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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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reid trendhoo maticusdt 45m 02.07

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @reid
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e48cacb5]

🛡️ TRENDHOO MATICUSDT 45M 02.07

Trading Pair
MATIC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +20.87% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
99.6%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
79.75%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.223
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-1.93%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
711
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Sep 10, 2024
546
Days
711
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 11, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-09-10 16:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.77
  • Calmar: -1.63
  • Longest DD Days: 378.00
  • Volatility: 30.23
  • Skew: -3.62
  • Kurtosis: 17.10
  • Expected Daily: 0.12
  • Expected Monthly: 2.51
  • Expected Yearly: 34.64
  • Kelly Criterion: 15.02
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.12
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.87
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-11 02:29:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 42
  • Number Winning Trades 567
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 144
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.63
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.31
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
  • Tail Ratio: 0.54
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.92
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.32
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.17
  • Serenity Index: 5.38

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+4.29%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.88%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.46%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+5.15%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+21.86%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+52.99%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+274.80%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+144.41%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+426.75%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
79.6%
Total Trades
712
Cumulative
-1.93%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,372.88%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.46%
+28.29%
Simple P&L
-0.55%
+49.47%
Simple P&L
-3.98%
+122.37%
Simple P&L
+0.04%
+113.61%
Simple P&L
2025
-4.31%
+43.54%
Simple P&L
-8.80%
+76.63%
Simple P&L
+11.30%
+97.62%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+75.19%
Simple P&L
+0.64%
+78.83%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
+81.62%
Simple P&L
-5.68%
+104.43%
Simple P&L
-5.41%
+61.87%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

712

Number of Trades

-1.93%

Cumulative Returns

79.63%

Win Rate

2024-07-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

52.99%

30 Days

144.41%

60 Days

274.8%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l3180.931.59
Net Profit99603.3799.64029.724.0395573.6595.57
Gross Profit546084.09546.08239830.24239.83306253.84306.25
Gross Loss446480.72446.48235800.53235.8210680.19210.68
Expected Payoff140.0912.51245.69
Commission Paid24874.7911609.4313265.37
Buy & Hold Return-74884.08-74.88
Buy & Hold % Gain-74.88
Strategy Outperformance174487.45
Max Contracts Held19661441495718.01966144.0
Annualized Return (cagr)57.952.6555.84
Return On Initial Capital99.64.0395.57
Account Size Required56092.25
Return On Account Size Required177.577.18170.39
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19864.6119.86
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57784.3657.78
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)149475.0961.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)149.48
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)22908.8822.91
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.830.131.76
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)55169.7455.17
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)56092.2537.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)56.09
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss377.217.93361.94
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.773.13.16
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.919.5312.53
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades711.0322.0389.0
Number Winning Trades567.0260.0307.0
Number Losing Trades144.062.082.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable79.7580.7578.92
Avg P&l140.091.9212.511.76245.692.05
Avg Winning Trade963.113.36922.423.23997.573.47
Avg Losing Trade3100.563.773803.234.422569.273.28
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3110.2430.388
Largest Winning Trade9663.617438.49663.61
Largest Winning Trade Percent20.820.818.15
Largest Losing Trade26405.8422474.6726405.84
Largest Losing Trade Percent18.5718.5715.73
Avg # Bars In Trades37.036.038.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.030.037.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades48.060.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.342
Sortino Ratio0.765
Profit Factor1.2231.0171.454
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l3180.931.59
Net Profit99603.3799.64029.724.0395573.6595.57
Gross Profit546084.09546.08239830.24239.83306253.84306.25
Gross Loss446480.72446.48235800.53235.8210680.19210.68
Expected Payoff140.0912.51245.69
Commission Paid24874.7911609.4313265.37
Buy & Hold Return-74884.08-74.88
Buy & Hold % Gain-74.88
Strategy Outperformance174487.45
Max Contracts Held19661441495718.01966144.0
Annualized Return (cagr)57.952.6555.84
Return On Initial Capital99.64.0395.57
Account Size Required56092.25
Return On Account Size Required177.577.18170.39
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)19864.6119.86
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57784.3657.78
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)149475.0961.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)149.48
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)22908.8822.91
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.830.131.76
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)55169.7455.17
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)56092.2537.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)56.09
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss377.217.93361.94
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.773.13.16
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss5.919.5312.53
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades711.0322.0389.0
Number Winning Trades567.0260.0307.0
Number Losing Trades144.062.082.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable79.7580.7578.92
Avg P&l140.091.9212.511.76245.692.05
Avg Winning Trade963.113.36922.423.23997.573.47
Avg Losing Trade3100.563.773803.234.422569.273.28
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3110.2430.388
Largest Winning Trade9663.617438.49663.61
Largest Winning Trade Percent20.820.818.15
Largest Losing Trade26405.8422474.6726405.84
Largest Losing Trade Percent18.5718.5715.73
Avg # Bars In Trades37.036.038.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.030.037.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades48.060.038.0
Sharpe Ratio0.342
Sortino Ratio0.765
Profit Factor1.2231.0171.454
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 99.6%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 58.05%
Sharpe Ratio 0.341
Profit Factor 1.223
Maximum Drawdown -55.17%
Volatility (Annualized) 30.22%

The strategy delivers decent returns, with a cumulative gain of 99.6% and an annualized return of 58.05%. While the Sharpe ratio of 0.341 is slightly below the threshold for what we typically consider good, the strategy's strong percent profitability of 79.75% and a relatively favorable profit factor suggest potential in certain market environments. The maximum drawdown, however, stands at -55.17%, which is above the ideal threshold for a crypto strategy, indicating an area for improvement.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows promise but requires adjustments to meet real-world trading standards successfully. The strategy outperforms a Buy & Hold approach in down markets, which is encouraging, while the profit factor (1.223) suggests survival potential in challenging market conditions. Key will be tackling the high drawdown observed.

Risk Management

The risk management framework could be optimized to reduce drawdowns and manage volatility more effectively. Here are some insights:

  • Consider employing less leverage to reduce maximum drawdown.
  • Implement tighter stop-loss mechanisms to prevent substantial losses on individual trades.
  • Introduce volatility-triggered position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider these recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to target a higher Sharpe Ratio and reduce drawdown.
  • Explore incorporating a broader range of market indicators to refine trade entry and exit points.
  • Conduct stress testing to assess the strategy's robustness in highly volatile scenarios.
  • Examine the potential of further diversifying the trading portfolio to spread risk.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy shows potential with strong winning trade numbers and decent returns, yet it encounters challenges from drawdown risks and needs further risk management optimization. Efforts to decrease leverage and implement dynamic risk management practices could significantly bolster its overall performance.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining and optimizing the strategy, focusing on reducing the drawdown and enhancing the Sharpe Ratio. Emphasize robust risk management measures and conduct extensive testing to ensure viability across diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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