🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8e065119]
🛡️ PRECISION TREND MASTERY BTC 59MIN
@
⌛59 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-22 14:47:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.51
- Sortino Ratio: 1.34
- Calmar: -0.39
- Longest DD Days: 42.00
- Volatility: 7.78
- Skew: -0.88
- Kurtosis: 5.97
- Expected Daily: 0.04
- Expected Monthly: 0.91
- Expected Yearly: 11.54
- Kelly Criterion: 12.98
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.95
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.22
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 01:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 192
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 125
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.39
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.27
- Payoff Ratio: 0.84
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.27
- Tail Ratio: 0.95
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.03
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.79
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: 0.72
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 4747.42 |
Cumulative Return | 47.47% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.509 |
Profit Factor | 1.301 |
Maximum Drawdown | -41.55% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 7.79% |
Win Rate | 60.57% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 2.75% |
The strategy yields a cumulative return of 47.47% with an annualized return of 2.75%. It achieves a Sharpe ratio of 0.509, demonstrating respectable risk-adjusted performance, especially in the crypto market where values above 0.5 are considered good. The profit factor of 1.301 suggests reasonable profitability relative to losses. However, the maximum drawdown of -41.55% is slightly above the preferable threshold, indicating some room for improvement in the strategy's risk management.
Strategy Viability
Overall, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, given its ability to achieve a Sharpe ratio above the acceptable mark, and a promising win rate of 60.57%. It adapts well to market fluctuations but encounters challenges with drawdowns exceeding ideal levels. The strategy needs to ensure that the favorable market conditions it is tailored to are sustainable.
Risk Management
While the strategy manages some aspects of risk well—exemplified by zero margin calls and effective trade execution—there is scope for enhancing risk management, particularly in reducing drawdowns. Recommendations include:
- Exploring less leverage usage to significantly reduce drawdowns without sacrificing too much return.
- Incorporating more responsive stop-loss mechanisms to minimize potential losses.
- Considering diversification of instruments to smoothen returns and spread risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To further refine and enhance the strategy’s profitability and resilience, consider the following:
- Optimize trading parameters to leverage the strategy’s strengths while maintaining smaller drawdowns.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to enhance decision-making on entry and exit points.
- Conduct further testing in varied market conditions to ensure robustness and adaptability.
- Employ advanced risk management metrics and regular stress tests to account for unexpected market scenarios.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy demonstrates a balanced blend of strong performance with manageable risks, supported by a solid Sharpe ratio and win rate. However, improvements in handling larger drawdowns would further solidify its standing. It's essential to pursue an optimized and validated framework for building on this success.
Recommendation: With strategic adjustments and further testing, the strategy is promising. Proceed with enhancements geared towards optimizing risk and return balance, specifically focusing on leveraging control and better drawdown management.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.42% | -11.11% | -0.13% | 7.40% | -6.68% | 14.73% | 10.01% | 24.84% | 17.48% |
2021 | 20.30% | -5.05% | 1.35% | 11.42% | 13.88% | 12.21% | -1.71% | 8.71% | 13.25% | -7.83% | 2.33% | 5.31% |
2022 | 25.82% | 2.46% | -9.34% | -9.50% | 39.60% | 12.44% | 15.33% | 10.07% | 12.13% | 23.81% | 33.98% | 12.35% |
2023 | 20.32% | 4.57% | 7.47% | 0.14% | -6.11% | 9.56% | 5.07% | 24.72% | -20.28% | 32.89% | -11.12% | 9.54% |
2024 | 29.78% | 0.02% | 24.95% | 9.92% | -7.80% | 19.01% | 15.15% | -5.73% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
81
Number of Trades
53.08%
Cumulative Returns
55.56%
Win Rate
2024-02-13
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-17.82%
30 Days
-17.62%
60 Days
-10.47%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 9959.36 | 3319.79 | 6148.83 | 2049.61 | 3810.52 | 1270.17 |
Gross Profit | 22689.54 | 7563.18 | 12879.39 | 4293.13 | 9810.15 | 3270.05 |
Gross Loss | 12730.18 | 4243.39 | 6730.56 | 2243.52 | 5999.62 | 1999.87 |
Commission Paid | 1457.95 | 832.03 | 625.92 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1888.1 | 629.37 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 11131.99 | 97.88 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1802.24 | 31.9 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 237.0 | 112.0 | 125.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 148.0 | 75.0 | 73.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 89.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 62.45 | 66.96 | 58.4 | |||
Avg P&l | 42.02 | 0.58 | 54.9 | 0.7 | 30.48 | 0.47 |
Avg Winning Trade | 153.31 | 2.16 | 171.73 | 2.08 | 134.39 | 2.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 143.04 | 2.05 | 181.91 | 2.08 | 115.38 | 2.03 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.072 | 0.944 | 1.165 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 818.15 | 727.18 | 818.15 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.68 | 2.3 | 3.68 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 822.85 | 822.85 | 799.48 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.52 | 6.44 | 6.52 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 14.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 14.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 16.0 | 18.0 | 14.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.599 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.782 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.782 | 1.914 | 1.635 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 56.49 | 0.39 | ||||
Net Profit | 14230.79 | 4743.6 | 7106.52 | 2368.84 | 7124.27 | 2374.76 |
Gross Profit | 61553.98 | 20517.99 | 27577.52 | 9192.51 | 33976.46 | 11325.49 |
Gross Loss | 47323.19 | 15774.4 | 20471.0 | 6823.67 | 26852.2 | 8950.73 |
Commission Paid | 4294.2 | 2040.91 | 2253.29 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 3523.67 | 1174.56 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 22363.93 | 98.93 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 8761.58 | 41.55 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 317.0 | 145.0 | 172.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 192.0 | 94.0 | 98.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 125.0 | 51.0 | 74.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.57 | 64.83 | 56.98 | |||
Avg P&l | 44.89 | 0.5 | 49.01 | 0.63 | 41.42 | 0.39 |
Avg Winning Trade | 320.59 | 2.16 | 293.38 | 2.07 | 346.7 | 2.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 378.59 | 2.04 | 401.39 | 2.01 | 362.87 | 2.07 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.847 | 0.731 | 0.955 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1950.14 | 1413.94 | 1950.14 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.68 | 2.3 | 3.68 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 3752.87 | 1387.16 | 3752.87 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.52 | 6.44 | 6.52 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 15.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 15.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 16.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.509 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.336 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.301 | 1.347 | 1.265 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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