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reid trendhoo maticusdt 45m 02.07

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @reid
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e48cacb5]

🛡️ TRENDHOO MATICUSDT 45M 02.07

Trading Pair
MATIC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
88.05%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
61.54%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
15.1%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
3.182
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
26
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 23, 2024
349
Days
26
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 10, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-10-23 04:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.73
  • Sortino Ratio: 6.03
  • Calmar: -10.24
  • Longest DD Days: 4.00
  • Volatility: 11.08
  • Skew: -0.22
  • Kurtosis: 0.04
  • Expected Daily: 0.37
  • Expected Monthly: 8.13
  • Expected Yearly: 155.56
  • Kelly Criterion: 43.90
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.92
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-10 20:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 16
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 2
  • Number Losing Trades: 10
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -10.24
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 3.30
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.94
  • Common Sense Ratio: 3.30
  • Tail Ratio: 1.43
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.42
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 8.14

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+9.36%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+9.33%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+15.19%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+30.24%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+89.60%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+61.93%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+118.75%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
63.0%
Total Trades
27
Cumulative
97.41%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
422.14%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.21%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.51%
-6.35%
Simple P&L
+5.51%
+68.05%
Simple P&L
+29.20%
+107.96%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+17.14%
+52.94%
Simple P&L
+12.80%
+35.48%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

27

Number of Trades

97.41%

Cumulative Returns

62.96%

Win Rate

2024-07-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

30.24%

30 Days

61.93%

60 Days

89.6%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l938.754.99
Net Profit8804.6488.055981.1159.812823.5428.24
Gross Profit12840.58128.416523.3365.236317.2563.17
Gross Loss4035.9440.36542.235.423493.7134.94
Commission Paid99.2545.1454.1
Buy & Hold Return-2951.29-29.51
Max Equity Run-up12505.5157.13
Max Drawdown1809.9915.1
Max Contracts Held80775.066784.080775.0
Total Closed Trades26.014.012.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades16.09.07.0
Number Losing Trades10.05.05.0
Percent Profitable61.5464.2958.33
Avg P&l338.6415.07427.2216.44235.2913.48
Avg Winning Trade802.5427.37724.8126.96902.4627.91
Avg Losing Trade403.594.61108.452.48698.746.74
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.9886.6841.292
Largest Winning Trade1998.781451.141998.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent53.846.8553.8
Largest Losing Trade1173.6321.141173.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.686.3512.68
Avg # Bars In Trades571.0545.0601.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades538.0315.0825.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades623.0958.0287.0
Sharpe Ratio0.729
Sortino Ratio6.031
Profit Factor3.18212.0311.808
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l938.754.99
Net Profit8804.6488.055981.1159.812823.5428.24
Gross Profit12840.58128.416523.3365.236317.2563.17
Gross Loss4035.9440.36542.235.423493.7134.94
Commission Paid99.2545.1454.1
Buy & Hold Return-2951.29-29.51
Max Equity Run-up12505.5157.13
Max Drawdown1809.9915.1
Max Contracts Held80775.066784.080775.0
Total Closed Trades26.014.012.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades16.09.07.0
Number Losing Trades10.05.05.0
Percent Profitable61.5464.2958.33
Avg P&l338.6415.07427.2216.44235.2913.48
Avg Winning Trade802.5427.37724.8126.96902.4627.91
Avg Losing Trade403.594.61108.452.48698.746.74
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.9886.6841.292
Largest Winning Trade1998.781451.141998.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent53.846.8553.8
Largest Losing Trade1173.6321.141173.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.686.3512.68
Avg # Bars In Trades571.0545.0601.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades538.0315.0825.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades623.0958.0287.0
Sharpe Ratio0.729
Sortino Ratio6.031
Profit Factor3.18212.0311.808
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
Net Profit 88.05%
Gross Profit 128.41%
Gross Loss 40.36%
Sharpe Ratio 0.729
Sortino Ratio 6.031
Profit Factor 3.182
Maximum Drawdown 15.1%
Volatility (Annualized) 11.08%
Win Rate 61.54%
CAGR 11.09%

The strategy demonstrates robust returns with a net profit of 88.05% and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.729, which is above the good threshold for crypto strategies. The strategy also boasts a strong Sortino Ratio of 6.031 and an excellent profit factor of 3.182, indicating that profitable trades outweigh losing trades significantly. Importantly, the maximum drawdown is 15.1%, comfortably below 40%, suggesting effective risk management despite high market volatility.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data presented, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading. It performs well with a high risk-adjusted return and shows resilience in market downturns, as evidenced by the low drawdown and high gain/pain ratio. The positive attribution metrics support the strategy's potential in current and potentially similar future market conditions, outperforming the buy and hold benchmark, which had a return of -29.51%.

Risk Management

The strategy utilizes sound risk management practices. The low maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls indicate effective leverage control and risk mitigation tactics. Although volatility is relatively low at 11.08%, continual monitoring and adjustment may be beneficial, especially in more volatile markets. Some potential enhancements include:

  • Adjusting leverage to reduce potential drawdowns further.
  • Incorporating volatility-adjusted position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and durability, consider the following recommendations:

  • Continue backtesting across various market conditions to test robustness and identify optimal parameter settings.
  • Explore integrating additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies.
  • Consider implementing adaptive risk management techniques, including dynamic stop-loss mechanisms and more advanced position sizing methods, leveraging the Kelly Criterion insights of 43.9%.

Furthermore, verifying the substantial alpha (117.56) through different market cycles could provide valuable insights into enhancements.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy shows promising results with solid net profits, a favorable risk-reward profile, and a robust Sharpe Ratio. Despite the potential for improvement in the volatility management spectrum, the strategy's current performance metrics suggest it is well-positioned for ongoing success.

Recommendation: Continue with the strategy while incorporating suggested enhancements to optimize performance and ensure adaptability to evolving market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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