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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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Precision Trend NEAR 1h

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @Gentle_sir
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [1c1636be]

🛡️ PRECISION TREND NEAR 1H

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-6.72% Updated 8 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1022.07%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
55.16%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.158
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.32%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
368
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 19, 2021
1,573
Days
368
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 9, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-10-19 20:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.71
  • Calmar: -1.71
  • Longest DD Days: 56.00
  • Volatility: 98.85
  • Skew: 0.07
  • Kurtosis: -0.81
  • Expected Daily: 0.84
  • Expected Monthly: 19.23
  • Expected Yearly: 725.07
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.59
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.64
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -9.84
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-09 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 203
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 165
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.71
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.14
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.93
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.14
  • Tail Ratio: 1.17
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.89
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.17
  • Serenity Index: 17.71

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.94%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-4.33%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-4.33%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.54%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.71%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-10.34%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+1.68%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-38.90%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-16.72%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-20.41%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
55.0%
Total Trades
369
Cumulative
-4.73%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
246.51%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
+8.33%
Simple P&L
+1.68%
+5.89%
Simple P&L
-0.74%
+11.63%
Simple P&L
2022
-5.29%
+5.73%
Simple P&L
+1.81%
+18.02%
Simple P&L
-3.55%
+12.00%
Simple P&L
+5.55%
+4.36%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
+6.40%
Simple P&L
-5.62%
+19.34%
Simple P&L
-0.38%
+4.58%
Simple P&L
+2.00%
-6.29%
Simple P&L
+2.18%
+2.42%
Simple P&L
-2.00%
+13.29%
Simple P&L
-1.82%
+13.46%
Simple P&L
-1.65%
-0.74%
Simple P&L
2023
+2.09%
+22.26%
Simple P&L
-1.63%
+3.33%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
+6.54%
Simple P&L
+1.91%
-11.11%
Simple P&L
-0.68%
+7.92%
Simple P&L
-4.69%
+23.51%
Simple P&L
+3.69%
-4.56%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
-19.52%
Simple P&L
-1.18%
+3.59%
Simple P&L
-3.69%
+5.11%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
+3.25%
Simple P&L
-1.56%
+12.36%
Simple P&L
2024
+2.05%
+14.45%
Simple P&L
+3.57%
+21.26%
Simple P&L
-2.27%
+3.47%
Simple P&L
+1.97%
+10.45%
Simple P&L
-5.90%
-15.47%
Simple P&L
+1.74%
-16.69%
Simple P&L
+2.01%
+8.00%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
+13.57%
Simple P&L
-4.14%
-10.46%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
-4.81%
Simple P&L
-3.51%
-0.70%
Simple P&L
+0.62%
+10.51%
Simple P&L
2025
+5.15%
+7.92%
Simple P&L
-5.08%
+3.90%
Simple P&L
+1.70%
-4.83%
Simple P&L
-0.03%
+7.44%
Simple P&L
+0.70%
+22.04%
Simple P&L
+0.91%
+8.16%
Simple P&L
-1.23%
+7.92%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

