🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [063068a3]
🛡️ HEIKEN ASHI BTCUSDT 15MIN
@reid
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 39 mins agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 03:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
- Sortino Ratio: 1.24
- Calmar: -1.34
- Longest DD Days: 80.00
- Volatility: 0.42
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.11
- Expected Yearly: 1.38
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-14 09:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 186
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 192
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.34
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics offer important insights into the trading strategy's current standing:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 2235.38% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.337 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.231 |
Profit Factor | 1.523 |
Maximum Drawdown | 33.35% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 41.78% |
Percent Profitable | 49.07% |
The strategy generates a significant net profit of 2235.38%, demonstrating strong absolute performance. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.337 is below the desired threshold for crypto trading, suggesting that risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The maximum drawdown of 33.35% is reasonable and indicates good risk management, staying below our 40% threshold.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows promise but requires enhancements for real-world trading. The market conditions from 2020 to 2024 represent significant volatility, typical in crypto markets, which the strategy navigated successfully up to an extent. However, a Sharpe ratio below 0.5 suggests a need for refinement to ensure better risk-adjusted performance over time.
Risk Management
The strategy has a satisfactory risk management foundation, evidenced by a maximum drawdown of 33.35% and no noted margin calls. Nonetheless, improvements can be made:
- Consider reducing leverage to further decrease the max drawdown.
- Explore dynamic stop-loss mechanisms to adapt to market conditions more effectively.
- Implement diversification among different crypto assets to balance out portfolio risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To strengthen the strategy's performance and robustness, consider these enhancement measures:
- Improve the Sharpe ratio by refining parameters or integrating risk management tools like hedging.
- Incorporate predictive indicators for better entry and exit strategies.
- Conduct thorough stress-testing and walk-forward analysis to test strategy resilience under different scenarios.
- Consider machine learning techniques to optimize algorithm updates based on emerging data trends.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy offers substantial profits with commendable drawdown management but requires improvements in risk-adjusted test metrics like the Sharpe ratio. Exploring the suggested improvements could increase robustness and performance, aligning it better for market evolutions and volatility.
Recommendation: Continue refining the strategy with targeted optimizations, especially focusing on risk-adjusted performance metrics, to make it more suited for real-world application and achieve a superior balance of risk and return.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 11.30% | 4.88% | -0.08% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 16.58% | -4.58% | -3.55% | 5.43% | -3.04% | 9.24% | -5.08% | 4.56% | 7.02% | 12.22% | 7.09% | 7.81% |
2022 | -0.55% | 4.40% | -15.88% | 0.79% | 0.75% | -0.68% | -5.32% | -1.44% | -6.63% | 16.15% | 2.14% | 4.12% |
2021 | -23.18% | 37.89% | 4.96% | 19.33% | 2.15% | -12.63% | 25.50% | 19.37% | 8.25% | 10.88% | 1.32% | 1.94% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 60.42% | 37.22% | -15.06% | 90.09% | -1.97% | 7.05% | 73.67% | 27.03% | -9.39% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
42
Number of Trades
12.43%
Cumulative Returns
50%
Win Rate
2024-03-05
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.19%
30 Days
2.7%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,800.50 USD | 2,000.56 | 1,553.08 USD | 1,725.65 | 247.42 USD | 274.91 |
Gross Profit | 5,225.44 | 5,806.04 | 4,938.75 | 5,487.50 | 286.69 | 318.54 |
Gross Loss | 3,424.93 | 3,805.48 | 3,385.66 | 3,761.85 | 39.27 | 43.63 |
Max Run-up | 1,856.70 | 97.35 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 376.86 | 55.89 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 736.59 | 818.43 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.355 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.288 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.526 | 1.459 | 7.301 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 558.75 | 540.27 | 18.47 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 336 | 325 | 11 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 165 | 156 | 9 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 171 | 169 | 2 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.11 | 48.00 | 81.82 | |||
Avg Trade | 5.36 | 0.26 | 4.78 | 0.23 | 22.49 | 1.06 |
Avg Winning Trade | 31.67 | 1.53 | 31.66 | 1.53 | 31.85 | 1.51 |
Avg Losing Trade | 20.03 | 0.96 | 20.03 | 0.96 | 19.63 | 0.93 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.581 | 1.58 | 1.622 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 54.51 | 2.67 | 54.51 | 2.67 | 32.24 | 1.52 |
Largest Losing Trade | 112.47 | 5.32 | 112.47 | 5.32 | 19.65 | 0.93 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 21 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 24 | 24 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 18 | 18 | 22 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,043.38 USD | 2,270.42 | 1,731.70 USD | 1,924.11 | 311.68 USD | 346.31 |
Gross Profit | 5,888.39 | 6,542.66 | 5,537.45 | 6,152.72 | 350.95 | 389.94 |
Gross Loss | 3,845.01 | 4,272.24 | 3,805.74 | 4,228.60 | 39.27 | 43.63 |
Max Run-up | 2,137.17 | 97.69 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 376.86 | 55.89 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 783.09 | 870.10 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.338 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.236 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.531 | 1.455 | 8.937 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 628.54 | 606.72 | 21.83 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 378 | 365 | 13 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 186 | 175 | 11 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 192 | 190 | 2 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.21 | 47.95 | 84.62 | |||
Avg Trade | 5.41 | 0.26 | 4.74 | 0.23 | 23.98 | 1.13 |
Avg Winning Trade | 31.66 | 1.52 | 31.64 | 1.53 | 31.90 | 1.51 |
Avg Losing Trade | 20.03 | 0.96 | 20.03 | 0.96 | 19.63 | 0.93 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.581 | 1.58 | 1.625 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 54.51 | 2.67 | 54.51 | 2.67 | 32.24 | 1.52 |
Largest Losing Trade | 112.47 | 5.32 | 112.47 | 5.32 | 19.65 | 0.93 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 22 | 22 | 23 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 24 | 24 | 23 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 20 | 20 | 22 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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