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Precision Trend BTC 45MIN

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🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [46605aa3]

🛡️ PRECISION TREND BTC 45MIN @gente_sir

TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes

by will1310 - May 7, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 4 hours ago

204.78%

Net Profit

60.55%

Win Rate

289

Total Closed Trades

1.277

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

-73.72% 😔

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 23:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.36
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.61
  • Calmar: -0.88
  • Longest DD Days: 66.00
  • Volatility: 42.02
  • Skew: -0.38
  • Kurtosis: -1.30
  • Expected Daily: 0.41
  • Expected Monthly: 9.05
  • Expected Yearly: 182.84
  • Kelly Criterion: 13.65
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.96
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.23
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 175
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 114
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.88
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.83
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
  • Tail Ratio: 1.00
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 4.31

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 206.46%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 24.68%
Sharpe Ratio 0.359
Profit Factor 1.279
Maximum Drawdown -29.09%
Volatility (Annualized) 42.08%
Percent Profitable 60.76%

The strategy shows a promising cumulative return of 206.46%, albeit with a relatively modest annualized return (CAGR) of 24.68%. While the Sharpe Ratio of 0.359 is below the benchmark for being considered good, it still indicates moderate risk-adjusted performance. Notably, the maximum drawdown of -29.09% is acceptable within the range stated for good performance, especially in the cryptocurrency space.

Strategy Viability

The strategy appears to have potential for real-world trading but may require further refinement to enhance its risk-adjusted performance. It performs best when overall market conditions are stable, as indicated by the volatility and drawdown metrics. Consideration should be given to the strategy's ability to withstand different market conditions.

Risk Management

Risk management strategies seem sufficient but could be strengthened to improve performance in turbulent market periods. Currently, the strategy employs effective drawdown management with a longest drawdown period of 65 days and a gain/pain ratio of 1.27. However, there are opportunities for improvement, including:

  • Reducing leverage can further lower the maximum drawdown.
  • Enhancing position sizing based on market volatility to manage risk exposure more dynamically.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss thresholds to curtail potential losses.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy’s effectiveness, consider the following:

  • Optimize parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio and overall risk-adjusted returns.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators that can refine trade timing.
  • Re-evaluate risk management techniques, possibly introducing adaptive risk limits responsive to market conditions.
  • Conduct further backtesting and scenario analysis to test robust performance across diverse market environments.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates potential with strong cumulative returns and acceptable drawdowns within the specified good range for crypto trading. While some metrics are below optimal levels, such as the Sharpe Ratio, the strategy has room for improvement and optimization.

Recommendation: Enact an optimization phase balanced with continued testing to refine the strategy's parameters and risk management framework. With these enhancements, the strategy can achieve a more favorable risk-reward balance tailored to cryptocurrency markets.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%2.09%0.66%-2.77%7.06%-2.82%11.71%0.52%8.90%3.60%
20212.71%2.73%2.47%1.61%4.03%0.00%4.13%-5.99%3.98%-2.71%-2.96%5.94%
20220.40%6.29%1.21%5.46%-1.99%6.15%4.02%3.53%6.03%4.05%6.49%0.30%
20236.71%-8.14%9.09%5.41%-3.93%2.94%6.95%8.39%3.24%7.27%-5.71%1.68%
20248.10%0.45%6.60%5.34%0.52%-8.57%6.74%-0.56%-10.23%-11.37%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

BTC

Base Currency

66

Number of Trades

-21.27%

Cumulative Returns

45.45%

Win Rate

2024-04-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

3.18%

30 Days

15.52%

60 Days

4.72%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit278504.93278.5148066.34148.07130438.59130.44
Gross Profit725330.22725.33361219.21361.22364111.01364.11
Gross Loss446825.29446.83213152.87213.15233672.42233.67
Commission Paid47231.9923327.3523904.64
Buy & Hold Return819019.63819.02
Max Equity Run-up293929.1775.35
Max Drawdown27797.6410.09
Max Contracts Held22.020.022.0
Total Closed Trades224.0101.0123.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades145.069.076.0
Number Losing Trades79.032.047.0
Percent Profitable64.7368.3261.79
Avg P&l1243.330.491466.00.61060.480.4
Avg Winning Trade5002.281.935235.061.894790.931.96
Avg Losing Trade5656.022.156661.032.184971.752.13
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8840.7860.964
Largest Winning Trade13182.4913182.4913081.63
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.92.892.9
Largest Losing Trade14191.7714191.7710387.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.043.043.0
Avg # Bars In Trades23.023.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.018.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.033.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.626
Sortino Ratio1.504
Profit Factor1.6231.6951.558
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit204779.76204.78102083.03102.08102696.73102.7
Gross Profit945263.3945.26429140.28429.14516123.03516.12
Gross Loss740483.55740.48327057.25327.06413426.3413.43
Commission Paid67363.1830604.0636759.13
Buy & Hold Return1417748.291417.75
Max Equity Run-up293929.1775.35
Max Drawdown112187.6829.09
Max Contracts Held22.020.022.0
Total Closed Trades289.0123.0166.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades175.078.097.0
Number Losing Trades114.045.069.0
Percent Profitable60.5563.4158.43
Avg P&l708.580.31829.940.4618.650.24
Avg Winning Trade5401.51.915501.81.875320.861.94
Avg Losing Trade6495.472.147267.942.145991.692.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8320.7570.888
Largest Winning Trade14796.813271.9214796.8
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.92.892.9
Largest Losing Trade14793.4314362.014793.43
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.073.043.07
Avg # Bars In Trades24.023.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.017.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades32.033.031.0
Sharpe Ratio0.357
Sortino Ratio0.614
Profit Factor1.2771.3121.248
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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