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reid trendhoo maticusdt 45m 02.07

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @reid
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e48cacb5]

🛡️ TRENDHOO MATICUSDT 45M 02.07

Trading Pair
MATIC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +20.76% Updated 9 hours ago
Total Return Primary
57.2%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
80.06%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
37.62%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.16
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
61.53%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
662
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Sep 10, 2024
469
Days
662
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 23, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-09-10 16:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.30
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.60
  • Calmar: -1.22
  • Longest DD Days: 378.00
  • Volatility: 28.16
  • Skew: -3.97
  • Kurtosis: 19.63
  • Expected Daily: 0.09
  • Expected Monthly: 1.88
  • Expected Yearly: 25.00
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.70
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.03
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.47
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-23 04:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 42
  • Number Winning Trades 530
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 132
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.22
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.17
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.29
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.17
  • Tail Ratio: 0.49
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.38
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.17
  • Serenity Index: 2.49

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+8.44%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-20.41%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+7.76%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-9.55%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+31.46%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+22.20%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+12.61%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+144.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+72.57%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+352.90%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
79.9%
Total Trades
663
Cumulative
61.53%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,125.70%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.31%
+28.29%
Simple P&L
+4.42%
+49.47%
Simple P&L
+23.55%
+122.37%
Simple P&L
-13.04%
+113.61%
Simple P&L
2025
-18.28%
+43.54%
Simple P&L
+1.06%
+76.63%
Simple P&L
+12.11%
+97.62%
Simple P&L
-4.73%
+75.19%
Simple P&L
+6.61%
+78.83%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

663

Number of Trades

61.53%

Cumulative Returns

79.94%

Win Rate

2024-07-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

12.61%

30 Days

72.57%

60 Days

144.17%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l2877.682.77
Net Profit3828.373.83-15431.73-15.4319260.119.26
Gross Profit41944.8841.949520.019.5232424.8832.42
Gross Loss38116.5138.1224951.7424.9513164.7813.16
Commission Paid1446.01550.14895.88
Buy & Hold Return-53048.29-53.05
Max Contracts Held758537661649.0758537.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration8 days
Avg Equity Run-up5881.765.88
Max Equity Run-up27425.9321.53
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration9 days
Avg Equity Drawdown16165.3816.17
Max Drawdown25288.1220.56
Total Closed Trades49.018.031.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades35.010.025.0
Number Losing Trades14.08.06.0
Percent Profitable71.4355.5680.65
Avg P&l78.132.98-857.321.02621.294.11
Avg Winning Trade1198.435.81952.05.311297.06.0
Avg Losing Trade2722.614.13118.974.342194.133.78
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.440.3050.591
Largest Winning Trade3408.823141.443408.82
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.9710.7413.97
Largest Losing Trade7151.417098.717151.41
Largest Losing Trade Percent11.1511.157.7
Avg # Bars In Trades76.079.074.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades78.082.076.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades70.074.066.0
Sharpe Ratio0.05
Sortino Ratio0.063
Profit Factor1.10.3822.463
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l4366.52.78
Net Profit57197.5657.2-18075.97-18.0875273.5375.27
Gross Profit415452.81415.45174014.64174.01241438.18241.44
Gross Loss358255.25358.26192090.6192.09166164.65166.16
Commission Paid21897.979869.1312028.84
Buy & Hold Return-72404.27-72.4
Max Contracts Held11484351001746.01148435.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration23 days
Avg Equity Run-up18085.7118.09
Max Equity Run-up100921.152.32
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown21118.8721.12
Max Drawdown56092.2537.62
Total Closed Trades662.0294.0368.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades530.0240.0290.0
Number Losing Trades132.054.078.0
Percent Profitable80.0681.6378.8
Avg P&l86.41.68-61.481.48204.551.85
Avg Winning Trade783.873.0725.062.8832.553.16
Avg Losing Trade2714.053.583557.234.42130.323.02
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.2890.2040.391
Largest Winning Trade5161.04756.185161.0
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.9710.7413.97
Largest Losing Trade17156.5717156.5714438.28
Largest Losing Trade Percent18.5718.5715.73
Avg # Bars In Trades33.035.032.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades30.029.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades48.061.040.0
Sharpe Ratio0.304
Sortino Ratio0.597
Profit Factor1.160.9061.453
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, we can glean some critical insights from the strategy's performance metrics:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 57.2%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 45.21%
Sharpe Ratio 0.302
Profit Factor 1.16
Maximum Drawdown 37.62%
Volatility (Annualized) 28.15%

The strategy has delivered a respectable cumulative return of 57.2% and an annualized return of 45.21%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.302, albeit below the ideal threshold of 0.5 for crypto, indicates room for enhancing risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.16 suggests marginal profitability, but with improvement potential. Notably, the maximum drawdown of 37.62% is within acceptable limits, showing controlled risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

Based on the metrics, the strategy appears viable, especially in managing drawdowns effectively, which is crucial in volatile crypto markets. However, the conditions under which the strategy thrives need identification, ensuring they align with potential future market scenarios. The given performance metrics indicate the strategy's relative resilience, but further optimization and calibration could bolster its competitiveness against industry benchmarks.

Risk Management

Though the maximum drawdown is within an acceptable range, there are opportunities to fortify the risk management framework:

  • Dynamic position sizing can help adjust trades based on market volatility and improve risk management.
  • Incorporating more robust stop-loss mechanisms could further enhance downside protection.
  • Adding diversification into different crypto asset classes to dilute concentration risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance, consider these recommendations:

  • Optimize parameters for better risk-reward balance, potentially reducing drawdowns.
  • Integrate additional market indicators to refine trade entry and exit points.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing to confirm strategy resilience across various conditions.
  • Consider reducing leverage; this can directly diminish potential drawdowns.

Final Opinion

The strategy presents a solid foundation with decent returns and reasonable drawdown management. However, its risk-adjusted performance could be improved to ensure sustained success in highly dynamic crypto markets.

Recommendation: Continue with the strategy but include further testing and optimization. Implement suggested enhancements, particularly around risk management, to solidify its market adaptability and robustness.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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