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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
  • Docs & Tools
    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
    • Submit A Feature/Bug
    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

Precision Trend Matrix BTC 1H

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Matrix by @DaviddTech 🤖 [a3664720]

🛡️ PRECISION TREND MATRIX BTC 1H

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by will1310 - April 23, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.8% Updated 51 seconds ago
Total Return Primary
1176.07%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
35.6%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.219
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-19.25%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
691
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Mar 27, 2020
1,914
Days
691
Trades
Last Trade
May 22, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-03-27 23:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.35
  • Calmar: -1.22
  • Longest DD Days: 93.00
  • Volatility: 19.59
  • Skew: 1.27
  • Kurtosis: 1.40
  • Expected Daily: 0.13
  • Expected Monthly: 2.80
  • Expected Yearly: 39.36
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.96
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.19
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.42
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-22 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 246
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 13
  • Number Losing Trades: 445
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.22
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.24
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.21
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.24
  • Tail Ratio: 2.04
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.27
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 7.93

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%-3.53%12.86%-8.63%1.23%4.81%7.71%2.47%5.78%16.24%11.06%
202113.67%36.87%10.79%7.87%6.75%16.28%11.48%9.62%4.89%4.25%3.67%-6.76%
202210.34%18.94%13.25%-3.51%-2.15%5.20%-1.38%13.57%-8.61%-5.49%0.25%4.90%
202314.00%-4.14%7.45%3.07%-5.06%5.32%-1.82%-1.76%1.32%12.06%0.00%7.97%
202410.95%20.25%2.38%-11.42%5.01%0.22%5.75%-3.14%2.00%8.13%12.28%••••Login to see results
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

177

Number of Trades

3.14%

Cumulative Returns

30.51%

Win Rate

2024-04-08

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-7.7%

30 Days

91.4%

60 Days

-11.27%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l863.20.67
Net Profit119531.641195.3286467.36864.6733064.28330.64
Gross Profit407998.034079.98224216.32242.16183781.731837.82
Gross Loss288466.392884.66137748.951377.49150717.451507.17
Commission Paid13649.956485.27164.75
Buy & Hold Return97791.29977.91
Max Equity Run-up139509.0893.58
Max Drawdown20722.0425.03
Max Contracts Held3.03.03.0
Total Closed Trades515.0236.0279.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades192.080.0112.0
Number Losing Trades323.0156.0167.0
Percent Profitable37.2833.940.14
Avg P&l232.10.91366.391.46118.510.45
Avg Winning Trade2124.997.032802.79.281640.915.42
Avg Losing Trade893.082.72883.012.55902.52.88
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.3793.1741.818
Largest Winning Trade13161.1713161.175317.61
Largest Winning Trade Percent16.716.78.32
Largest Losing Trade3818.943710.033818.94
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.884.314.88
Avg # Bars In Trades58.081.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades81.0126.049.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades45.058.033.0
Sharpe Ratio0.607
Sortino Ratio2.078
Profit Factor1.4141.6281.219
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-465.91-0.37
Net Profit117606.791176.0793150.45931.524456.34244.56
Gross Profit655289.466552.89347278.983472.79308010.483080.1
Gross Loss537682.675376.83254128.532541.29283554.132835.54
Commission Paid25452.6611890.9713561.69
Buy & Hold Return148157.031481.57
Max Equity Run-up157243.4194.26
Max Drawdown41859.2625.12
Max Contracts Held3.03.03.0
Total Closed Trades691.0317.0374.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades246.099.0147.0
Number Losing Trades445.0218.0227.0
Percent Profitable35.631.2339.3
Avg P&l170.20.69293.851.1265.390.32
Avg Winning Trade2663.786.73507.879.012095.315.14
Avg Losing Trade1208.282.631165.732.461249.142.8
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.2053.0091.677
Largest Winning Trade13161.1713161.177817.09
Largest Winning Trade Percent16.716.78.32
Largest Losing Trade4164.444072.744164.44
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.884.314.88
Avg # Bars In Trades57.080.037.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades80.0127.049.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades44.059.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.482
Sortino Ratio1.351
Profit Factor1.2191.3671.086
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1173.2%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 17.68%
Sharpe Ratio 0.482
Profit Factor 1.219
Maximum Drawdown 25.03%
Volatility 19.59%

The strategy shows a substantial cumulative return of 1173.2% with an annualized return of 17.68%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.482 is close to the target of 0.5, which indicates reasonably good risk-adjusted performance, particularly in the context of the crypto market. The Profit Factor of 1.219 suggests a moderately high likelihood of profitability. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of 25.03% is well below the acceptable threshold of 40%, providing reasonable downside protection.

Strategy Viability

Basing on the provided metrics, the strategy is potentially viable for real-world trading, particularly given the below-threshold maximum drawdown and high cumulative return. It performs moderately well under the observed market conditions. However, the strategy's performance, especially its Sharpe Ratio, suggests a need for further optimization in risk handling. It is advisable to confirm that the conditions under which the strategy thrives are expected to continue.

Risk Management

The drawdown figures indicate a fairly effective risk management framework, but there is room for improvement, especially considering the strategy operates in crypto, a highly volatile market. Recommendations include:

  • Explore dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure based on real-time volatility and risk assessments.
  • Consider additional stop-loss mechanisms to protect against unforeseen market swings.
  • Evaluate the diversification of trading strategies within the crypto sector to buffer against sector-specific downturns.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s overall performance metrics and robustness, consider implementing the following improvements:

  • Fine-tune the strategy’s parameters to increase the Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 while maintaining the current drawdown levels.
  • Incorporate a wider array of technical indicators to potentially improve trade timing efficiency.
  • Carry out out-of-sample testing alongside forward-testing scenarios to ascertain the strategy's effectiveness across diverse market conditions.
  • Consider reducing leverage to enhance the risk-to-return profile, further reducing drawdown exposure.

Final Opinion

In sum, the strategy demonstrates notable strengths in cumulative returns and manageable drawdowns. However, the close-to-threshold Sharpe Ratio calls for optimization to improve risk-adjusted returns. It is advisable to refine and test various elements of the strategy before proceeding to the real-world application, ensuring it is robust across varying market conditions.

Recommendation: Continue optimizing and testing the strategy to bolster its Sharpe Ratio and overall viability, while implementing suggested risk management enhancements to mitigate possible high-volatility impacts.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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