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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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reid trendhoo maticusdt 45m 02.07

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @reid
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e48cacb5]

🛡️ TRENDHOO MATICUSDT 45M 02.07

Trading Pair
MATIC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +37.35% Updated 8 hours ago
Total Return Primary
122.57%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
80.29%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.298
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-8.65%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
700
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Sep 10, 2024
526
Days
700
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-09-10 16:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.38
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.85
  • Calmar: -1.90
  • Longest DD Days: 378.00
  • Volatility: 30.03
  • Skew: -3.70
  • Kurtosis: 17.83
  • Expected Daily: 0.13
  • Expected Monthly: 2.73
  • Expected Yearly: 38.10
  • Kelly Criterion: 19.30
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.09
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.85
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-18 09:23:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 42
  • Number Winning Trades 562
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 138
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.90
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.32
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.32
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.32
  • Tail Ratio: 0.54
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.97
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.40
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.17
  • Serenity Index: 7.78

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-2.43%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-3.82%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-0.65%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-5.84%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-8.16%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+37.01%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+117.72%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+264.41%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+249.32%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+431.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
80.0%
Total Trades
701
Cumulative
-8.65%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,363.77%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.46%
+28.29%
Simple P&L
+2.60%
+49.47%
Simple P&L
-3.98%
+122.37%
Simple P&L
-3.91%
+113.61%
Simple P&L
2025
-4.74%
+43.54%
Simple P&L
-13.87%
+76.63%
Simple P&L
+11.30%
+97.62%
Simple P&L
+2.25%
+75.19%
Simple P&L
+0.64%
+78.83%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
+81.62%
Simple P&L
-5.68%
+104.43%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

701

Number of Trades

-8.65%

Cumulative Returns

80.03%

Win Rate

2024-07-02

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

117.72%

30 Days

249.32%

60 Days

264.41%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-7045.25-3.17
Net Profit122570.37122.5717758.717.76104811.66104.81
Gross Profit533935.22533.94233521.33233.52300413.89300.41
Gross Loss411364.85411.36215762.63215.76195602.23195.6
Expected Payoff175.156.38272.24
Commission Paid24091.7411118.112973.65
Buy & Hold Return-71687.94-71.69
Buy & Hold % Gain-71.69
Strategy Outperformance194258.31
Max Contracts Held19661441432519.01966144.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.2811.8963.66
Return On Initial Capital122.5717.76104.81
Account Size Required56092.25
Return On Account Size Required218.5231.66186.86
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20583.7420.58
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57784.3657.78
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)149475.0961.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)149.48
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21118.8721.12
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.060.191.74
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)55169.7455.17
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)56092.2537.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)56.09
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss464.1879.02396.93
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.813.193.22
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss6.4210.4213.5
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades700.0315.0385.0
Number Winning Trades562.0257.0305.0
Number Losing Trades138.058.080.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable80.2981.5979.22
Avg P&l175.11.9556.381.82272.242.06
Avg Winning Trade950.063.34908.643.22984.963.44
Avg Losing Trade2980.93.683720.054.372445.033.18
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3190.2440.403
Largest Winning Trade9663.617438.49663.61
Largest Winning Trade Percent20.820.818.15
Largest Losing Trade26405.8422474.6726405.84
Largest Losing Trade Percent18.5718.5715.73
Avg # Bars In Trades36.035.037.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.030.037.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades48.059.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.383
Sortino Ratio0.852
Profit Factor1.2981.0821.536
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-6902.05-3.1
Net Profit122570.37122.5717758.717.76104811.66104.81
Gross Profit533935.22533.94233521.33233.52300413.89300.41
Gross Loss411364.85411.36215762.63215.76195602.23195.6
Expected Payoff175.156.38272.24
Commission Paid24091.7411118.112973.65
Buy & Hold Return-71661.89-71.66
Buy & Hold % Gain-71.66
Strategy Outperformance194232.26
Max Contracts Held19661441432519.01966144.0
Annualized Return (cagr)73.2811.8963.66
Return On Initial Capital122.5717.76104.81
Account Size Required56092.25
Return On Account Size Required218.5231.66186.86
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)20583.7420.58
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57784.3657.78
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)149475.0961.9
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)149.48
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)21118.8721.12
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.060.191.75
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)55169.7455.17
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)56092.2537.62
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)56.09
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss464.1879.02396.93
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.813.193.22
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss6.4210.4213.5
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades700.0315.0385.0
Number Winning Trades562.0257.0305.0
Number Losing Trades138.058.080.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable80.2981.5979.22
Avg P&l175.11.9556.381.82272.242.06
Avg Winning Trade950.063.34908.643.22984.963.44
Avg Losing Trade2980.93.683720.054.372445.033.18
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3190.2440.403
Largest Winning Trade9663.617438.49663.61
Largest Winning Trade Percent20.820.818.15
Largest Losing Trade26405.8422474.6726405.84
Largest Losing Trade Percent18.5718.5715.73
Avg # Bars In Trades36.035.037.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.030.037.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades48.059.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.383
Sortino Ratio0.853
Profit Factor1.2981.0821.536
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 122.57%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 73.62%
Sharpe Ratio 0.375
Profit Factor 1.298
Maximum Drawdown -37.62%
Volatility (Annualized) 30.11%

The strategy exhibits a solid cumulative return of 122.57% with an annualized CAGR of 73.62%, demonstrating significant growth potential. The Sharpe ratio at 0.375, while below the ideal threshold, suggests some room for enhancement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of -37.62% is within an acceptable range, considering the high volatility inherent in crypto markets. A profit factor close to 1.298 indicates profitability with more wins than losses.

Strategy Viability

The strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially in volatile market environments, as indicated by its ability to generate consistent returns. It has outperformed significantly against a buy-and-hold approach with strategy outperformance of 194,893.89. However, ensuring that the relatively high drawdown doesn't compromise capital over time is important. The market conditions that favor this strategy — high volatility and trending markets — are expected to persist in the crypto domain.

Risk Management

The strategy exhibits robust risk management characteristics, notably with no margin calls and effective handling of drawdowns. However, there are areas for further optimization:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to mitigate drawdowns, potentially decreasing leverage to reduce volatility impact.
  • Enhancing stop-loss mechanisms to further protect against abrupt losses.
  • Improving the ratio of average win to average loss, currently at 0.319, to increase profitability over losing trades.

Improvement Suggestions

To fortify the strategy's effectiveness, consider the following enhancements:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to refine entry and exit tactics for improved returns with minimal risk.
  • Evaluate incorporating diverse technical indicators for a more holistic market analysis and precise trade execution.
  • Conduct comprehensive backtesting over diverse market cycles to gauge resilience and refine adaptability to varying conditions.
  • Enhance risk and volatility management, possibly integrating advanced techniques such as volatility targeting or drawdown control systems.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy's performance, with notable returns and acceptable drawdown levels, shows promise. Despite slight weaknesses in risk-adjusted returns indicated by the Sharpe ratio, its robust risk management and consistent profitability render it a solid candidate for further assessment.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and refinement. Emphasize optimizing existing parameters and incorporating suggested improvements to increase robustness against market volatility. With targeted enhancements, this strategy can continue to generate strong returns while managing risks effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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