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poil HLCv6 runeusdt 15m 11.02.2025

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15 minutes @poil
● Live

HLCV6 RUNEUSDT 15M 11.02.2025

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +1.54% Updated 7 hours ago
Total Return Primary
918.79%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.12%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
50.64%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.262
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
748
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 3, 2021
1,415
Days
748
Trades
Last Trade
Oct 17, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 20:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.05
  • Calmar: -1.63
  • Longest DD Days: 211.00
  • Volatility: 50.85
  • Skew: 0.57
  • Kurtosis: 0.95
  • Expected Daily: 0.36
  • Expected Monthly: 7.79
  • Expected Yearly: 145.98
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.76
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.56
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.98
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-10-17 07:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 345
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 13
  • Number Losing Trades: 403
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.63
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.24
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.45
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.24
  • Tail Ratio: 1.41
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.28
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.41
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.21
  • Serenity Index: 27.19

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+53.38%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+246.98%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+271.17%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+264.73%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+257.53%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+1.54%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+38.46%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+48.84%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+42.77%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+48.54%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
46.1%
Total Trades
748
Cumulative
918.79%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
306.67%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+12.48%
+18.72%
Simple P&L
2022
-1.47%
-2.30%
Simple P&L
-5.56%
-7.39%
Simple P&L
+40.21%
+38.38%
Simple P&L
-13.43%
-10.07%
Simple P&L
-8.09%
-7.06%
Simple P&L
+49.05%
+32.49%
Simple P&L
-27.15%
+3.48%
Simple P&L
-12.86%
-5.88%
Simple P&L
-8.10%
-5.01%
Simple P&L
-3.37%
-3.09%
Simple P&L
-28.39%
-17.16%
Simple P&L
-4.48%
+0.40%
Simple P&L
2023
+17.89%
+21.46%
Simple P&L
-5.25%
+0.37%
Simple P&L
+2.58%
-4.54%
Simple P&L
+13.82%
+18.43%
Simple P&L
+2.65%
+5.14%
Simple P&L
+8.12%
+1.40%
Simple P&L
+10.01%
+14.39%
Simple P&L
+69.02%
+38.05%
Simple P&L
+28.79%
+9.08%
Simple P&L
+13.14%
+5.21%
Simple P&L
+59.55%
+22.97%
Simple P&L
+15.50%
+10.23%
Simple P&L
2024
+50.33%
+9.38%
Simple P&L
+73.80%
+25.62%
Simple P&L
+68.74%
+21.53%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+4.00%
Simple P&L
+5.75%
-3.63%
Simple P&L
+26.28%
+8.31%
Simple P&L
+55.84%
+3.70%
Simple P&L
+17.74%
+5.72%
Simple P&L
-18.55%
-4.39%
Simple P&L
-7.07%
+3.84%
Simple P&L
+86.47%
+6.98%
Simple P&L
-34.42%
-13.12%
Simple P&L
2025
+140.10%
+7.57%
Simple P&L
+87.66%
+13.49%
Simple P&L
-17.90%
+0.28%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

748

Number of Trades

918.79%

Cumulative Returns

46.12%

Win Rate

2025-02-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

38.46%

30 Days

42.77%

60 Days

48.84%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit716674.91716.67597382.74597.38119292.17119.29
Gross Profit2862591.392862.591853956.781853.961008634.61008.63
Gross Loss2145916.482145.921256574.051256.57889342.43889.34
Commission Paid136665.5785666.6850998.89
Buy & Hold Return-86411.18-86.41
Max Equity Run-up730697.7789.47
Max Drawdown145047.2950.64
Max Contracts Held463483.0409365.0463483.0
Total Closed Trades624.0381.0243.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades292.0187.0105.0
Number Losing Trades332.0194.0138.0
Percent Profitable46.7949.0843.21
Avg P&l1148.520.421567.930.57490.910.19
Avg Winning Trade9803.43.519914.213.499606.043.54
Avg Losing Trade6463.62.296477.192.246444.512.36
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5171.5311.491
Largest Winning Trade52048.3950998.6252048.39
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.56.076.5
Largest Losing Trade30780.9327248.2830780.93
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.785.838.78
Avg # Bars In Trades31.029.036.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.028.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.030.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.422
Sortino Ratio1.123
Profit Factor1.3341.4751.134
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit918788.95918.79532024.87532.02386764.08386.76
Gross Profit4422873.334422.872797894.442797.891624978.891624.98
Gross Loss3504084.393504.082265869.582265.871238214.811238.21
Commission Paid218846.18144638.074208.19
Buy & Hold Return-91591.23-91.59
Max Equity Run-up940860.6491.63
Max Drawdown323210.750.64
Max Contracts Held1975246.01363737.01975246.0
Total Closed Trades748.0468.0280.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades345.0221.0124.0
Number Losing Trades403.0247.0156.0
Percent Profitable46.1247.2244.29
Avg P&l1228.330.411136.810.451381.30.34
Avg Winning Trade12819.923.5512660.163.4513104.673.73
Avg Losing Trade8695.02.289173.562.237937.272.35
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4741.381.651
Largest Winning Trade151655.1467318.87151655.14
Largest Winning Trade Percent29.236.0729.23
Largest Losing Trade89666.8489666.8444508.72
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.785.838.78
Avg # Bars In Trades32.030.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades36.032.043.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades28.028.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.392
Sortino Ratio1.047
Profit Factor1.2621.2351.312
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 918.79%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 82.1%
Sharpe Ratio 0.392
Profit Factor 1.262
Maximum Drawdown -50.64%
Volatility (Annualized) 50.85%

The strategy demonstrates a substantial cumulative return of 918.79% and an annualized return of 82.1%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.392 indicates a need for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, albeit almost reaching the threshold for a viable strategy. The maximum drawdown of -50.64% is higher than ideal, suggesting potential for increased volatility management. The profit factor of 1.262 signifies a moderate profit potential per dollar risked.

Strategy Viability

Given the data, the strategy shows potential but requires certain adjustments to be viable for real-world trading. While the returns are promising, the risk metrics, particularly the maximum drawdown and Sharpe ratio, need improvement. Identifying and understanding the market conditions catering to both peak performance and downturns will be essential for future success.

Risk Management

The current risk management strategies are somewhat effective, but there's room for improvement. The significant drawdown suggests the need for more stringent volatility controls. Recommendations for advancing risk management include:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease the impact of drawdowns while maintaining acceptable levels of profitability.
  • Introducing more robust stop-loss protocols to better contain losses.
  • Enhancing position-sizing methods to adapt more dynamically to market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s overall performance, consider the following:

  • Optimize parameters to boost the Sharpe ratio above 0.5, enhancing the strategy's risk-return profile.
  • Increase diversification or incorporate more predictive indicators for better market timing and trade selection.
  • Conduct thorough scenario analysis and forward testing to validate strategy robustness under varying market conditions.
  • Explore additional hedging strategies to mitigate potential extreme losses and improve risk metrics.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy yields high returns, the risk metrics could be optimized to better balance the risk-return trade-off. Improvements to risk management and optimization of trading parameters are recommended to enhance viability.

Recommendation: Prioritize further refinement and testing to achieve a more desirable balance in trading risks and returns. This strategy has promising elements, and with optimization, it could become a robust tool for crypto trading.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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