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TRENDHOO NEARUSDT 30MIN

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @Gentlesir
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d8e1344e]

🛡️ TRENDHOO NEARUSDT 30MIN

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 14, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-6.16% Updated 11 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1231.81%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
47.83%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
47.06%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.128
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
73.01%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
391
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 17, 2021
1,476
Days
391
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-10-17 09:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.81
  • Calmar: -2.02
  • Longest DD Days: 80.00
  • Volatility: 94.27
  • Skew: 0.18
  • Kurtosis: -1.44
  • Expected Daily: 0.84
  • Expected Monthly: 19.27
  • Expected Yearly: 728.38
  • Kelly Criterion: 5.08
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.33
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.49
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-01 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 187
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 204
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.02
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.12
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.23
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.12
  • Tail Ratio: 1.39
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.16
  • Serenity Index: 26.39

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-116.24%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-452.60%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-229.92%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-574.86%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-741.30%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-6.12%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-24.21%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-11.64%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-25.85%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-29.75%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
47.7%
Total Trades
392
Cumulative
1,227.92%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
245.62%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+2.08%
-0.25%
Simple P&L
-12.37%
-10.92%
Simple P&L
-7.39%
-16.91%
Simple P&L
2022
+13.33%
+4.47%
Simple P&L
+7.08%
+13.58%
Simple P&L
+11.32%
+19.11%
Simple P&L
+17.18%
+11.15%
Simple P&L
+5.14%
+14.12%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
-3.04%
Simple P&L
+55.02%
+25.50%
Simple P&L
+37.63%
+8.71%
Simple P&L
-6.08%
-7.65%
Simple P&L
+31.36%
+16.79%
Simple P&L
+103.46%
+29.98%
Simple P&L
-38.50%
-5.54%
Simple P&L
2023
+139.28%
+33.25%
Simple P&L
+82.53%
+12.68%
Simple P&L
+0.18%
-4.19%
Simple P&L
+11.65%
+0.12%
Simple P&L
-14.59%
+1.55%
Simple P&L
+139.09%
+16.29%
Simple P&L
+92.60%
+8.05%
Simple P&L
-3.51%
+3.64%
Simple P&L
-76.06%
-5.67%
Simple P&L
+106.10%
+9.48%
Simple P&L
+60.35%
+6.78%
Simple P&L
-24.30%
+2.33%
Simple P&L
2024
+416.71%
+33.39%
Simple P&L
-147.00%
-0.37%
Simple P&L
+80.68%
+7.93%
Simple P&L
+121.47%
+14.47%
Simple P&L
+308.06%
+17.52%
Simple P&L
+257.73%
+7.69%
Simple P&L
+187.88%
+10.31%
Simple P&L
-271.92%
-5.68%
Simple P&L
-107.12%
+9.48%
Simple P&L
-194.15%
-13.06%
Simple P&L
+111.49%
+3.24%
Simple P&L
+67.86%
-4.16%
Simple P&L
2025
+511.68%
+20.95%
Simple P&L
-415.00%
-16.98%
Simple P&L
+67.12%
-2.06%
Simple P&L
+113.17%
+12.79%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

392

Number of Trades

1227.92%

Cumulative Returns

47.7%

Win Rate

2024-02-14

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-24.21%

30 Days

-25.85%

60 Days

-11.64%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit1154911.291154.91278469.07278.47876442.22876.44
Gross Profit3189671.733189.671635203.471635.21554468.261554.47
Gross Loss2034760.432034.761356734.41356.73678026.04678.03
Commission Paid125026.5572490.4752536.08
Buy & Hold Return-59071.62-59.07
Max Equity Run-up1365081.6995.07
Max Drawdown157388.9138.48
Max Contracts Held1092647.01092647.01081477.0
Total Closed Trades227.0122.0105.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades116.057.059.0
Number Losing Trades111.065.046.0
Percent Profitable51.146.7256.19
Avg P&l5087.710.992282.530.668347.071.37
Avg Winning Trade27497.175.2228687.785.3426346.925.11
Avg Losing Trade18331.183.4420872.843.4514739.73.43
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.51.3741.787
Largest Winning Trade103321.24103321.2489715.95
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.47.177.4
Largest Losing Trade89594.7189594.7143099.69
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.15.095.1
Avg # Bars In Trades44.038.050.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades50.043.057.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades37.034.042.0
Sharpe Ratio0.641
Sortino Ratio2.103
Profit Factor1.5681.2052.293
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-1900.91-0.14
Net Profit1231807.461231.81-590736.05-590.741822543.511822.54
Gross Profit10827094.7110827.094974949.584974.955852145.135852.15
Gross Loss9595287.259595.295565685.635565.694029601.624029.6
Commission Paid463555.68250403.11213152.57
Buy & Hold Return-73074.45-73.07
Max Equity Run-up2408507.1497.14
Max Drawdown1128189.6547.06
Max Contracts Held1338103.01293262.01338103.0
Total Closed Trades391.0210.0181.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades187.091.096.0
Number Losing Trades204.0119.085.0
Percent Profitable47.8343.3353.04
Avg P&l3150.40.63-2813.030.2510069.31.06
Avg Winning Trade57898.95.2254669.785.1860959.855.26
Avg Losing Trade47035.723.5846770.473.5147407.083.68
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2311.1691.286
Largest Winning Trade192118.18192118.18191758.79
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.47.357.4
Largest Losing Trade165843.02164763.59165843.02
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.15.095.1
Avg # Bars In Trades43.037.051.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades47.041.053.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades40.034.048.0
Sharpe Ratio0.396
Sortino Ratio0.813
Profit Factor1.1280.8941.452
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 1231.81%
CAGR 89.65%
Sharpe Ratio 0.4
Profit Factor 1.128
Maximum Drawdown -45.16%
Volatility (Annualized) 94.27%
Percent Profitable 47.83%

While the strategy achieves a notable net profit and impressive CAGR, it is important to note the Sharpe ratio of 0.4, which falls slightly below the desirable threshold of 0.5. The profit factor is only slightly above 1, indicating moderate profitability. The maximum drawdown is slightly above the preferred limit of 40%, suggesting higher risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy has promising elements for real-world trading but requires modifications to enhance its viability. Although it demonstrates a high net profit, the risk-adjusted returns as seen in the Sharpe and Sortino ratios need improvement. The current market conditions seem to demand robust risk management to enhance performance sustainability.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management approach indicates areas for enhancement. Specifically:

  • High leverage usage could be a factor contributing to the elevated drawdown. Reducing leverage can mitigate this risk.
  • An annualized volatility of 94.27% calls for refined volatility management strategies to stabilize returns.
  • Encouragingly, the strategy experienced no margin calls, indicating some level of capital preservation.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Adjust leverage to reduce max drawdown and exposure to loss.
  • Enhance risk-adjusted returns by refining the strategy parameters and including additional market indicators.
  • Conduct further testing under varied market conditions to improve robustness and adaptability.
  • Introduce advanced volatility management techniques to stabilize returns.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits strong potential with significant net profit and robust profitability metrics. However, the risk metrics, including the Sharpe ratio and maximum drawdown, suggest there is room for improvement in risk management. Focused efforts on these areas could greatly enhance the overall strategy performance.

Recommendation: Modify the strategy to incorporate enhanced risk management practices, particularly focusing on reducing drawdowns and volatility. Proceed with further testing and optimization to achieve a more balanced risk-return profile.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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