Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [1ca1e97b]
🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 15M 29.10.2024
@niksi_2s
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 39 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-06 08:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.46
- Sortino Ratio: 1.98
- Calmar: -0.74
- Longest DD Days: 137.00
- Volatility: 1.08
- Skew: 0.56
- Kurtosis: 7.70
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.08
- Expected Yearly: 0.99
- Kelly Criterion: 9.01
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.11
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.16
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 12:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 497
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 480
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.74
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
- Payoff Ratio: 1.17
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
- Tail Ratio: 1.04
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.83
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.58
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 2.72
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics indicate certain strengths and areas for improvement:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 2082.94% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 1.25% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.475 |
Profit Factor | 1.234 |
Maximum Drawdown | 35.39% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 1.08% |
Percent Profitable | 51.03% |
The strategy has achieved a cumulative return of over 2000%, which is substantial. However, the annualized return is quite modest. The Sharpe Ratio, while slightly below the desirable threshold of 0.5, indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.234 suggests that the strategy is profitable, but there is room for improvement. Importantly, the Maximum Drawdown of 35.39% is within a manageable range for a crypto strategy, indicating a good level of risk management given the high potential for volatility in crypto markets.
Strategy Viability
The strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading, especially considering the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. It has managed to outperform a buy-and-hold strategy markedly. Although the Sharpe Ratio is slightly below 0.5, the strategy's resilience, as evidenced by a maximum drawdown under 40%, is encouraging. This suggests that with some optimization, the strategy could become even more compelling for active crypto traders.
Risk Management
The strategy already exhibits commendable risk management practices, as demonstrated by the drawdown metrics. However, there is always room to tighten risk management further:
- Reducing leverage could lower the maximum drawdown even further.
- Dynamic position sizing based on the volatility or risk environment could improve the volatility management.
- Incorporating tighter stop-loss strategies may help reduce the risk of larger losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance, consider the following actions:
- Optimization of the existing parameters to enhance returns without increasing risk.
- Experimenting with additional technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit points.
- Conduct more extensive out-of-sample testing to verify robustness across various market conditions.
- Implementing more sophisticated risk management strategies like Value-at-Risk (VaR) measures.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates promising performance with strong cumulative returns and several key risk management measures already in place. Nonetheless, the potential exists to further optimize for better risk-adjusted returns. By addressing certain optimization areas and potentially lowering leverage to decrease drawdowns, the strategy can become an even more attractive option for consistent profit generation in volatile crypto markets.
Recommendation: Continue with this strategy, focusing on optimization and risk management enhancements. With these adjustments, the strategy is likely to yield even more compelling results in future tests and real-world conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.10% |
2022 | -5.86% | 8.53% | 74.89% | 9.38% | 27.55% | 14.46% | 37.55% | -2.41% | 1.82% | -5.54% | -5.07% | 1.75% |
2023 | 19.01% | 3.56% | -2.46% | -1.00% | -2.15% | 2.87% | -0.51% | -4.56% | 15.65% | 6.60% | 15.62% | -14.42% |
2024 | 14.37% | 19.82% | 37.34% | 17.30% | 11.47% | 8.48% | 22.37% | 19.23% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
115
Number of Trades
-0.92%
Cumulative Returns
46.09%
Win Rate
2024-10-29
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-7.72%
30 Days
-27.86%
60 Days
7.2%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 4410.43 | 2205.22 | 3841.24 | 1920.62 | 569.2 | 284.6 |
Gross Profit | 15123.73 | 7561.87 | 10357.52 | 5178.76 | 4766.21 | 2383.11 |
Gross Loss | 10713.3 | 5356.65 | 6516.28 | 3258.14 | 4197.01 | 2098.51 |
Commission Paid | 956.17 | 630.97 | 325.21 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -28.25 | -14.12 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 4792.59 | 96.44 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 774.64 | 35.39 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1892.0 | 1892.0 | 1487.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 865.0 | 438.0 | 427.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 446.0 | 242.0 | 204.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 419.0 | 196.0 | 223.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.56 | 55.25 | 47.78 | |||
Avg P&l | 5.1 | 0.32 | 8.77 | 0.51 | 1.33 | 0.12 |
Avg Winning Trade | 33.91 | 2.45 | 42.8 | 2.39 | 23.36 | 2.53 |
Avg Losing Trade | 25.57 | 1.95 | 33.25 | 1.8 | 18.82 | 2.09 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.326 | 1.287 | 1.241 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 287.46 | 287.46 | 211.05 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 15.81 | 8.9 | 15.81 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 320.56 | 320.56 | 134.16 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 11.86 | 6.13 | 11.86 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 21.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 17.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.532 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.25 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.412 | 1.589 | 1.136 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 3861.61 | 1930.81 | 3345.91 | 1672.96 | 515.7 | 257.85 |
Gross Profit | 21962.09 | 10981.04 | 13946.1 | 6973.05 | 8015.99 | 4007.99 |
Gross Loss | 18100.47 | 9050.24 | 10600.19 | 5300.09 | 7500.29 | 3750.14 |
Commission Paid | 1337.09 | 848.05 | 489.04 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -164.36 | -82.18 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 5229.3 | 96.72 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1653.35 | 35.39 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 6704.0 | 5996.0 | 6704.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 977.0 | 489.0 | 488.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 497.0 | 264.0 | 233.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 480.0 | 225.0 | 255.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 50.87 | 53.99 | 47.75 | |||
Avg P&l | 3.95 | 0.3 | 6.84 | 0.45 | 1.06 | 0.16 |
Avg Winning Trade | 44.19 | 2.58 | 52.83 | 2.44 | 34.4 | 2.74 |
Avg Losing Trade | 37.71 | 2.05 | 47.11 | 1.88 | 29.41 | 2.2 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.172 | 1.121 | 1.17 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 463.8 | 463.8 | 284.18 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 15.81 | 8.9 | 15.81 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 351.13 | 351.13 | 212.32 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 11.86 | 6.13 | 11.86 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 21.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 17.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.462 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.978 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.213 | 1.316 | 1.069 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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