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phyu2 t3nexus+stiff wifusdt 12m 30.07

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TREND FOLOWING 12 minutes @phyu2
● Live

T3 Nexus + Stiff @DaviddTech 🤖 [f43cc0b2]

🛡️ T3NEXUS+STIFF WIFUSDT 12M 30.07

Trading Pair
WIF
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
  • icon 1
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  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +4.59% Updated 6 days ago
Total Return Primary
29.5%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
44.14%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
10.69%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.095
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1928
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 19, 2024
638
Days
1928
Trades
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-19 11:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.80
  • Calmar: -1.51
  • Longest DD Days: 1,166.00
  • Volatility: 5.09
  • Skew: 0.38
  • Kurtosis: -0.92
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.29
  • Expected Yearly: 3.58
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.86
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.43
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.48
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-10-13 06:24:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 851
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 1,077
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.10
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.38
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.10
  • Tail Ratio: 1.30
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.16
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 8.83

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.10%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.69%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+5.51%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.09%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+10.29%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+4.59%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+17.86%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+69.39%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+22.20%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+87.61%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
44.1%
Total Trades
1928
Cumulative
29.50%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
283.97%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
+0.55%
+21.43%
Simple P&L
+3.67%
+104.35%
Simple P&L
+1.47%
-0.25%
Simple P&L
+2.01%
+45.96%
Simple P&L
+5.06%
+15.80%
Simple P&L
+9.26%
+47.51%
Simple P&L
+4.99%
+6.07%
Simple P&L
-1.71%
-8.88%
Simple P&L
-6.38%
-36.87%
Simple P&L
+1.31%
-7.84%
Simple P&L
-3.32%
-32.57%
Simple P&L
+1.85%
+28.72%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.23%
-1.84%
Simple P&L
-0.48%
+26.47%
Simple P&L
+0.48%
-4.76%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1928

Number of Trades

29.5%

Cumulative Returns

44.14%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

17.86%

30 Days

22.2%

60 Days

69.39%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-97.08-0.08
Net Profit28163.228.169574.649.5718588.5618.59
Gross Profit82418.682.4236904.9436.945513.6745.51
Gross Loss54255.454.2627330.2927.3326925.1126.93
Commission Paid3287.971660.911627.06
Buy & Hold Return509429.41509.43
Max Equity Run-up28763.4922.41
Max Drawdown2612.942.15
Max Contracts Held37385.032899.037385.0
Total Closed Trades546.0271.0275.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades266.0138.0128.0
Number Losing Trades280.0133.0147.0
Percent Profitable48.7250.9246.55
Avg P&l51.580.4535.330.3967.590.5
Avg Winning Trade309.844.34267.433.88355.584.83
Avg Losing Trade193.773.25205.493.22183.163.28
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5991.3011.941
Largest Winning Trade864.6742.01864.6
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.224.96.22
Largest Losing Trade597.15587.61597.15
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.224.223.92
Avg # Bars In Trades24.020.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.018.034.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.023.021.0
Sharpe Ratio1.358
Sortino Ratio
Profit Factor1.5191.351.69
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit29501.4329.55558.775.5623942.6723.94
Gross Profit341109.11341.11161655.98161.66179453.13179.45
Gross Loss311607.68311.61156097.22156.1155510.46155.51
Commission Paid19261.229973.269287.96
Buy & Hold Return52129.6552.13
Max Equity Run-up32056.2924.35
Max Drawdown13902.1710.69
Max Contracts Held102779.070578.0102779.0
Total Closed Trades1928.0967.0961.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades851.0451.0400.0
Number Losing Trades1077.0516.0561.0
Percent Profitable44.1446.6441.62
Avg P&l15.30.155.750.1524.910.15
Avg Winning Trade400.833.8358.443.38448.634.26
Avg Losing Trade289.332.74302.512.69277.22.78
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3851.1851.618
Largest Winning Trade1050.26858.51050.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.224.96.22
Largest Losing Trade754.28715.94754.28
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.224.223.92
Avg # Bars In Trades25.022.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.023.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.021.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.397
Sortino Ratio0.797
Profit Factor1.0951.0361.154
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 16.08%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 16.08%
Sharpe Ratio 0.397
Profit Factor 1.095
Maximum Drawdown 10.69%
Volatility (Annualized) 5.09%

The strategy shows a modest Cumulative Return of 16.08% over the measured period, with a maximum drawdown of 10.69%, well within acceptable limits. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.397 is slightly below the 0.5 baseline for crypto assets, suggesting an opportunity for optimization to enhance risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor is near breakeven at 1.095, indicating that the strategy generates just slightly more profits than losses per unit risk taken.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading, particularly considering its low drawdown. However, the current Sharpe ratio and Profit Factor indicate that there is room for improvements in risk-adjusted performance and overall profitability. The strategy might perform best under stable market conditions with lower volatility, a critical factor to maintain its relatively modest returns.

Risk Management

The strategy employs adequate risk management measures, as indicated by the acceptable max drawdown and no margin calls recorded. However, there are areas to enhance risk management, with recommendations such as:

  • Revise position sizing to align with market volatility which could be dynamically assessed.
  • Incorporating more robust stop-loss mechanisms could further mitigate risks in drawdown scenarios.
  • Explore trading a more diversified crypto basket, thereby spreading and reducing unsystematic risks across different digital assets.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy's performance and risk-adjusted returns, consider implementing the following suggestions:

  • Optimize the trading parameters, such as entry and exit conditions, to improve profitability.
  • Employ a broader set of technical and/or fundamental indicators to refine trade execution.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward testing to ensure the strategy's robustness across varied market conditions.
  • Enhance the strategy’s overall risk management framework potentially with stress testing, to prepare for unforeseen market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays reasonably good performance with acceptable drawdowns but shows room for improvement in terms of risk-adjusted returns. Given the current metrics, particularly the sub-optimal Sharpe Ratio and Profit Factor, optimizing and testing further would be beneficial to validate its robustness across various market environments.

Recommendation: It is advisable to proceed with modifying and optimizing the strategy for enhanced performance. The focus should be placed on improving return metrics and risk-adjusted performance via comprehensive strategy refinements and testing.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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