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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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phyu2 williams wifusdt 15m 06.08

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CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @phyu2
● Live

Williams by @DaviddTech 🤖 [a59c5896]

🛡️ WILLIAMS WIFUSDT 15M 06.08

Trading Pair
WIF
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 2
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  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +11.48% Updated 9 hours ago
Total Return Primary
-45.26%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
64.43%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
0.882
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.19%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
953
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 4, 2025
229
Days
953
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-07-04 01:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: -0.51
  • Sortino Ratio: -0.49
  • Calmar: 1.09
  • Longest DD Days: 500.00
  • Volatility: 19.20
  • Skew: -1.22
  • Kurtosis: 1.99
  • Expected Daily: -0.06
  • Expected Monthly: -1.16
  • Expected Yearly: -13.07
  • Kelly Criterion: -8.60
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.42
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.25
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-18 08:48:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 16
  • Number Winning Trades 614
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 339
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: 1.09
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 0.88
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.49
  • Common Sense Ratio: 0.88
  • Tail Ratio: 0.68
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.34
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.32
  • Serenity Index: -2.57

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+3.34%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.14%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.60%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.97%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.96%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+15.94%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+97.01%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+295.56%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+183.68%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+509.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
64.5%
Total Trades
954
Cumulative
-0.19%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
723.01%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.45%
+130.87%
Simple P&L
••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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••••
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2026
••••
Login to see results
••••
Login to see results
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

954

Number of Trades

-0.19%

Cumulative Returns

64.47%

Win Rate

2024-08-06

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

97.01%

30 Days

183.68%

60 Days

295.56%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l193.840.35
Net Profit-45256.78-45.26-54977.72-54.989720.949.72
Gross Profit337501.47337.5139434.51139.43198066.96198.07
Gross Loss382758.25382.76194412.23194.41188346.02188.35
Expected Payoff-47.49-131.2118.2
Commission Paid33376.5817562.8615813.72
Buy & Hold Return-74630.6-74.63
Buy & Hold % Gain-74.63
Strategy Outperformance29373.83
Max Contracts Held383993360922.0383993.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-61.15-71.4215.67
Return On Initial Capital-45.26-54.989.72
Account Size Required63916.46
Return On Account Size Required-70.81-86.0115.21
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6161.256.16
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)28512.2728.51
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)33468.9729.13
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)33.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)42 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)23903.423.9
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.71-0.860.16
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)63746.5363.75
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)63916.4656.39
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)63.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-714.39-1238.97153.45
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.571.380.89
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.662.283.36
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades953.0419.0534.0
Number Winning Trades614.0231.0383.0
Number Losing Trades339.0188.0151.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.4355.1371.72
Avg P&l-47.490.76-131.210.5718.20.91
Avg Winning Trade549.682.05603.612.08517.152.02
Avg Losing Trade1129.081.581034.111.31247.321.92
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4870.5840.415
Largest Winning Trade1925.671925.671761.72
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.023.625.02
Largest Losing Trade6335.024437.386335.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.178.174.94
Avg # Bars In Trades13.012.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades13.013.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.011.017.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Sortino Ratio-0.49
Profit Factor0.8820.7171.052
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l215.060.39
Net Profit-45256.78-45.26-54977.72-54.989720.949.72
Gross Profit337501.47337.5139434.51139.43198066.96198.07
Gross Loss382758.25382.76194412.23194.41188346.02188.35
Expected Payoff-47.49-131.2118.2
Commission Paid33376.5817562.8615813.72
Buy & Hold Return-74689.84-74.69
Buy & Hold % Gain-74.69
Strategy Outperformance29433.06
Max Contracts Held383993360922.0383993.0
Annualized Return (cagr)-61.15-71.4215.67
Return On Initial Capital-45.26-54.989.72
Account Size Required63916.46
Return On Account Size Required-70.81-86.0115.21
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6161.256.16
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)28512.2728.51
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)33468.9729.13
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)33.47
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)42 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)23903.423.9
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown-0.7-0.860.16
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)63746.5363.75
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)63916.4656.39
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)63.92
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss-714.39-1238.97153.45
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.571.380.89
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.662.283.36
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades953.0419.0534.0
Number Winning Trades614.0231.0383.0
Number Losing Trades339.0188.0151.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable64.4355.1371.72
Avg P&l-47.490.76-131.210.5718.20.91
Avg Winning Trade549.682.05603.612.08517.152.02
Avg Losing Trade1129.081.581034.111.31247.321.92
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4870.5840.415
Largest Winning Trade1925.671925.671761.72
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.023.625.02
Largest Losing Trade6335.024437.386335.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.178.174.94
Avg # Bars In Trades13.012.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades13.013.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.011.017.0
Sharpe Ratio-0.509
Sortino Ratio-0.49
Profit Factor0.8820.7171.052
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return -45.25%
Annualized Return (CAGR) -61.27%
Sharpe Ratio -0.515
Profit Factor 0.882
Maximum Drawdown -63.75%
Volatility (Annualized) 19.24%

The strategy currently shows challenges with a negative cumulative return and annualized return. The Sharpe Ratio is below the desired threshold and indicates negative risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown is above the preferred limit highlighting potential risk management issues. While the win rate stands at 64.42%, the average losing trade still outweighs the average win substantially, affecting the profit factor negatively.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the current strategy presents several red flags for real-world trading under the observed conditions. With a significant negative cumulative return and high drawdown, the strategy requires substantial revision and testing before being considered viable. Its current performance lags behind typical benchmarks and indicates a need for improvement in trade execution and risk management.

Risk Management

The existing risk management approach needs enhancement, as reflected by the high maximum drawdown and negative returns. Key areas for improvement include:

  • Reducing leverage can help control the drawdown and risks associated with volatile markets.
  • Implementing more stringent stop-loss mechanisms could limit losses.
  • Consider reducing position sizes to minimize risk exposure during periods of high volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Reexamine the strategy parameters and optimize them to improve risk-adjusted returns.
  • Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit strategies.
  • Carry out rigorous out-of-sample and forward testing to ensure the strategy's adaptability to various market conditions.
  • Consider diversification across different cryptocurrencies to spread risk and reduce exposure to individual market events.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy shows a high win rate, the negative returns and significant drawdowns highlight areas that demand attention. A re-evaluation and optimization are necessary to bring this strategy in line with viable trading practices. There is potential for turnaround with a better assessment and application of risk management techniques.

Recommendation: Rework the strategy's core components, focusing on improving its risk management and testing new parameters to enhance the robustness of results. Test thoroughly under various market conditions to grasp its dynamic adaptability and effectiveness.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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