369

Number of Trades

-4.73%

Cumulative Returns

55.01%

Win Rate

2024-04-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

1.68%

30 Days

-16.72%

60 Days

-38.9%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit745056.35745.06753822.51753.82-8766.16-8.77
Gross Profit2179121.732179.121445738.221445.74733383.51733.38
Gross Loss1434065.381434.07691915.71691.92742149.67742.15
Expected Payoff3652.246791.19-94.26
Commission Paid60685.9735384.6425301.33
Buy & Hold Return-7145.57-7.15
Buy & Hold % Gain-7.15
Strategy Outperformance752201.92
Max Contracts Held590826544715.0590826.0
Annualized Return (cagr)136.99137.98-3.64
Return On Initial Capital745.06753.82-8.77
Account Size Required218073.71
Return On Account Size Required341.65345.67-4.02
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)31 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)81647.9481.65
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)259013.63259.01
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)748661.8888.54
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)748.66
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)25 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)63598.9863.6
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown3.423.46-0.04
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)207475.63207.48
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)218073.7140.12
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)218.07
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1285.81848.66-15.13
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.264.928.4
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.045.897.81
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades204.0111.093.0
Number Winning Trades120.070.050.0
Number Losing Trades84.041.043.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable58.8263.0653.76
Avg P&l3652.241.036791.191.57-94.260.39
Avg Winning Trade18159.354.9520653.45.1514667.674.66
Avg Losing Trade17072.214.5616875.994.5517259.294.58
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0641.2240.85
Largest Winning Trade71063.6171063.6161584.85
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.08.1310.0
Largest Losing Trade57944.9440776.6257944.94
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.647.647.4
Avg # Bars In Trades23.022.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.022.025.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.023.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.61
Sortino Ratio1.579
Profit Factor1.522.0890.988
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-20002-1.78
Net Profit1022067.191022.07954849.8954.8567217.3967.22
Gross Profit7498381.577498.383431905.733431.914066475.854066.48
Gross Loss6476314.386476.312477055.932477.063999258.463999.26
Expected Payoff2777.365456.28348.28
Commission Paid227162.1102132.86125029.24
Buy & Hold Return-86858.48-86.86
Buy & Hold % Gain-86.86
Strategy Outperformance1108925.67
Max Contracts Held15971491390163.01597149.0
Annualized Return (cagr)74.772.2212.6
Return On Initial Capital1022.07954.8567.22
Account Size Required840426.85
Return On Account Size Required121.61113.618.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)31 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)140913.38140.91
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)418319.5418.32
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2120307.0195.63
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2120.31
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)38 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)168181.44168.18
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.191.110.06
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)804067.65804.07
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)840426.8545.46
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)840.43
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss776.81863.0951.09
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.075.647.5
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.034.473.29
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades368.0175.0193.0
Number Winning Trades203.0102.0101.0
Number Losing Trades165.073.092.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable55.1658.2952.33
Avg P&l2777.360.685456.281.04348.280.36
Avg Winning Trade36937.844.9933646.134.9940262.144.99
Avg Losing Trade39250.394.6233932.274.4943470.24.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9410.9920.926
Largest Winning Trade305179.58193671.66305179.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent16.348.1416.34
Largest Losing Trade131572.38110630.92131572.38
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.647.647.5
Avg # Bars In Trades22.021.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.020.024.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.022.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.374
Sortino Ratio0.714
Profit Factor1.1581.3851.017
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1018.02%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 75.17%
Sharpe Ratio 0.384
Profit Factor 1.16
Maximum Drawdown 0%
Volatility (Annualized) 98.67%
Percent Profitable Trades 55.07%

The strategy showcases a remarkable cumulative return of 1018.02%, indicating substantial profitability over the observed trading period. An annualized return of 75.17% illustrates the strategy's strong earning potential. Nonetheless, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.384, though below the desired threshold of 0.5 for good performance, suggests there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. On a positive note, the zero maximum drawdown implies no significant capital loss in any single period, keeping the strategy comfortable under stressful market conditions.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy demonstrates considerable promise in real-world trading scenarios, mainly due to its strong cumulative returns and zero drawdown. However, the Sharpe Ratio indicates that risk-adjusted performance could be enhanced. The market conditions—specifically the cryptocurrency market's inherent volatility—seem to be harnessed well, though further analysis of conditions favoring strategy performance is advisable to ensure sustained success.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management approach is commendable, considering the zero maximum drawdown. Yet, the high volatility at 98.67% emphasizes the need to better manage fluctuations and enhance stability. Recommendations for risk management improvement include:

  • Incorporating dynamic position sizing to adjust trading positions based on market volatility insights.
  • Implementing additional stop-loss strategies to cap potential losses further.
  • Introducing diversification in traded assets to curb unsystematic and sector-specific risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy's performance and resilience, consider the following steps:

  • Refine strategy parameters to better balance return and drawdown levels, potentially enhancing the Sharpe Ratio.
  • Integrate a wider array of technical indicators to refine the timing of trades.
  • Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to verify the strategy's adaptability across various market conditions.
  • Reduce leverage to further decrease drawdown risks, which can contribute to lower volatility.

Final Opinion

In summary, this trading strategy manifests strong performance through excellent returns and an absence of drawdown concerns. However, there is a clear opportunity to optimize risk-adjusted returns by tweaking the existing framework. Improvements should target volatility reduction and enhanced risk management mechanisms.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and strategy tuning. Implement the outlined improvements to maximize robustness, especially by optimizing risk measures, and to adapt risk management frameworks, ensuring adept handling of market fluctuations.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

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