 1.486 | 2.169 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 99042.0 | 99042.0 | 65614.28 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.02 | 5.46 | 7.02 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 61656.04 | 61656.04 | 51220.05 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.39 | 2.99 | 3.39 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 28.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 32.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 24.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.667 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.285 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.409 | 1.344 | 1.576 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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