🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [46605aa3]
🛡️ PRECISION TREND BTC 45MIN @gente_sir
TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 4 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 23:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.36
- Sortino Ratio: 0.61
- Calmar: -0.88
- Longest DD Days: 66.00
- Volatility: 42.02
- Skew: -0.38
- Kurtosis: -1.30
- Expected Daily: 0.41
- Expected Monthly: 9.05
- Expected Yearly: 182.84
- Kelly Criterion: 13.65
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.96
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.23
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 02:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 175
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 114
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.88
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.29
- Payoff Ratio: 0.83
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.29
- Tail Ratio: 1.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.09
- Serenity Index: 4.31
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 206.46% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 24.68% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.359 |
Profit Factor | 1.279 |
Maximum Drawdown | -29.09% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 42.08% |
Percent Profitable | 60.76% |
The strategy shows a promising cumulative return of 206.46%, albeit with a relatively modest annualized return (CAGR) of 24.68%. While the Sharpe Ratio of 0.359 is below the benchmark for being considered good, it still indicates moderate risk-adjusted performance. Notably, the maximum drawdown of -29.09% is acceptable within the range stated for good performance, especially in the cryptocurrency space.
Strategy Viability
The strategy appears to have potential for real-world trading but may require further refinement to enhance its risk-adjusted performance. It performs best when overall market conditions are stable, as indicated by the volatility and drawdown metrics. Consideration should be given to the strategy's ability to withstand different market conditions.
Risk Management
Risk management strategies seem sufficient but could be strengthened to improve performance in turbulent market periods. Currently, the strategy employs effective drawdown management with a longest drawdown period of 65 days and a gain/pain ratio of 1.27. However, there are opportunities for improvement, including:
- Reducing leverage can further lower the maximum drawdown.
- Enhancing position sizing based on market volatility to manage risk exposure more dynamically.
- Implementing stricter stop-loss thresholds to curtail potential losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s effectiveness, consider the following:
- Optimize parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio and overall risk-adjusted returns.
- Integrate additional technical indicators that can refine trade timing.
- Re-evaluate risk management techniques, possibly introducing adaptive risk limits responsive to market conditions.
- Conduct further backtesting and scenario analysis to test robust performance across diverse market environments.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates potential with strong cumulative returns and acceptable drawdowns within the specified good range for crypto trading. While some metrics are below optimal levels, such as the Sharpe Ratio, the strategy has room for improvement and optimization.
Recommendation: Enact an optimization phase balanced with continued testing to refine the strategy's parameters and risk management framework. With these enhancements, the strategy can achieve a more favorable risk-reward balance tailored to cryptocurrency markets.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.09% | 0.66% | -2.77% | 7.06% | -2.82% | 11.71% | 0.52% | 8.90% | 3.60% |
2021 | 2.71% | 2.73% | 2.47% | 1.61% | 4.03% | 0.00% | 4.13% | -5.99% | 3.98% | -2.71% | -2.96% | 5.94% |
2022 | 0.40% | 6.29% | 1.21% | 5.46% | -1.99% | 6.15% | 4.02% | 3.53% | 6.03% | 4.05% | 6.49% | 0.30% |
2023 | 6.71% | -8.14% | 9.09% | 5.41% | -3.93% | 2.94% | 6.95% | 8.39% | 3.24% | 7.27% | -5.71% | 1.68% |
2024 | 8.10% | 0.45% | 6.60% | 5.34% | 0.52% | -8.57% | 6.74% | -0.56% | -10.23% | -11.37% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
66
Number of Trades
-21.27%
Cumulative Returns
45.45%
Win Rate
2024-04-30
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
3.18%
30 Days
15.52%
60 Days
4.72%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 278504.93 | 278.5 | 148066.34 | 148.07 | 130438.59 | 130.44 |
Gross Profit | 725330.22 | 725.33 | 361219.21 | 361.22 | 364111.01 | 364.11 |
Gross Loss | 446825.29 | 446.83 | 213152.87 | 213.15 | 233672.42 | 233.67 |
Commission Paid | 47231.99 | 23327.35 | 23904.64 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 819019.63 | 819.02 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 293929.17 | 75.35 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 27797.64 | 10.09 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 22.0 | 20.0 | 22.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 224.0 | 101.0 | 123.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 145.0 | 69.0 | 76.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 79.0 | 32.0 | 47.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 64.73 | 68.32 | 61.79 | |||
Avg P&l | 1243.33 | 0.49 | 1466.0 | 0.6 | 1060.48 | 0.4 |
Avg Winning Trade | 5002.28 | 1.93 | 5235.06 | 1.89 | 4790.93 | 1.96 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5656.02 | 2.15 | 6661.03 | 2.18 | 4971.75 | 2.13 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.884 | 0.786 | 0.964 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 13182.49 | 13182.49 | 13081.63 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 2.9 | 2.89 | 2.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 14191.77 | 14191.77 | 10387.39 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.04 | 3.04 | 3.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 23.0 | 23.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 19.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 33.0 | 30.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.626 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.504 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.623 | 1.695 | 1.558 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 204779.76 | 204.78 | 102083.03 | 102.08 | 102696.73 | 102.7 |
Gross Profit | 945263.3 | 945.26 | 429140.28 | 429.14 | 516123.03 | 516.12 |
Gross Loss | 740483.55 | 740.48 | 327057.25 | 327.06 | 413426.3 | 413.43 |
Commission Paid | 67363.18 | 30604.06 | 36759.13 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1417748.29 | 1417.75 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 293929.17 | 75.35 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 112187.68 | 29.09 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 22.0 | 20.0 | 22.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 289.0 | 123.0 | 166.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 175.0 | 78.0 | 97.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 114.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.55 | 63.41 | 58.43 | |||
Avg P&l | 708.58 | 0.31 | 829.94 | 0.4 | 618.65 | 0.24 |
Avg Winning Trade | 5401.5 | 1.91 | 5501.8 | 1.87 | 5320.86 | 1.94 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6495.47 | 2.14 | 7267.94 | 2.14 | 5991.69 | 2.14 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.832 | 0.757 | 0.888 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14796.8 | 13271.92 | 14796.8 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 2.9 | 2.89 | 2.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 14793.43 | 14362.0 | 14793.43 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.07 | 3.04 | 3.07 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 24.0 | 23.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 19.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 32.0 | 33.0 | 31.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.357 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.614 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.277 | 1.312 | 1.248 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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